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  • Okay, let's now jump to a scenario, in which we will see how the price really moves.

  • What you see in front of you is called 'Depth of Market'. This Depth of Market displays

  • how many limit orders there are at a particular price. On the left, we will see buy limit

  • orders and on the right, we will see sell limit orders.

  • This Depth of Market is nowadays a basic feature of any charting platform and you can commonly

  • find it as a 'DOM', which is abbreviation for 'Depth of Market'. One important thing

  • to mention is that DOM only displays limit orders - this is sometime called a 'passive

  • orderflow'. On the DOM, you cannot see market orders - market orders are called 'active

  • orderflow' and there are different tools for displaying them. Another important thing to

  • bear in mind is that this DOM is not static, because markets are not static. DOM is dynamic

  • and numbers of limit orders change all the time - simply because there may be hundreds

  • of people watching the market at any given time. And they are sending orders, changing

  • them or canceling them. So to keep it clear and simple, in this scenario we are going

  • to assume that there are only a few traders who trade this market and we know about all

  • of them.

  • Say that the market opens at 8 AM and the first trader comes in. He want to buy. He

  • wants to buy 5 contracts at a price of 98, so he doesn't want to buy now but he specifies

  • the price. Therefore, the sends a buy limit order to buy 5 contracts - and you now know

  • that he is a passive buyer. On the DOM, his buy limit order will be displayed like this.

  • It will be on the bid side, because it is a buy limit order and DOM will show a quantity

  • of 5 on bid at a price of 98. One minute later, another trader comes in. He wants to sell

  • - he wants to sell 10 contracts at the price of 99. He specifies the price, so he uses

  • a sell limit order and he is therefore a passive seller. His sell limit will be on the ask

  • side - because he is asking somebody to buy 10 contracts from him and he's asking for

  • price of 99 per contract. On the other hand, the first trader is willing to buy no higher

  • than 98, therefore his order is on the bid side.

  • Now, two more traders want to buy and sell. Trader 3, who wants to buy 2 contracts at

  • 97 and trader 4, who wants to sell 3 contracts at a price of 100. On DOM, we can already

  • see these new limit orders. None of these orders will be paired with each other and

  • the price doesn't move - because all these traders demand a different price. At the moment,

  • 2 buyers are willing to buy at 98 and 97 and 2 sellers are willing to sell at 99 and 100

  • respectively - so there is no agreement between them.

  • Let's continue. We've got one more seller, trader 5, who wants to sell 4 contracts at

  • a price of 99 - so same like trader 2. So the ask is now 14. And this ask size of 14

  • consists of: 10 contracts of trader 2 and 4 contracts of trader 5. Still, nothing happens.

  • But suddenly, somebody comes in and says - 'I don't want to wait anymore. I want to buy

  • 5 contracts now'. And this is our aggressive buyer that we were waiting for. You should

  • remember that he uses a buy market order and this order doesn't specify the price. The

  • buy market order buys the first available offer from a passive seller. Where is this

  • first available offer? At the price of 99. So this aggressive buyer buys 5 contracts

  • at a price of 99. By doing this, he cleared 5 sell limits on the ask side at a price of

  • 99. That means the ask at a price of 99 will be reduced from 14 to 9. All of these 5 sell

  • limits at a price of 99 belonged to trader 2, because he came first. And therefore, he

  • has got a sell limit for 5 contracts left, still waiting to be matched with more aggressive

  • buy market orders. So at the price of 99, there are 9 sell limits left. And they will

  • be filled in the following order - firstly, all of the remaining sell limits of trader

  • 2 and then, sell limits of trader 5. So it's like a queue - the limit orders are sorted

  • chronologically with a logic of first comes, first served. So because the trader 5 came

  • in later than trader 2, then he has got to wait until the trader 2 will get filled all

  • of his sell limits.

  • Now, aggressive seller comes in, making the price to move. The actual price is 99, because

  • that's the price at which the most recent trade took place. The aggressive seller wants

  • to sell 3 contracts using a sell market order. You should remember that the sell market order

  • is paired with the first available bid from a passive buyer. In other words - it is paired

  • with the first available buy limit order on the bid side. Where is this first available

  • buy limit? At a price of 98. So the aggressive seller send the sell market order and the

  • passive buyer buys from him. Now, because this passive buyer has got his buy limit at

  • a price of 98, the price goes down so it can match the sell market order to this buy limit.

  • The aggressive seller sold 3 contracts, therefore he clears 3 buy limits at a price of 98 and

  • there were 5 buy limits at this price in total. Less 3 of them were cleared by this aggressive

  • seller, that means that there are 2 more buy limits left to filled at this price. Notice

  • that the price has moved down, yet the number of sell vs. buy orders is equal. The price

  • didn't move down because there were more sellers than buyers, but because sellers were more

  • aggressive than buyers.

  • Now, what needs to happen in order for the price to move from 98 to 97? It's simple - there

  • must be more aggressive sellers who will clear these 2 more buy limits at a price of 98.

  • So it's like a barrier - this barrier of limit orders must be broken in order for the price

  • to move. One aggressive sellers comes in - he sends sell market order to sell 3 contracts.

  • But you see that at the price of 98, there are only 2 buy limits - so this barrier of

  • buy limits is not strong enough to satisfy this aggressive seller. So what happens? 2

  • sell market orders are paired with 2 buy limits at a price of 98 and this clears all the buy

  • limits at 98. And then, there are no buy limits left at this price. However - there's 1 more

  • sell market order left to be paired. Since there are no buy limits left at the price

  • of 98, the market now must move lower to find more buy limit orders. So it moves from 98

  • to 97. At 97, one sell market order left is paired with new buy limit. This completes

  • the order of aggressive seller - to sell 3 contracts. This aggressive seller therefore

  • moved the market down, because his market order was paired with buy limits at 2 different

  • prices. His sell market order for 3 contracts was paired with 2 buy limits at 98 and 1 buy

  • limit at 97. Now notice this - the price has moved from 98 to 97 despite there was 1 seller

  • and 2 different buyers. However, the number of buy and sell orders is equal - sell market

  • order for 3 contracts and buy limits for 3 contracts in total.

  • Now, what do you see at the price of 98? There are no sell limit orders at this price. Do

  • you remember that the market order doesn't specify the price? The price at which the

  • market order is filled only depends on the availability of limit orders. So where are

  • the first available sell limits? First available sell limits are at 99. Now, the aggressive

  • buyer comes in and he wants to buy 1 contract by using a market order. The actual price

  • is 97, there are no sell limits at 98, first available sell limits are at 99. Despite the

  • actual price being 97, the aggressive buyer is filled for 99 - because that's the price

  • at which he finds somebody to buy from. So he moved the market up from 97 to 99, because

  • at 98, there was no liquidity - no sell limit orders. So the market has skipped this price

  • and moved to 99 straight away. This is called a 'gap' - the market has gapped up from 97

  • to 99. The aggressive buyer has got what's called a 'slippage' - this means that he bought

  • for worse price than he was expecting. He sent the buy market order when the actual

  • price was 97. He would be expecting to be filled for 98 because logically, there should

  • be some sell limits. In reality, there were no sell limits so the market has gapped up

  • and he bought for 99. That means he has got a worse price and got a slippage. So in this

  • situation, there was 1 buyer and 1 seller. One buy market order and one sell limit order

  • and the price has moved from 97 to 99.

  • And now - the final situation that we will have a look at. A big trader comes in and

  • he wants to buy 15 contracts. As you can see, in the meantime, some more passive sellers

  • have appeared and sent their limit orders into the market. The last price is 99 - this

  • is the price at which the most recent trade has taken place. This is the price that the

  • big trader is looking at when he decides to send his order into the market. This buy trader

  • uses a buy market order to buy 15 contracts. By doing this, he will move the price from

  • 99 to 103. You can see how his market order for 15 contracts was paired - take a moment

  • to have a look at this. So, there was 1 buyer and many more sellers and the price has moved

  • by 4 points. However, the quantity of buy and sell orders was equal - 15 contracts to

  • buy and 15 contract to sell. This is always equal and this is how the price moves.

  • However, in reality, such a big trader is likely to use a limit order to open a trade

  • - because he trades such big positions, that the potential slippage when using market orders

  • is very big.

  • So, to sum it up - the price moves in relation to market orders and available limit orders.

  • These limit orders are like a barrier - when this barrier is not strong enough to satisfy

  • market orders, the price moves. However, number of buy and sell is always equal. For example

  • in this last scenario - the price has moved from 99 to 103 and there were 15 buy market

  • orders and 15 sell limit orders.

Okay, let's now jump to a scenario, in which we will see how the price really moves.

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A2 初級

金融市場が本当に機能する方法 - 市場の深さ (How The Financial Markets REALLY Work - The Depth of Market)

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    Chi Hang Fung に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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