字幕表 動画を再生する 英語字幕をプリント \"FOX NEWS SUNDAY\" .\" >> HELLO AGAIN AND HAPPY MOTHER'S DAY FROM FOX NEWS IN WASHINGTON. PRESIDENT TRUMP SHOWS NO SIGNS OF BACKING OFF HIS TRADE WAR WITH CHINA AFTER NEGOTIATORS FAILED TO STRIKE A DEAL. ON FRIDAY HE MORE THAN DOUBLED TARIFFS ON SOME 5,000 CATEGORIES OF CHINESE PRODUCTS INCLUDING FURNITURE, ELECTRONICS, AND OTHER CONSUMER GOODS. THE PRESIDENT IS THREATENING TO IMPOSE TARIFFS ON ESSENTIALLY ALL REMAINING IMPORTS FROM CHINA, THAT'S ANOTHER $300 BILLION OF PRODUCTS. JOINING US NOW FOR AN EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW TO DISCUSS WHAT HAPPENS NEXT, PRESIDENT TRUMP'S TOP WHITE HOUSE ECONOMIC ADVISOR, LARRY KUDLOW. WELCOME BACK TO \"FOX NEWS SUNDAY.\" >> Larry: THANK YOU, CHRIS, APPRECIATED, HAPPY MOTHER'S DAY. >> Chris: THANK YOU. I'M NOT SURE WE SHOULD BE SAYING HAPPY MOTHER'S DAY TO EACH OTHER BUT I WILL TAKE IT. I WANT TO START WITH SOMETHING THAT YOU SET A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO WHEN YOU WERE PRETTY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT A TRADE DEAL WITH CHINA. HERE YOU ARE. >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE - >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE A >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE D >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE L >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE N >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE E >> I THINK WE ARE ON ABOUT THE . MAYBE EVEN THE 5-YARD LINE LOOKING INTO THE END ZONE. >> Chris: WHAT YARD LINE ARE WE ON NOW AND WHAT SET US BACK? >> Larry: WE MAY STILL BE ON THE FIVE OF THE SEVEN BUT AS I SAID IN THAT CLIP, THOSE OF THE TOUGHEST YARDS TO GET. SO LOOK, THE SITUATION FOR US, FROM OUR STANDPOINT, WE WERE MOVING WELL, CONSTRUCTIVE TALKS AND I STILL THINK THAT'S THE CASE, WE ARE GOING TO CONTINUE THE TALKS AS THE PRESIDENT SUGGESTED IN HIS TWEET ON FRIDAY, BUT THE PROBLEM IS TWO WEEKS AGO IN CHINA THERE WAS BACKTRACKING BY THE CHINESE AND WE COVERED THE SAME GROUND THIS PAST WEEK, AMBASSADOR LIGHT HEISER AND SECRETARY STEVEN MNUCHIN. WE CAN'T FORGET THIS, THIS IS A HUGE DEAL, BROAD OF SCOPE AND SCALE OF ANYTHING THE TWO COUNTRIES HAVE HAD BEFORE BUT WE HAVE TO GET THROUGH A LOT OF ISSUES FOR MANY YEARS CHINA TRADE IT WAS UNFAIR, NONRECIPROCAL, UNBALANCED, IN MANY CASES UNLAWFUL. SO WE HAVE TO CORRECT THOSE AND ONE OF THE STICKING POINTS RIGHT NOW AS WE WOULD LIKE TO SEE THESE CORRECTIONS IN AN AGREEMENT WHICH IS CODIFIED BY LAW IN CHINA, NOT JUST THE STATE COUNCIL ANNOUNCEMENT. WE NEED TO SEE SOMETHING MUCH CLEARER AND UNTIL WE DO WE HAVE TO KEEP OUR TARIFFS ON, THAT'S PART OF THE ENFORCEMENT PROCESS AS FAR AS WE ARE CONCERNED OF THE PRESIDENT HAS SAID THINGS SEEM TO BE TAKING TOO LONG AND WE CAN'T ACCEPT ANY BACKTRACKING. WE ARE REPRESENTING THE UNITED STATES, ECONOMY, FARMERS, AUTOWORKERS, MANUFACTURERS, THESE ARE CRUCIAL PARTS OF THIS DISCUSSION, SO WE WANT TO BE AS SURE AS WE CAN BE, WE DON'T THINK THE CHINESE HAVE COME FAR ENOUGH. WE WILL WAIT AND SEE, THE TALKS WILL CONTINUE AND I WILL SAY THIS, THE G20 MEETING IN JAPAN TOWARD THE END OF JUNE NEXT MONTH, THE CHANCES THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP AND PRESIDENT XI WILL GET TOGETHER AT THAT MEETING ARE PROBABLY PRETTY GOO GOOD. >> Chris: SO HE POINTED OUT THE PRESIDENTS TWEET ON FRIDAY WHERE HE SEEMED PRETTY CONCILIATORY. IN FACT, THE STOCK MARKET, WHICH I DROPPED DRAMATICALLY FRIDAY WITH NEWS THAT THE TALKS, THE NEGOTIATIONS HAD ENDED WITHOUT ANY DEAL, ROSE ON THE KIND OF CONCILIATORY OPTIMISTIC TONE FROM THE PRESIDENT AND FROM THE PROJECT ON MY TREASURY SECRETARY STEPHEN MANAGING. THE PRESIDENT WAS MUCH MORE COMBATIVE IN A TWEET YESTERDAY. I THINK THAT CHINA FELT THAT THEY WERE BEING BEATEN SO BADLY IN THE RECENT NEGOTIATIONS THAT THEY MAY AS WELL WAIT AROUND FOR THE NEXT ELECTION, 2022C IF THEY COULD GET LUCKY AND HAVE A DEMOCRAT WIN. IF THE WILL BECOME FAR WORSE FOR THEM IF IT HAS TO BE NEGOTIATED IN MY SECOND TERM. THAT'S A LOT TOUGHER THAN THE PRESIDENT WAS TALKING ON FRIDAY, HOW COME? >> Larry: LOOK, THAT'S HIS VIEW. WE THINK SOMETIMES CHINA MAY BE MISINTERPRETING THE U.S. POLITICS. I DON'T WANT TO GO DEEP INTO THAT, BUT I THINK THERE'S ALWAYS AN ISSUE THERE. THE FUNDAMENTAL THINGS AND WE'VE SAID THIS MANY TIMES, INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY THEFT HAS TO BE FIXED. FORCED TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER AND OWNERSHIP OF AMERICAN COMPANIES HAS TO BE FIXED. CYBER INTERVENTIONS HAVE TO BE FIXED. TARIFF AND NONTARIFF BARRIERS HAVE TO BE FIXED AND THERE HAVE TO BE VERY, VERY STRONG ENFORCEMENT PROVISIONS. SOME OF THE CHINESE OFFICIALS HAVE SAID BOTH IN BEIJING AND HERE THAT THE AGREEMENT WAS TO UNBALANCED. THE RELATIONSHIP HAS BEEN TO UNBALANCED AND BECAUSE OF THESE PROBLEMS OF UNFAIR AND SOMETIMES UNLAWFUL TRADING PRACTICE, WE HAVE TO HAVE A VERY STRONG AGREEMENT TO CORRECT, TO RIGHT THESE WRONGS BEFORE WE WOULD BE SATISFIED. >> Chris: I WANT TO GO THROUGH A QUICK CHECKLIST AND I WANT YOU QUICK ANSWERS HERE, LIKE A LIGHTNING ROUND ON WHERE WE STAND RIGHT NOW. DO YOU EXPECT CHINA TO RETALIATE FOR OUR INCREASE IN TARIFFS, AND HOW SOON? >> Larry: I THINK I DO, BUT IT'S INTERESTING, THE EXPECTED COUNTERMEASURES HAVE NOT YET MATERIALIZED. WE MAY KNOW MORE TODAY OR EVEN THIS EVENING OR TOMORROW. I RECKON THEY WILL. WE WILL SEE WHAT THEY COME UP WITH. SO FAR WE HAVEN'T HEARD ON THAT BASIS. >> Chris: ARE NO TALKS -- AT THIS POINT IT'S TALKS WILL CONTINUE, OUR NEW TALKS SCHEDULED WITH CHINA? >> Larry: NOT YET, BUT THE CHINESE HAVE INVITED THE AMBASSADOR TO COME OVER TO BEIJING, SECRETARY MINH NGUYEN ALSO. NO CONCRETE DEFINITE PLANS YET. AND BY THE BY, LET ME REPEAT THE STRONG POSSIBILITY THAT THE TWO PRESIDENTS WILL MEET IN JAPAN AT THE G20 MEETING. >> Chris: HOW LONG BEFORE PRESIDENT TRUMP MAKES GOOD ON HIS THREAT TO IMPOSE 25% TARIFFS ON ALL THE REST OF CHINESE IMPORTS INTO THIS COUNTRY, BASICALLY THE FINAL $300 BILLION IN CHINESE GOODS? >> Larry: WE'VE ALREADY LAUNCHED THAT PROCESS UP ON THE WEBSITE. WHAT HAPPENS IN THIS IF I GET THIS RIGHT, WE WILL HAVE ANNOUNCEMENTS, WE WILL HAVE HEARINGS, WE WILL HAVE PUBLIC COMMENTS. HOW LONG DOES IT TAKE? I DON'T KNOW, IT COULD BE A COUPLE OF MONTHS, THEREABOUTS. >> Chris: THREE OR FOUR WEEKS, BUT YOU'RE SAYING IT COULD TAKE LONGER. >> Larry: AMONG OTHER THINGS, AS I UNDERSTAND IT, A 60 DAY PUBLIC COMMENTARY OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT. CALL IT A COUPLE MONTHS, CALL AT THREE MONTHS, I DON'T KNOW. THE AMBASSADOR CAN DETAIL THAT. BUT THAT WILL TAKE SOME TIME AND THEN OF COURSE THE PRESIDENT IS GOING TO HAVE TO MAKE THE FINAL DECISION ON THAT. >> Chris: LET'S TALK ABOUT WHO PAYS, WHO PAYS FOR THE HIGHER TARIFFS ON CHINESE IMPORTS. HERE'S WHAT PRESIDENT TRUMP HAD TO SAY THIS WEEK. >> OUR COUNTRY CAN TAKE AND $120 BILLION A YEAR IN TARIFFS, PAID FOR MOSTLY BY CHINA, BY THE WAY, NOT BIAS. A LOT OF PEOPLE TRY TO STEER IT IN A DIFFERENT DIRECTION. WILLIE IS ULTIMATELY PAID FOR LARGELY BY CHINA. >> Chris: BUT LARRY, THAT ISN'T TRUE. IT'S NOT CHINA THAT PAYS TARIFFS, IT'S THE AMERICAN IMPORTERS, THE AMERICAN COMPANIES THAT PAY WHAT IN EFFECT IS A TAX INCREASE AND OFTENTIMES PASSES IT ON TO U.S. CONSUMERS. >> Larry: FAIR ENOUGH. IN FACT, BOTH SIDES WILL PAY. BOTH SIDES WILL PAY IN THESE THINGS. >> Chris: BUT THE TARIFF ON GOODS COMING INTO THE COUNTRY, THE CHINESE AREN'T PAYING. >> Larry: KNOW, BUT THE CHINESE WILL SUFFER GDP LOSSES AND SO FORTH WITH RESPECT TO A DIMINISHING EXPORT MARKET AND GOODS THAT THEY MAY NEED. >> Chris: THE PRESIDENT SAYS IF THEY DON'T PAY THE TARIFFS THEY MAY SUFFER CONSEQUENCES BUT IT'S U.S. BUSINESSES AND U.S. CONSUMERS WHO PAY, COLLECT? >> Larry: YES, TO SOME EXTENT. I DON'T DISAGREE WITH THAT. AGAIN, BOTH SIDES WILL SUFFER ON THIS. >> Chris: I WANT TO PICK UP ON BOTH SIDES BECAUSE LET'S LOOK AT ONE STUDY THAT PROJECTS WITH THE COSTS ARE OF ALL U.S. TARIFFS. LOOK AT THE SCREEN. THIS STUDY FOUND THAT CURRENT TARIFFS, ALL CURRENT TARIFFS COST AN AVERAGE FAMILY OF $4767 A YEAR AND CUT U.S. EMPLOYMENT BY MORE THAN 900,000 JOBS. AND THE STUDY FOUND IF THE PRESIDENT WERE TO IMPOSE THAT 25% TARIFFS EXTENDED ON ALL CHINESE IMPORTS, INCLUDING THE 300 BILLION, PLUS THE COST OF CHINESE RETALIATION, IT WILL COST AN AMERICAN FAMILY OF $42,200 A YEAR, CUT THE AMERICAN EMPLOYMENT BY OVER 2 MILLION JOBS AND CUT GDP GROWTH BY MORE THAN 1%. >> Larry: I WORK ON -- I THINK THOSE ARE PRETTY WILDLY EXAGGERATED NUMBERS. I WOULD SUGGEST THAT IF YOU GO THE WHOLE BOAT, 200 BILLION INCREASE FROM TEN TO 25, PLUS THE OTHER 300 BILLION, WE RECKON IT WOULD BE ABOUT TWO TENTHS OF 1% OF GDP, SO IT'S A VERY MODEST NUMBER. WE HAVE A $20 TRILLION GDP. IN TERMS OF POSSIBLE JOB LOSSES, WE ARE WAY, WAY BELOW THAT NUMBER AND I WANT TO NOTE HERE THE UNITED STATES ECONOMY IS IN A BOOM, THE NUMBERS ARE COMING IN TERRIFIC, BETTER THAN ANYBODY EXPECTED ON GROWTH, ON JOBS, ON UNEMPLOYMENT, ON WAGES, ON PRODUCTIVITY, WE ARE IN TERRIFIC SHAPE. IN ORDER TO CORRECT 20 YEARS PLUS OF UNFAIR TRADING PRACTICES WITH CHINA, AS I SAID, UNLAWFUL TRADING PRACTICES, I THINK THIS IS A RISK WE SHOULD AND CAN TAKE WITHOUT DAMAGING OUR ECONOMY I WILL NOTE AS OTHERS HAVE, MAYBE THIS IS PART OF YOUR LIGHTNING ROUND BULLETS, MAYBE THE TOUGHEST BURDENS ON FARMERS. THE AGRICULTURE SECTOR, WE GET THERE. WE HELP TO THEM. LOSS EXPERTS. I THINK WE HAD AN AUTHORIZATION OF $12 BILLION. WE WILL DO IT AGAIN IF WE HAVE TO AND IF THE NUMBERS SHOW THAT OUT. >> Chris: ARE YOU READING UPSIDE DOWN? >> Larry: I'VE HAD SOME EXPERIENCE. WE WILL DO THAT. IN A RISING ECONOMY WE ARE IN A TERRIFIC AUSTERITY CYCLE BECAUSE OF OUR POLICIES OF LOWER TAXES AND DEREGULATION AND I MIGHT ADD TRADE REFORMS. WE WILL BE IN VERY GOOD SHAPE. AND BY THE WAY, SOMETHING ELSE THE PRESIDENT HAS SAID, LET ME ADD THIS ON. THE TARIFFS THEMSELVES ARE PRODUCING A BIG INCREASE IN CUSTOMS DUTIES, BIG INCREASE. PERHAPS SOMETHING OF A MAGNITUDE THIS PAST 12 MONTHS OF MAYBE $25 BILLION THAT WILL HELP FARMERS, THAT WILL HELP THE TRANSITION. YOU'VE GOT TO DO WHAT YOU GOT TO DO. WE HAVE HAD UNFAIR TRADING PRACTICES ALL THESE YEARS AND SO IN MY JUDGMENT, THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES ARE SO SMALL THAT THE POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENT IN TRADE AND EXPORTS AND OPEN MARKETS FOR THE UNITED STATES, THIS IS WORTHWHILE DOING. >> Chris: OKAY. THE LAST LINK -- I'M IN NO WAY QUESTIONING THE WISDOM OF DECIDING TO TAKE ON -- THERE'S NO QUESTION THAT THIS HAS BEEN AN UNEQUAL, UNFAIR RELATIONSHIP IN TRADE BETWEEN U.S. AND CHINA. THE LAST THING I WANT TO GET TO IS THE QUESTION OF HOW DETERMINED PRESIDENT TRUMP IS TO SEE THIS THROUGH BECAUSE HE CLEARLY HAD AN EXPECTATION. IF YOU GOT TOUGH WITH CHINA ON TARIFFS, THAT BASICALLY THEY WERE GOING TO CAVE AND THERE WAS GOING TO BE A DEAL AND EVERYTHING WAS GOING TO BE GREAT AND HE COME AS OPPOSED TO EVERY OTHER PRESIDENT, WAS GOING TO RESET THE RELATIONSHIP. THAT IS NO LONGER SO CLEAR AND I GUESS MY QUESTION IS HOW LONG HAS PRESIDENT TRUMP PREPARED TO WAGE THIS TRADE WAR WITH CHINA, WHICH CLEARLY HAS COSTS TO THE AMERICAN ECONOMY AND CONSUMERS AND BUSINESSES? >> Larry: I DON'T KNOW. CAN I SUBSTITUTE TRADE NEGOTIATION FOR TRADE WERE? AFTER ALL, WE ARE TALKING, WE WILL TALK SOME MORE. >> Chris: UNDERSTAND BUT GIVE TARIFFS ON THEN, WE HAVE TARIFFS THEM. VASTLY INCREASED. IT'S NOT A NEGOTIATION. >> Larry: IT IS A NEGOTIATION AND PART OF THE NEGOTIATION IS TAKING ACTION. >> Chris: BUT ANSWER MY QUESTION. SINCE IT -- >> Larry: ONE THINGS I WANT. ONE OF THE THINGS I'VE LEARNED ON THE PRESIDENT TRUMP IS THAT TARIFFS ARE PART OF NEGOTIATION NEGOTIATIONS. AND THEY SHOW THAT WE DO MEAN BUSINESS AND WE WILL TAKE ACTION. CHRIS, AGAIN -- WE HAVE BEEN ON THE WRONG SIDE -- >> Chris: ARE YOU -- OR HOW LONG IS HE PREPARED TO CONTINUE THIS EFFORT AND KEEP THESE TARIFFS ON? >> Larry: I WOULDN'T WANT TO PUT A TIMETABLE ON IT. I WOULD JUST SAY AS HE HAS TWEETED AND HAS SAID TO US AND SAID TO THE CHINESE, WE ARE CONTINUING OUR DISCUSSIONS, THAT'S A VERY GOOD THING. NEGOTIATIONS YOU KNOW OVER TIME STOP, GO, STOP, GO. THE SPEED MAY BE PASSED TO MY FAST WITH THE SPEED MAY BE SLOW. THIS IS NOT AT ALL UNUSUAL. >> Chris: ARE YOU SUGGESTING THERE MIGHT BE A CERTAIN POINT WHERE HE GOES THIS ISN'T WORTH THE ECONOMIC COST AND POLITICAL COST AND PULLS BACK? >> Larry: I DON'T WANT TO SECOND-GUESS THAT -- I DON'T WANT TO PUT TIMETABLES, THAT'S COMPLETELY UP TO THE PRESIDENT. >> Chris: BUT YOU'RE NOT PULLING IT OUT? >> Larry: I THINK THE ECONOMIC -- THE POTENTIAL ECONOMIC GAINS OF A GOOD DEAL THAT OPENS UP CHINA, MAKES THEM LEGAL TRADE PARTNERS, THOSE GAINS ARE HUGE, SO THAT'S A COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS THAT I REALLY LIKE. POLITICALLY I THINK THE COUNTRY IS COMPLETELY BEHIND THE PRESIDENT AND HIS TOUGH APPROACH ON CHINA AND IN FACT AS YOU KNOW, LEADING DEMOCRATS SUCH AS SENATOR SCHUMER AND OTHERS HAVE SUPPORTED THE PRESIDENT IN THIS BATTLE. I THINK -- SOMETIMES YOU CAN DO THE RIGHT THING AND IN A SENSE, THIS IS A BIPARTISAN POLICY AND IT'S LONG OVERDUE. SO LET ME REPEAT MY POINT -- >> Chris: WE DON'T HAVE TIME FOR YOU TO REPEAT. >> Larry: WORTH DOING, WE HAVE TO CHANGE THE TRADING RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TWO COUNTRIES FOR THE BENEFIT OF THE UNITED STATES AND ITS WORKFORCE AND ITS RANCHERS AND FARMERS AND SO FORTH, WE HAVE TO DO THIS. THE PRESIDENT IS SPOT ON. >> Chris: LARRY, THANK YOU, THANKS FOR YOUR TIME. I MUST SAY I HOPE YOU ENJOY OUR CONVERSATIONS AS MUCH AS I DO.
B1 中級 米 緊張感の高まりとトランプ氏の中国戦略についてのラリー・クドロー氏 (Larry Kudlow on rising tensions and Trump's China strategy) 27 2 diplomat0225 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日 シェア シェア 保存 報告 動画の中の単語