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  • Many people expected the reveal of the iPhone X to trigger an upgrade super cycle

  • and lead to a great increase in number of iPhones sold in 2018.

  • One of the reasons that people expected this was because the iPhone X

  • was gonna be one of the first new design reveals since the iPhone 6.

  • UBS sees it a little bit differently. Results from UBS evidence lab smartphone survey

  • show buying intentions are flattish from a year ago

  • for people planning to upgrade their iPhone.

  • And they're also showing that the average age of handsets

  • is stabilizing at about two to two and a half years,

  • so this hasn't shown, according to their data, a huge increase in the number of people that are buying the new iPhone X.

  • UBS still expects strong sales but they do not see the super cycle happening.

  • One of the reasons could be

  • that the features that Apple was presenting and that they were so excited

  • about are not what consumers care about.

  • According to the UBS data,

  • the things that people care about are still

  • price and battery life.

  • Certainly what I care about, it's the only thing I've talked about in my iPhone X.

  • The things people don't care about that they care about the least,

  • that they rate more unimportant than important,

  • are virtual reality, Face ID and augmented reality,

  • which are three of the biggest things that they revealed

  • during their big presentation.

  • UBS still has a "buy" rating on the stock

  • and has a price target of a hundred and ninety dollars per share

  • over the next 12 months.

  • They just don't expect to see a pickup in iPhone sales.

  • that many others had expected.

  • According to UBS's is Stephen Milunovich,

  • "The stock narrative should from iPhone to cycles to iPhone annuity

  • How does Apple monetize the installed base through additional products and services?"

  • And that's the bottom line.

Many people expected the reveal of the iPhone X to trigger an upgrade super cycle

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iPhone Xをめぐる最大の神話 (The biggest myth around the iPhone X)

  • 40 2
    jenny に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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