Name: 次の流行に備えて｜健康未来サミット (Preparing for the Next Epidemic | Healthy Futures Summit)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T09:26:04.000Z
Duration: 1 h 21 min 21 s
Description: VoiceTubeの動画で発音を聞きながら英語表現を覚えよう！学べる英語：

程度の副詞

so welcome back, everyone from what I'm sure was a very enriching afternoon.

We're very excited about this final keynote session.

It's entitled Preparing for the next Epidemic.

Um, we have speakers Dr Jim Needn, Dr Michael Foster home and Dr Sonya Rasmus in I'm an infectious disease of a genealogist.

So I'm probably biased, but these are the real heavy hitters in the field.

So we're really excited about this panel.

These air literally the folks that CDC has on speed dial when they're trying to deal with anti microbial resistance or outbreaks of Zika and Ebola.

Um, this session will be moderated by Dr Susan Klein.

She is head of the division of our She is in the division of infectious diseases at the School of Medicine and is no less a giant in her field of health care associated infections, particularly in identifying novel devices and practices to prevent these infections.

Please join me in welcoming these experts to the stage.

So I just wanted to tell you a little bit more about myself and then introduce the speakers and tell you what sort of format will be using today.

So I am an infectious disease physician at the University of Minnesota Medical School.

And I do practice in the medical center in clinic that I'm also the hospital epidemiologist, and I am actually an alumni of this school of public health.

I did get the master's in public health and epidemiology, so I use that stuff and, um so today I just wanted to let you know that what we're gonna do is have the three speakers come up individually and give some background.

They're gonna be talking about epidemics that we've been dealing with in the recent past and then talking about looking into the future and preparing for future epidemics.

And then after they beach had a chance to give some background, we're gonna have some moderated discussion between the speakers, and then we're gonna welcome questions from the audience.

So I want you to start thinking about your questions, and there should be some cards on your tables you can write questions on, and they'll be someone coming through the audience to pick up cards.

And if you want to ask you questions directly, there will be someone coming through the audience with a microphone and So now I just want to briefly tell you about our three speakers.

Jim Needn is, Ah, professor of biostatistics in the School of Public Health here at the University of Minnesota, and he's really an expert in design conduct, an analysis of clinical trials.

And he's, um, I've done a lot of really important work related to clinical trials internationally with HIV treatment.

And then, most recently, he's been very involved with response to the Ebola outbreaks in Africa, in particular working on vaccine trials.

Michael Osterholm is the region's professor in the division Environmental Health Sciences, and he has done really, ah lot of work over his career.

Initially at the Minnesota Department of Health as state epidemiologist and then since joining the School of Public Health here, he's been very active not only locally, but nationally and internationally, and has served on advisory boards for biosecurity.

So he'll be starting off our session, and then our last speaker will be Sonja Rasmussen and Dr Rasmussen is a professor in the Department of Pediatrics and Epidemiology College of Medicine in the school of public health and health professions at the University of Florida.

And Dr Rasmussen recently joined the University of Florida faculty after spending 20 years at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta.

And while there she provided significant scientific expertise and leadership dealing with birth defects.

Developmental disabilities associate director for science senior scientist.

She worked on the 2009 H one n one Pandemic and then most recently worked on the Zika outbreak.

So, no, I'm going to ask Dr Auster home to come up to start off the session.

Thank you, Sue in good afternoon to all of you.

It's a true honor to be here today and celebrating the 75th anniversary.

It does give me pause that we're hitting 75.

I actually is one of the co chairs, the 50th anniversary celebration 25 years ago, and I don't know where the 25 years went so and this march, my 45th year being at school public health.

So it's a wonderful experience to be here today, so my job is to kind of provide a quick overview of what we're talking about today where we're going.

Let me just say that my life is a calculus equation, I can tell you that probably more has happened in infectious diseases in the last 10 years and happen in the 1st 35 years of my career, and it's getting faster and faster and fashion to now Try to reflect that because that's the world that we respond to.

That's the world that we live in and have to deal with.

This slide is one of about 80,000 slides of having electronic slide file, and I've said over and over again, even though it's an older slide.

If I had one slide to protect in a slide file fire, this is the one I'd rescue.

It basically was come from the 2000 time period, but it gives you a sense of the dynamics of the world today.

In 18 50 we had roughly 350,000 people in the face of the earth, 350 million people in the face of the earth, and today we're at 7.8 billion people.

That's a remarkable concept to think of how the world has changed in terms of days to circumnavigate the globe with the fast sailing vessels.

We sped that up a bit in the 18 fifties, but by 1950 with the jet engine, we change that completely.

Now that line looks pretty flat from 1950 on.

I will suggest, you know, right now that that's the most incredibly dynamic part of the entire graph, and I'll share with you today.

Why that's important with infectious diseases.

I might also add in this graph this is public health at its finest.

Just remember that in 1900 average life expectancy in this country was 45 years grand.

Today, the average life expectancy is 78 years, a little again and not doing quite as well as women.

For every three and 1/2 days we've lived in the last century, we've gained one day of life expectancy.

It took us from 80,000 generations in the caves to get to 45 years.

We're gonna hear about this and we talk about Ebola.

But today the fastest growing region of the world is not Asia.

Actually central Africa, Kinshasa today, 13.8 million people in for the other cities in the DRC over a 1,000,000.

I was in contrast, in 1985 working on HIV.

I can tell you at that time in the population was 2.8 million people.

Look at the difference shoes since 1985 six 0.5 billion people A 1,000,000 people live in Kinshasa in some of the worst squalor you could imagine in terms of the kind of living conditions.

And I'm sure that in a minute a big challenge.

You can see whether the Legos night in a row, b down the line.

All of these, in fact Monrovia, Freetown in Conakry, the three capital cities of West Africa where the Ebola epidemic took off in 2014.

If you look at the 4.2 million combined population was just a gas can waiting for Ebola match to hit it Kinshasa's or gas tank waiting for a table, a match to hit it.

If you've ever been there, you will never forget it.

It's incredible conditions for which lack of sewage, lack of city planning, etcetera is a cold room for the development and the spread of infectious diseases.

And if we wanna worry about Ken Bugs move, I've always said a a germ anywhere in the world today could be everywhere tomorrow.

In 18 2004.1 billion international domestic air passengers flew somewhere between Point A and Point B.

That was 39.4 million flights, an average of about 100 and 8000 flights per day, where anyone time, about 4800 planes were in the air, going from somewhere to somewhere.

Think how that mixes up all the potential or infectious agents that we could imagine very different than that fast sailing vessel.

I showed you where it was at a moment ago.

366 132 million individuals represent about 18.6% of all passengers worldwide, and China was next 550 million.

The bottom line is we are a big mixing vessel today, unlike it any time in history that adds complexity to infectious diseases.

This slide, which who I took this morning every hour on the hour All 63,000 fast sailing vessels in the world are basic warehouses for all the goods that we use every day report their location and weather conditions.

You can tell where hurricanes are coming typhoons, et cetera.

These fans sailing vessels like this one right here are now the new modern warehouse of manufacturing from around the world.

Just to give you some sense of the size of these, this particular ship right here can hold one million washing machines on his trip from Seoul to Long Beach, California gives you a sense of the dynamics.

Well, this is also a challenge for us today from an infectious disease perspective in particular because you're going to see in a minute we need a lot of things from around the world to deal with our jobs every day.

This is an area that I think is by far the one of the biggest crisis is were yet to face.

Were now involved with the study supported by the Walton Family Foundation.

This has been something near and dear to my heart, and I wrote about in my book several years ago, they published Is the absence of critical acute care drugs when we need them?

It turns out that we brought together a group and defined What is the high likelihood that people will die within eight hours out this drug or cannot provide humane care without this drug or an alternative?

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次の流行に備えて｜健康未来サミット (Preparing for the Next Epidemic | Healthy Futures Summit)

pandemic

basically

potentially

epidemic