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  • In 1954, Ann Hodges was hit by a meteorite.

  • "What time of the day was it?"

  • "It was 12:45."

  • "12:45."

  • "And this comes through the roof and hits you."

  • She was napping,

  • when the rock crashed through her ceiling

  • and bounced off the radio into her stomach.

  • Because it was small, her injuries were minor.

  • "The first person ever to be hit by a meteorite.

  • Imagine that."

  • But much bigger objects have collided with Earth.

  • 65 million years ago,

  • a rock ten kilometers wide

  • slammed into the Gulf of Mexico.

  • An event that likely caused dinosaurs

  • to go extinct.

  • Elsewhere, mammoth meteorites have been discovered

  • everywhere from The US

  • to Russia,

  • and blasted craters in North America,

  • Australia,

  • and Africa.

  • Falling objects from the sky

  • have always fascinated humans,

  • but they have also made us fearful,

  • making us wonder whether someday

  • a giant asteroid

  • could come for us.

  • "Run!"

  • In movies like Deep Impact and Armageddon

  • those fears are played out.

  • [clock ticking]

  • "One minute!"

  • And heroes save the day.

  • "We all gotta die right?

  • I'm the guy who gets to do it saving the world."

  • "YEAHHHH!"

  • You might think this only happens in Hollywood,

  • but that’s not exactly true.

  • There is a small chance, a

  • of a large asteroid hitting Earth.

  • So scientists are getting ready,

  • just in case.

  • "Asteroids" are hunks of rock

  • that weren't big enough to become planets

  • when the solar system formed.

  • Smaller asteroids are called "meteoroids"

  • and when they fall through Earth’s atmosphere

  • they become "meteors".

  • If they make it to the surface,

  • they are called "meteorites".

  • Between 1988 and 2017,

  • NASA counted over 700 fireballs

  • created by objects entering our atmosphere.

  • In order to detect asteroids,

  • NASA takes multiple pictures of the night sky

  • and uses computers to scan for moving objects.

  • As Earth orbits,

  • scientists make several observations

  • from different locations

  • to detect how close the asteroids are to Earth.

  • Here, the nearest objects are labelled in green.

  • At least 16,000 of them

  • have been classified asnear-Earth”,

  • meaning they orbit within roughly a third

  • of the distance from the Sun.

  • And based on the object’s speed and brightness,

  • scientists can map a trajectory

  • to predict whether it will collide with Earth.

  • The impact energy of a 10-meter object,

  • just a little smaller than a school bus,

  • would be 100 kilotons.

  • But the larger the object,

  • the nastier the impact.

  • A meteorite just a little larger

  • than The Great Pyramid at Giza,

  • at about 150 meters,

  • would generate 288 megatons of energy.

  • For reference,

  • the number of megatons in the payload of the

  • Castle Bravo hydrogen bomb

  • was only 15.

  • But asteroids don’t need to hit Earth to cause damage.

  • In 2013, a 17-meter-wide meteor

  • exploded over Chelyabinsk, Russia

  • before it ever reached the ground

  • and the resulting shockwave

  • released about 440 kilotons of energy

  • that damaged structures and injured over 1,500 people.

  • Following that event in Russia,

  • US politicians called on NASA

  • to ask about the threat of future collisions.

  • "I said, 'If we saw one coming toward Omaha,

  • what could we they about it?'

  • [Scientists] said they could use a laser."

  • "First of all, it would not be practical

  • to have a laser powerful enough to split it in half."

  • Their questions sounded like

  • plot lines for a new blockbuster,

  • but their ideas weren’t actually that far off.

  • "How far inland could a

  • reasonably sized asteroid

  • make water come in?"

  • Scientists have analyzed

  • how asteroid impacts would kill people

  • and getting hit by the "ejecta",

  • meaning space rock and other debris it kicks up,

  • is one of the least likely ways to die.

  • The most lethal cause is

  • violent wind generated by the impact blast,

  • followed by scorching heat,

  • and massive tsunamis.

  • "The odds of a near-Earth object strike

  • causing massive casualties

  • and destruction of infrastructure

  • are very small,

  • but the potential consequences are so large

  • that it makes sense to take the risk seriously."

  • "All agents are go."

  • In Armageddon, annihilation is avoided

  • by nuking the killer asteroid.

  • But in real life, our ability to prevent impact

  • depends on how big it is and when we detect it.

  • A 140-meter-wide space rock

  • is large enough to destroy a city

  • and if it were on a path to collide with Earth

  • in less than a year,

  • the only thing to do would be

  • evacuate the impact zone.

  • But if we are lucky enough

  • to spot an asteroid seven to ten years out,

  • NASA would have enough time

  • to try deflecting the object,

  • which they could do a number of ways.

  • First, NASA could launch a spacecraft to

  • act as a battering ram

  • and if the asteroid is far enough out,

  • it would only need to be pushed a few centimeters

  • off course to avoid hitting Earth.

  • Right now, NASA is in the early stages of "DART":

  • The Double Asteroid Redirection Test,

  • which will try out this approach

  • by trying it on a non-threatening asteroid,

  • calledDidymoon”,

  • which will pass near Earth in 2022.

  • Another method would be using something

  • called a "gravity tractor",

  • which pulls the asteroid in a new direction

  • and points it away from Earth.

  • Theoretically, a spacecraft could do this

  • by hovering near an object to create

  • a slight gravitational attraction

  • that could be used to redirect the asteroid.

  • The third option would be to go full Hollywood

  • and use a nuclear device to vaporize part of the surface.

  • "What you can do, in principle,

  • if you have a very powerful laser,

  • is to cause jets of material heated by the laser

  • to fly off of the asteroid

  • and that is essentially the equivalent of

  • a jet engine pushing the asteroid off course."

  • So far, NASA hasn’t found any asteroids

  • big enough to threaten Earth,

  • but we haven’t been searching that long.

  • There is still lots of space to survey

  • and the big one might be on its way,

  • we just haven't found it yet.

In 1954, Ann Hodges was hit by a meteorite.

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巨大な小惑星から地球を救うNASAの計画 (NASA's plan to save Earth from a giant asteroid)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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