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  • Good evening. Once again, my name is Eva Omori. Thank you.

  • We're getting to the fun part: The Transition. Let's do this!

  • Yeah! [Applause]

  • OK. If it were only so simple as to speak it.

  • When we think about transition, it's important to remind ourselves

  • what it is we are transitioning to, exactly.

  • A move from the scarcity-driven market economy,

  • to a system of direct resource management and scientific application

  • to meet the needs of the human species and secure the habitat,

  • is a transition of values at its root.

  • It's a transition to reinforce and reward balance,

  • social contribution and ecological respect,

  • rather than what we reinforce today,

  • which is selfishness, competition and exploitation.

  • At the core of our current model is really an anti-society ethic.

  • This disposition has proven deeply destructive in the long run.

  • How to move to such a social model from where we are today?

  • It is, of course, naive to assume we can predict the future,

  • given the pressures that keep the current system in place.

  • All of us are forced into this caustic market psychology

  • in order to maintain survival for ourselves and our family,

  • and hence our values are deeply associated to these methods,

  • whether we like it or not. As we engage the environment,

  • our brains wire themselves in a very literal way,

  • being reinforced by our actions.

  • And just as a person can learn a skill, and have that skill become second nature

  • without much direct conscious thought to execute once learned,

  • we humans perform actions on a day-to-day level

  • with the same kind of learned mindlock.

  • In fact, we often don't even know

  • we are behaving in so-called selfish ways at times,

  • since everything around us appears to be working the exact same way,

  • creating perceived normality.

  • Therefore, The Zeitgeist Movement

  • sees the shifting of peoples' values as the most important necessity.

  • How this is done, is related to education

  • while also attempting to create conditions, which again,

  • hopefully reinforce these new sustainable values,

  • inching out change.

  • There are two ways to think about a social transition,

  • into a Natural Law, Resource-Based Economy.

  • First, a step-by-step scenario,

  • which then lays out a framework for a second scenario.

  • However, the first scenario is really a fantasy. It assumes there is agreement

  • of the political economic power structure, and the community,

  • that the human species has decided to do this move in a step-by-step manner.

  • Of course, we all know it would likely never happen this way.

  • The train of thought is still important to express

  • with respect to how we think about the logic of a transition.

  • Concluding this introduction, it is important to point out

  • that many who criticize The Zeitgeist Movement

  • do so not because they disagree with the direction,

  • but because they do not understand how to get there.

  • The best analogy to counter this is the argument [that]

  • a very sick person seeking to get well, will do whatever he or she has to,

  • even if, at a given point in time,

  • the solution to their illness is not readily apparent.

  • The difficulty in implementing a new social system

  • does not remove the necessity for it.

  • The fact is, we humans can change the world quite easily

  • if we can find a unified common ground to do so.

  • Again, this isn't the intent of the global Zeitgeist Movement.

  • Furthermore, it's also important to note

  • that we are always in transition. There are no Utopias,

  • and even if we accomplish 40% of the move

  • to a Natural-Law, Resource-Based Economy as we define it in theory,

  • it will be worth it.

  • A systematic move from the capitalist market economy

  • to a Natural-Law, Resource-Based Economy

  • could theoretically occur through a step-by- step socialization

  • of the core attributes of the societal infrastructure.

  • Essentially, we dismantle one layer

  • while implementing a new one in the most fluid way we can.

  • This term socialization is appropriate to use here.

  • It simply means that the necessity of money

  • and the market mechanism, as we know it,

  • will no longer apply to the given social attribute.

  • The four core societal layers of food production, utilities, basic goods

  • and transportation will be discussed further.

  • To summarize the approach, the task would be accomplished

  • through the strategic application of technology

  • and efficiency waste removing strategies,

  • along with an adjustment of wages to compensate for job losses,

  • along with the shortening and sharing of the work day,

  • to also compensate for job losses.

  • A critical component that enables the capacity of the new social model

  • to produce our basic standard of living

  • is the liberal application of modern technology

  • and a systems approach to social organization.

  • Since the current model is literally based on a technical inefficiency

  • to keep the system going, the more efficient the system becomes,

  • the less traditional labor is required.

  • Therefore, in transition, starting within a market economy,

  • measures to compensate for this loss are required.

  • The four core societal layers are obviously fragments

  • with synergistic relationships

  • which require other types of technical evaluation.

  • However, for the sake of reasoning here,

  • these core attributes of our day-to-day lives

  • are essentially what maintain our general health and basic standard of living,

  • so it should be suffice for the sake of exemplification.

  • The first core societal layer is food production.

  • The technology for high-efficiency, automated food systems

  • is a reality today, with vertical farm technology and

  • low energy and low impact fertilization methods,

  • such as hydroponics and aeroponics.

  • Desalinization processes could enable the building of these facilities

  • along most major coastlines, producing organic food

  • in quantities to meet the needs of the population regionally and locally.

  • In short, if such advanced methods were implemented,

  • the need for purchasing basic food staples would no longer be required.

  • Even today, the world produces enough food to feed the planet

  • many times over.

  • This shows that the need to place restrictive monetary value

  • on basic food stuff is not required.

  • There's no legitimate technical reason, even within a monetary economy,

  • [that] grocery stores today cannot provide the same type of food stuff

  • to a given regional population without the need for financial exchange.

  • The second core societal layer is utilities.

  • The hydrocarbon economy continues to cause turmoil,

  • not only on the environmental level,

  • but also due to the inevitable scarcity of the resource itself.

  • There is no debate as to the fact that oil is finite,

  • and its combustion is detrimental to the environment.

  • Given solar, tide, wind, geothermal and other means of renewable energy,

  • there is no reason that any of us would need to pay for energy

  • if properly localized and interconnected.

  • Advanced solar panels alone, applied to every house with sun exposure,

  • feeding excess energy back into the community grid

  • would eliminate electricity needs immediately,

  • based on current statistics and capacities.

  • Electricity can be used to replace gas for heating and most other uses.

  • While [with] water (a nominal financial expense even today in the west),

  • further improvements can be made in industrial efficiency

  • to recede pollution and maintain a regional surplus.

  • Those who have had water shortages in the world,

  • have had technical resolutions for years

  • via desalinization and other purification systems.

  • It has been, again, the lack of financial resources of these regions

  • which has caused problems, not the lack of technical ability.

  • So once an advanced system approach is taken to resource management,

  • the marketization of these commodities and services is no longer necessary.

  • Before I go further, this question arises:

  • If we create systems which eliminate the vast majority of employment

  • due to the high level of technical efficiency,

  • don't we need people to service and supervise these systems?

  • The answer of course is yes.

  • This is not a utopia where no one needs to do anything.

  • Imagine if we can have 5% of society,

  • in terms of traditional labor time, serve to operate these systems.

  • It would be to everyone's advantage to donate a certain amount of time

  • in a type of rotational fashion.

  • After all, they are only helping themselves directly.

  • Given the amount of relative free time, working for the whole of society

  • would be the highest form of social contribution,

  • once these systems are in place.

  • Would you work for free if you only had to work 5% of the time you do today

  • to maintain a high standard of living?

  • [Audience answers "Yes".] That was a resounding "Yes".

  • The third societal layer is basic good production.

  • The spectrum of basic good production is wide,

  • ranging from core staples such as household items,

  • clothes and communication technology,

  • to specific tools for specialized tasks, such as musical instruments,

  • and other increasingly less demanded items.

  • The best way to think about this is as a spectrum of demand,

  • with common needs on one side, and specialized,

  • or luxury type goods, on the other.

  • While the advancement of science and technology

  • will likely facilitate a vast amount of variation for production,

  • for the sake of transition in the immediate future, we can simplify.

  • Overall, each industry/sub-industry needs to unify in its operations

  • to enable the highest level of production and output efficiency possible.

  • The corporate structures would combine based on genre,

  • using that collaborative capacity to increase efficiency,

  • while reducing waste and competitive multiplicity.

  • This would set the stage for the creation of

  • a fully synergistic, industrial system,

  • applying advanced automation to remove human labor

  • and inevitably, increase efficiency.

  • In this transitional proposal,

  • hours worked would shift in proportion to job losses

  • coupled with hourly wage rates shifting. In other words,

  • insuming an initial average workday need of eight hours per person,

  • incurring a loss of growth jobs by 50%,

  • the workday then would be cut by 50% as well.

  • So if we have a hypothetical economy with 1000 people,

  • and 50% of them were displaced by technological employment,

  • the day is then divided between them,

  • so everyone now works four hours instead of eight.

  • Again, the fact that goods and services are becoming free in the economy

  • means that there is less need for prior levels of purchasing power.

  • So a 50% cut in wages is directly compensated for.

  • We are phasing the monetary system out in this process.

  • In cases where this isn't feasible,

  • there would be an increase in hourly wage rates

  • in the same basic proportion, compensating for the average loss.

  • Transportation. The production of vehicles

  • which is largely automated today isn't much of a problem.

  • The issue here is access, application and necessity.

  • All of us who travel to centralized offices,

  • usually participating in occupations with questionable relevance,

  • would be amazed at the inefficiency.

  • [Laughter]

  • There are very few occupations today

  • which really require direct location interaction anymore.

  • Even industrial production facilities, once further automated,

  • would only require a small number of people on location,

  • with most processes administered remotely.

  • So a strategic move to stop the wasteful nine-to-five,

  • traditional, travel to work and back would need to be made.

  • Everyone would have the option to be equipped by whatever means

  • to operate their business operations from their home.

  • The amount of saved energy and lives would be enormous

  • given the nature of travel and accidents.

  • Beyond that, as far as infrastructure,

  • systems of sharing, such as they have now with bicycles in Europe,

  • should be applied to vehicles and everything else we can find,

  • coupled with incorporation of mass transit.

  • This, again, is to be a step-by-step process of improvement

  • where different regions are purposefully reorganized

  • to favor the highest level of technical travel efficiency possible.

  • Localizing labor, locations remote access to limit travel needs,

  • sharing systems for vehicles, and liberal mass transit

  • would profoundly change the nature of transport infrastructure,

  • reduce energy use, increase safety

  • and allow for further changes as the transition continues.

  • While other examples of the step-by-step could be given here,

  • I hope the logic is clear.

  • It is not difficult to realize how these moves could be made, if,

  • and I emphasize "if" there was the sanction of the community.

  • Sadly, we cannot expect this type of ease.

  • With this general outline of reasoning stated

  • of how to break down the current system step-by-step

  • to implement the new one in mind, let's now take a realistic look

  • at what a transition to a new society may hold,

  • given the reality we have today.

  • It is important to understand

  • that the intention of transition to social sustainability

  • has been under the surface of our culture for a long time.

  • The notion of the green economy and periodic outbursts by civil rights groups

  • such as Occupy Wall Street, shows a deep interest to change the world

  • and make it more equal, humane and sustainable.

  • It is a deeply important acknowledgement

  • that in order to create a more sustainable humane world,

  • a complete move out of the current social architecture is critical.

  • Once the logic is followed in this regard, you find we simply cannot fix

  • the problems inherent to the current social architecture.

  • We need to evolve out of it.

  • To do this, global social movement tactics become critical

  • to put pressure on the existing system,

  • along with helping change the intents and values of the culture itself.

  • The unfortunate yet predictable consequences

  • of what we could call societal collapse is ever apparent.

  • Societal collapse is not an absolute notion. It is relative.

  • While many of us in the West in our day-to- day lives

  • (even though we may have great amounts of public debt,

  • private debt, overbearing work environments and other stressers)

  • usually don't look around and necessarily deem

  • the society as being in a state of breakdown,

  • because we are now so used to the homelessness,

  • poverty, periodic crises and other inefficiencies.

  • It isn't like one day we're going to go outside and everything is on fire

  • and everyone is suffering or dead in the streets.

  • The awareness is the trend.

  • And if we look at the trend of the core life support attributes,

  • we find that most everything is in a state of decay.

  • Overall the market economy, in whatever form today globally,

  • can be found as the root of the loss of biodiversity,

  • deforestation, pollution, depletion, conflict generation and other issues

  • that continue to produce environmental negative retroactions,

  • with the effects on human health.

  • Both public health and environmental stability

  • are increasingly becoming destabilized in the long run.

  • Furthermore, mechanization, which is becoming a powerful force

  • to enable cost efficiency for corporate savings,

  • is and will lead to vast unemployment.

  • At what point do we think about a failure of the economic model

  • with respect to levels of employment? 10, 20, 40 percent?

  • Needless to say, at some point

  • this clash between mechanization and employment for the sake of profit

  • will generate a severe public revolt.

  • All it takes, for example,

  • is one major transport corporation on the west coast to go on strike

  • and shut down food supplies.

  • This type of reaction could be systemic.

  • Social collapse is a very negative thing,

  • but it is also a natural consequence of evolution.

  • Problems lead to creativity and creativity leads to transition

  • if we are willing to move on.

  • The question is, how much suffering will we endure?

  • It isn't that any of us want to see pain and suffering.

  • It is simply inevitable in the current social system.

  • The faster we can get this information out there in the community

  • regarding actual change to the system, the faster we can move on.

  • The very moment we have one person starving in any society,

  • a society that can produce abundance,

  • we are experiencing the failure of the system.

  • Today there are one billion.

  • With this collapse pressure apparent, coupled with the basic understanding

  • of how a step-by-step transition could unfold,

  • let us now talk about transitional activism.

  • The goal here is to not only facilitate a move to the new model

  • but also work to help the suffering in the current model,

  • basically bringing them in first in this process of transition.

  • With the growing technological employment in the world today

  • and government and corporations looking the other way for as long as they can,

  • if we can continue to support solutions to ease the stress on the population,

  • coupled with removing of support for the current system,

  • we are on the right path.

  • One approach is the use of mutual credit systems.

  • These are currently legal overall and exist today

  • in small pockets of the world, largely hidden from public knowledge.

  • A mutual credit system is a form of barter for services or goods

  • which allow created exchange values to be applied to other goods and services,

  • removing the one-to-one correlation common to simple barter.

  • Local Exchange Trading System (LETS) is an example.

  • It assists an interest-free non inflationary form of exchange

  • where value cannot float as it does today.

  • There are a number of variations of the time-bank kind of system,

  • and they are becoming ever more sophisticated

  • in their programming and malleability.

  • One benefit, for those who do not have a job or money,

  • is the ability to exchange with others without the use of the nation's currency.

  • The other benefit is that each exchange that occurs within this kind of method

  • is a loss of growth pressure in the economy.

  • Imagine if 50% of Americans decided to use these systems.

  • The economy as we know in traditional terms would lose 50% of its GDP.

  • The next tactic is the use of community systems of sharing.

  • For example, in the United States, online resources like neighborhoods.net

  • and sharesomesugar.com have tools and other items listed in a sharing system

  • where they are made available like a library.

  • Each can check out and borrow these items when needed.

  • As minimal as these may seem, if we use our imagination

  • we could see this library concept extend greatly,

  • such as with automobiles and other items used more sparsely.

  • Sites such as freecycle.org promote waste reduction

  • by making items no longer needed available at no cost.

  • Again, imagine if all communities did this.

  • We would help those who didn't have access,

  • coupled with removing growth pressures on the economic system, forcing change.

  • It would also be more environmentally friendly and sustainable.

  • The final tactic comes from the mass petition campaigns

  • and awareness acts to show the world what we are doing.

  • Obviously TZM is doing this right now

  • across the world with our global Z-Day events.

  • However, more strategic methods

  • to communicate these technical possibilities will occur over time.

  • The Global Redesign Institute, for example,

  • is a large scale macrodesign project to do just this.

  • In conclusion, people always ask about backlash.

  • Clearly, we live in a world where the powers have become rather maniacal

  • in their views and historically.

  • Any attempt at a new social model has been met with conflict from the external.

  • Acts of the state of this nature have usually been given an excuse.

  • Protests which turn violent, for example, open the floodgates for oppression.

  • There is a reason why peace activists in t-shirts

  • are met with police in riot gear and weapons.

  • They need violence to perpetuate violence.

  • TZM cannot let this happen.

  • TZM is not a protest movement in this sense,

  • and you will not see TZM activists throwing stones or yelling at buildings.

  • We are going to do this through strategic action

  • in a very sophisticated, peaceful, intellectual manner.

  • Any other abrasive action will only fail The Movement.

  • This concludes my talk. Thank you so much for listening.

  • And thank you to Peter Joseph.

  • Updated information will be available via the orientation guide

  • "TZM Defined - Realizing a New Train of Thought"

  • Thank you again.

  • [Applause]

Good evening. Once again, my name is Eva Omori. Thank you.

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ツァイトガイストの日2013。大森エバ|「トランジション」【第11回/12回 (Zeitgeist Day 2013: Eva Omori | "The Transition" [Part 11 of 12])

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    王惟惟 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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