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  • There are two visions for self-driving cars today. One of them -- this is a symbol

  • that the Toyota team uses, which I really love. They call it the mobility

  • [teammate] concept. In this particular model, the car is a virtual

  • copilot that arguably drives even better than you do.

  • It drives better than you do because it's paying attention all the time. It's

  • paying attention because it's a computer. It sees all around itself. And if we could

  • create the technology to make it possible to drive by itself, this virtual

  • copilot will keep you out of harm's way. I kind of imagine this idea where your car

  • essentially has this virtual bubble around it, virtual force field around it.

  • You never run into anything else around it. It knows exactly where to go. And it

  • keeps you out of harm's way. The second vision is a car that has no drivers at

  • all. In both of these examples, the computing

  • capability necessary to achieve autonomy,

  • self-driving capability, is going to be far greater than anything that's currently

  • available. And we'll talk about that in a second and make it clear why that's

  • so. In both of these visions, if we could realize it, the

  • contribution we can make to society is really, really wonderful and great. And so

  • our vision is to create the computing platform necessary to make this possible.

  • The self-driving program loop basically works like this. There's a sensing part.

  • You get all kinds of sensors. You want sensors that can see during the daytime,

  • during nighttime, during rain, during fog. All of the different types of conditions

  • that you could possibly imagine

  • surrounding the car, you would like to be able to sense. It could be radars.

  • It could be LIDARs. It could be cameras. It could be ultrasonics. You have inertial

  • measurement in units. You have GPS. All of these sensors contribute to sensing

  • where you are and what's around you.

  • There are several different [blocks] that I'll talk about. The top block is the map,

  • the precision map. That map was generated in advance. It was done through scanning,

  • probably LIDAR scanning. You see these cars that are running around mapping

  • the world in 3D, measuring the world and precisely mapping every part.

  • In the middle, that block is called localized. That has something to do with where you

  • are. Based on what you measure, based on what you perceive, we have to figure out

  • where you are within a few centimeters. The bottom block is perception. Perception --

  • seeing everything around you,

  • whether it's during daytime, driving directly into sunlight, in snow, in

  • fog, in rain. Whenever it is, we need to perceive where you are and

  • what's around you. And based on all of that information, we have to figure out a

  • way to plan your path. So starting from where you are, you perceive the world. We

  • figure out a way to calibrate that with a pre-known map. And then, based on

  • everything that's moving around you,

  • your movement where you are in the world all the movement of all the other

  • objects around you -- whether it's pedestrians crossing or bicyclists or

  • motorcyclists or cars that are moving all around you -- you need to find a way to

  • find your path. That's called path planning. You do this in basically

  • an infinite loop. You just keep doing this continuously. You're perceiving the

  • world continuously, you're comparing it against the map continuously, you're

  • localizing continuously, and you're planning the next step

  • continuously. And we do this as fast as we can so we can control the car and

  • make the car drive and path plan, so that it keeps you out of harm's way. It turns

  • out all of this is relatively hard to do. Each and every single one of these

  • blocks are hard to do.

  • Perception is hard, localization is hard, path planning is hard,

  • ffiguring out what sensors to use, using the right amount of sensors,

  • but modestly so we can make it cost-effective -- hard to do. All of these

  • components are hard to do, and there's innovation,

  • R&D, and discovery in every single component of it.

  • Self-driving cars is hard. It turns out that driving is hard.

  • When you think about highway driving, we've constrained the problem enough

  • that highway driving has become relatively easy, per se, to the point

  • where grandparents can drive. We all largely stay in our lane, we're traveling

  • about the same speed, and so relative to each other we're hardly moving. Highway

  • driving is relatively easy. And even then, there are many conditions by which

  • highway driving hasn't been solved. We have highway driving in all kinds of

  • conditions. If a truck carrying some junk, some parts of it fell off onto a

  • road -- that happens, as you know, pretty much all the time. And when that happens,

  • your car has to do the right thing, take evasive action, and keep you out

  • of harm's way. So, even highway driving is hard. But we can't realize

  • the full potential of our vision unless we can solve also city driving. Now, in

  • city driving, almost none of us are going in the same direction.

  • You've got cars coming sideways, you've got people walking all over the place, bikers

  • are of course on the same road you are, motorcyclists. And people are of

  • course sometimes following the rules and largely not. So, you can't read a manual

  • from the DMV and figure out exactly what program to write into

  • your car to cause it to drive properly. And so city driving is very chaotic. It's very,

  • very hard, and the perception problem, as you can imagine, explodes. You have to

  • perceive all kinds of cars, all different types of people, all different types of

  • bicyclists, all different types of environments.

  • Sometimes the road is being fixed; sometimes there's construction going on.

  • Sometimes the lane is painted over from a new lane, and all of the sudden the number of

  • lanes you look at with your car is rather confusing for the car. And so,

  • everything around that environment is chaotic.

  • It's complex, it's unpredictable, and oftentimes it's even hazardous. So, self-driving

  • cars are hard.

There are two visions for self-driving cars today. One of them -- this is a symbol

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CES 2016。自走車への挑戦(後編 (CES 2016: The Challenge of Self-Driving Cars (part 2))

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    alex に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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