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  • For a time, India, Asia's second-largest economy, trailed in the shadow of its faster-growing brethren.

  • First Japan, then Korea, now China, have all led the Asian growth miracle at one point or another.

  • One reason perhaps, India is not much of an exporter.

  • Its exports account for just 1.7% of world trade.

  • China's share is seven times that.

  • India, though, is on a roll recently,

  • despite a tough period of drought, inflation's under control, and the rupee has held relatively stable over the past year.

  • Another sign of rude health: the recent surge in India's oil consumption.

  • At just over 4 million barrels per day in 2015, it will soon surpass that of Japan, the world's No.3.

  • At consultants Rystad Energy expect India to be on a par with China as a major contributor to global oil demand growth this year.

  • Now though China led the way on crude consumption after the global financial crisis,

  • India's pull on oil supply has come on strong in the past couple of years.

  • And as it produces only a quarter of its needs, a lower proportion than China,

  • India needs all the oil it can get.

  • That oil goes to filling the tanks of India's rapidly expanding fleet of 2 and 4 wheel vehicles.

  • India's total vehicle fleet nearly doubled in the 7 years to 2014.

  • It's now the world's sixth-largest car market, according to the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

  • Almost all of that oil comes from OPEC

  • India's newer refineries, such as Reliance's Jamnagar in Gujarat, the world's largest refinery,

  • require a heavier crude quality which the Gulf states tend to make.

  • For now, Saudi Arabia has top share selling to India,

  • exporting nearly 1 million barrels per day.

  • Catching up quickly though is Iraq, with Venezuela and Nigeria not far behind.

  • Lurking further back though is another keen competitor, Iran.

  • For this reason, all of OPEC will hope that India's surge continues.

  • A tussle for India's trade is likely under way.

  • Iran, with its trade sanctions ending, has already begun to win some supply contracts and will probably battle hard for a greater share of India's business.

For a time, India, Asia's second-largest economy, trailed in the shadow of its faster-growing brethren.

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インドの石油への渇き|ショートビュー (India's thirst for oil | Short Vew)

  • 45 6
    Kristi Yang に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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