Name: 本当の金価格のラリーはまだ始まってもいない、と1,500ドルと呼んだアナリストは言う (The real gold price rally hasn’t even started yet, says analyst who called $1,500)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T09:20:54.000Z
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I'm happy to have him as part of our outlook.

Tucker, editor for Strategic Investor, also the director for Metallica.

We have a lot of ground to cover here today.

But, you know, when you were on in January when we were on in September, you've been dead on with your gold calls.

You're one of the future to say gold was gonna hit 1500 back in January when people have given up on the metal a cz part of our outlook as we head into 2020.

Well, a year ago, when we sat down, gold was 12 33.

So that's had about an 18 and 1/2 percent year.

And I think people still aren't paying any attention, which is good for gold. 00:00:59.150 --> 00:01:5.330  Bucks and Silvers had a similar year about 18% as well And so we think the rally's not even started. 00:01:5.330 --> 00:01:10.110  I mean what you saw this year we predicted is just an indication that it's time to take things seriously.

Well, you had said that there was no serious money coming into golden.

In fact, that has been the case, of course, not counting billionaires like like Ray Dalio, but he be on the other side of the equation.

We have central banks, you know, Russia, adding to their reserves.

We have Poland who wants to repatriate their gold, you know, Shouldn't this be making an impact on the gold price?

There's sister banks buying gold, and then 60% of central banks are easing monetary policy.

You know, when the longest expansion we've ever had, 60% are.

Let's just call it what it is, creating new money and extra money to keep their economies from stalling.

So if they're buying gold with one hand and creating more money with the other hand, what does that tell you you should be doing? 00:01:54.800 --> 00:02:1.290  We can't create more money for ourselves, but we can certainly think I think people reading between the lines see it as well. 00:02:1.290 --> 00:02:7.150  If Russia's adding or news other countries are adding, they're preparing for you know, financial crisis. 00:02:7.630 --> 00:02:10.500  I don't know that gold is as much a crisis antidote is.

People think it's za popular thing, and I get this all the time at dinner parties after they're done laughing at me for being interesting gold, which is a good indication where small groups a good indication that you should be interested in things that people when people disparage you when you say you're interested in them.

I bought a lot of real estate in 2009 and 10 and people laughed at me then as well, they said, Don't you get the newspaper?

And don't you know that there's been a crash?

So when people treat you that way, it's an indication that you're on to something there, comfortable when everyone accepts where things were going.

But when everyone accepts where things were going, usually they're wrong headed off a cliff.

So so anyway, So after that, people then say, Well, yeah, it's only good for a crisis.

So if you look back, the Fed's balance sheet was Adir 1,000,000,000 for a long time 2005. 00:02:53.140 --> 00:03:0.210  Then all of a sudden it goes to 2.2 trillion in 2008 and then it goes toe four and 1/2 trillion by 2014. 00:03:0.470 --> 00:03:3.850  I want you to think back to when we set down a year ago what was going on. 00:03:3.850 --> 00:03:4.900  Everyone forgot about this. 00:03:4.900 --> 00:03:10.460  But Powell was considered a blockhead for withdrawing just a tiny bit of money from the U.

That's all over there now, increasing the balance sheet against you know, we're back over four trillion.

What are your thoughts on the Fed injecting liquidity into the banking system via repose?

Well, it's It's a way to stave off tension.

So I mean, you have tension, there's problems.

I mean, you can't just endlessly create money and have good times.

You can't have a party for the weekend and your party all week, and you're still partying the next weekend in a month later, and a year later doesn't work that way.

Like at some point, you have to settle down, and that's not gonna be allowed to happen in the U.

People need to understand this, and so what's gonna happen is they're going to stave off any pain.

I need this to happen so that so it's It's a comfortable when there's pain in the mass of society, people very upset. 00:03:59.830 --> 00:04:5.690  So so there's there's, there's complicity, support with the political class and the central banks. 00:04:5.690 --> 00:04:6.920  You never seen this before. 00:04:6.930 --> 00:04:11.460  If you go back 30 years ago, Central Bank wasn't making all these statements and talking everywhere.

It's never gonna be something that we go away from.

And so people need to realize that gold, it's not about protecting it is not gonna be a market crash.

Is that a good thing, in your opinion that you're saying you've never seen this before?

Central banks, being vocal presidents, being vocal about the central bank?

If this is the new trend, is that a positive or negative?

I don't I don't see things that I don't look at things this way in life because if you say something's good implies the other things bad, it's not.

It's not the case, so you just look at what is that's that's what you want to do with your money if you wanna look at what is.

The next couple years were calling for gold to take out its old high next year.

Okay, so it's 1900 roughly in the spot market, so we think it will take that out, and we feel really confident about that. 00:04:57.160 --> 00:05:4.060  So let's build the story around because a lot of analysts I've spoken to have said, Look, things are just too com now for Golden. 00:05:4.060 --> 00:05:7.170  I know you're saying, Well, it's not so much tied to a fear trade. 00:05:7.340 --> 00:05:11.390  But, you know, there seems to be less tension here between China.

They would say that when when things were heating up, that's when gold took off.

Less talk of a recession said the economy seemed to be positive.

May early June is when gold tipped okay and started taking off what was happening then Gold was anticipating the repo problems.

I don't know how this happens, but it always sniffs out a problem before it happens, and that's what was going on.

You know, you're increasing the size of the monetary base and it's never going to go down.

And so you, when you think about it, when you look back to to what happened in the last 10 years, you know gold is actually lagging gold gold will.

It's not a way to speculate and make a big profit.

It's wealth insurance. 00:05:57.510 --> 00:06:0.050  You want to maintain standing by having gold. 00:06:0.220 --> 00:06:3.530  You go all the way back into the to the nineties, and the money supply was much smaller. 00:06:3.660 --> 00:06:6.460  It's about kept up with the pace of monitoring. 00:06:6.600 --> 00:06:7.360  So so what? 00:06:7.370 --> 00:06:14.770  You know, if I have to ask you to build the story around gold taking out its old highs next year, you know, what are you seeing?

You're gonna see lower interest rates in 10 years.

A year ago it was 2.9 eight's, almost 3%.

So what's gonna happen fast forward 10 years from now, you're gonna look back and what you're gonna know 10 years from now is that the grand plan was to keep nominal GDP growth stable and too slowly erode the power of your purchasing power of your money.

And it's gonna it's going to work and it's in.

And I've heard this from them from It's politically necessary to do this because it keeps people unaware of what's really happening. 00:06:58.190 --> 00:07:0.090  Okay, it's the easier, softer way. 00:07:0.250 --> 00:07:3.100  So do you think that gold is prevented from going higher? 00:07:3.420 --> 00:07:3.980  No, I don't. 00:07:3.980 --> 00:07:5.570  I don't I don't think that's the case. 00:07:5.570 --> 00:07:8.610  And even if it is, then I see this A positive subsidy. 00:07:8.620 --> 00:07:14.290  If Luton purses were held down by 40% we wouldn't be complaining about it.

We were shopping right now you're putting out a blockbuster newsletter this week where you basically, you know, say you're native.

So give us a sneak peek of what you're liking for 2020.

I think people should give up talking about the crash.

You know, we think people should should step back from just investing in index funds, you know, We think there's some value stocks that air.

They're just amazing deals right now and people they've lagged for 10 years, and we think that that that'll change. 00:07:47.530 --> 00:08:5.820  But the reason why we put this newsletter out because we tell people it's not just about calling a specific price for something you know, tear a card reader, you know what you're trying to do is to find the direction because the real power in the financial markets is understanding where the stream is going and then floating in the stream, right? 00:08:5.820 --> 00:08:12.740  I mean, you don't want a paddle upstream, you know you want to go down the stream with the power of the river, and you could just make a fortune that way.

But most people, they never stop and say where each of these markets headed.

As far as we're concerned, because you look at the gold silver ratio 86 86 years.

Yeah, I mean, it doesn't make any sense, you know.

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本当の金価格のラリーはまだ始まってもいない、と1,500ドルと呼んだアナリストは言う (The real gold price rally hasn’t even started yet, says analyst who called $1,500)

panic

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