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  • Chat with a friend about an established scientific theory

  • and she might reply, "Well, that's just a theory."

  • But a conversation about an established scientific law

  • rarely ends with, "Well, that's just a law."

  • Why is that?

  • What is the difference between a theory and a law,

  • and is one better?

  • Scientific laws and theories have different jobs to do.

  • A scientific law predicts the results of certain initial conditions.

  • It might predict your unborn child's possible hair colors,

  • or how far a baseball travels when launched at a certain angle.

  • In contrast, a theory tries to provide the most logical explanation

  • about why things happen as they do.

  • A theory might invoke dominant and recessive genes

  • to explain how brown-haired parents ended up with a red-headed child,

  • or use gravity to shed light on the parabolic trajectory of a baseball.

  • In simplest terms,

  • a law predicts what happens while a theory proposes why.

  • A theory will never grow up into a law,

  • though the development of one often triggers progress on the other.

  • In the 17th century, Johannes Kepler theorized cosmic musical harmonies

  • to explain the nature of planetary orbits.

  • He developed three brilliant laws of planetary motion

  • while he was studying decades of precise astronomical data

  • in an effort to find support for his theory.

  • While his three laws are still in use today,

  • gravity replaced his theory of harmonics to explain the planets' motions.

  • How did Kepler get part of it wrong?

  • Well, we weren't handed a universal instruction manual.

  • Instead, we continually propose, challenge, revise, or even replace

  • our scientific ideas as a work in progress.

  • Laws usually resist change

  • since they wouldn't have been adopted if they didn't fit the data,

  • though we occasionally revise laws in the face of new unexpected information.

  • A theory's acceptance, however, is often gladiatorial.

  • Multiple theories may compete to supply the best explanation

  • of a new scientific discovery.

  • Upon further research,

  • scientists tend to favor the theory that can explain most of the data,

  • though there may still be gaps in our understanding.

  • Scientists also like when a new theory successfully predicts

  • previously unobserved phenomena,

  • like when Dmitri Mendeleev's theory about the periodic table

  • predicted several undiscovered elements.

  • The term scientific theory covers a broad swath.

  • Some theories are new ideas with little experimental evidence

  • that scientists eye with suspicion,

  • or even ridicule.

  • Other theories,

  • like those involving the Big Bang, evolution, and climate change,

  • have endured years of experimental confirmation

  • before earning acceptance by the majority of the scientific community.

  • You would need to learn more about a specific explanation

  • before you'd know how well scientists perceive it.

  • The word theory alone doesn't tell you.

  • In full disclosure,

  • the scientific community has bet on the wrong horse before:

  • alchemy,

  • the geocentric model,

  • spontaneous generation,

  • and the interstellar aether

  • are just a few of many theories discarded in favor of better ones.

  • But even incorrect theories have their value.

  • Discredited alchemy was the birthplace of modern chemistry,

  • and medicine made great strides

  • long before we understood the roles of bacteria and viruses.

  • That said, better theories often lead to exciting new discoveries

  • that were unimaginable under the old way of thinking.

  • Nor should we assume all of our current scientific theories

  • will stand the test of time.

  • A single unexpected result is enough to challenge the status quo.

  • However, vulnerability to some potentially better explanation

  • doesn't weaken a current scientific theory.

  • Instead, it shields science from becoming unchallenged dogma.

  • A good scientific law is a finely-tuned machine,

  • accomplishing its task brilliantly

  • but ignorant of why it works as well as it does.

  • A good scientific theory is a bruised, but unbowed, fighter

  • who risks defeat if unable to overpower or adapt to the next challenger.

  • Though different,

  • science needs both laws and theories to understand the whole picture.

  • So next time someone comments that it's just a theory,

  • challenge them to go nine rounds with the champ

  • and see if they can do any better.

Chat with a friend about an established scientific theory

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TED-ED】科学的法則と理論の違いとは?- マット・アンティコール (【TED-Ed】What’s the difference between a scientific law and theory? - Matt Anticole)

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    Ann に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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