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So you see what I don't understand is
why I have to go through all this pain.
But when I do see something I don't agree with
I become addicted to try to answer what is the truth.
Today I'm going to talk about some of the ideas
that I've focused on.
They come in many different topics
and you can see they cover
medical problems in marathon runners.
Rugby injuries. Are all rugby players overplayed?
Something about nutrition.
Should we be eating carbohydrates
or should we be eating fats?
And particularly what regulates our exercise performance?
And then, is it possible to swim at the North Pole
at -1.8°C in a speedo?
So I'm going to talk about those questions
and I'm going to begin by the very first question
that ever came to me as a scientist was:
Are marathon runners immune to heart disease?
And this was a theory developed
by a Californian pathologist
and he said on the basis on any contrary evidence,
it looked like if you ran a marathon
you'd never have a heart attack.
So I mean I knew that it was absolutely bogus
but to prove it was all the more difficult.
At the time in the 1970s
this was the bible of running.
It was written by James Fixx
and he described at length the whole hypothesis.
Tragically seven years after this picture was taken
James Fixx died of a heart attack while running.
But by then we had in fact already shown
that it was possible for people to have heart disease.
So we looked for when we saw reports of people
dying in marathon races
we would go and collect their hearts
and we would examine them
and eventually we found the evidence
and so we published a paper
in the New England Journal of Medicine
showing that there were runners who had disease
and the disease here is -- this is coronary artery disease
in which there's obstruction of the coronary arteries
causing heart attacks and we were able to show
that this man had had a heart attack whilst
he was running a marathon.
So that was published and so that disproved
that's obviously very easy to do, it's easy to find a few cases
that disprove a theory.
The next one that I really got involved with
is in the 1980s was:
Should we be drinking more or less during exercise?
And at the time in the 1960s
it was held that actually if you drank during exercise
that wasn't a very good idea.
Abebe Bikila who was the first African runner
to win two Olympic gold medals
in the 1960 and 1964 Olympic marathons
he ran both races without drinking anything.
That was what runners did in those days.
And then all of a sudden in the 1960s and 1970s
things changed and we were told that
if you didn't drink enough, you were going to die during exercise.
I became interested in why that would be the case.
And the epiphanous moment occurred on 1 June 1981
when an athlete started the Comrades Marathon in Bourbon
and she reached 70 km
and her husband withdrew her from the race
because she didn't recognise him
and he felt that wasn't a good idea. (Laughter)
And he then took her for medical care
and in short order within two hours
she was unconscious having epileptic seizures,
and she had to be taken back to hospital in Bourbon.
And when she was admitted to hospital
she became the first case of this condition
which -- a long name we don't need to understand
what it is at the moment.
But here's her chest x-ray and this shows
that she's got fluid in her lungs
and it took five days later
before the fluid had gone out of her lungs
but this is what happened what really happened
was that her blood sodium concentration
which should normally be at 140 and is tightly regulated,
it's one of the most regulated features of the body
had dropped to 114 that's heroically wrong,
something had gone tragically wrong
and she asked me what had happened
and I said, "We have absolutely no idea."
and it was the first case in the world
so we had no idea.
Over the next four or five years
we picked up couple of more cases and
worked out that they probably had overdrunk
and in other words
they'd drunk too much during exercise.
And then at the 1988 Comrades Marathon
we could prove it by hospitalising eight people
who were really sick with this condition
and follow them during their recovery
and we were able to show
that they all passed an excess of fluid
during recovery and so this athlete here
passed six litres of fluid extra during recovery
and that she had dropped her blood sodium concentration
to a very low level
and you can see there was a nice relationship.
So the more you overdrink
the lower your sodium
and the sicker you were
and we published that in 1991
and thought that's the end of the problem.
We cured the problem,
we know what causes it, it's overdrinking
and we thought the problem would go away.
But unfortunately at the same time we were doing that,
industry would come along and said,
"No actually, the more you drink, the better."
So there's an advert
saying that not only must you drink
but you must drink heroically during exercise
this is 1.2 litres per hour
or your performance will suffer.
And we predicted what would happen,
we predicted this would happen.
And this is the incidence of this condition
accumalative incidence of this condition
which had never existed before 1981, never existed
There were a total of 1600 cases in the medical literature
this is not all cases because many were not recognised
and tragically twelve deaths,
all completely avoidable.
And so what happened was that
the sports drink industry came along then
and then they influenced the official drinking guidelines
drawn up by official bodies
and those promoted overdrinking.
Then a lady died in the Boston Marathon in 2002
and in 2003, I was invited by two organizations
to produce alternate drinking guidelines
which promoted drinking to thirst
and that finally has now been accepted that
that is the way we should be drinking.
But you can see what the cost of that disease
that had never existed came along.
And finally the book written about
the whole sorry thirty-year saga
was released recently.
And what I was able to show was that
the science of hydration is utterly bogus.
There is no science to it,
it was dreamed up by marketers to sell a product
and I'll come back to that point in due course.
The next question that really has intrigued me was:
Do muscles regulate exercise performance
or is it something else?
And it's really interesting in sport that you see
such close finishes.
And this was the 2000 ten thousand meters in the year 2000
and you can see that Haile Gebrselassie has won this race
by a few inches
and it's a race that goes on for twenty-five minutes,
so how can a twenty-five-minute race
come down to a few centimeters?
And the argument is that the reason why the athlete
comes second is because his muscles
offers too much lactic acid
and that causes him trouble
so the athlete who comes second,
his heart is unable to pump enough blood to his muscles
so they become anaerobic and
as a consequence they produce lactic acid
which you all learned in biology
causes muscle poisoning and stiffness
and everything that goes wrong in sport
is a related to this terrible product lactic acid.
Over time, it took us a few years
but we realised this model can't be right
it can't be true
for a very simple reason.
That it's brainless.
Fatigue in this model is caused exclusively
by the failing muscles.
So the brain can't influence your performance.
So what you think is utterly completely irrelevant.
All of you know that's rubbish
because motivation must have a role
in some way in sporting performance.
So we did a lot of research
and then finally we realised what the evidence was.
Again it just takes one insight to see these things.
This is Haille Gebrsellasie running 10 000 meters.
This is his average pace for each kilometer
and what do you notice?
He runs the fastest the last kilometer.
But how can that be?
How can he run his fastest when he's most fatigued?
And all that tells you is that fatigue
as we describe it
has got nothing to do with the physical side of your body
because he's performed much better
when his muscles are the most tired.
So therefore we worked out that fatigue is purely an emotion
it's what your brain is making up
it's completely fallacious
emotional information that your brain uses
to make sure that you don't die during exercise. (Laughter)
And so we eventually came up with this model
the Central Governor Model of Exercise
which originally was critizised
when we proposed it in 1996.
People said, "You're mad! How can it possibly be true?"
I'm glad to say that there are multiple Olympic athletes
at this very moment training according to this model
and acknowledging it
that they are now training
because they understand performance.
And what this model says simply is that
the brain regulates your muscle performance
and that feeds back to your brain
and then there are other factors like
motivational factors and I see my time is running
so I'll have to go a bit quickly.
That there are a whole bunch of factors
that influence your brain
and then you start exercise at a particular work rate
which is different depending on how far the activity is.
You always have reserves
you always finish with,
you could always exercise harder.
There's always an end spurt
and finally, there's always feedback to the brain.
So that's the way the system works.
And as I've indicated
it's now becoming accepted.
The next question:
Is it possible to swim 1 km at -1.8°C
in only a speedo?
The person who asked me that question was Lewis Pugh.
We, just approximately five years ago
travelled to the North Pole
to swim have him swim 1 km
and I had to make sure he returned alive.
It all began when he said,
"Can I swim around the Cape Peninsula?"
and I said, "Yes"
and everyone else had said, "No. That's impossible."
So he went out and swam around the peninsula.
It took him thirteen days
but he managed to do it.
And when he finished he said
"Can I now go and swim at the North Pole
or in the Arctic where the temperature is 0 to 5°C?"
and I said, "I can't guarantee that you'll live."
However, fortunately, there's a picture of him diving in
we were able to have him swim succesfully
in the Arctic and in the Antarctic.
And what we're measuring here is his temperature response
as he swims.
And you'll see that his temperature drops very little
during the swims
and it drops mainly afterwards
and this was a swim of 1 mile
and you can see his body temperature drops
quite dramatically near the finish
and he was absolutely at the limit of his abilities.
This is his muscle temperature
which is much lower
notice this is 32°C
and even an hour an a half after getting out of the water
his muscle temperature was still 32°C
so he was just a warmed-up body centrally
but his legs were still absolutely cold
giving you an idea of how tough that was.
Here he's swimming
essentially five years ago at the North Pole
a picture of the South African flag.
Now, the final topic is the one that's going to keep me going
for the next twenty years is:
Are low-fat diets healthy for you? (Laughter) (Applause)
And where did it come from:
in 1977, the American Senate decides that
we must change our diets
and we must cut out all the fat
and we must put lots of carbohydrate in
and that report was written by a vegan
who had no training in nutritional sciences.
(Laughter)
So this is what happened to your beautiful breakfast
and I must just tell you that those eggs are
one of the most nutritious foods that you could possibly eat.
And what's the evidence against it -- there's lots.
But let me tell you the French
who do very well in terms of their hearts
they do everything wrong as far as their diets
they eat much more saturated fat
but we now realise that there are populations
that eat much less fat in their diet
and have much more heart disease
than these populations down here
which eat a lot of fat and have very little heart disease.
So the concept that heart fat causes heart disease
is completely bogus.
And finally it's been realized --
there's a paper, a meta analysis and that's an analysis
of all the studies that have ever been done
and what it shows is this
that there's no evidence that your dietary fat
is associated with heart disease whatsoever.
So if you're scared of eating fat
you may now stop
get rid of that scare
here's the evidence for that case
So what happened unfortunately
as we went through this was that
it took us millions of years to get to that
and 27 years to get to that.
And this is directly related
to the increased carbohydrate and processed foods
we're eating in our diets.
So finally, my summary Challenging Beliefs
what I've learned in life is that
50% of what we teach is wrong
the problem is we don't which 50% it is.
(Laughter) (Applause)
Our job as educated people is to spend our lifetime
trying to figure our which 50% is which.
Until it is disproven
accept that for which the evidence appears solid and logical
and is free of covert or overt conflicts of interest
because unfortunately, industry is driving what you believe
in many many things.
But don't ever dismiss lightly that
that for which there's credible evidence
that's reverse gullibility
there's such clear evidence that
the diets we're eating today
are horrendous and we need to change them
and we shouldn't be ignorant of that.
Question everything else
but eventually the truth has to prevail.
It always prevails.
So aim to be on the side of the truth.
Thank you very much for your attention.
(Applause)