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  • -The headlines are worrying.

  • -Experts are warning it's likely to become a pandemic.

  • -The number of people infected with coronavirus

  • surged by more than 3,000 overnight.

  • -As of early February, more than 20,000 people

  • worldwide were infected with a new strain of coronavirus.

  • -From the government who told us that if you stayed inside,

  • the chance of your survival is much bigger than if you go out.

  • We are in history right now.

  • -One month after it was first discovered in Wuhan, China,

  • the World Health Organization

  • officially declared the outbreak a public health emergency.

  • -We don't know what sort of damage this virus could do

  • if it were to spread in a country

  • with a weaker health system.

  • We must act now

  • to help countries prepare for that possibility.

  • -A few days later, the US also declared it

  • a public health emergency

  • and announced that foreign nationals

  • who had traveled to China

  • would be denied entry into the United States.

  • -The president has signed a presidential proclamation

  • using his authority pursuant to Section 212(f)

  • of the Immigration and Nationality Act

  • temporarily suspending the entry

  • into the United States of foreign nationals

  • who pose a risk of transmitting the 2019 novel coronavirus.

  • -Major airlines had already canceled flights to China.

  • The global reaction to this novel coronavirus strain

  • has been swift, as the world tries

  • to contain the spread of an entirely new virus.

  • -It was a lot of unknowns in this.

  • We saw this acceleration

  • which is now so obvious to everyone.

  • You know, we started off with 25, 50, 100,

  • several hundred, 1,000, 5,000, 10,000, and now 17,000.

  • So we had no idea where it was going.

  • The situation was such that we already saw

  • that the introduction into our country

  • was through travel-related cases.

  • The other issue that was important is that the volume

  • of people that were coming in daily from China,

  • either directly or indirectly, where they would go from China

  • to another country to the United States,

  • was so high that it became logistically very difficult

  • for the CDC to effectively and confidently screen people.

  • -The coronavirus isn't the first global infectious disease

  • to cause this type of panic.

  • It most closely resembles the SARS epidemic

  • that occurred in 2002 and 2003,

  • which caused about 800 deaths in 17 countries,

  • according to the World Health Organization.

  • The difficulty of containing these outbreaks

  • starts with how the disease is tracked and reported.

  • -After SARS, the International Health Regulations

  • were revised to say that if there's any unusual event

  • related to health, it should be reported.

  • So, because of the IHR, China,

  • when it discovered this new virus,

  • reported it to the World Health Organization,

  • and then they distributed that information

  • to the rest of the world,

  • and now each individual country is putting into place

  • the measures for how they will be looking for it.

  • We're seeing things like isolating patients

  • in particular ways,

  • putting travel restrictions into place, imposing quarantines.

  • All of those sorts of actions

  • are things that we learned from SARS.

  • -But Chinese officials were slow to accurately report

  • the new strain of coronavirus to its own people

  • and to authorities,

  • which could've aided in spreading the disease.

  • -Really afraid that I will just get that disease

  • because it's quite strong,

  • and I feel that the government didn't, like, help us enough,

  • like, getting masks, like,

  • stopping the patients from coming here.

  • -The coronavirus is also unpredictable

  • because it is an entirely new strain.

  • Even though the flu has been a greater threat in the US,

  • it is not easy to compare.

  • -People say, appropriately, that, "Wait a minute,

  • why are you taking such measures to address this new coronavirus

  • when right here in the United States,

  • we're in the middle of a flu season

  • where there's 10,000 people who have already died of flu

  • and a lot more likely will?"

  • The thing about flu is much suffering and death

  • that occurs every year on a seasonal basis,

  • we have a very good experience

  • and know exactly what flu is gonna do.

  • You can be guaranteed that as we get into March and April,

  • flu will diminish

  • and essentially get off the radar screen.

  • Coronavirus is the unknown.

  • We have no idea what its potential is,

  • the direction it's going, or where it's gonna end.

  • And because of that, because of that unknown,

  • it was felt that we needed to do something that,

  • in many respects, was unprecedented.

  • -The outbreak of this strain likely originated

  • at a live-animal market in Wuhan.

  • -Lots of infectious diseases come from animals.

  • It used to be that we blamed rats

  • for just about every new infection.

  • At the moment, we seem to be blaming bats

  • for everything because bats are what we think

  • probably started the Ebola outbreak in West Africa,

  • and we think that bats are likely first host

  • for this new coronavirus.

  • So, that's really typical.

  • And we talk about new infections

  • emerging at the human environment interface,

  • where humans are interacting with wildlife

  • in perhaps a new way.

  • But this doesn't just happen at animal markets in China.

  • We can have new outbreaks happen on a farm in Iowa.

  • -Even those who study and work on infectious diseases

  • are unsure what will happen next.

  • -This could mutate in a way that changes the way it behaves.

  • If it mutates in some other way, it might become more contagious,

  • it might become less contagious.

  • It might cause less severe disease,

  • it might change in the opposite direction,

  • and as we get more data that come in,

  • some of these initial characterizations of the disease

  • may change a little bit.

  • -Right now, the risk to the American public is low,

  • but -- big "but" -- that could change,

  • because this is an evolving situation,

  • and if it evolves into a true global pandemic,

  • then we would have a very serious problem here

  • in the United States.

-The headlines are worrying.

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B1 中級 新型コロナウイルス 新型肺炎 COVID-19

コロナウイルスなどの流行は抑えがたい。その理由はここにあります (The coronavirus and other outbreaks are hard to contain. Here's why.)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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