Name: 英国と欧州はBrexit後、どのように新たな関係を築いていくのか。 (How will Britain and Europe build a new relationship after Brexit?)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T10:39:27.000Z
Duration: 38 min 19 s
Description: VoiceTubeの動画で発音を聞きながら英語表現を覚えよう！学べる英語：

程度の副詞

Let's start by looking at what the 31st of January actually changes.

I think you and I won't really feel the changes.

But of course, the big changes that the UK is no longer a member state, it becomes 1/3 country.

That means practically it has no institutional presence in Brussels.

Diplomats will no longer be part those working groups.

But the UK does remain in the single market and Customs Union.

So actually, we are still abiding by your rules and regulations.

So it's really just a sort of a big change.

On the festive February, we can still be taken to court by the European institutions for the purposes of meetings we've got.

We've got to ask people as they leave the meeting.

I mean, this transition period was set up because you can, you realised, quite early on in the negotiations that they wouldn't have time to negotiate the divorce, said Withdraw and also their future relationships.

Okay, well, let's have an extra couple of months where the UK remains part the single market and customs union.

You're no longer in the new member, but you're still in our market, and that gives us a little bit more time of flexibility to figure out what happens next.

And the irony is, I suppose, going back to your point about we have to be trying to find out what happens from outside the room with the glass on the wars.

We probably don't have to, and we are beefing up our presence in Brussels because actually finding out what's going on is much tougher is much tougher when you're not in the room.

And I know this is something that George is written about very recently.

Actually, you know what government I think has recognized.

That actually will be much harder because it's not really just sitting in the room.

It's like walking on the way to the meeting with your neighbor, your colleagues, your other Indian diplomats Figuring out what's your government's policy position on this?

When you become 1/3 country, you're just curing the door with everyone else.

And presumably, Sam, we start trade talks straight away or not quite like that.

So no, once we have left the you, then of course, trade talks as to the future relationship can begin, but they're not going to begin straight away because the U is still developing its mandate for the negotiations on the future.

Relationship on that won't be confirmed until the end of February.

So I think, realistically speaking, we're looking for trade talks between the UK and the EU to begin in March.

And what are we learning about that mandate?

I think at least to me it's it's nothing unexpected.

K's red lines or if we don't want to betray those red line, what progress Johnson priorities are, which is.

He wants the flexibility to regulate the domestic U K market as he sees fit, and he wants to be able to strike new free trade agreements with other countries the U.

S, Australia, New Zealand, and he wants to end freedom of movement.

So in terms of the trade relationship between the U.

K and the U, the options available are very limited.

So what we're talking about is a free trade agreement at best between the U.

This is useful, but it's not going to do much to remove regulatory barriers to trade or facilitate trade and service is, for example, and it's funny, isn't it?

Is when you listen to that, you think, Why is it taking them so long to figure out their mandate?

Then if we do have a rough idea of what a basic deal could cover?

And that's because actually, different member states have different priorities when it comes to the UK on for any trade agreement with the EU does there's always a process where even internal bargaining, you know, busy and my priorities there are trade offs.

They start to sort of prioritized aesthetics on that prioritization of issues become so much more important when you when you got under you.

Because this is this is actually what they're discussing in you, sir, What do we prioritize in a short space of time?

We can do we prioritize because actually, this is the commission that really wants to prioritize talks because they want to prioritize trade in a couple of other issues.

But for some of the member states, they're saying, Well, let's just try and do everything at first and then we'll prioritize if we need to later.

But of course, this is just the normal process of the EU developing a mandate by the time it's published, or if they do publishers they might not publish the actual mandate they might publish.

The objectives linked to the mandate way have a pretty clear idea of what they want to do online and who's gonna win that battle.

The commission, all those member states, would like to try everything commission that wants to prioritize.

I mean, from the eaves perspective, they act as one right.

It isn't one player amongst 28 But of course the commission have the experience of negotiating with these trade agreements.

They would have had experience negotiating with the British team.

That withdrawal agreement on there is a sense when you speak to people in Brussels that over in the UK they also want to leave everything on the table.

They don't want to prioritize those issues.

So I think it's really difficult to know who is going to be leading who's going to win that battle?

Because actually, we have a sense of what some member states priorities, but we don't know everything, so it's really did so If I was just too put it, look into my eyes What the Fortune teller's crystal ball, Crystal Ball, Yes device to look into it with a digital one.

These guys looking to my digital crystal ball that's linked up by five feet of my fridge or something like that.

I would say What what do I expect from the next year, first half of the year?

Once this discussion gets going, we know the EU's going to want to talk about fishing straightaway.

They want to get something resolved on that by the first of July.

We know that there's going to be some arguments about the preconditions that you is going to place on a free trade agreement on negotiating free trading room with the UK So these the controversial issues around the UK remaining aligned on state aid and also committing not to roll back on you labor and environmental protection.

So I think this first half of the year we're going to get a lot of chest beating.

I don't actually expect substantive negotiations toe happen until the order.

There's a funny old contradiction in the middle of all of that, isn't it that Europe says you can only walk through the door towards a bare bones free trade agreement if you promise not to massively expand the statement state funding or to deregulate it in the other direction?

But that's, I think, because you is more than just a market, it's, you know, if you want to think of it differently, it's a regulatory superpower.

So when you talk to people in Brussels, they say that we know that the UK wants so much.

Otherwise, why would vote to leave the single market in Customs union?

It's how you manage that diversions and it's how you prevent, you know, our businesses from facing an unfair competitive advantage of how much do they think we really want to divert?

Because I don't remember it being a massive part of the 2016 debate or even the general election that we just had.

So when it comes to diverging in terms of, say, working directive rules that govern the labor market environment.

So to be honest, that's labor and environment they're a bit concerned about but not overly concerned about, and you can see it in terms of prioritization.

So what they're asking for in labor and environment is for us to commit not to remove any legislation, not toe roll back.

But the thing that really worried about this state aid so they're worried that because Brexit, as they view it, is going to be bad for the U.

K economy, they recognize that the government's going to be tempted to step in to try and make up for the investment the private investment shortfall on.

They're worried they'll do so by pouring a lot of cash into industries bribing industries to move to the U.

This wasn't up somewhere on this was difficult initially of mania, Corbin based concern.

But obviously the rhetoric around the new Johnson government has also been one that's a bit more free spending the talk and this is what they're concerned about.

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英国と欧州はBrexit後、どのように新たな関係を築いていくのか。 (How will Britain and Europe build a new relationship after Brexit?)

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