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  • SUPPLIERS CUT THEIR FORECAST.

  • >>> NOW THIS ALIBABA SINGLES'

  • DAY BROUGHT IN RECORD

  • $38.4 BILLION IN JUST 24 HOURS.

  • WE HAVE MICHAEL PILLSBURY,

  • AUTHOR OF, THE 100 YEAR

  • MARATHON.

  • MICHAEL, WHAT DOES IT TELL YOU

  • ABOUT THE CHINESE ECONOMY?

  • >> I THINK PEOPLE THINK IT IS

  • GOOD NEWS THAT THE CHINESE

  • ECONOMY IS STRONGER THAN WE

  • THOUGHT.

  • THE CHINESE ECONOMY OF ALL

  • STRESSES THEY'RE GETTING READY

  • TO MAKE AN OFFER TO PRESIDENT

  • TRUMP.

  • THEY MEET IN JUST 17 DAYS IN

  • BUENOS AIRES.

  • THE OFFER HASN'T COME YET.

  • THEY'RE ACTING LIKE THEY'RE

  • DEALING WITH A POSITION OF

  • STRENGTH, CHARLES.

  • THAT SURPRISES ME TODAY.

  • THEY HAVE A NUMBER OF MESSENGERS

  • COMING.

  • THEY MET WITH HENRY KISSINGER A

  • COUPLE DAYS AGO.

  • THEY HAVE THE BILLIONAIRES

  • SUMMIT WHAT THEY CALL KNIT

  • SINGAPORE.

  • THOSE PEOPLE COMING BACK WITH

  • MESSAGES.

  • IT IS MESSAGES OF THE STRONG

  • ECONOMY IN CHINA.

  • WE WILL MAKE AN OFFER, BUT WE

  • MAY NOT MAKE IT UNTIL THE LAST

  • MINUTE JUST BEFORE BUENOS AIRES

  • BEGINS, THE G20 BEGINS.

  • CHARLES: THE ALIBABA NUMBER IS

  • IMPRESSIVE BUT THE RATE OF

  • GROWTH AT 27%, WELL BELOW LAST

  • YEAR, 39% IN 2015.

  • THEY GREW AT 91%.

  • ON FRIDAY OVERNIGHT WE HEARD THE

  • AUTO SALES WERE DOWN FOR

  • OCTOBER.

  • THIS COULD BE THE FIRST YEAR

  • EVER THEIR AUTO SALES ARE DOWN.

  • >> RIGHT.

  • CHARLES: WE KNOW SOME OTHER

  • THINGS, THEY'RE FORCING BANKS TO

  • BUY CORPORATE DEBT SO THEY HAVE

  • GOT SOME SERIOUS ISSUES, NO

  • DOUBT ABOUT THAT THEY CANNOT

  • AVOID THOSE SERIOUS ISSUES, CAN

  • THEY?

  • >> AS YOU KNOW, CHARLES, THEY

  • HAVE THE POWER TO CONCEAL THE

  • REALLY BAD NEWS.

  • SO SOME OF THESE STATISTICS FROM

  • MY POINT OF VIEW ARE SUSPICIOUS.

  • WHAT THEY ARE TRYING TO DO IN

  • TERMS OF PRESIDENT TRUMP IS

  • PROJECT THE IMAGE OF STRENGTH.

  • WHETHER THAT IS REALLY TRUE IS

  • HARD TO KNOW.

  • YOU THINGS YOU CITE ARE QUITE

  • IMPORTANT.

  • I THINK THEIR FOREIGN EXCHANGE

  • RESERVES, HOWEVER WHAT THEY'RE

  • BANKING ON.

  • IF THEY HAVE SOMETHING LIKE

  • 3 TRILLION IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE

  • RESERVES, THIS GIVES THEM A HUGE

  • CUSHION THAT FRANKLY MOST

  • ECONOMIES OF THE WORLD DON'T

  • HAVE.

  • CHARLES: LET'S POINT OUT THEY

  • HAD 4 TRILLION TWO YEARS AGO.

  • SPENT A TRILLION PROPPING UP

  • THEIR CURRENCY.

  • >> THAT IS EXACTLY RIGHT.

  • CHARLES: THE IDEA IT WOULD BE

  • GOING DOWN WOULD BE KIND OF

  • CRAZY AFTER SPENDING A TRILLION

  • DOLLARS.

  • I WONDER WHY I WAS ONLY ONE

  • THOUGHT THIS WAS A OLIVE BRANCH.

  • FRIDAY MORNING, CHINA ALLOWED

  • AMERICAN EXPRESS, GAVE THEM OKAY

  • 50/50 JOINT PARTNER TO BUILD A

  • NETWORK.

  • THIS WAS PROMISED IN 2012.

  • ALL OF SUDDEN THEY DO THIS WITH

  • AMERICAN EXPRESS.

  • I THOUGHT THAT WAS A OLIVE

  • BRANCH.

  • A SMALL SIGN IF YOU WILL GOING

  • INTO THE G20 SUMMIT.

  • >> THIS NEW NUMBER ABOUT HOW

  • MANY SERVICES THEY'RE GOING

  • IMPORT OVER THE NEXT FIVE YEARS.

  • CHARLES, I THINK YOU HEARD THIS

  • NUMBER, IT IS 2.5 TRILLION.

  • IF YOU'RE GOLDMAN AXE OR WANT TO

  • DO MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS IN

  • CHINA, 2.5 TRILLION IN SERVICES

  • HOW MUCH OF THAT WILL GO TO THE

  • JAPANESE OR THE EUROPEANS?

  • AMERICANS WANT A BIGGER THAT OF

  • THAT?

  • THAT IS ONE OF THEIR NUMBERS.

  • THEY HAVE DANGLED SOME OTHER

  • NUMBERS RECENTLY THAT IMPLY A

  • STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISE REFORM.

  • THEY'RE NOW SAYING STOP 13 STATE

  • OWNED ENTERPRISES WILL FORM NEW

  • PARTNERSHIPS WITH FOREIGN

  • COMPANIES TO TRY TO MAKE MORE

  • COOPERATIVE AGREEMENTS AROUND

  • THE WORLD.

  • CHARLES: RIGHT.

  • >> THEY HAVE A SERIES OF THESE

  • THINGS WE'RE SEEING TODAY, THAT

  • AMERICANS ARE COMING BACK FROM

  • THESE CONFERENCES.

  • THERE IS ONE IN BEIJING A BIG

  • ONE IN SHANGHAI.

  • ANOTHER BIG ONE IN SINGAPORE.

  • EVERYBODY IS BRINGING BACK THESE

  • CARROTS THAT PLEASE, PRESIDENT

  • TRUMP, DON'T PUT THE TARIFFS ON

  • NEXT YEAR BECAUSE LOOK WHAT

  • AMERICAN COMPANIES ARE GOING TO

  • HAVE WAITING FOR THEM.

  • BUT AS YOU IMPLY, THIS MAY BE A

  • TRICK.

  • WE DON'T KNOW IF THEY'RE REALLY

  • GOING TO DO THIS.

  • CHARLES: I GOT TO GO JUST REAL

  • QUICK, MICHAEL, DO YOU THINK

  • WE'LL GET A DEAL OR AT LEAST THE

  • MAJOR STEPS TOWARDS A DEAL AT

  • THE G20 SUMMIT OR IS IT TOO

  • EARLY TO KNOW?

  • >> WILL DEPEND HOW TOUGH

  • PRESIDENT TRUMP IS AND HOW

  • SERIOUSLY HE TAKES HIS PROMISES

  • TO HIS BASE.

  • THAT IS WHAT IS GOING TO COME

SUPPLIERS CUT THEIR FORECAST.

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B1 中級

中国経済の深刻な問題? (Serious issues in China s economy?)

  • 112 5
    diplomat0225 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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