Placeholder Image

字幕表 動画を再生する

  • SPEAKER 1: We've heard so far this morning about different

  • ways of dealing with systemic or systematic disturbances and

  • ways social change, ways of responding in positive rather

  • than negative fashion.

  • We've heard from Jared Diamond about analyzing the way

  • societies and individuals and families and cultures respond.

  • We've heard from Gao Xiqing with his ideas about

  • possibilities for reform, both United States and China and the

  • world financial system.

  • We've just heard from Jennifer Corriero about using web tools

  • to mobilize the great energy of youth around the world.

  • We're going to hear now about another way of thinking about,

  • and dealing with questions of change and wealth, and poverty,

  • and development, and wealth creation.

  • We're going to hear about it from two people who basically

  • need no introduction, so I'll just give you their names.

  • I'd like you to join me in welcoming Eric Schmidt, the

  • CEO of Google, who will be in discussion with Carlos

  • Slim of Telmex in Mexico.

  • Eric Schmidt and Carlos Slim.

  • [APPLAUSE]

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: Well first, on behalf of Google, thank you

  • all for joining us for today.

  • Last night, today, tonight, and tomorrow it's going to be a

  • great conference, and it's made special because of

  • all of you here.

  • I want to welcome Carlos Slim, my friend, who many people in

  • the United States don't know.

  • And what's interesting about Carlos is that we know

  • him because of the successive Telmex.

  • We know because of the movement of telecommunications

  • and technology that he's driving in Latin America.

  • We don't know much else about what has driven his passion and

  • his ideas, and I'd like to ask you a little bit about that.

  • Before we do that, can you tell us a little bit about

  • your company, Telmex?

  • Just introduce the company.

  • What does it do?

  • CARLOS SLIM: Good morning.

  • Thank you for your invitation.

  • When I was in high school I read a book called Mathematics

  • and the Imagination.

  • And I look, it was googol.

  • But we say goggle.

  • And I was thinking, what happened with goggleplex.

  • And now I know you have a place, Googleplex.

  • Congratulations for what you have done, and thank

  • you for the invitation.

  • Telmex is a traditional incumbent company that used to

  • be in Mexico and was privatized at the end of 1990.

  • And we make a group together with SBC-- today AT&T.

  • SBC Southwestern Bell, but after that they merged with six

  • or seven strong companies to make a U.S. national

  • and France Telecom.

  • Southwestern Bell has 10% of the company.

  • France Telecom: 5.1%, and the Mexican group used to have

  • 10.4 from which we have a little more than 3%.

  • And through a holding: 5%.

  • This company mobile like all the incumbencies.

  • Now we're a country that have still electomechanical switches

  • to a very modern company.

  • We invest more in Mexico, more than $30 billion

  • just in landline.

  • But from there we're a second in the market company in

  • mobile, in cellular service.

  • That's called Telcel.

  • And we begin to grow mostly making them compete.

  • Actually Telmex is the smallest company, and the big

  • company is America Movil.

  • We're in all Latin America.

  • We have more than 170 million customers.

  • We grow more than 65% for 17 years.

  • Every year 65%.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: Wow.

  • CARLOS SLIM: This was year '67 Well, '67 [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • 16 years.

  • Well we have service every place.

  • [UNINTELLIGIBLE PHRASE]

  • We have grown strongly in many countries.

  • We have pushed the pre-paid.

  • We believe that we developed the concept of pre-paid.

  • We call it in '95 or something like that, in our crisis,

  • the [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • plan to subsidize the concepts to sell-- [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • to sell cards.

  • I prepared this information.

  • We can see how the penetration of mobile telephony has

  • been in our countries.

  • We have now many countries with more penetration in Latin

  • America than U.S. Mostly Argentina and Chile

  • and Venezuela.

  • The average we have is 72% against 61% of Canada.

  • That's more penetration than Canada.

  • But quite interesting also in comparison with China.

  • China has grown in these five years and one quarter 169%.

  • And in Latin America we have grown 227.7%.

  • And it is interesting to make clear that still Latin America

  • has a bigger gross national product, gross domestic

  • product than China.

  • That's one point.

  • That's the mobile that we are very glad that we have done.

  • We are near all the countries in Latin America with

  • a few exceptions.

  • The penetration, like I'm telling is now-- will be three

  • out of every four people will have a mobile.

  • And now we are going to 3G and we're looking now how to take

  • in our countries the digital culture.

  • Instead of talking about [UNINTELLIGIBLE], talk

  • about digital culture.

  • And we have worked with MIT and Negroponte sometime.

  • And work with [UNINTELLIGIBLE].

  • We are pushing it by many ways with multiple platforms.

  • Looking to have convergence of broadband in our countries

  • so as soon as possible.

  • Not only for entertainment, but also for health,

  • education, and et cetera.

  • And we're pushing that and we have now formed

  • [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • companies.

  • One is Telmex, that is Mexico.

  • One is America Movil.

  • That is a big company with this mobile growing.

  • And now we are developing a international Telmex--

  • Telmex International.

  • Working already in Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, Peru,

  • Columbia, and other countries.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: So you have a reputation and a history for

  • being an engineer, and being very good with numbers.

  • One of your hobbies, as I know, is baseball statistics and you

  • keep it all, and you keep it all in your head.

  • But you have a strong view of how society will change.

  • You believe in a new society, not an old society.

  • Can you describe that for people?

  • What is the society going to look like over

  • the next few years?

  • CARLOS SLIM: What is clear is that advances in technology

  • and advances in productivity.

  • But it's also clear that when technology changes, change many

  • of the sectors of the society, you have a revolution,

  • a society revolution.

  • You have a new kind of era, a new civilization.

  • I think in great numbers we have four civilizations,

  • four kinds of society.

  • [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • with the hunting and the collection.

  • The agricultural society.

  • I think two steps of the industrial society.

  • First with the steam engine.

  • With the steam engine came the railways and the steam boats,

  • but also the industrial production, mining production,

  • with agricultural production, with the steam engine.

  • And then in the 20th century with the electricity and the

  • internal combustion, you have the modern society.

  • That changed everything.

  • But in the last years-- last maybe 40, 50 after the second

  • war, the technology was advancing so much, and the

  • productivity was so high that now we are getting a

  • society of services.

  • If you look, U.S. maybe 85% of the people employed is in

  • services, including the construction services.

  • And what the [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • look is that the paradigms of the old societies are very

  • different of the new society.

  • In the agricultural society new need slaves.

  • You need a workforce, social immobility, ignorance, and

  • the power were monolithic.

  • You have the same person, the imperador, the king,

  • the [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • in America, the Inca in Peru, that was with the political

  • power, but also came from divinity-- to have

  • the religious.

  • He was coming from divinity.

  • And they have also the military power and the economic power.

  • And these paradigms were completely different.

  • Now the paradigms are very general, very interesting,

  • very motivated.

  • And the way that we need these new society is

  • also very positive.

  • The paradigms today are freedom, democracy, liberty,

  • creativity, innovation, competition, globalization,

  • human rights, environment, et cetera.

  • And these paradigms will change these societies.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: So when you think about Mexico, of course,

  • you grew up there, you're the most prominent businessmen in

  • America, literally; in all of America.

  • How will Mexico change?

  • U.S. citizens who go to Mexico love the culture.

  • They see the wealth, they see the poverty, they see the

  • difference in things.

  • They see the drug issues, the police issues, and so forth.

  • Give us a sense of how Mexico with evolve.

  • And you're doing a lot to change it.

  • CARLOS SLIM: I think this new society it's very easy to

  • produce goods, to produce services very efficiently, very

  • low cost, and produce wealth.

  • But if you don't make the right conduction, the

  • change is great crisis.

  • And that's what we are living, and that's what-- if we don't

  • make a right conduction of the changes we will have

  • a lot of crisis.

  • In the industrial society, we have civil wars, we have two

  • world wars, and many programs.

  • A lot of experiments with society in the 20th century.

  • Social experiments, political experiments, economic

  • experiments because they don't know how to manage the changes.

  • For me it's clear that to fight poverty is not with charity,

  • is not with social programs.

  • You need to give nutrition from the mother pregnant, nutrition

  • for the child and for the student, health and employment.

  • Health and education, excuse me.

  • You need to bring high quality education to all

  • grades of education.

  • That's why I was talking before of digital culture.

  • You need to have a modern and high quality

  • education and jobs.

  • As you have a higher education you have more

  • diversity of jobs.

  • You can find jobs easier, more easier than if you only

  • know how to do one thing.

  • I think the way for Mexico and all our countries is to take

  • out people from poverty.

  • The best investment is to take people out of-- and I'm not

  • talking only about social issues or ethical issues

  • or moral issues.

  • It's an economic need to take out people of poverty to create

  • middle classes, to take them to modernity, to take

  • them to the market.

  • And as much as you can include in the market and in the

  • society-- 40 million people in our country, [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • out of that.

  • Or like China is doing with 800 million still in marginal.

  • Putting 30 or 40 million every year in the modernity.

  • That's what you need to change.

  • That's why we need to change.

  • And we need to have a economic environment, a economic

  • climate for investment.

  • Because with this investment you will have economic

  • activity and employment.

  • We need to develop employment.

  • And what are we doing?

  • Well, we are trying to work in combination with the foundation

  • and investing in profit and nonprofit companies.

  • In profit companies we are doing our job, regular job.

  • That means some employment and some ethics.

  • But others increase productivity.

  • Let's say mobile telephony make higher the

  • productivity of our people.

  • But the broadband and digital culture will improve the

  • education and modernize.

  • But also, look the way to increase employment.

  • And to increase employment you need to begin to be creative,

  • to have creativity.

  • Think of inertia, inertia drive most of the decisions, but you

  • need to move like you do that in Google to change that.

  • And the only environment that you need for that is a stable,

  • financial stability, micro stability, and to push the

  • activity where employment is.

  • And employment is mainly in construction, housing,

  • infrastructure, small business, micro business, middle

  • business that need to be financed and pushed.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: And you actually have a view, I think,

  • that businesses should do this ahead of the politicians

  • because businesses have a longer term view.

  • CARLOS SLIM: I think that in the past, in this agricultural

  • society, let's say politicians or governments were everything.

  • Were everything, [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • with that person were everything.

  • I think companies want a formula for an agricultural

  • society, not for a modern society.

  • And now as the society advances between the paradigms of

  • freedom, creativity-- you need more activity of

  • the civil society.

  • Every time the government will give more space to its

  • society to do the solutions and to do the things.

  • And I believe that entrepreneur and many other people in other

  • activities can't think in long term, and find solutions and

  • going the way for long-term solutions and not short-term.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: Let's see if we can get some questions

  • from the audience.

  • The problem I have with your vision, which I agree with is

  • we've just spent the last five days going through an

  • extraordinary financial restructuring.

  • And there's an article today in the paper that's saying that

  • banks are so scared of each other that they've stopped

  • lending to each other and that there's a worldwide credit

  • crisis about to happen.

  • Now you've been through a couple of these in Latin

  • America where you cleverly maneuvered through tremendous

  • challenges to build Telmex.

  • What do you think's going to happen to the credit markets,

  • to the United States?

  • I mean, a lot of people are very, very concerned.

  • CARLOS SLIM: I believe that cycles, economic cycles, you

  • say-- called cycles are OK in an agricultural society, when

  • you have good weather and bad weather.

  • But when are talking about services societies, there's

  • not quite to have cycles.

  • And what make cycles secure is that the people personally have

  • problems, and like in society also of euphoria

  • and pessimistic.

  • Optimistic and pessimistic.

  • In one day you have these kind of changes, but the society

  • like a whole have also these kind.

  • And I think we will have a few years of euphoria and madness,

  • thinking that everything will grow in crisis because they

  • go, prognosis is very usual.

  • Inertia is very in our minds always.

  • If it went up five years, it will go forever

  • or [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • et cetera.

  • And I think in this madness people in charge of the

  • financial system were looking for size.

  • For [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • for businesses.

  • For volume bigger and bigger and bigger and bigger, they

  • think, will be better and not to make the best job.

  • Not the efficiency.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: So do you think the current credit crisis

  • will actually affect the markets that you and I've

  • been talking about?

  • CARLOS SLIM: Yeah, they will affect everything, and they

  • will be worse than now I think.

  • I would like to be [UNINTELLIGIBLE].

  • That I am wrong, but I think things will get a little worse.

  • Because we were talking about the sub-prime [UNINTELLIGIBLE].

  • But they have sub-prime everywhere.

  • Sub-prime for acquisitions, sub-prime for derivatives,

  • sub-prime for commodities, and we're just talking

  • about [UNINTELLIGIBLE].

  • Today now they are getting with the real thing.

  • But what is important is not if it will be worse or better.

  • It will happen sometime.

  • The important thing is to get back from that, from this

  • situation in a better shape as strongly, and to try to

  • avoid all these problems.

  • And I think there are many solutions, easy solutions.

  • Easy, but very costly.

  • I used to say for 20 years to now that in the developed

  • countries the crisis are paid by the savers.

  • In our countries, it's paid by the consumers.

  • That's always that the savers pay the crisis of the consumers

  • because of that, the consumers a big social problem.

  • I think it should be taken out, the speculation.

  • But there's a bubble of [UNINTELLIGIBLE PHRASE]

  • because you can buy contracts and commodities with 5% only.

  • You need to increase the margin for that to avoid

  • the speculation, mainly in oil and food.

  • But also, one of the reason is the weakness of the dollar.

  • There is a big deficit, the weakness of the dollar.

  • And I think the solution-- they are doing, I think, a good

  • job, but do a bit more progress in the future.

  • A good job because they have a low interest rate, negative

  • interest rate that in the past helped to [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • assets.

  • Lower interest rates [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • assets.

  • The worst thing that they can do is to increase the

  • interest rate, like in '81.

  • You remember in '81 it went to-- the prime rate was 21%.

  • That was crazy.

  • I think with a low and negative interest rate for a while,

  • making stronger the dollar, and looking that all the

  • [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • American [UNINTELLIGIBLE]

  • fall down more to avoid the recession with inflation and

  • especially for the social issues.

  • And the interest rate down and the spread of the

  • [UNINTELLIGIBLE].

  • The problem is a crisis of the financial system.

  • And the way that they can go out is with the spread

  • between what is the active and the passive.

  • They can have 5%, 4% spread of 6%.

  • If they love the money, if you're paying 1.5% or 2% and

  • you are collecting 6 or 8 or 10 or 12 you can correct

  • that in two years.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: The reason I'm asking about the financial

  • crisis is because people in the United States have a

  • stereotype of Latin America financial crises.

  • And now it seems like we're having a financial crisis, I

  • wonder what the Latin Americans think about

  • our financial crisis.

  • CARLOS SLIM: I told you before that you solve your problems

  • with the savers that's with low interest rate, with

  • negative interest rates.

  • And the monetary fund and other institutions press Latin

  • America to be paid by the consumers.

  • And that's great crisis, no?

  • Consumption get down 15% like Argentina a few

  • years ago, Mexico in '95.

  • And I think it's a better social issue to be paid by

  • savers than by consumers.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: So your view, and you operate in all of Latin

  • American countries, is that the growth rate will continue.

  • CARLOS SLIM: What?

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: You believe that the growth rate in Latin

  • America will continue?

  • CARLOS SLIM: I think we will have-- [INTERPOSING VOICES]

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: But as you know, 20 years ago we had bad

  • leadership in Latin America, a number of dictators-- a number

  • of very, very bad acts by states, and the surprise in the

  • last 10 years has been the robustness of Latin

  • American economies.

  • And in fact, their ability to pay back the loans that they

  • got, which they fought so hard for 10 years earlier.

  • Ultimately does Latin America get to be as strong

  • as the United States?

  • Is that possible given the resources in the population?

  • The growth rates are higher?

  • CARLOS SLIM: I think that the Western world-- U.S. and

  • Europe has troubles, crisis like we have.

  • Like we're looking around.

  • It will be probably worldwide.

  • You cannot be an island in this world problem.

  • Maybe China, China has a strong position to move and grow less.

  • They will not grow at 12% more for a few years, but they can

  • grow 6, 8% because they can come back and look for

  • the internal market.

  • Until now they grow with your market and with Europe and

  • with the world market.

  • Now they can turn and accelerate the process of

  • integrating more faster the part of this population.

  • But when you have a recession like this everyone will

  • decrease the growing.

  • The important thing is that is not costly socially, like

  • oil crisis in the past.

  • We have this experience and I think there are tools to avoid

  • to have this costly situation.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: To finish up and try to understand what your

  • next steps are, Telmex, for example, and holding companies

  • that you are associated with are actually thinking about

  • expanding past Latin America, really becoming international

  • telephone operators and telephony in business.

  • Do you see Telmex as really a global company going forward?

  • CARLOS SLIM: These things we're looking two years ago, three

  • years ago that maybe a little more things were getting

  • in not a good way.

  • And we have, we believe, healthy companies.

  • What we do is to try to have a healthy position.

  • The view of the group that-- actually, we have sold some

  • companies in the last two years or three years because we were

  • looking that something were going to happen, like

  • it is happening now.

  • And what we have is a healthy position.

  • We know they're in crisis.

  • It will be a difficult, tough crisis.

  • Nobody knows how deep, how important, how long, but our

  • position is to be financially healthy, very healthy.

  • And we still are buying buybacks.

  • We have a politics of dividends conservative to have

  • a stronger position.

  • And we will be-- we don't know.

  • We don't know what will happen, but what is clear is that we're

  • looking to have a healthy financial position to

  • follow investing.

  • And one of the things we do in the group, we have a

  • philosophy of some points.

  • Is to maintain an austerity in good times.

  • To avoid lay outs in bad times.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: So the other thing that you're doing is

  • you're using your personal wealth for good,

  • for investments.

  • You recently invested, for example, in the New York Times

  • in a minority position.

  • You have many things that you're doing personally.

  • Can you talk a little bit about, for example, your

  • philanthropic interests, and where do you think your

  • personal impact will be felt?

  • I read, for example, that you've committed up to $7

  • billion of philanthropic works, and good works, and investments

  • in the world, which is an extraordinary commitment.

  • CARLOS SLIM: We're focusing in Latin America-- Mexico

  • and Latin America.

  • We have some experience already doing some jobs

  • like Mexico downtown.

  • I was in charge of that, or made the efforts, and

  • it worked very well.

  • I think the combination of nonprofit organizations

  • like the foundations, and profit business can work

  • together in some areas.

  • Sometimes it's only the nonprofit, let's say for

  • health and education.

  • It mainly is nonprofit, but also you can develop profit

  • companies to support the activity and move in

  • the same direction.

  • Let's say if you are talking about [UNINTELLIGIBLE].

  • You need someone that say, I will invest in that.

  • Not let's say Central America has 70% of its energy in

  • thermoelectric when they have a lot of water.

  • But they don't go hydroelectric because they don't have the

  • investment and the money to make the investment.

  • I think we need to change that to 70% hydroelectric and 30%

  • thermoelectric when they have so much water to use for this

  • kind of power that is the cycle.

  • If the others don't invest we're investing already there,

  • and proposing investment there.

  • And in this way you have these profit companies, but also when

  • you're talking about health, one way you go nonprofit

  • with programs of nonprofit.

  • Or sports or culture, you go nonprofit.

  • But sometimes we combine that.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: So my sense, and I want to thank you for

  • coming and spending time at Zeitgeist, is that Carlos is a

  • person, who I think exemplifies what you can do as an

  • individual when you want to have an impact on the world.

  • Both in terms of the impact that you've been able to

  • achieve, just in terms of bringing people up with

  • communications and so forth, and building a great business

  • in the mean time, and now continuing that set of

  • principles and really having an impact on a much,

  • much broader stage.

  • So thank you very much for coming.

  • CARLOS SLIM: Thank you.

  • DR. ERIC SCHMIDT: Thank you.

  • CARLOS SLIM: Thank you very much.

  • [APPLAUSE]

SPEAKER 1: We've heard so far this morning about different

字幕と単語

ワンタップで英和辞典検索 単語をクリックすると、意味が表示されます

B1 中級

エリック・シュミット会長兼CEO、Googleインタビュー カルロス・スリム財団会長兼テルメックス財団会長のカルロス・スリム氏 (Eric Schmidt, Chairman and CEO, Google interviews Carlos Slim, Chairman, Carlos Slim Foundation and Chairman, Telmex Foundation)

  • 131 5
    Chia-Yin Huang に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
動画の中の単語