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  • The financial markets are sick.

  • The coronavirus that originated in China

  • is now dominating every asset class in the world.

  • So how bad is it?

  • Well, I can't sugarcoat this one for you.

  • It's serious.

  • This has been the worst week for global stocks

  • since the financial crisis of 2008.

  • The S&P 500, the main US benchmark of stocks,

  • has fallen by 10 per cent in just a few days

  • to mark its fastest correction since the Great Depression.

  • In Europe and the UK, if anything, it's even worse.

  • This was definitely not on investors' radars

  • at the start of this year.

  • Broadly speaking, investors figured that 2020

  • was going to be, well, meh.

  • Nothing spectacular, but nothing awful either.

  • Trade tensions between the US and China had simmered down.

  • Global growth looked OK, all pretty humdrum.

  • In early January, the virus started

  • getting more coverage and attention,

  • but again, the thinking was that it would

  • be contained within China.

  • And looking back at previous epidemics like Sars,

  • any damage to markets would likely prove fleeting.

  • Factory shutdowns were expected to be brief.

  • Investors were talking about how to profit

  • from a speedy bounceback.

  • The turning point came when the virus hit Italy.

  • 10 towns were quarantined.

  • Big events were cancelled.

  • Manufacturing was disrupted.

  • The illness started hitting ski resorts.

  • And suddenly, for money managers in London and New York,

  • this all felt closer to home.

  • The market started tumbling in earnest.

  • The White House was clear.

  • Buy the dip, officials said.

  • Investors are not listening.

  • Money managers are not reacting to the human cost

  • of this outbreak, dreadful though it is.

  • Instead, this is about companies' supply chains,

  • about factories being unable to operate, about bankruptcies,

  • about planes not flying.

  • Maybe this is no more serious an illness than the seasonal flu.

  • Maybe.

  • But seasonal flu does not ground aircraft.

  • This is a big risk to growth.

  • Europe's leisure and travel stocks

  • are putting in their worst performance since 9/11.

  • The fear is evident not just in the stock markets.

  • The bond markets are on fire.

  • Government bonds are always in high demand

  • when the going gets tough.

  • And right now, US bonds are at a record high with 10-year yields

  • well under 1.2 per cent.

  • It's hard to overstate how extreme that is.

  • The really scary bit for investors - how do we fix this?

  • The usual medicine to market wobbles,

  • interest rate cuts from central banks,

  • is unlikely to do the trick, although investors

  • are anticipating them.

  • It all goes to show how brutal a shakeout can be when it pierces

  • through the anaesthetic of a decade of central bank support.

  • Fear is the new greed.

The financial markets are sick.

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