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  • [INTRO MUSIC]

  • This episode is brought to you by Squarespace.

  • [MUSIC]

  • A curious group of explorers stumble upon a planet. Their sensors pick up an interesting

  • chemical profile. Large amounts of water.

  • Temperatures moderate enough to keep most of it liquid.

  • An atmosphere containing higher than expected levels of oxygen.

  • The land is oddly green. It’s an abnormal place, worth investigating.

  • This planet’s nameis Earth.

  • These explorers will find an Earth teeming with life, but in our story, Homo sapiens

  • is not among them. Maybe weve moved on. Maybe weve died

  • out. But this planet is no longer ours. The strange plants and animals, although our

  • explorers wouldn’t call them that, can only tell how this planet IS, not how it WAS

  • But they have knowledge of geology, they understand the strata of rocky planets.

  • And where they examine layers of rock, stacked one on top of another, they will be able to

  • piece together our story.

  • Consider what we know about the dinosaurs.

  • They existed for more than a hundred million years, yet we have only uncovered a few thousand

  • complete remains. Our species has been around just a fraction

  • of that time. But despite this relatively short existence,

  • weve left a huge mark, and today, scientists are more certain than ever: weve changed

  • Earth to such an extent that geologists digging in the distant future would classify this

  • as a totally new epoch. The Anthropocene.

  • But when would it begin? What would they find there?

  • The rise of farming, countless empires, most of human history’s timespan in fact, would

  • be almost invisible in the rock. But they’d notice us.

  • During the Industrial Revolution our species numbered 1 billion for the first time, accelerating

  • until around 1950, when population growth and human consumption explode.

  • The Great Acceleration.

  • This era of unprecedented economic change and consumption would be unmistakable in the

  • rocks.

  • Our waste contains materials never before seen on Earth.

  • I want to say one word to you. Just one word: Plastics.

  • Every year, we pump out a mass of plastic equal to the weight of all humans on Earth.

  • And not just plastics, also glass and bricks. Although theyre made from raw minerals,

  • theyre modified by heat into forms both long-lasting and notably organized.

  • Consider aluminum, it was essentially unknown in its pure elemental form before the 19th

  • century, yet since 1950 weve produced enough for every human alive to make a stack of cans

  • half a kilometer high.

  • Enough concrete has been produced to pave all of earth, and half of that since just

  • 1995.

  • All of this stuff would mark the most new minerals created since oxygen first built

  • up in our atmosphere, 2.4 billion years before you are watching this video.

  • And beyond these raw materials would be traces of the things weve made with them. Our

  • technofossils. From planes and phones to paper clips and lost ballpoint pens, countless confusing

  • traces of our time.

  • And should these future explorers be versed in chemistry, they’d find metals and rare-earth

  • elements spread worldwide, and strangely missing from the lower layers where we dug them up.

  • A few, like platinum, rhodium, and palladium would be strangely concentrated along strands

  • of a strange web, ejected long ago by catalytic convertersattached to cars on our roads.

  • They’d see huge spikes in nitrogen and phosphorous from fertilizer production.

  • Were they to find ice on this future Earth, ice cores would show sudden spikes in methane

  • and carbon dioxide, like nothing seen in the 800,000 years previous.

  • If they found fossils, they would see many species go from local concentrations in older

  • layers to sudden global spread, marks of our domestic animals, plants, and invasive species.

  • And like we have witnessed in our own time, these future explorers would see a spike in

  • the number of species that suddenly disappear from the fossil record: A Mass Extinction

  • Event. Weve talked about this at length in a previous videoand we don’t yet

  • know how bad it will get.

  • But as they decoded the dawn of the Anthropocene, there would be one mark clearer than all the

  • others, tracing back to a single day in Earth’s history.

  • July 16, 1945… the detonation of the first atomic bomb. Rare radioactive elements like

  • 239Pu and its decay products would leave a chemical signature that our future explorers

  • could not help but notice, although they might not be able to explain its origins.

  • It makes you wonder, what would they think of us? What picture of our species, of our

  • culture, would they connect from these dots? Whoever it may be that one day examines the

  • Anthropocene, the layer of Earth that will represent us, remember that we control what

  • it holds, and how much time it will represent.

  • Stay curious.

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一億年後 (100,000,000 Years From Now)

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    李福恩 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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