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  • It's probably no surprise that Donald Trump has been the subject of over 2100 CNN reports

  • since he announced his candidacy for president on June 16.

  • uh, okay, maybe 2100 is a little bit surprising

  • But the basic calculus is something I think everyone cynically understands

  • Trump gets ratings, the news carries Trump.

  • A little less obvious is that Trump's high poll numbers

  • are actually a result of his outsize coverage in the media.

  • Political science professor John Sides has produced a number of handy graphs

  • that show the correlation between Trump's share of coverage versus his poll numbers

  • and it's pretty conclusive.

  • What's more, if you graph all of the GOP candidates' polling numbers versus their share of coverage

  • you get a correlation of 0.96

  • It's close to a straight line as I've ever seen.

  • Of course, you can say causation moves the other way here

  • that poll numbers drive coverage, and in some way they do

  • only news coverage usually comes first.

  • People hear a lot about the candidate, research that candidate,

  • identify in the same way that you do when you hear a pop song on the radio over and over and again.

  • I can't feel my face when I'm with you

  • And that exposure ultimately means they're more likely to give that name to pollsters.

  • The news then reports more on the top candidates which means even more coverage which means even higher polling

  • and it becomes a cycle that perpetuates itself.

  • Until the top dog makes an mistake

  • "It's 3 agencies a government when I get there they were gone,

  • commerce, education, and the um...

  • what's the third one there, let's see..."

  • Or a new fresh face steals some attention away

  • "I think women all over this country heard very clearly what Mr. Trump said."

  • The problem is that Trump's mistakes are often so inflammatory

  • and news making that they work to his advantage

  • and new fresh faces are the ones that Trump attacks the hardest.

  • "If you listen to her for more than 5 minutes straight, you get a headache."

  • 2100 news story later, and here we are.

  • We know why the news works like this:

  • Less ratings mean less ad revenue means less profit

  • means lower stock prices means fewer investors means layoffs.

  • "You're fired."

  • In America, indeed, in the global economy, everything always has to grow.

  • The news, especially cable news, has a vague interest in keeping its dependence on capitalist incentives under wraps

  • even though, everyone knows that ratings to a large part determine the news

  • News organizations have to tout their journalistic integrity even if it's only a formality.

  • And this

  • might just be the gift that Donald Trump is giving to all of us.

  • More than anything I can remember, the Trump phenomenon

  • strips away the false righteousness of the news media.

  • When Trump does something outrageous, CNN doesn't cover it by choice

  • but because they are forced to do so.

  • The Trump phenomenon strips away the false righteousness of politicians, too.

  • Trump has co-opted political language and employed it to such a ridiculous and shameless degree

  • that its emptiness is laid totally bare.

  • And lastly,

  • Trump strips away the false righteousness of us

  • the American public.

  • The second GOP debate was the highest rated program in the history of CNN.

  • CNN is forced to cover Trump because we forced them to.

  • "Why when we put on, you know, something with Jeb Bush talking about the economy

  • or Scott Walker talking about labor unions

  • why doesn't anybody watch that?"

  • It's in our nature to gravitate toward conformation bias and sensationalism.

  • It take a force of will to consume media that may be boring

  • but crucial for making intelligent political choices.

  • In a large part, it's a mental muscle that most of us

  • myself often included

  • don't want to exercise.

  • Donald Trump exists at the nexus of all these things

  • and his invocation of all three is, I think, an important lesson.

  • The news media, politicians and the general public are all responsible for the existence of Donald Trump.

  • And no one of these things is going to change drastically overnight.

  • But if all of them move just a little bit in the right direction toward integrity, honesty and engagement,

  • respectively, the difference could be substantial.

  • We know that the news media is biased and politicians talk bullshit.

  • And the news and the politicians know we know it.

  • Still, they go through the formalities. It is exactly formalities like this that can keep a system alive

  • longer than it needs to be.

  • So, maybe we need someone like Donald Trump to pull down that last layer of credibility.

  • "How are you going to create jobs in this country?"

  • "I'm just going to do it."

  • Hey everybody, thanks for watching. We are at about $950 on the Patreon, which is fifty dollars away

  • from the big goal of $1000 that starts to make this financially feasible for me.

  • So, if you like the Nerdwriter, if this is something you don't think you're seeing somewhere else on YouTube

  • or the Internet, pledge a little bit of money to the project, and we can do a lot more stuff.

  • There's no more stickers or mugs left, but I want to order some more swag, maybe some more mugs.

  • But I like to hear what you would like of Nerdwriter swag and that universe, so let me know in the comments.

  • And we'll get some and we'll put them up. Thank you so much for watching and I will see you guys

  • next Wednesday.

It's probably no surprise that Donald Trump has been the subject of over 2100 CNN reports

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ドナルド・トランプが民主主義への贈り物である理由 (Why Donald Trump Is A Gift To Democracy)

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    鄭小鬼 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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