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  • Number 10: Spain

  • This may come as a surprise to some, but Spain has been teetering on the verge of collapse since 2008.

  • Spain is currently embroiled in an economic crisis. Spain's National Debt to GDP ratio is at a dangerous 94%.

  • Meanwhile, 24% of Spanish citizens were unemployed in January 2015.

  • However, Spain's economy is only half of the country's worries.

  • Two regions of Spain could very easily break free of the country within the next 20 years.

  • In Western Spain, a region called Catalonia has a thriving independence movement, with strong popular support.

  • The people of Catalonia have few cultural ties to the rest of Spain, and to prove their desire for independence...

  • In 2013 they formed a 300 mile human chain around the country, to cut it off from the rest of Spain.

  • At the same time, many of the Basque region of Northern Spain long for independence.

  • The people of Basque, speak Basque, not Spanish. And several violent terrorist groups are currently fighting for independence.

  • Number 9: North Korea

  • It's no secret that technological advancement is leaving North Korea far behind the rest of the world.

  • Despite North Korea's policy of total self reliance, North Korea simply does not have enough resources

  • within its borders to survive the 21st century.

  • At some point, North Korea will need to leave behind its isolation, and expand trade and cooperative ties

  • with other countries

  • When North Korea finally does open up its borders to the rest of the world, it's probable that the Kim regime

  • wont be able to survive

  • There is a chance that Kim Jong Un will attempt Chinese style reforms, in an attempt to copy China.

  • But that may only speed up North Korea's demise

  • North Korea's government holds on to power very tightly

  • and one mistake or internal power struggle could

  • end Kim Jong Un's grip on power

  • Number 8: Belgium

  • Belgium's citizens are deeply divided along ethnic lines.

  • In fact, the two halves of Belgium: Flanders and Wallonia have little in common with each other

  • In the south of Belgium lies Wallonia, a nearly autonomous region dominated by French speaking people

  • Many French speakers want either an independent Wallonia or a union with France

  • The north of Belgium is known as Flanders

  • and the people of the region are ethnically Flemish

  • and want an independent Flanders

  • In the next 20 years Belgium may fracture

  • Creating two new countries in Europe: Flanders and Wallonia

  • Number 7: China

  • Perhaps the most surprising entry on this list is China

  • Despite having the largest military in the world

  • and one of the most powerful economies

  • China has deep seated problems they must address

  • in order to survive the 21st century

  • Even though the Chinese Communist Party harshly cracks down on anyone who opposes them

  • China is on a collision course with disaster

  • Many of China's problems stem from the outright destruction of the country's environment

  • Half of China's rivers and reservoirs are polluted beyond what is considered safe for any form of human consumption

  • Also, according to the Chinese government, by 2030 China will have used all of its drinkable water

  • and according to the World Bank, every year 250,000 Chinese people die prematurely because of pollution

  • The Chinese Government tried to block the release of this report, fearing that it would cause massive social unrest

  • Disaster may just be around the corner for China

  • Number 6: Iraq

  • The rise of the Islamic State has brought international attention to the deeply rooted divisions in Iraq

  • Iraq's borders were originally created by British colonial authorities in the 20th century

  • with absolutely no regard for the cultural divides of the region

  • Saddam Hussein was able to keep Iraq together by opression and brute force

  • but now, the country is quickly falling apart at the seams

  • three groups dominate Iraq,

  • the Kurds in the North

  • the Sunnis in the west

  • and the Shiites in the south

  • In order for Iraq to be once again be unified

  • the Kurds will have to surrender their newfound control of Iraq's north

  • The Islamic State will have to be defeated

  • and the Sunnis, Kurds, and Shiites will have to agree to live under one nation again

  • However, it's more likely that these groups will choose to be separate, each under their own flags

  • Number 5: Libya

  • Similar to Iraq, Libya is also an artificial creation of a colonial era

  • Libya was an Italian colony until 1951, and the country was later held together by Colonel Gaddafi

  • until his defeat in the Libyan Civil War of 2011

  • Now after Gaddafi's fall, the country is fracturing

  • Before the Italian occupation, Libya did not exist

  • and the area was divided into three regions:

  • Tripolitania

  • Cyrenaica

  • and Fezzan

  • the people of these regions are more loyal to their tribal routes, than any artificial notions of statehood

  • The Second Libyan Civil War is currently ongoing, but it is likely a unified Libya will not survive the conflict

  • Number 4: The Islamic State

  • The Islamic State saw a rapid rise to power in early 2014

  • seizing a third of Iraq and Syria in a stunning military takeover

  • However since then, the Islamic State embroiled in conflict against an increasingly long list of enemies

  • In order for The Islamic State to survive it must either defeat or make peace with:

  • Iraq, Kurdistan, The Syrian Government, The Free Syrian Army, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the US lead coalition

  • currently engaged in combat against The Islamic State

  • until then, The Islamic State's survival will be under constant threat

  • Number 3: The United Kingdom

  • Scotland may have failed to gain independence in their 2014 referendum, but the Scots won't give up their

  • quest for independence so easily

  • Also, there's a simmering movement in Wales and Northern Ireland that seeks autonomy and possibly

  • independence for these regions

  • if any of these regions were to gain autonomy from the United Kingdom

  • it's possible that the Union may fall apart

  • Number 2: The United States of America

  • Many divisions that caused the United States' Civil War still exist to this day, if these deep rooted political and

  • cultural differences within the United States aren't rectified, it's possible that some states could break free

  • within the next 20 years

  • as recently as 2012, 50 states submitted petitions with hundreds of thousands of signatures asking to

  • secede from the Union

  • the two most likely states to leave the Union are Alaska, and Texas

  • Number 1: The Maldives

  • located between India and Africa, the island nation of Maldives is in extreme danger of sinking due to rising

  • sea levels. The former President of the Maldives looked into buying land in South Asia to transplant all the

  • residents of the Maldives before the islands are submerged

Number 10: Spain

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今後20年は生き残れないかもしれない10カ国 (10 Countries That May Not Survive The Next 20 Years)

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    李順斌 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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