Name: 映画論: ハンガー・ゲームをどうやって生き延びるか 1 (Film Theory: How to SURVIVE the Hunger Games pt. 1)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T06:54:47.000Z
Duration: 12 min
Description: VoiceTubeの動画で発音を聞きながら英語表現を覚えよう！学べる英語：

Oh my God, pink dogs in Louis the fifteenth jackets are so out!

This season in Panem is all about archery, white roses and child slaughter.

程度の副詞

Where we salute the capital for enacting the law that frankly all of us want to see past,

Halloween every day. Unfortunately, today we're not talking about the Capitol's choice in coiffury.

Or even any of their super high-tech equipment, battle tactics, political strategy.

(Geesh) There's a lot of topics that we could take on here.

No today we're talking about their most memorable catchphrase.

It's a throwaway line that every on-screen character from the capitol tosses out before the tributes are chosen.

During their press tour, even as they're walking into the games.

Hunger Games fans use it at the movies, while reading the books, in line for the iPhone 6.

It's everywhere. The characters in the capital use it like a way of saying good luck to the tributes.

But in reality, odds have nothing to do with luck, they have to do with math

and it turns out the biggest secret of the Hunger Games is that

this phrase isn't telling you to break a leg, it's telling you how to survive the games.

Believe it or not you can control whether the odds are ever in your favor.

You can turn the games into anything but a matter of luck.

Whether you're the sole survivor or dead on the first day

depends precisely on whether you've made those odds in your favor.

And after today's episode you'll know how to win the Hunger Games, not by skill, or strength, or...

extremely, advanced finger painting skills,

Choose wisely and you have the best possible chances of surviving,

it's like moneyball except instead of money you're betting your life.

And the lives of 23 other innocent children. As you can tell this is gonna be a really feel good episode.

Okay. So say you want to survive the Hunger Games,

step one that ensures that you live one hundred percent of the time.

Don't volunteer when your name isn't drawn. Odds are you survive every time.

But, okay, say you want to be a hero, and you've just volunteered as tribute.

Stupid decision, but since you're here you need to move quickly.

When you start the games there are 24 total tributes,

two from each district. As such you're starting odds for winning the hunger games are one in 24.

And I can already see you going into the comments and protest because it's definitely arguable

that even from the very beginning not all tributes are created equally.

Rue doesn't have the same probability of winning as say Katniss, or a career, or Foxface.

In articles already published about the Hunger Games

it's been shown statistically that your odds of winning

are actually equal no matter what your race, age, gender, or district.

Based on the information available on past winners

it turns out that those factors actually don't impact your likelihood of survival.

Winners come from both genders, race and color certainly don't seem to be a big factor in Panem,

and the age ranges of the winning tributes are definitely variable.

Making your starting characteristics in the Hunger Games a statistical wash.

Say what you will about the fascism and game-ified child slaughter. The hunger games aren't prejudice.

Even the careers, those kids train from an early age to be sociopathic killers

with the express purpose of surviving the games,

who you would think have a higher probability of winning...

So hey, that's great news for you if you're coming from under the poorer districts,

and if you're a career, well, sorry you just wasted your life.

Alright, so knowing that, you've arrived in the capital fresh off the train as a new tribute.

Cry and contemplate the sweet release of death?

Ha, heck no! Mistake number one that tributes make is wasting this precious time.

If you want to stack the odds ever in your favor

you do it before you're locked in the tube and the game's countdown begins.

This isn't make out with Peeta hour or write sappy letter home time.

You have one week, seven days in the capital to pregame and pregame hard.

The pre- Hunger Games pregaming involves two things;

To give yourself the best statistical advantage going into the arena you start by carbo loading.

No, really it sounds stupid, but this isn't the time to work on your thigh gap for your capital approved yoga tights.

except it's: I'll be thanking myself next week, when all my friends are dead.

You don't know what type of arena you're entering

but one thing you do know from past games is there might not be any food for weeks.

And you as an active adolescent fighting for your life

are gonna be burning 2000 to 2400 calories a day depending on your gender.

Under the stress of fighting off Jabber-Jays and bad CGI dogs

we can assume that you're gonna be burning far more than that.

Meaning that you want to have some body mass to spare,

as such you significantly increase your odds of survival by putting on five pounds of fat leading up to the games.

This gives you an extra 17,500 extra calories to survive on

or eight and a half days before your body starts shutting down from starvation.

Which honestly may be enough to get you most of the way there.

The Hunger Games isn't always the same length

but we know the 74th game in movie one was 18 days long.

Meaning that technically you could survive almost half that time on practically nothing.

In that same Hunger Games 11 out of the 24 tributes died while trying to grab supplies and food.

So from a probability standpoint being able to survive independently

significantly ups your chances in the long run.

So great your feasting up a storm, our next step is to make sure that you're using your training time well.

You've got three days here in the gym and let's face it,

you're not gonna be building any new weapons skills from scratch,

so don't bother trying to become a master nunchucker in under a week.

Instead, build the skills that result in the highest survival rates.

Based on the 27 known winners from the movies and books

11 of them won primarily because of their passive survival skills.

Most of them, again, by not starving to death.