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  • Things are looking up for China.

  • The world's second-largest economy expanded by 6.4 percent in the first three months of the year.

  • Just a little bit higher than economists' expectations of 6.3 percent.

  • So what does this mean for China?

  • For one, it shows that concerns over a trade war with America are fading.

  • President Donald Trump backpedaled last month on vows to ramp up tariffs on Chinese goods.

  • And the two countries are aiming to wrap up talks within a month.

  • On the domestic front, the rosy gross domestic product numbers demonstrate that a stimulus plan is kicking into gear.

  • China usually waits until March to allocate local government bond quotas.

  • This year, Beijing made sure that local governments were raising debt as early as January, in order to spend on infrastructure projects.

  • To show they're serious about spending, local leaders raised Rmb 1.2 trillion.

  • That's about $179 billion in the first quarter.

  • In the same period in 2017 and 2018, they didn't raise anything.

  • There's also a Rmb 2 trillion tax cut coming down the line.

  • Economists are mixed on whether the taxes will have a meaningful impact this year.

  • Are there risks?

  • Absolutely.

  • The biggest is an unwanted surprise on trade talks with the US.

  • A bad deal, or no deal for China,

  • Economists aren't too worried about the Chinese property sector, one of the biggest contributors to GDP growth.

  • Property sales have been rising, and so are prices, according to a recent survey.

  • But there are some signs of a slowdown in construction.

  • Land sales were down in the first three months of 2019.

  • That means developers aren't buying as much, and probably won't build as much this year.

  • Any sharp, unexpected correction in the market would be devastating for growth in China.

  • There's also a chance the stimulus could get the better of China.

  • If the trade deal with the US delivers a positive result next month, Beijing will probably need to tone down the spending in order to avoid excess debt growth.

Things are looking up for China.

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B1 中級

中国経済は再び軌道に乗る (China's economy back on track)

  • 400 18
    Aniceeee に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
動画の中の単語

重要英単語

absolutely

US /ˈæbsəˌlutli, ˌæbsəˈlutli/

UK /ˈæbsəlu:tli/

  • adv. 完全に
gross

US /ɡros/

UK /ɡrəʊs/

  • n. グロス(単位 : 1グロスは12ダース);合計;総重量
  • v. ~の総収益をあげる
  • adj. 気持ち悪い : 嫌な : 粗野な : 無作法な : 品のない : むかつく
demonstrate

US /ˈdɛmənˌstret/

UK /'demənstreɪt/

  • v. 表す;(集会 : 行進などによる)デモをする;証明する : 実証する;実演する : 実際にやって見せる
period

US /ˈpɪriəd/

UK /ˈpɪəriəd/

  • n. 期間 : 時代;期間;終止符;生理;授業時間 : 時限
devastating

US

UK

  • v. 荒廃させている
  • adj. 壊滅的な
positive

US /ˈpɑzɪtɪv/

UK /ˈpɒzətɪv/

  • adj. 肯定的な;確実な : 確かな;電気のプラス極;よい : 有益な;陽性の
impact

US /ˈɪmˌpækt/

UK /'ɪmpækt/

  • n. 影響 : 効果;強い影響;衝撃
  • v. 衝突する
infrastructure

US /ˈɪnfrəˌstrʌktʃɚ/

UK /'ɪnfrəstrʌktʃə(r)/

  • n. インフラ;社会基盤
wrap

US /ræp/

UK /ræp/

  • n. (腰 : 頭 : 肩などに巻く)布;(トルティーヤでできたサンドイッチのような)ラップ
  • v. 周りを動き回る;包む
property

US /ˈprɑpəti/

UK /'prɒpətɪ/

  • n. 性質;所有物;財産