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  • Syria's war is a mess.

  • After 6 years The conflict is divided between four sides, each side with foreign backers

  • and those foreign backers don't even agree with each other on who they are fighting for and who they are fighting against.

  • And now, Syria’s use of chemical weapons has provoked President Donald Trump to directly attack Syrian President Bashar Al Assad.

  • This is a major development because up until now the US has only been focused on fighting ISIS.

  • To understand the criss-crossing interventions and battle lines in Syria today, and how it got this way,

  • it helps to go back to the beginning of the conflict and watch to see how it unfolded.

  • The first shots in the war were fired, in March 2011, by Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad against peaceful Arab Spring demonstrators.

  • In July the protesters start shooting back,

  • and some Syrian troops even defect from the Syrian army to join them.

  • They call themselves the Free Syrian Army and the uprising becomes a civil war.

  • Extremists from around the region and the world start traveling to Syria to join the rebels.

  • Now Assad actually encourages this by releasing jihadist prisoners to tinge the rebellion with extremism

  • and make it harder for foreign backers to support them.

  • In January 2012, al-Qaeda forms a new branch in Syria, Jabhat al-Nusra.

  • Also around that time, Syrian Kurdish groups, who had long sought autonomy take up arms and

  • informally secede from Assad's rule in the north.

  • That summer is when Syria becomes a proxy war.

  • Iran, Assad's most important ally, intervenes on his behalf.

  • By the end of 2012, Iran is sending daily cargo flights and has hundreds of officers on the ground.

  • At the same time, the oil-rich Arab states in the Persian Gulf begin sending money and weapons to the rebels, mainly to counter Iran’s influence.

  • Iran steps up its influence in turn in mid-2012 when Hezbollah, a Lebanese militia backed by Iran,

  • invades to fight along Assad.

  • In turn the Gulf states respond, Saudi Arabia really stepping up this time, to send more money and weapons to the rebels,

  • this time through Jordan who also opposes Assad.

  • By 2013, the middle east is divided between mostly Sunni powers generally supporting the rebels

  • and Shias generally supporting Assad.

  • That April, the Obama administration, horrified by Assad's atrocities and the mounting death tolls,

  • signs a secret order authorizing the CIA to train and equip Syrian rebels.

  • But the program stalls.

  • At the same time, The US quietly urges Arab Gulf states to stop funding extremists,

  • but their requests basically go ignored.

  • In August the Assad regime uses chemical weapons against civilians, provoking condemnation around the world.

  • Obama: "Men, women, children lying in

  • rowskilled by poison gas..."

  • It is in the national security interests of the United States to respond to the Assad regime's use of chemical weapons through a targeted military strike."

  • Russia proposed on Monday that Syria surrender control over its chemical weapons to the International

  • Community for its eventual dismantling, to avoid a US military strike.

  • The US ends up backing down, but the whole thing establishes Syria as

  • a great-powers dispute, with Russia backing Assad and the US opposing them.

  • Just weeks later, the first American CIA training and arms reach Syrian rebels,

  • the US is now a participant in the war.

  • In February 2014, something happens that transforms the war: an al-Qaeda affiliate, based mostly

  • in Iraq, breaks away from the group over internal disagreements.

  • The group calls itself the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS, and it becomes al-Qaeda's enemy.

  • ISIS mostly fights not Assad, but other rebels and Kurds,

  • carving out a mini-state it calls its Caliphate.

  • That summer, it marches across Iraq seizing territory, galvanizing the world against it.

  • In September, one year after US almost bombed Assad, it begins bombing ISIS.

  • Obama: “We're moving ahead with our campaign of airstrikes against these terrorists,

  • and we're prepared to take action against ISIL in Syria as well.”

  • That summer, in July, the Pentagon launches its own program to train Syrian rebelsbut

  • will only train those who will fight ISIS, not Assad.

  • The program fizzles, showing that America now opposes ISIS more than Assad, but that

  • there's also no like-minded Syrian proxy forces on the ground in Syria.

  • In August, Turkey starts bombing Kurdish groups in Iraq and in Turkey, even as these Kurdish groups are fighting ISIS in Syria,

  • but Turkey doesn't bomb ISIS.

  • This gets to one of the big problems in this conflict: the US sees ISIS as its main enemy, but the US’s allies like

  • Turkey and a lot of Middle Eastern states have other priorities.

  • This makes for a lot of unclear confusing alliances.

  • The next month, in September, Russia intervenes on behalf of Assad, sending a few dozen military aircraft to a long-held Russian base in the country.

  • Russia says it's there to bomb ISIS, but in fact, only ends up bombing anti-Assad rebels, including some backed by the US.

  • The next year, Donald Trump wins the White House, vowing to stay out of Syria,

  • and signaling that Assad should be able to stay in power.

  • At the end of 2016, Assad, helped by Russian airpower and Iranian sponsored militias, retakes

  • the Syrian city of Aleppo, knocking the rebels out of their last remaining urban stronghold.

  • Then, in Spring of 2017, Assad once again uses chemical weapons against his people,

  • killing 85, including 20 children.

  • Back in the US, Trump says his attitude toward Syria and Assad haschanged very muchdue to the attacks.

  • He vows to respond.

  • And within just a few days the White House launches dozens of tomahawk missiles that strike an airbase in Syria,

  • this is the first time the United States has directly attacked the Assad Regime.

  • And this adds yet another criss-crossing complication to the already multidimensional civil war.

  • So as it stands now Syria is in ruins.

  • Even as Assad recaptures land, the rebellion perseveres.

  • And with outside countries fueling each of the groups,

  • it’s clear that there is still no end in sight.

Syria's war is a mess.

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シリアの戦争。誰が、なぜ戦っているのか [更新] (Syria's war: Who is fighting and why [Updated])

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    韓澐 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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