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  • China’s 25-year-long evolving experiment with capitalism has seen its per-person wealth

  • grow by more than 2,000% since 1990. But this summer, the frankenstein-like, hybrid economy

  • that is China’s system turned on its creator, forcing the government to take unprecedented

  • action to prevent its collapse. Although the current system of the world’s most populous

  • country hangs in the balance, it’s nothing new for modern China, which is used to forging

  • ahead into the great unknown.

  • This is an explanation of how it reached its current tipping point. China’s economy boomed

  • the fastest in the 2000’s when nationwide GDP jumped by an average of more than 10 percent

  • per year.

  • As the rulers of the country, the Communist Party saw its power cemented by this staggering

  • pace. But just as fast as it took off, growth has slowed. First, with the global recession

  • of 2008 and, after a brief recovery, again sliding steadily since 2010. In 2015, China’s

  • growth may dip below 7%, which would be a fantastic rate for a highly developed country

  • like the U.S., but for China, it’s a huge disappointment, and could spell big trouble

  • for a Communist Party that needs to keep the country’s economy on the development fast-track.

  • After-all, China’s President Xi Jinping has promised his people a “Chinese dream,”

  • of increasing wealth, well being, and power.

  • In the last couple years, in an attempt to stimulate growth, Xi’s government relaxed

  • restrictions on its domestic stock market, opening it to many of its citizens for the

  • first time. As the working class suddenly gained the ability to use their savings to

  • try and accumulate wealth much more quickly than they were used to, the market was flooded

  • with new accounts.

  • There are now more than 90 million stock traders in China, with nearly half joining in just

  • the last year alone. This, and the elimination of other regulations, caused an alarming surge

  • in the percentage of Chinese stocks purchased with borrowed money.

  • And with a mind blowing 67% percent of investors holding less than a high school education,

  • there simply are not enough qualified analysts able to correctly judge the strengths and

  • weaknesses of companies listed on the exchange. This tsunami of new, unchecked market activity

  • caused two extremely dangerous things to happen: The formation of a massive bubble, which sent

  • the value of Chinese companies to highly inflated levels. And,

  • In the feverish competition to attract investors, banks and other fund managers promised astronomical

  • profits that were completely unrealistic. The Chinese stock market has become a casino,

  • with trades seen as bets, instead of what they actually are: shares of ownership in

  • a business.

  • But what truly compounded this dangerous situation was the Chinese government’s decision to

  • use state-run media to cheerlead investment in the surging market. It’s optimism grew

  • so blind that the Communist Party began cleaning up its own balance sheets by selling off state-owned,

  • junk assets at drastically overvalued prices back to its own people, who were ignorant

  • of the actual risks of these investments.

  • This kind of free-for-all, every-man-for-himself approach caused the market to soar even higher,

  • more than doubling in one year, and becoming the second-most valuable market in the world.

  • But storm-clouds were on the horizon, visible to anyone capable of, and willing to, see

  • the big picture. And in late June, that storm came onshore. In a matter of days, the Shanghai

  • index plunged from a high of 5,100 all the way down to 3,700. More than $3 trillion was

  • wiped out, and the nation was in shock.

  • The government immediately hit the panic button, banning company executives and any investor

  • holding more than 5% of a company from selling any shares; they enacted the nuclear option,

  • suspending trading completely in companies that together totaled more than 40% of the

  • whole market; and theyve been pumping hundreds of billions of dollars back into the market

  • in a desperate attempt to stop the free-fall.

  • When the dust finally settles and the sell-off is over, investor confidence will be so eroded,

  • that the Chinese market could slide all the way back to where it was before the boom began.

  • If this happens, overall economic growth in China would likely stay well below 7% for

  • the foreseeable future.

  • All of this lost credibility may not cause the Communist Party’s immediate downfall,

  • but the Party will have a significantly more difficult time now convincing the Chinese

  • people that it knows how to best guide them to their economic dreamworld.

  • Thanks for watching, like this video if you enjoyed it and found it educational. For the

  • daily conversation, I’m Bryce Plank. This video was edited by Brendan Plank.

China’s 25-year-long evolving experiment with capitalism has seen its per-person wealth

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中国の経済崩壊を説明 (China's Economic Collapse Explained)

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    張強 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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