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  • - Hey guys, this is Austin and today at E3,

  • well we're getting something a little bit

  • different than what I expected.

  • Of course there's the standard booths from Sony,

  • from Microsoft, from Nintendo and there's all

  • the new games that you would expect.

  • What I did not expect is talk about

  • the next generation of consoles.

  • It has been a full five years since the PlayStation 4

  • and Xbox One were launched here at E3 2013.

  • Now there've been a lot of things

  • that have changed since then.

  • Both consoles have seen a slim revision,

  • we've seen stuff like the PlayStation VR on the Sony side

  • as well as the death of Kinect on the Microsoft side.

  • But really one of the most important changes over the last

  • few years has been the addition of the mid-cycle console

  • refreshes, that's not a great way of putting that but we've

  • got an Xbox One X and a PlayStation 4 Pro now.

  • Now sure there have been improved consoles in the past,

  • stuff like the Sega 32X add on for the Genesis

  • or the Nintendo 64 expansion pack are cool

  • but they don't come anywhere close to this same

  • sort of level of functionality and extra performance

  • that we've gotten out of the One X and the PS4 Pro.

  • That led a lot of people, myself included,

  • to assume that this current generation of consoles

  • that have quite a bit of life left.

  • However, here at E3 the next generation has actually

  • been mentioned a couple times already.

  • It started on Sunday night with the Bethesda conference

  • where they showed off not only one but two brand new

  • IPs that are meant for next gen.

  • So they very briefly teased The Elder Scrolls VI which

  • was really just a tiny, little trailer but more

  • impressively they also talked about Starfield.

  • - We have also been working on a brand new

  • next generation single player game.

  • - Now the trailer for Starfield didn't exactly

  • give us a ton of game play but what it did do is show

  • off a game that as far as I know is going

  • to be meant only for the next generation.

  • So that's actually sort of not really what I was expecting

  • out of this E3, sure there are going to be of course

  • new consoles at some point in the future but the idea

  • the developers are already showing off games that are meant

  • to be running on that means that it can't be that far off.

  • Or can it?

  • Unless Bethesda is in the business of teasing a game

  • that won't be out for four or five years,

  • which I guess I can't actually rule out,

  • odds are we are going to be able to see the next generation

  • consoles in two or three years and that was further backed

  • up by what Microsoft said on stage on their event on Sunday.

  • - [Phil] The same team that delivered unprecedented

  • performance with Xbox One X is deep

  • into architecting the next Xbox consoles.

  • - Now Phil Spencer didn't just say there's going

  • to be a new Xbox, he said that there were going

  • to be new Xboxes, as in like plural.

  • Not only is this going to be a pretty smart marketing

  • move to get people talking about the next generation

  • of Xbox but this combined with the fact that Microsoft

  • is actually purchasing several major studios to sort

  • of juice up the Xbox game development means

  • that they're actually doing a good job of putting

  • a lot of resources, a lot of money, and more importantly

  • a lot of hype behind the next generation.

  • Still though it's really interesting to think that a year

  • ago at E3 they were talking about the Xbox One X

  • and how it was about to come out and now they've already

  • moved on to the next generation.

  • The rumor mill has gone into

  • overdrive since the announcement.

  • So supposedly Microsoft is working on code name Scarlett

  • which is the series of next generation Xboxes.

  • Now what these actually will look like is kind of hard

  • to say but we can take some educated guesses.

  • On the other hand, it seems like Sony is perfectly

  • content to ride out their sales lead

  • with the PlayStation 4 for a little while.

  • So in our recent interview with The Wall Street Journal,

  • the head of PlayStation, John Kodera,

  • was quoted as saying that the next PlayStation

  • is three years away which would put it in 2021.

  • So not exactly around the corner but it is very clear

  • at this point that both Sony and Microsoft are well

  • under way developing the next generation of consoles.

  • The real question is,

  • what do those consoles actually look like?

  • So if you look at the current generation of consoles,

  • they are both based on very, very similar tech.

  • So both the PS4 and Xbox One have an eight core AMD Jaguar

  • based CPU as well as Radeon graphics.

  • Sure there are some key differences.

  • So not only does the PS4 utilize the much faster GDDR5

  • memory, something that's also shared now with the One X

  • but the PS4 also does have a more powerful GPU.

  • However, at their core they are sharing

  • the exact same AMD based fundamentals.

  • The same holds true for the enhanced

  • versions of the consoles.

  • So both the PS4 Pro and Xbox One X are using very

  • similar layouts but with more memory bandwidth,

  • bigger GPUs and higher clock speeds.

  • So realistically what we're looking at

  • is another x86 processor that is very likely

  • going to be based on AMD tech.

  • So sure there are lots of other options.

  • I'll get into those in just a minute but I think the main

  • take away here is that by sticking with x86,

  • not only do you keep backwards compatibility

  • with previous generation games, something important

  • for both the One and the PS4, but importantly it also

  • makes developers lives much easier when it

  • comes to porting games from the PC.

  • Now backwards compatibility is something

  • that the Xbox already does really well.

  • So not only does the Xbox One support original Xbox games

  • and quite a few Xbox 360 titles but when you bump up

  • to the One X you're actually able to play some of those

  • games in a full 4K which is impressive considering

  • this all happened with emulation.

  • If you have the very, very similar sort

  • of features set and sort of similar hardware

  • in the next generation of consoles,

  • that makes all of this even easier to keep up to date.

  • You can imagine the next generation of Xbox having full

  • backwards compatibility and that being a huge selling point.

  • Sure you can still go buy an Xbox One but why bother

  • when you can play an Xbox Two that will play

  • all of the same games and then some.

  • Right now, the only company that can deliver

  • an experience like this is the same one

  • that did it on the last generation, AMD.

  • So of course they have modern GPU tech

  • and especially in the next couple years

  • you can imagine that you're only going to be able

  • to get access to better and better stuff.

  • But almost more importantly than that,

  • they also have some new high end x86 CPU cores.

  • So with the current generation using the very slow

  • mobile focus Jaguar cores, I can easily imagine

  • a scenario in which the next generation consoles

  • are going to be using AMD Ryzen.

  • Especially if we really are a couple of years away

  • from the next generation of consoles,

  • it's very easy to imagine a full eight core

  • Ryzen CPU set up inside a console APU.

  • There are already some whispers that Ryzen tech

  • is being implemented in the next gen of consoles.

  • So supposedly with the Sony software

  • that they're using on the PS4 and presumably PS5,

  • there is now going to be support for the timings

  • of the first generation Ryzen processors.

  • Now that's cool but it's maybe not the most exciting option.

  • Take one look at the Nintendo Switch and you can see

  • that the next generation can take several forms.

  • Now sure this is not going to be as powerful as something

  • like the PS4 or Xbox One but the portability really does

  • unlock it to be something that is very, very different.

  • Because Nintendo opted for a mobile focus processor

  • with the Nvidia Tegra X1, not only are you going to be

  • getting ARM CPUs which are typically shared with phones

  • and tablets but importantly, you're also still getting

  • a high end solution within video graphics.

  • Again, nothing that's going to be quite

  • as powerful as something like the current generation

  • of consoles but at the end of the day

  • graphics definitely aren't everything.

  • Sure, the Switch delivers a decent chunk of the performance

  • of the current generation consoles at a fraction

  • of the power budget but I don't think that means

  • it's going to be a good fit to go for this approach

  • for the PlayStation 5 as well as the Xbox Two.

  • Not only has Nvidia taken the Tegra line of processors

  • in a much more automotive focused area,

  • mostly because they make a lot of money there

  • but even with a couple years of upgrades

  • and sort of performance improvements,

  • you really can't still expect a mobile processor

  • to come anywhere close to the level of something

  • like the PlayStation 4 Pro or the Xbox One X.

  • Now sure at some point we might see a mobile PlayStation

  • or a mobile Xbox but I don't think that is going to be

  • what the proper next generation of consoles looks like.

  • On the other hand we have Intel.

  • Now sure they do have the CPU technology and they are

  • working on dedicated graphics but that's going to be

  • several years away and it is doubtful that they're

  • going to waste all those resources on trying to put

  • together some bespoke version of a console APU.

  • Now, yes there are lots of possibilities

  • but I think the smart money is definitely on another

  • fully AMD solution for both the PS5 as well as the Xbox Two.

  • I think it's very likely that Sony is telling the truth.

  • Well we'll probably see a glimpse of the PlayStation 5

  • a little bit earlier, it will likely go on sale in 2021.

  • Microsoft is more exciting.

  • The Xbox has been beaten and beaten badly this generation.

  • Now sure they've made some major strides in the last

  • couple years with stuff like backwards compatibility

  • as well as the Xbox One X but at the end of the day

  • most estimates put the PlayStation 4 out selling

  • the One roughly two to one and that is not easy to overcome.

  • My best bet is we're going to see the next

  • generation of Xbox at the next year's E3.

  • Now that would give us an early look at something

  • that would probably be launching in 2020.

  • A full year ahead of the PlayStation 5

  • if everything goes according to plan.

  • And by according to plan, I mean the plan

  • that I just totally made up on my head,

  • that is only vaguely substantiated with real rumors

  • and speculation but it sounds good so.

  • So between next gen Ryzen tech and stuff like game

  • streaming which is only going to be more and more

  • popular, I do think there's a lot of interesting

  • stuff that we're going to see over the next

  • couple years for the new consoles.

  • So I'm curious, what do you guys think about what you

  • expect to find in the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Two?

  • Let me know in the comments below

  • and I will catch you in the next one.

- Hey guys, this is Austin and today at E3,

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PS5とXbox 2の話をしよう (Let's Talk About the PS5 and Xbox 2)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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