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  • The UK Labour party has ambushed the telecoms sector.

  • It wants to renationalise parts of BT

  • and offer free broadband for all by 2030.

  • The move has played well in an election weighed down

  • by Brexit, but it has caused panic in the telecoms industry.

  • What are the implications of this radical move,

  • and do companies have a future if a government-owned telecoms

  • company gives away the industry's main product -

  • connectivity - for free?

  • Boris Johnson has promised to connect every home

  • to a full-fibre line by 2025, driven by a £5bn subsidy

  • and a regulatory shake-up.

  • Jeremy Corbyn has gone much further, with a plan

  • to nationalise BT's Openreach.

  • Labour wants to take the business,

  • effectively an infrastructure asset, in house.

  • A Labour government will make broadband free for everybody.

  • It sounds radical, but many telecoms companies

  • are seen as break-up targets.

  • It could be argued that Labour is stealing a march

  • on the pension funds and private equity companies that would no

  • doubt pounce on Openreach if a split happened.

  • The UK's position in the international full-fibre league

  • tables is poor.

  • A paltry 8 per cent of homes and businesses

  • can connect to a full-fibre line.

  • In Japan and Singapore, it's almost universal.

  • And in Spain and Portugal, the ratio is over 70 per cent.

  • But the UK full-fibre ratio has doubled

  • in the space of two years and will speed up

  • as Openreach gets slicker.

  • Virgin Media is also set to upgrade its network

  • to gigabit speeds by 2021.

  • But millions suffer patchy or poor services.

  • And the question is whether to stimulate the market with more

  • subsidy, or would a government-owned network

  • do a better job?

  • One issue is what it'll cost the taxpayer.

  • John McDonnell has set a price of £20bn to roll out fibre,

  • on top of the billions needed to buy Openreach out of BT.

  • This plan has been derided by the industry.

  • The National Infrastructure Commission says it'll cost

  • £33bn to roll out full fibre.

  • And BT has argued that the cost could be much higher than that,

  • at almost £100bn pounds.

  • The cost of running the network has also been highlighted.

  • Labour says it'll generate cash from taxing multinationals

  • and has allocated around £234m a year to run Openreach,

  • despite Openreach's current cost base being 10 times higher than

  • that.

  • The real controversy in the Labour plan is, however,

  • the broadband giveaway.

  • The UK is one of the most vibrant telecoms markets

  • in the world, and giving away the product for free will wipe

  • out many companies and pose huge questions for the future

  • of foreign investment in Britain,

  • with billions already spent on fibre networks to compete with

  • BT.

  • Work and funding on new fibre lines across the sector

  • screeched to a halt after Labour's announcement.

  • BT admits that free broadband sounds

  • like an appealing concept, perhaps even a vote winner,

  • but it would have dire consequences

  • for the competitive market.

  • Back in 2009, Australia's Labour government drew up a plan

  • to fibre up the country on the back of a beer mat on a plane.

  • The NBN was born, as politicians dreamed of a Down

  • Under digital paradise.

  • But the plan ran aground as costs ballooned,

  • and full fibre became part fibre to save money.

  • NBN is now almost complete, with more than A$50bn of government

  • funds spent.

  • But speeds are still yet to pass those of the slowcoach UK.

  • The arguments about the benefits of radical government

  • intervention are broadly similar to those made in Australia

  • a decade ago.

  • Broadband is rubbish.

  • It's too expensive.

  • The market has failed.

  • Something needs to be done.

  • But sometimes you've got to be careful what you wish for.

The UK Labour party has ambushed the telecoms sector.

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労働党のブロードバンド・ギブアーウェイが通信部門にとって何を意味するか|FT (What Labour's broadband giveaway means for the telecoms sector | FT)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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