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So let’s begin.  Were going to go into business together.  Were going

  • to start a company and were going to start a lemonade stand

  • and now I don’t have any money today, so I'm going to have to raise money from investors

  • to launch the business.  So how am I going to do that?  Well I'm going to form a corporation.

  •  That is a little filing that you make with the State and you come up with a name for

  • a business.  Well call it Bill’s Lemonade Stand and were going to raise money from

  • outside investors.  We need a little money to get started, so were going to start

  • our business with 1,000 shares of stock.  We just made up that number and were going

  • to sell 500 shares more for a $1 each to an investor.  The investor is going to put up

  • $500.  Were going to put up the name and the idea.  Were going to have 1,000 shares.

  •  He is going to have 500 shares.  He is going to own a third of the business for his

  • $500.

So what is our business worth at the start?  Well it’s worth $1,500.  We

  • have $500 in the bank plus $1,000 because I came up with the idea for the company.  Now

  • I'm going to need a little more than $500, so what am I going to do?  I'm going to borrow

  • some money.  I'm going to borrow from a friend and he’s going to lend me $250 and were

  • going to pay him 10% interest a year for that loan.

Now why do we borrow money instead

  • of just selling more stock?  Well by borrowing money we keep more of the stock for ourselves,

  • so if the business is successful were going to end up with a bigger percentage of the

  • profits.

So now were going to take a look at what the business looks like on

  • a piece of paper.  Were going to look at something called a balance sheet and a

  • balance sheet tells you where the company stands, what your assets are, what your liabilities

  • are and what your net worth or shareholder equity is.  If you take your assets, in this

  • case weve raised $500.  We also have what is called goodwill because weve said the

  • businessin exchange for the $500 the person who put up the money only got a third of the

  • business.  The other two-thirds is owned by us for starting the company.  That is

  • $1,000 of goodwill for the business.  We borrowed $250.  Were going to owe $250.

  •  That is a liability.  So we have $500 in cash from selling stock, $250 from raising

  • debt and we owe a $250 loan and we have a corporation that has, and youll see on

  • the chart, shareholdersequity of $1,500, so that’s our starting point.

Now let’s

  • keep moving.  What do we need to do to start our company?  We need a lemonade stand.  That’s

  • going to cost us about $300.  That is called a fixed asset.  Unlike lemon or sugar or

  • water this is something like a building that you buy and you build it.  It wears out over

  • time, but it’s a fixed asset.  And then you need some inventory.  What do you need

  • to make lemonade?  You need sugar.  You need water.  You need lemons.  You need

  • cups.  You need little containers and perhaps some napkins and you need enough supplies

  • to let’s say have 50 gallons of lemonade in our start of our business.  Now 50 gallons

  • gets us about 800 cups of lemonade and were ready to begin.

Let’s take a new look

  • at the balance sheet.  So now weve spent $500 on supplies.  We only have $250 left

  • in the bank, but our fixed assets are now $300.  That is our lemonade stand.  Our

  • inventory is $200.  Those are the supplies and things, the lemons that we need to make

  • the lemonade.  Goodwill hasn’t changed at 1,000, so our total assets are $1,750 and

  • we still owe $250 to the person who lent us the money.  Shareholder equity hasn’t changed,

  • so we haven’t made any money.  All weve done is weve taken cash and weve turned

  • it into other assets that were going to need to succeed in our lemon stand business.

  •  

So let’s make some assumptions about how our business is going to do over time.

  •  Were going to assume were going to sell 800 cups of lemonade a year.  That’s

  • not a particularly ambitious assumption, but we should assume the lemonade business is

  • fairly seasonal.  Most of the lemonade sells will happen over the summer.  Were going

  • to assume that each cup we can sell for $1 and it’s going to cost us about $530 per

  • year to staff our lemonade stand.  

So now let’s take a look at the income statement,

  • so the income statement talks about the profitability, about the revenues that the business generated,

  • what the expenses are and what is left over for the owner of the company.  So weve

  • got one lemonade stand.  Were selling 800 cups of lemonade at our stand.  Were

  • charging $1, so were generating about $800 a year in revenue and were spending $200

  • on inventory.  There is a line item here called COGS.  That stands for cost of goods

  • sold.  We have depreciation because our lemonade stand gets a bit beat up over time and it

  • wear out over five years, so it depreciates over 5 years.  Weve got our labor expense

  • for people to actually pour the lemonade and collect cash from customers and we have a

  • profit.  We have EBIT and that is earnings before interest and taxes, of $10.  That

  • is kind of our pretax profit for the business.  We didn’t make very much money because

  • you take that pretax profit of $10 and you compare it to our revenues.  It’s about

  • a 1.3% margin.  That is not a particularly high profit.  Now weve got to pay interest

  • on our debts and we have a loss of $15 and then we don’t have any taxes, but at the

  • end of the day we still lose money.  

So the question is, is this a particularly good

  • business?  Well were losing money and our cash is basically going down over time.

  •  Is this a business we want to stay in?  Now the cash flow statement takes the income statement

  • and figures out what happens to the cash in the company’s till, so when you put up $750,

  • some money goes to pay for a lemonade stand.  Some money is lost selling the product and

  • at the end of the day we started with $750 and now we only have $500.  Let’s look

  • at the balance sheet.  What has happened?  Our cash has gone down from 750 to 500.

  •  Our fixed assets have gone from 300 to 240.  That means our lemonade stand is starting

  • to wear out.  Goodwill hasn’t changed.  We still owe $250 and our shareholder’s

  • equity is now down to $1,490, so it was the 1,500 we started with minus the $10 we lost

  • over the course of the year.  

So should we continue to invest in the business?  Weve

  • lost money in the first year.  Is it time to give up?  Well let’s think about it.

  •  Let’s make some projections about what the company is going to look like over the

  • next several years.  Let’s assume that we take all the cash the business generates

  • and were going to use it to buy more lemonade stands so we can grow.  Let’s assume were

  • not going to take any money out of the company and were not going to pay a dividend.  Were

  • going to keep all the money in the company and reinvest it.  Let’s assume that were

  • going toas we build our brand we can charge a little more each year, so were going

  • to raise our prices about a nickel, five cents more for each cup of lemonade each year and

  • then were going to assume we can sell 5% more cups per stand per year.  So weve

  • got built in growth assumptions. 

Now let’s take a look at the company.  So if

  • you take a look at this chart youll see in year one we started out with one lemonade

  • stand.  We add one a year and then by year five were up to seven because weve got

  • a big expansion plan.  Our price per cup goes up a nickel a year and our revenue goes

  • from $800 and starts to grow fairly quickly and the growth comes from increased prices

  • for cups of lemonade and it also comes from opening more stands.  So by year five we

  • have almost $8,000 in revenue.  Our costs are relatively constant, which is the lemonade

  • and the sugar.  That’s about $1,702.  We have depreciation as more and more stands

  • start to wear out over time.  Weve got labor expense, but by year five the business

  • is actually doing pretty well.  We went from a 1.3% margin to over a 28% margin.  The

  • business is now up to scale.  Were starting to cover some of our costs.  Were growing.

  •  Were still paying $25 a year in interest for our loan and we have earnings before taxes,

  • after interest of $2,300 by the end of year 5.  So we put $500 into the business.  We

  • borrowed 250 and by year five were making a profit of $2,300.  That sounds pretty good.

  •  Now we have to pay taxes to the government.  That is about 35% and we generate net income

  • or another word for profits of $1,500 by the fifth year and about a dollar a share.  

So

  • if you think about this our friend put up $500 to buy 500 shares of stock.  He paid

  • a dollar and after five years if our business goes as we expect he is actually making a

  • dollar a share in profit.  That sounds like a pretty good deal.  So what has been the

  • growth?  The growth has been fairly dramatic over the period and that is what has enabled

  • us to become a successful business.  Now these are just projections, but if theyre

  • reasonable projections this might be a business that we want to start or invest in.

Now

  • let’s look at the cash flow statement.  So as the business becomes more and more profitable

  • we generate more and more cash and the cash builds up in the company.  We go from $500

  • of cash in the company to over $2,000 of cash over the period.  The balance sheet, again,

  • the starting balance sheet had shareholder’s equity of $1,490, but as the business becomes

  • more profitable the profits add to the cash.  They add to the assets of the company.  Our

  • liabilities have not changed and the business continues to build value over time.  So again

  • by the end of year five weve got $4,000 of shareholder equity and that’s almost

  • three times what it was when we started. 
Now is this a good business or a bad business?

  •  How do we think about whether it’s good or bad?  One thing to think about is what

  • kind of earnings are we achieving compared to how much money went into the company.  Now

  • this is a business that we valued at $1,500 when we started.  Someone put up $500 for

  • a third of the company.  We gave it a $1,500 value.  By the end of year five it’s earning

  • over $1,500 in earnings, so that’s over a 100% return on the money that we put into

  • the company.  That’s actually quite a high number.  We spentlet’s talk about return

  • on capital.  Weve spent $2,100 in capital building lemonade stands and we earned $2,336

  • in year five on the capital we invested.  That’s over 100% return on capital.  That is a very

  • attractive return.  Earnings have grown at a very rapid rate, 155% per annum.  This

  • is really a growth company and our profitability has gone from 1.3% to 28.6% by year five and

  • that sounds pretty attractive and it is.  

So let’s look at the person who put up the

  • loan.  Well that person put up $250 and the business has been profitable.  Weve been

  • able to pay them their interest of 10% a year, $25 a year and theyre happy because they

  • put up $250.  Theyre getting a 10% return on their loan and the business is worth well

  • more than $250.  Weve got more than that in cash.  As a result, theyre in a safe

  • position, but theyve only made 10% on their money.  

Now let’s compare that with

  • the equity investor, the person who bought the stock in the company.  That person earned

  • a dollar a share in year five versus an investment of a dollar a share, so he is earning over

  • 100% or about 100% return on his investment versus only 10% for the lender.  So who got

  • the better deal?  Well obviously the equity investor.  Now why did the equity investor,

  • why do they have the right to earn so much more than the lender?  The answer is they

  • took more risk.  If the business failed the lender is entitled to the first $250 of value

  • that comes from liquidating the company, so if you sell off the lemonade stands and you

  • only get $250 the lender gets back all their money.  Theyre safe.  They got their

  • 10% return while the business was going.  They got back their $250, but the equity investor,

  • the person who bought the stock is wiped out because they come after the lender.

So

  • what is the difference between debt and equity?  Debt tends to be a safer investment because

  • you have a senior claim on the assets of a company and it comes in lots of different

  • forms.  Youve heard of mortgage debt on a home.  That’s a secured loan secured

  • by a house, but you could have mortgage debt on a building for a company.  There is senior

  • debt.  There is junior debt.  There is mezzanine debt.  There is convertible debt, but the

  • bottom line, it’s all debt.  It comes in different orders of priority in a company

  • and the rate your charge is inversely related to your security, so the better the security

  • and the less risk the lower the interest rate youre entitled to receive.  The more junior

  • the loan the higher the interest rate youre entitled to receive, but you can avoid the

  • complexity.  All you need to think about is debt comes first.  It’s a safer loan,

  • but youre profit opportunity is limited.

Now the equity also has their varying forms.  There

  • is something called preferred equity or preferred stock.  There is common equity or common

  • stock and again stock and equity are basically synonyms.  Theyre options, but really

  • not worth talking about today.  The important point is that equity gets everything that

  • is left over after the debt is paid off, so it’s called a residual claim.  Now the

  • good thing about the residual claim is that business grows in value if you don’t owe

  • your lender anymore, but all that value goes to the stock holder.  So the question is

  • why was the lender willing to take only a 10% return when the equity earned a much higher

  • rate of return and the answer is when the business started there was no way of knowing

  • whether it would be successful or not and the lender made a bet that if the business

  • failed they could sell off the lemonade stand.  It cost $300 to make it.  They would have

  • some lemons, some lemonade.  Even if they sold it at a much lower price than the dollar

  • they originally projected the lender felt pretty comfortable that they would get their

  • money back, whereas the stockholder is really taking a risk.  They were betting on the

  • profitability of the company and they were taking a risk that if it failed they would

  • lose their entire investment, so they were entitled to get a higher return or have the

  • potential to have a higher return in the event the business we successful.

So let’s

  • talk about risk.  Lots of different ways people think about risk, but the one that

  • we think is the most importantyou know a lot of people talk about risk in the stock

  • market as the risk of stock prices moving up and down every day.  We don’t think

  • that’s the risk that you should be focused on.  The risk you should be focused on is

  • if you invest in a business what are the chances that youre going to lose your money, that

  • there is going to be a permanent loss.  When youre thinking about investing your own

  • money, when youre thinking about one investment versus another don’t worry so much about

  • whether the price moves up and down a lot in the short term.  What matters is ultimately

  • when you get your money back will you earn a return on your investment.  

How do

  • you think about risk?  Well one way to think about risk is to compare your risk to other

  • alternatives, so you could buy government bonds and government bonds are considered

  • today the lowest risk form of investment and the US Treasury issues 10 year, 3 year, 5

  • year debt.  There is a stated interest rate and today a 10 year Treasury you earn about

  • a 3% return.  So you give your government $1,000 and you get $30 a year in interest.

  •  At the end of 10 years you get your $1,000 back, so that’s very, very safe and that

  • sort of provides a floor.  Now obviously if youre going to make a loan you can lend

  • money to the government and earn 3%.  Well if you can lend money to a lemonade stand

  • you want to earn meaningfully more, so in this case the lender is charging a 10% rate

  • of interest.  Why 10%?  Because they want to earn a nice fat spread over what they can

  • make lending to the government because a startup lemonade stand business is a higher risk business.

Equity

  • investors sort of think about things similarly, so the higher the valuationthe more risky

  • the business the higher the rate of return the equity investor is going to expect and

  • the lower the risk business the lower the return the equity investor is going to expect

  • and equity investors don’t get interest the same way a lender does.  What equity

  • investors get is they get the potential to received dividends over the life of a company.

  •  

Let’s talk about raising capital.  You started this lemonade business.  Now

  • the point of this was to make money in the first place.  The business is doing very

  • well yet I, having started the business coming up with a name and the concept, hired all

  • the people, I've made nothing, right.  So the business has grown in value, but where

  • is my money?  I need money to buy a car for example, so I want to buy a car for $4,000.

  •  What are my choices?  What can I do?  Well weve taken all the cash the business has

  • generated.  Weve reinvested it in the business.  Now the good news is weve taken

  • all that money.  Weve been able to use it to buy more lemonade stands and these lemonade

  • stands are more and more productive and it’s grown the value of the business faster and

  • faster.  Now my alternatives could included instead of growing the business so quickly,

  • instead of investing in more lemonade stands I could simply have paid dividends to myself.

  •  Now the good news about that is I get money along the way, but the bad news about that

  • is the business wouldn’t grow as quickly and if you have a business as profitable as

  • this lemonade stand company and you just open a new lemonade stand and people earnwe

  • can earn hundreds of dollars in each new stand it makes sense to keep investing.  

Well

  • how do I keep my business going and growing, taking advantage of the opportunities, but

  • take some money off the table?  How do I do that?  Well I could sell the company,

  • so I could sell my lemonade stand business.  I started this one in New York.  Maybe

  • there is someone in New Jersey who wants to buy me, consolidate with my lemonade stand

  • company.  Well the problem with that is once I sell it I can no longer participate in the

  • opportunity going forward and I believe in this business.  I think it’s going to be

  • very successful over time.  So that’s one alternative.

The other alternative is

  • I could pay a dividend.  We have by year five, over $2,000 sitting in the bank, so

  • I could pay that money out to the shareholders of the company, but that would really slow

  • my rate of growth going forward because I couldn’t afford to build and buy more lemonade

  • stands and it’s not the $4,000 that I need in order to raise money.  So I'm going to

  • look at taking a business public.  What does that mean?  Well first of all, before we

  • take our business public we want to think about what it’s worth.

It’s year

  • five.  Weve been doing a good job.  Weve got a business that is profitable.  Everything

  • seems to be going well.  Well the problem is I've got some personal needs.  I've started

  • this company.  I've taken all the cash the business generates.  I've reinvested the

  • cash in the business.  I bought more and more lemonade stands.  The growth is accelerating.

  •  I feel great about it, but I need money.  How do I get money?  What do I do?  Well

  • I've got a company that generates a lot of cash each year, but I've been reinvesting

  • the cash, so one alternative is perhaps I don’t grow as quickly.  I don’t buy as

  • many lemonade stands and I start sending that money back to me in the form of a dividend.

  •  So each year I pay out some amount of cash in the company.  My need is really greater

  • than that.  There is only about $2,000 in the company today.  If I sent that out that

  • is half of what I need to by a car.  So how do I get the rest of the money or how do I

  • get more money?  Well I could sell the company, so that’s one alternative, but the problem

  • there is I've got this really good business.  It’s growing really quickly.  Why would

  • I want to get rid of it at this point?  So what should I do?  

The other alternatives,

  • other than selling 100% of the business is to sell a piece of the business and I can

  • do that privately.  I can find an investor who wants to buy a private interest in the

  • company and if the business is worth enough I can sell them a piece of the business and

  • we can be successful.  The other alternative is I can take the business public.  Everyone

  • has probably heard of an IPO, an internet company is going public, people getting rich

  • on an IPO.  What is interesting is an IPO doesn’t make someone rich.  All it really

  • does is it takes a business that they already own and it sells a piece of it to the public

  • and it gets listed on an exchange like the New York Stock Exchange. 

An IPO, the

  • abbreviation stands for initial public offering and it’s initial because it’s the first

  • time a company is going public.  Going public means youre selling stock to the broad

  • general public as opposed to finding one investor buying interest in the company and its offering

  • because youre offering people the opportunity to participate and the way to do that actually

  • is you get a good lawyer.  You get a good bank, investment bank.  It’s going to be

  • your underwriter and youre going to put together a document called a prospectus, which

  • is going to talk about all the risks and the opportunities associated with investing in

  • your company.  It’s going to have history of how the business is done over time.  It’s

  • going to have the balance sheet that we talked about.  It’s going to have income statements

  • from the previous several years.  It’s going to have cash flow statements and investors

  • are going to read that document and theyre going to learn about whether this is a business

  • they want to invest in and how to think about what price they want to pay for it. 

When

  • you decide you want to take your business public youre going to have to reveal a

  • lot of information to the public in order to attract investors to participate and the

  • Securities and Exchange Commission theyre going to study this prospectus very carefully.

  •  Theyre going to make sure that you disclose all the various risks associated with investing

  • in the company and youre also going to have an opportunity to talk about the business.

  •  It’s some combination of a marketing document as well as a list of the appropriate risks

  • that people should consider before buying stock in the company.  That takes time to

  • prepare.  It costs money to prepare.  Youre going to need good lawyers.  Youre going

  • to need a good investment bank and youre going to go through a process where youre

  • going to make a filing with the FCC with a copy of the initial what’s called registration

  • statement for the offering or the prospectus.  The FCC is going to comment on it and eventually

  • youre going to have a document that you can then sell shares to the public.

That

  • is kind of an exciting time for you because when you sell shares to the public that’s

  • really, in most cases, the way to get the optimally high price for the company, but

  • you don’t have to sell 100% of the business to the public.  In fact, typically you only

  • sell a small percentage.  You get to keep the rest.  You get to keep control of the

  • company, but you get to raise money in the offering and you can use that money to buy

  • the car that we were talking about before.

Now before you decided to go public or even to

  • sell it at all it’s probably a good idea to figure out what the business is worth.

  •  So let’s talk about valuation or how to value a business.  One way to think about

  • the value of your business is to compare it to other similar businesses.  Now the stock

  • market is actually a pretty interesting place to look.  Now the stock market is a list

  • of companies that have sold shares to the public and you can look in the New York Times

  • or the Wall Street Journal or online, on Yahoo Finance or Google or other sites and look

  • at stock prices for Coke, for MacDonald’s and what those stock prices tell you is what

  • the value of the company is.  And how do you figure out the value of the company?  Well

  • you look at where the stock price is.  You count how many shares are outstanding.  The

  • shares outstanding will be listed in various filings with the FCC.  You multiply the shares

  • outstanding times the stock price.  That tells you the price youre paying for the

  • equity of the company, so if you go back to our example of our little lemonade stand we

  • have 1,500 shares of stock outstanding.  We sold them for a dollar initially, one-third

  • of them to an investor and the business initially had a value of $1,500.

So what is the

  • business worth today?  Well one way to look at it; let’s look at other lemonade stand

  • companies.  Let’s assume other lemonade stand companies have sold either in the private

  • market, the public market for a price of 10 times earnings or 10 times profit, so that

  • will give you a sense of value.  You could look at the stock market if there are other

  • examples of a business similar to a lemonade stand company.  Perhaps a company that sold

  • soda every month would be a good example, but let’s use a comparable example.  So

  • let’s assume another lemonade stand company is trading at 20 times earnings in the stock

  • market.  Well we earned a dollar per share in year five.  If we put a 20 multiple on

  • that dollar the business is worth, according to the comparable about $20 per share.  Weve

  • got 1,500 shares outstanding.  We multiply 1,500 times 20.  Now our business is worth

  • $30,000.  So we had a company that started out at 1,500, five years later it’s worth

  • $30,000.  That’s actually quite good.

Well how do we raise $4,000 if that’s the appropriate

  • value for our business?  Well if we sold 200 of our shares, 200 of our shares that

  • are today now worth $20 a share we could raise the $4,000 that we are talking about.  Now

  • what would that do?  What would happen if we sold 200 of our shares in the market?  Well

  • our interest in the business would go down because today we own 66 and 2/3 percent or

  • 2/3 of the company.  A third is owned by our private investors.  Well if we sold stock

  • in the market, if we sold 200 of the shares that we would own our ownership would go from

  • 67% to 53%, so the good news there is we’d still have control of the business because

  • in most public companies owning a majority allows you to control the business going forward,

  • but because the company is now owned by public shareholders you have to make sure their interests

  • are properly represented, so you have to have a board of directors, a group of individuals

  • who represent the interests of the shareholders who have a duty to make sure that their shareholders

  • are treated properly and you wouldn’t have the same degree of flexibility you had when

  • you were a private company because you have other constituencies that you need to think

  • about.

Now the benefit of the IPO is the stock would now be liquid.  There would

  • be a market where it would trade in the public markets and then over time if I wanted to

  • sell more stock I could do so or if new investors wanted to come in they could buy stock and

  • our stock would now be liquid.  It would make me feel better about this business in

  • terms of my ability to at some point exit or if a I wanted to raise more money I could

  • sell stock fairly easily in the market because each day you could look up the price either

  • on the web or in the New York Times or otherwise and you could figure out what your business

  • is worth.

Okay, now how does this matter to you?  Now the purpose of the example of

  • our lemonade stand is just going to give you a primer on what companies are, what they

  • do, how they earn profits, what the various reports they provide to investors so investors

  • can figure out what theyre worth and the purpose of this lecture is to give you a sense

  • of some of the things you need to think about when youre thinking about investing perhaps

  • some of your own money whether you want to invest in a lemonade stand or you want to

  • invest in a company on the market, so a few basic points to think about.  One of the

  • most important is if youre going to be a successful investor it makes a lot of sense

  • to start early.  Now that’s kind of a hard thing.  Today youre probably a student.

  •  You don’t have a lot of spare money.   Well let’s assume at 22 you have a pretty

  • good job.  Instead of spending your money on gadgets or a fancy apartment or not so

  • fancy apartment or going out and drinking a fair amount you put some money aside and

  • you start investing money.  Let’s say you could save $10,000 at 22 and you can earn

  • a 10% return on that money between now and the time you retire.  What would you have

  • in 43 years?  The answer, if you put aside $10,000, you don’t save another penny and

  • you invested it in your and you earned 10% on your money each year you’d have $600,000

  • in year 43 and the reason for that is well in year 1 your $10,000 will become 11, in

  • year 2 your $11,000 would grow by 10% and so you would be earning interest not just

  • on your original principle, but you’d earn interest on the interest you had earned the

  • previous year and that compounding effect allows money to grow in an almost exponential

  • fashion.  Now obviously if you earn more than 10% you can earn even higher returns.

Now

  • that’s if you put $10,000 aside at 22 you’d have $600,000 in 43 years.  That’s pretty

  • good.  What is you had to wait until you were 32 when you earn the same 10% per annum?

  •  The problem there is by year 33 you’d only have $232,000.  Maybe that is not enough

  • to retire, so the key thing here is if youre going to be an investor one of the most valuable

  • assets you have today as someone who is 18 or 19 years-old is your youth.  You want

  • to start early so that your money can grow over time.

Now what if you could earn

  • 15%?  I'll give a you better sense of how powerful compounding is because remember at

  • 10% for 43 years you’d have $600,000.  That’s pretty good, but if you earned 15% you’d

  • have over 4 million.  Now youre in a pretty good position and so obviously making smart

  • decisions about where you put your money has a huge difference in what youre retirement

  • assets are.  Now obviously if could put aside more than $10,000, if you could put aside

  • $10,000 each year then youre wealth would be quite enormous.

Now just for fun if

  • you were one of the world’s great investors, Warren Buffet being a good example, if you

  • could earn 20% per year for 43 years you’d have 25 million dollars.  Again the original

  • $10,000 investment would increase about 2,500 times over that period of time just by earning

  • a 20% return.  Albert Einstein said the most powerful force in the universe is compound

  • interest, so the key is start early, earn an attractive return and avoid losing money

  • and youre going to have a very nice retirement.

Okay, now let’s talk about the risk of losing

  • money.  Now let’s assume that in order to try to get a 20% return you took a lot

  • of risk and it turns out that every 12 years you lost half your money because you just

  • madeyou hit a bad patch in the market or you made dumb decisions.  Well your 25 million

  • dollars at 20% would now only be worth a million eight in 43 years, so a key success factor

  • here is not just shooting for the fences, trying to get the highest return.  It’s

  • avoiding significant loses over the period.  

Okay, so as Warren Buffet says rule

  • number one in investing is never lose money and rule number two is never forget rule number

  • one, so if you can avoid loses and earn an attractive return over time youre going

  • to have a lot of money if you can stick at it for a long period of time.

So how

  • do you be a successful investor?  Now I'm assuming that youre not going to go into

  • the business of investing.  I'm assuming that youre going to be a doctor or a lawyer.

  •  Youre going to pursue your passion, but youre going to have some money that youre

  • going to save over time and I'm going to give you my advice on the topic.  It’s not necessarily

  • definitive advice, but it’s the advice I would give my sister, my grandmother on what

  • she should do if she were in the same position.  I think that’s probably the right way

  • to think about it.  

So number one, how do you avoid losing money?  What are

  • the good places to invest?  My first piece of advice is despite the story about the lemonade

  • stand I’d avoid investing in lemonade stands.  I’d avoid investing in startup businesses

  • where the prospects are not very well known because again you don’t need to make 100%

  • a year to have a fortune.  You just need to invest at an attractive return 10, 15 percent

  • over a long period of time.  Your money grows very significantly.  So how do you avoid

  • the riskiest investments?  My advice would be to invest in public securities, invest

  • in listed companies, companies that trade on the stock market.  Why, because those

  • businesses tend to be more established.  They have to meet certain hurdles before they go

  • public.  The stocks are liquid, so you can change your mind if you want to sell.  If

  • you invest in a private lemonade stand it’s hard to find someone to take you out of that

  • investment unless that business becomes fabulously profitable.  So that’s piece of advice

  • number one, invest in public companies.  

Number two, you want to invest in businesses that

  • you can understand.  What I mean by that is there are lots of businesses that you come

  • in that you deal with in the course of your day in your personal life, whether it’s

  • a retail store that you know because you like shopping there or it’s a product, your iPad

  • that you think is a great product, but you have to understand how the company makes money.

  •  If the business is just too complicated, you don’t understand how they make money,

  • even if theyve had a great track record I would avoid it and a lot of people thought

  • Enron was an incredible business because it appeared to have a good track record, but

  • very few people understood how they made money.  It was good to avoid it.  

Another

  • very important criterion is you want to invest at a reasonable price.  It could be a fabulous

  • business that is done very well over a long period of time, but if you pay too much for

  • it youre not going to earn a very good return investing in that company.  The last

  • bit is that you want to invest in a business that you could theoretically own forever.

  •  If the stock market were to close for 10 years you wouldn’t be unhappy.  What do

  • I mean by that?  Again if youre going to compound your money at a 10 or 15 percent

  • return over a 43 year period of time you really want a business that you can own forever.

  •  You don’t want to constantly have to be shifting from one business to the next.  And

  • what are businesses that you can own forever?  Well there are very few that sort of meet

  • that standard.  Maybe a good example is Coca Cola.  What is good about Coca Cola?  It’s

  • a relatively easy business to understand.  You understand how Coke makes money.  They

  • sell a formula or syrup to bottlers and to retail establishments and they make a profit

  • every time they serve a Coca Cola.  People drank a lot of Coca Cola for a very long period

  • of time.  The world’s population is growing.  They sell it in almost every country in

  • the world and each year people drink a little bit more Coca Cola, so it’s a pretty easy

  • business to understand and it’s also a business that I think is unlikely to be competed away

  • as a result of technology or some other new product.  It’s been around long enough.

  •  People have grown used to the taste.  Parents give it to their children and you can expect

  • it will be around a long period of time.  I think that’s one good example.

Another

  • good example might be MacDonald’s.  You may not love MacDonald’s hamburgers.  You

  • may or you may not, but it’s a business that it has been around for 50 years.  You

  • understand how they make money.  They open up these littlebuild these little boxes.

  •  They rent them to the franchisees.  They charge them royalties in exchange for the

  • name and they sell hamburgers and French fries and you know what?  People have to eat.  It’s

  • relatively low cost food.  The quality is pretty good and they continue to grow every

  • year.  So I think the consistent message here is try to find a business that you can

  • understand that’s not particularly complicated that has a successful long term track record

  • that makes an attractive profit and can grow over time.

So what are the key things

  • to look for in a business as I say that lasts forever?  Well you want a business that sells

  • a product or a service that people need and that is somewhat unique and they have a loyalty

  • to this particular brand or product and that people are willing to pay a premium for that.

  •  Another good example might be a candy business.  While people are going to buy generic versions

  • of many kind of food products, flour, sugar, they don’t need to have the branded product.

  •  When it comes to candy people don’t tend to like the Walmart version or the Kmart version.

  •  They want the Hershey chocolate bar or the Cadbury chocolate bar or the See’s Candy.

  •  They want the brand and theyre willing to pay a premium for that and so that’s

  • I think a key thing.  You want the product to be unique.  You don’t want it to be

  • a commodity that everyone else can sell because when you sell a commodity anyone can sell

  • it and they can sell it at a better price and it’s very hard to make a profit doing

  • that.

If youre investing for the long term you want to invest in businesses that

  • have very little debt.  In our little example before we talked about our lemonade stand.

  •  There is $250 worth of debt.  That didn’t put too much pressure on the lemonade stand

  • company, but if it had been $1,000 and we hit a rough patch the business could have

  • gone out of business for failure to pay its debts.  The shareholders could have been

  • wiped out.  So if you can find a company that can earn attractive profits, that doesn’t

  • have a lot of debt or they generate vastly more profits than they need to pay the interest

  • on their debt that is a safe place to put your money over a long period of time.

You

  • want businesses that have what people call barriers to entry.  You want a business where

  • it’s hard for someone tomorrow to set up a new company to compete with you and put

  • you out of business.  I mean going back to the Coca Cola example.  Coca Cola has such

  • a strong market presence.  People have come to expect when they go to a restaurant they

  • can ask for a Coke and get a Coke.  It’s very hard for someone else to break in.  Of

  • course there is Pepsi and there are other soda brands, but Pepsi has been around a long

  • time and Coca Cola and Pepsi have continued to exist side by side over long periods of

  • time.  It’s going to be very hard for someone to come in and come up with a new soft drink

  • that is just going to put Coca Cola out of business, so when youre thinking about

  • choosing a company make sure that they sell a product or a service that is hard for someone

  • else to make a better one that youll switch to tomorrow.  Look for something where people

  • have real loyalty and they won’t switch and it doesn’t—even if someone offers

  • the same, similar product for 20% less they still want the branded, high quality product.

  •  

You also want businesses that are not particularly sensitive to outside factors,

  • so-called extrinsic factors that you can’t control.  So if a business will be affected

  • dramatically if the price of a particular commodity goes up or if interest rates move

  • up and down or if currency prices change.  You want a company that is fairly immune

  • to what is going on in the world and I'll use my Coca Cola example.  I mean if you

  • think about Coca Cola it’s a product that has been around probably 120 years.  Over

  • that period of time there have been multiple world wars.  There has been all kinds of

  • you know, development of nuclear weapons, all kinds of unfortunate events and tragedies

  • and so on and so forth, but each year the company pretty much makes a little bit more

  • money than they made before and theyre going to be around and you can be confident

  • based on the history that this is a business that is going to be around almost regardless

  • of whether interest rates are at 14%, whether the US dollar is not worth very much or the

  • price of gold is up or down.  Those are the kind of companies you want to invest in, in

  • the long term, businesses that are extremely immune to the events that are going on in

  • the world.

Another criteria, if you think back to our lemonade stand company, as we

  • grew we had to buy more and more lemonade stands.  Now those lemonade stands only cost

  • $300 each, but imagine a business where every time you grew you had to build a new factory

  • to produce more and more product and those factories were really expensive.  Well that

  • company might generate a lot of cash from the business, but in order to grow youre

  • going to have to just reinvest more and more cash into the business.  The best businesses

  • are the ones where they don’t require a lot of capital to be reinvested in the company.

  •  They generate lots of cash that you can use to pay dividends to your shareholders

  • or you can invest in new high-return, attractive projects.  

So the key here is low capital

  • intensity, so let’s talk about a low capital intensity business.  Maybe the best way to

  • think about a low capital intensity business is to think about a high capital intensity

  • business.  If you think about the auto industry before you produce your first car you have

  • to build a huge factory.  Youve got buy a lot of machine tools.  You have to make

  • an enormous investment before you can send your first car out the door and those machine

  • tools wear out over time and as you make more and more cars you have to invest more and

  • more in the factories, so it’s a business that historically has not been very attractive

  • for the owners of the business.  If you looked at the price of General Motorsstock 50

  • years ago it actually hasn’t changed meaningfully even up until the last several years before

  • it went bankrupt.  If you ignored the most recent period up through the bankruptcy of

  • GM very few people made money investing in GM over a 40 or 50 year period of time and

  • the reason for that is that GM constantly had to reinvest every dollar that they generated

  • to build better and better factories so they can be competitive.  

If you compare

  • that to Coca Cola while Coca Cola there are bottling companies around the world a lot

  • of those bottling companies aren’t even owned by Coca Cola.  What theyre really

  • doing is theyre selling a formula and in exchange for that formula they get a royalty

  • on every dollar that is spent on Coca Cola.  Those are the better businesses. 

Another

  • good example might be American Express.  If you think about the American Express card

  • when you take your American Express card and you buy something American Express card gets

  • a few percent of every dollar that you spend.  So you put up the capital and they get a

  • several percentage point return on that.  They get 3% of so of what you spent.  So businesses

  • where you own a royalty on other people’s capital are the best businesses in the world

  • to invest in.

I guess the last point I would make is that if youre going to

  • invest in public companies it’s probably safest to invest in businesses that are not

  • controlled.  A controlled company is kind of like our lemonade stand business that we

  • took public.  The problem with a controlled company unless the controlling shareholder

  • is someone you completely trust, unless there is someone that has a great track record for

  • taking care of so-called minority investors, the non-controlling shareholders it can be

  • a risk of proposition to invest in that business because youre at the whim of the controlling

  • shareholder and even if the controlling shareholder today is someone that you feel comfortable

  • with there is no assurance that in the future they might sell control to someone else who

  • is not going to be as supportive of the shareholders of the business.  So it’s not that you

  • justyou can simply have a profitable business and a business that has done well.  You have

  • to make sure that the management and the people that control the business think about you

  • as an owner and are going to protect your interests.  So these are some of the key

  • criteria to think about. Now when are you ready to start investing

  • money?  My guess is youre a student.  You probably have student loans.  Perhaps you

  • even have some credit card debt.  Youre going to graduate.  Youre going to get

  • a job.  So you don’t want to jump right in and while you have a lot of debt outstanding

  • start investing in the stock market.  The stock market is a place to invest when youve

  • got a goodyou have money you can put away that you won’t need for 5 years, maybe 10

  • years.  So if youre paying relatively high interest rates on your credit cards you

  • definitely want to pay off your credit cards first before you think about investing in

  • the stock market.

You student loans are probably lower cost than your credit cards,

  • but again here my best advice would be if your student loans are costing you six or

  • seven percent well if you pay them off it’s as if you earned a guaranteed six or seven

  • percent return and youre just better off getting rid of your credit card debt and even

  • your student loan debt before you commit a lot of material amount of money to the stock

  • market.

So what do you do with your money while youre waiting to invest?  The answer

  • is you pay down your debt and you want to haveeven once youve paid off your credit

  • card debts, perhaps you paid down your student loans, you want to have enough money in the

  • bank so that even if you were to lose your job tomorrow youve got a good 6 months,

  • maybe even 12 months of money set aside.  So these are some pretty high standards and obviously

  • therefore these make it harder to start investing earlier, but the safest course of action in

  • order to be a successful investor is be ashave as little debt as possible.  Be comfortable

  • having some money in the bank, so if you lose your job tomorrow you can live until to find

  • your next opportunity and once youve achieved those goals then put aside money that you

  • don’t need to touch.  If you can do that then you can be a successful investor. 

So

  • let’s talk a little bit about the psychology of investing, so weve talked about some

  • of the technical factors, how to think about what a business is worth.  You want to buy

  • a business at a reasonable price.  You want to buy a business that is going to exist forever,

  • that has barriers to entry, where it’s going to be difficult for people to compete with

  • you, but all those things are important, but evenand a lot of investors follow those

  • principles.  The problem is that when they put them into practice and there is a panic

  • in the world and the stock market is heading down every day and theyre watching the

  • value of their IRA or their investment account decline the natural tendency is sort of to

  • do the opposite of what makes sense.  Generally it makes sense to be a buyer when everyone

  • else is selling and probably be a seller when everyone else is buying, but just human tendencies,

  • the tendency of the natural lemming-like tendency when everyone else is selling you want to

  • be doing the same thing encourages you as an investor to make mistakes, so a lot of

  • people sold into the crash of ’87 when in fact they should have been a buyer in that

  • kind of environment.  

So that’s why I talked before a little bit about why it’s

  • very important to be comfortable.  You want to be financially comfortable.  If you have

  • student loans you want to have a manageable amount of debt.  You probably don’t want

  • to be paying anyyou don’t want to have any revolving credit card debt outstanding.

  •  You want to have some money in the bank because if youre comfortable then the money

  • that youre risking in the stock market is not going to affect your lifestyle in the

  • short term.  As long as you don’t need that money tomorrow you can afford to deal

  • with the fluctuations of the stock market and the fluctuations, depending on who you

  • are can have a big impact on you.  People tend to feel rich when the stocks are going

  • up.  They tend to feel poor when the stocks are going down and the reality is the stock

  • market in the short term is what Ben Graham or even Warren Buffet called a voting machine.

  •  Really stock prices reflect what people think in the very short term.  If affects

  • the supply and demand for investors, buying and selling stocks in the short term.  Over

  • the long term however, stocks tend to reflect the value of the businesses they own.  So

  • if youre buying businesses at attractive prices and youre owning them over long

  • periods of time and those businesses are growing in value youre going to make money over

  • a long period of time as long as youre not forced to sell at any one period of time.

To

  • be a successful investor you have to be able to avoid some natural human tendencies to

  • follow the herd.  When the stock market is going down every day youre natural tendency

  • is to want to sell.  When the stock market is actually going up every day your natural

  • tendency is to want to buy, so in bubbles you probably should be a seller.  In busts

  • you should probably be a buyer and you have to have that kind of a discipline.  You have

  • to have a stomach to withstand the volatility of the stock markets.  

The key way

  • to have a stomach to withstand the volatility of the stock market is to be secure yourself.

  •  Youve got to feel comfortable that youve got enough money in the bank that you don’t

  • need what you have invested unlessfor many years.  That’s a key factor.  

Number

  • two, you have to recognize that the stock market in the short term is what we call a

  • voting machine.  It really represents the whims of people in the short term.  Stock

  • prices are affected by many things, by events going on in the world that really have nothing

  • to do with the value of certain companies that youre investing in, so youve got

  • to just accept the fact that what you own can go down meaningfully in value after you

  • buy it.  That doesn’t necessarily mean youve made an investment mistake.  It’s

  • just the nature of the volatility of the stock market.

How do you get comfortable?  Well

  • the way you get comfortable with the volatility is you do a lot of the work yourself.  You

  • don’t just buy a stock because you like the name of the company.  You do your own

  • research.  You get a good understanding of the business.  You make sure it’s a business

  • that you understand.  You make sure the price youre paying is reasonable relative to

  • the earnings of the company and we talked before a little bit about earnings and how

  • to look at a value of a business by putting a multiple on earnings.  A more sophisticated

  • way to think about a business is tothe value of anything is actually the amount of

  • cash you can take out of it over a very long period of time and people do build models

  • to predict how much cash a business will generate over a long period.  That is probably something

  • a little bit more complicated than were going to get into for the purpose of this

  • lecture, but maybe another way to think about it would be helpful.

So when you by a

  • bond and you get an interest rate, so today the 10 year Treasury pays about 3%.  Youre

  • earning 3% on your investment.  When you buy a stock that’s trading at a multiple

  • of its profits or a so-called PE ratio or a price to earnings ratio let’s say of 10

  • times it’s very similar to a bond.  In fact, if you flip over the PE ratio, you put

  • the E on top, what the business is earning and you put the price that youre paying

  • for the stock on the bottom it’s what the earnings are per share over the price you

  • get what’s called an earnings yield and you can compare that earnings yield to for

  • example the 10 year Treasury, so a company trading at a 10 PE is actually trading at

  • a 10% earning yield, so you can actually think about stocks or buying equity in a business

  • as very similar to buying an interest in a bond.  The difference is in the bond you

  • know what the coupon is going to be.  You know that 3% interest rate every year for

  • the next 10 years.  With stock you don’t know what the coupon is going to be.  The

  • coupon in the stock is how much profit it earns and you can try to project that profit

  • based on the history of the business and what the prospects are, but that profit is going

  • to move up and down every year.  Now hopefully the long term trend is up and so the way I

  • think about the decision between buying a bond or buying a stock is I want to make sure

  • that the earnings yield, that earnings per share over the price I'm paying for the stock

  • is higher than what I could get owning a Treasury and that earnings yield is something that’s

  • going to grow over a long period of time.

Now if you had a business that was growing at

  • a very, very high rate very oftenor growing its profits at a very high rate, very often

  • people are prepared to pay a pretty high multiple of those profits.  Why, because they expect

  • that earnings yield to grow, so if you had a business you might even payit might be

  • cheap some day to buy a business at 30 times its profits or a 3% or a 3.3% earnings yield

  • if you think that 3.3% is going to grow at a high rate and eventually get meaningfully

  • higher to a 5, a 6, a 7, a 8 or 10 percent rate.  Those kinds of investments are much

  • riskier.  The higher the multiple generally the higher the risk you take because youre

  • betting more on the future of the business.  Youre betting more on the future profitability.

So

  • my basic piece of advice in recommending the MacDonald’s and the Coca Cola’s of the

  • world are to find businesses that where youre going in yield your earnings yield is high

  • enough that you don’t need to be right about a very high rate of growth into the future

  • in order to earn attractive rate of return.  

Okay, so the few key success factors

  • for being an investor in the stock market are one, do the homework yourself.  Make

  • sure you understand the companies that youre investing in.  Two, invest money that you

  • won’t need for many years and three, limit the amount ofdon’t borrow money certainly

  • to invest in the stock market and limit that amount of leverage, if any, that you have

  • as an investor.

Okay, so after this brief 40 minute lecture I wouldn’t just jump in

  • immediately and start investing in the stock market.  You have some work to do.  There

  • is some books you can read and were going to provide you with a list of recommended

  • books at the end of the lecture that will help you learn more about investing.  Almost

  • everything you need to know about investing you can actually read in a book.  I learned

  • the business from reading books as opposed to reading books and the experience associated

  • with starting small and investing in the stock market.

Let’s say this is just not

  • for you.  I don’t want to invest, buy individual stocks.  It just seems too risky.  I don’t

  • have the time to do my own research.  What are your alternatives?  Well you alternatives

  • are to outsource your investing to others.  You can hire a money manager or you can

  • hire a group of money managers and there are a couple of different alternatives for a startup

  • investor.  The most common alternative is mutual fund companies.  So what is a mutual

  • fund? 

A mutual fund is I guess technically it’s a corporation, but where you buy stock

  • in this corporation and the manager selects a portfolio of stocks.  So what they do is

  • they pool together capital, money from a large group of investors.  So say they raise a

  • billion dollars and they take that money and they invest in a diversified collection of

  • securities.  Now the benefit of this approach is that with a tiny amount of money, even

  • less than $1,000 you can buy into a diversified portfolio managed by a professional manager

  • who is compensated to do a good job for you investing in the market.  So mutual funds

  • are a good potential area for investment.  The problem is there are probably 7, 8,000,

  • maybe 10,000 different mutual funds and some are fantastic and some are not particularly

  • good, so you need to do research to find a good mutual fund manager in the same way that

  • you need to find individual stocks, so it’s not just the easy thing of just invest in

  • mutual funds.

So here are a few key success factors in identifying a mutual fund or a

  • money manager of any kind to select.  Number one, you want someone who has an investment

  • strategy that makes sense to you; you understand what they do and how they do it.  Theyre

  • not appealing to your insecurity by using complicated words and expressions that you

  • don’t understand.  If they can’t explain to you in two minutes what they do and how

  • they do it and why it makes sense then it’s a strategy you shouldn’t invest in.  Number

  • two and this is not necessarily in this order.  This probably should be number one, is you

  • want someone with a reputation for integrity.  Again if youre starting out you probably

  • want to invest in some of—a mutual fund that is sponsored by some of the larger mutual

  • fund complexes as opposed to a tiny little mutual fund that is privatelyby a mutual

  • fund company that youve never heard of.  There is some benefit in the larger institutions

  • that haveyou can be more confident that theyre not going to steal your money.  You

  • want someone, an approach where the investor invests money on the basis of value.  Now

  • this sounds kind of obvious, but value investing has a very long term track record and there

  • are other kinds of investing including technical investing where people are betting on stocks

  • based on price movements, but I highly recommend against those kind of approaches.  So you

  • want someone making investments where theyre buying companies based on their belief that

  • the prospects of the business will be good and that the price paid relative to what the

  • business is worth represents a significant discount. 

You want to invest with someone

  • that a long term track record and I would say 5 years is the absolute minimum and ideally

  • you want someone who has 10, 15, 20 years of experience investing in the markets because

  • there is a lot that you can learn being a long term investor in the market.  You want

  • someone who has a consistent approach, where they haven’t changed what they do materially

  • year by year, that they have a stated strategy that theyve kept to thick and thin that

  • has enabled them to earn an attractive return over their lifetime as an investor and I always

  • say in some way most importantly you want someone who is investing the substantial majority

  • of their own money alongside yours.  Obviously it shouldn’t be that theyre investing

  • your money.  This is what they do for you, but for their money they do something meaningfully

  • different.  You want someone whose interests are aligned with yours.  If it’s a mutual

  • fund you want them to have a lot of money in their own mutual fund.  If it’s a hedge

  • fund, which is a privately sold fund for investors who have higher net worth you want a manager

  • who is investing alongside you as well.  

I have a strong aversion to strategies that

  • require the use of leverage, so in the same way you want to invest in companies that use

  • very little debt you want to invest in investment strategies that you very little leverage.

  •  If you can avoid leverage and invest in high quality businesses or invest with high

  • quality managers it’s hard to lose a lot of money versus the use of leverage.  Lots

  • of money can be lost.

Now in the same way when youre building a portfolio of

  • stocks where you don’t want to put all of your eggs in one basket and you want a reasonable

  • degree of diversification and the more sophisticated, the more work you do, the higher the quality

  • the business is you invest in the more concentrated your portfolio can be, but I would say for

  • an individual investor you want to own at least 10 and probably 15 and as many as 20

  • different securities.  Many people would consider that to be a relatively highly concentrated

  • portfolio.  In our view you want to own the best 10 or 15 businesses you can find and

  • if you invest in low leverage, high quality companies that’s a comfortable degree of

  • diversification.  If you invest with money managers you probably don’t want to put

  • all your eggs in one basket there either and here you probably want to have two or three

  • different, perhaps four different alternative, mutual funds or money managers, so again there

  • you have some degree of diversification in your holdings.

  • So we spent the hour.  We started with a little lemonade stand company and the purpose

  • of that was to give you some of the basics on how to think about a business, where the

  • profits comes from, what revenues are, what expenses are, what a balance sheet is, what

  • an income statement is, how to think about what a business is worth, how to think about

  • what the difference between what a good business is versus a bad business, how debt offered

  • is generally higher, actually lower risk, but lower return, how equity investors or

  • investors who buy the stock or the ownership of a business have the potential to earn more

  • or lose more and we use that background as a way to think about-

We use that as

  • thejust as the basics to get someone of the vocabulary to think about investing and

  • we talked about investing in the stock market.  We talked about ways to think about how

  • to select investments, how to deal with some of the psychological issues of investing.

  •  We covered a fair amount of ground in a relatively short period of time. 

Now

  • I entitled the lecture Everything you Need to Know about Finance and Investing in Less

  • Than an Hour.  Well it really isn’t everything you need to know.  It’s really just an

  • introduction and hopefully I didn’t mislead you, induce you to watch this for an hour,

  • but there is a lot more that can be learned and there is wonderful books that can teach

  • you on the topic, so I think what is interesting about investing whether you choose this as

  • a fulltime career or not if youre going to be successful in your career youre going

  • to make some money and how you invest that money is going to make a big difference in

  • the quality of life that you have and perhaps that your children have or the kind of house

  • youre able to buy or the retirement that youre going to be able to enjoy and we

  • talked about the difference between a 10% return and a 15 and a 20% return over a very

  • long lifetime and what impact that has in terms of how much wealth you create over the

  • period, so investing is going to be important to you whether you like it or not and learning

  • more about investing is going to have a big impact on your quality of life if money is

  • something that you need in order to meet some of your goals.  

So I recommend this

  • as an area worthy of exploration and the more you learn about investing the morethese

  • same concepts while theyre useful in deciding how to invest your portfolio theyre also

  • useful to you in thinking about decisions like buying a home, making decisions in your

  • line of work, if youre a lawyer whether to hire additional people, these kinds of

  • calculations and thought processes are helpful and theyre helpful in life and I recommend

  • that you learn more.  So take a look at the reading list and good luck.



So let’s begin.  Were going to go into business together.  Were going

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ウィリアム・アックマン:1時間以内に金融と投資について知る必要があるすべてのこと (William Ackman: Everything You Need to Know About Finance and Investing in Under an Hour)

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    郎奇多 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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