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  • November 16 is in the books here on Wall Street. Here's the New York Minute

  • It's been a relatively calm day of consolidation, a slight correction from some of the trends we've seen since last week's remarkable victory for Donald Trump

  • But the winners and losers are becoming ever clearer

  • First of all, it's a victory for the little guy, the Russell 2000 Index of smaller companies hasn't beaten the Russell Top 50 Index to this extent in more than a decade

  • It's also a victory for the US and apparently a defeat for the rest of the world

  • The S&P 500 hasn't beaten FTSE's rest-of-the-world index to this extent in all the time the FTSE has been keeping its index

  • Also, it's a victory for the strong dollar

  • On a trade-weighted basis the dollar is as strong as it has been in 13 years

  • Now, a strong dollar is bad news for exporters

  • It's also bad for their earnings. Explains why smaller companies are performing better

  • But if we take a look at rate expectations, you can see that there's also now an expectation that we will get two rate rises by midsummer of next year

  • That's bad for domestic players as well

  • There are negatives here, but for the time being, people are happy to concentrate on the positives

  • And that's the New York Minute

November 16 is in the books here on Wall Street. Here's the New York Minute

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トランプの勝ち組と負け組 (Trump's Winners and Losers)

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    20000011 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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