字幕表 動画を再生する 英語字幕をプリント If you know how the world financial system works you know the game that you're playing and if you don´t know the game and the rules that we're playing by you are going to get slaughtered, you are going to get slaughtered. Ever since the Federal Reserve was born, we have been living under a lie. In order for us to mantain the levels we've got and to maintain the prosperity Obama has to be twice as far in debt when he leaves office than when he came in, or the whole thing is starting to collapse. The Federal Reserve, they're buying bonds directly from the Treasury. This is Quantitative Easing, they're calling it, and that means there's an emergency going on. I can see that there was not anything in history as far as finances goes, that was as much as a sure thing as gold and silver accounting for the expansion of the fiat currency supply. There is absolutely no chance in hell that this won't happen, right now it takes about 15000 to 20000 dollars an ounce of gold. I believe that there's going to be a deflation first and then all of the world's central banks will start printing like crazy to get us out of that deflation and Ben Bernanke will be leading the charge. You can´t have a debt that is 10 times the size of your economy. It's not posible. Everything comes to its screeching halt first. I've got to show you the world's stock markets and real estate bubbles have to continue crashing because all it is is the market trying to seek fair value. It's trying to seek equilibrium, this is what the markets do. It is their job. Basically, you know, our entire currency system is imaginary, it doesn't really exist. It's just that we're all dreaming the same dream. If anybody chooses to wake up... it's over with. Thank you very much! I'm Mike Maloney author of the bestselling book on precious metals investing, Guide to Investing in Gold and Silver, is part of the Rich Dad series that Robert Kiyosaki started, the original book. Robert Kiyosaki says: write a book no other instructions: write a book, and so I start writing this book two and a half years of research and writing probably 30 hours a week, every week for two and a half years. It's a very well researched book. The one thing I really worry about is perpetuating misinformation, I want it to be accurate and then I tried to boil it down and make it real simple. I read all these books by economists like Milton Friedman Murray Rothbard, Ben Bernanke, if you get a chance to read some Ben Bernanke, don't! He is a horrible author, just horrible. They're all trying to write over each other's head and impress each other And by doing so, they make economy sound so complex that everybody thinks well, I can't understand economics. It's really simple. Economics is very simple if you boil it down to its essence and it's not that difficult to understand and that's what I tried to do in my book. For the people that have not read my book, about 75% of it is not about investing in gold and silver, it's some history of money and then how the world economy works and what could potentially happen you know, where we came from, where we are today and what could potentially happen. By the way, I really couldn't care less about gold and silver, I don't want gold and silver, it's just in its cycle right now, it's a stupid lump of metal that doesn't have cashflow or spinoff dividend yields. And so I don't want gold and silver, it's just that right now I don't want anything else. They're just in their cycle right now and they're going to be outperforming everything else, in my opinion from all of my research, and they're going to be able to buy a whole lot more other stuff. A whole lot more real estate, whole lot more stocks, whole lot more oil wells, farmland, all the true wealth. It's in the buildings, the businesses, the farmland that is out there, and people get this picture in their head that if there is an economic disaster, if there were some sort of collapse that it's going to be like this nuclear wasteland afterwards, it's not. All the buildings still are going to be there, the apartment buildings. It's just that they're all going to be on sale. The problem is when investments are on sale nobody buys, the public comes charging in, and they chase investments after they're going up. Gold and silver get hot whenever they're going up and as soon we see them take a dip, it's like sales turn off like a light switch, most of the time. And I don't want anybody to get slaughtered. I really don't want these bad things to happen, I just think that all the evidence is there. What our leaders have done to the economic system is going to cause these things to happen and it's inevitable, and I'm trying to warn as many people as possible as quickly as possible. My company has a mission, to get as much gold and silver in the hands of the middle class as quickly as possible, because when there's great economic upheaval, there is great political change, and usually goes along with it In the hyperinflation in Weimar Germany in 1923, this hyperinflation ended on November 15th, 1923. On November 8th, one week before the end of the hyperinflation, Hitler's storm troopers pointing machine guns at the front door of the Burgerbraukeller where there was a political meeting, this big beer hall where there about 3000 people listening to politican speeches and on that night he took the stage at gun point and to this literally captive audience gave a speech that changed the world. Nobody knew the name Hitler, nobody knew who he was until he gave this speech to a newly empoverished middle class people that were scared and looking for somebody to lead them, and here this charismatic guy takes the stage, gives them a scapegoat and says "I know the way out of this". The next day, those people in that beer hall followed him to try to do a military... a coup to take over the government and it failed. He was imprisoned, he was tried for high treason, his trial went on for an entire month, and during that month he had the ear of the nation. He was covered in every newspaper all across Germany, and the judges were sympathetic to his beliefs so they let him go on for hours on end with the speeches and that's when he gained power was when the middle class was scared. The middle class defines a country with their vote. The country, as the middle class goes so goes the country, and so what I'm worried about is not the loss of my financial well being, it's the loss of capitalism, it's the loss of our quality of life, it's the loss of our freedom of choice. That's what I'm worried about, and I know that there are certain people that I'm not going to be able to reach. Joe-six-pack, I refer to the guy that comes out of his beer and football induced coma at the very end of the bull market and comes charging in and buys at the peak. I can't do anything for him. I'm hoping that I can do something for all of you. These are wealth cycles. If you have two asset classes that are rising, you have for instance, let's say that this is real estate on the bottom and on the top here we've got precious metals. Precious metals in this last decade here, precious metals outperformed real estate and stocks but everything went up. Stocks went up, bonds went up, real estate went up and so did commodities and precious metals. Is that possible? Can everything go up? Think about it for a minute. If we've only got so much stuff in society and if you've got these 3 or 4 asset classes and everybody rushes toward one, pushing it to a bubble shouldn't it be drawing currency away from the others? Shouldn't the others be going down? Well, they didn't in the last decade. And what's happening here if you've got two things that are going up, if you're invested in this one down here, when you've got to sell, you can't buy as much as this one. If you're invested in this one, when you sell you can buy more of this one. They're both rising in price, this one is falling in value when you sell it you can't buy as much gold, or food or oil. Your house is worth half as much in oil, as oil was 10 dollars a barrel in 1999. So your house measured in oil has crushed, the stock market measured in oil has crushed. If you start looking at your home or all of your investments and you divide them by something else, you measured them in the price of a bushel of wheat, a pound of copper, a ton of iron shares of the Dow or ounces of gold, you're going to discover something. These two things that they're going up, eventually the people that are invested in this one realize that the smart investors realize that it's going into a bubble,they sell and they buy undervalued asset, and then this trend reverses. It can't go on for ever, and if it did, if gold outperformed real estate for ever, there would come a day where one ounce of gold would buy the entire planet and we all know that that can't happen. Right? So, eventually one becomes overvalued and the other one becomes undervalued and the cycle reverses, and then it reverses again, and what is happening is that they're printing currency about this rate and that's the reason you can't see it. People would say: "well, at least my house is worth a 100.000 dollars more than it was in the year 2000", or "it's worth 20 per cent more" Well, in fact if the inflation was 40 per cent it actually went down in value. They'd say that, you know, they looked at the stock market and the Dow right know is just barely above its 2000 high. In the last decade stocks have gone sideways for a decade. We've had inflation during that time, they inflated the currency supply. So, if you start measuring one thing with another thing, so you're measuring stuff against stuff instead of using currency, what you discover is that everything is trapped in this valuation channel, where it goes from overvalued to undervalued to overvalued and undervalued again, and the thing that you're measuring it with is doing the exact opposite mirror wave. The trick is sell the overvalued asset near the peak if you can, find the undervalued asset and I call this wealth cycles. And if you can do that, it's a road to true wealth, you're escaping that valuation channel. Here is a real example, this is the Dow measured in points. And what are points? Points are derived by the dollar value of the underlying stocks, so basically its points are dollars, and one of the reasons that they measure it in points is just like when you go to Las Vegas, they take your currency and they give you chips. Now they're pieces of plastic, so you don't care, you're just having fun. So change it to points, and it's not as bad as if "Wow, you lost so many dollars" "it went down so many points". Anyway, that's the Dow measured in points, but if you go every month during this entire graph from the year 1900 to today, and each day you take the points on the Dow and divide it by the price of gold you get how many ounces of gold one share of the Dow is worth, and this is what it looks like measured in gold. It's not going anywhere, it's got a mean of about 4 ounces of gold, which means that the price of gold should be one quarter of the points of the Dow and then things will sort of be in equilibrium. It's fair value when the Dow is only four times the price of gold, but what you see here is that it goes into, it goes from fair value into a bubble 18 ounces of gold, it crashes down to 2 ounces, another bubble of 28 ounces of gold because the bubble was bigger, because they print more currency in the meantime, when it crashed it went down to one ounce of gold. There was a day in 1980 when gold was 850 and the Dow was at 850 points, one ounce of gold bought the Dow. Conversely, if you cash out you could only buy one ounce of gold with the proceeds of your stocks, and then we're going on to the biggest bubble in history. There's no time in history, this point in 1999 - 2000 there's no time that gold was as unloved and ignored as in that time period. It was no nation's money and it had gone down for 20 years, it was "the worst investment you can possibly make", nobody wanted it. Take this, This is the price of the Dow measured in gold. Flip it upside down and you've got the price of gold measured in the Dow. Put these two things together, and what you find is that there's a cycle here and if you've written stocks up to 1929 and then sold your stocks and bought gold, and then in 1932 gone to gold ... and then, gone back to stocks I mean, and then in 1980 go back into gold, and so on, uh... this is the road to true wealth, I mean, you're making massive gains here. I show two hypothetical families in my book and one goes from 35 bucks to 11.000 bucks over that time period and the other one goes from 35 bucks to 11 million and that is the difference, one family creates a dynasty the other one didn't even break even. This is the Gold-Dow ratio instead of the Dow-Gold ratio, so you're measuring gold's value per ounce measured in what percentage of a share of the Dow that it would buy, and what is showing is that gold is nowhere near a bubble,is very undervalued here and still has to go up, the mean should be 25 per cent or more. and in every bubble in history and in nature, I used to be an electronics engineer in physics, when something is out of whack, when it reverse back to the mean it overshoots. if it's more out of whack, when it reverses to the mean, it overshoots further, so I'm expecting the day where the price of gold would be double or more the points on the Dow. This is the Silver-Dow ratio. Silver has just I mean, the gains here should be immense. This is just gold for the past decade. I just challenge anybody to go and find an index or stock or anything, that looks that good over the last 10 years. This is a perfect chart, it's very bullish, there's nothing here saying gold, in this information that you're looking at, this is what technical analysts look at when they're trying to figure out whether to buy an asset or sell an asset, and this is saying that gold is probably going to continue rising, there's nothing bearish in that signal. This is the SP 500 over the last decade, so representing stocks of the 500 largest companies in America and there is gold. uh... Here we have silver and I recently spoke at the 8th annual banking conference in Socci Russia, this is the big banking conference for all of Europe and Russia. And I was showing them this at the very end, they cut me off it was really interesting. I was running out of time, and you hear this voice come over the loudspeaker and it is their Finance Minister in their parlament, telling me: "mister Maloney, mister Maloney, you've got to stop now mister Maloney" they were trying to cut me off, I was presenting this information they did not want presented at this conference, and then he comes up to me afterwards, he's got a copy of my book that he bought, he wants it signed! Oh, by the way, please visit our table afterwards, we're giving away, these are 100 trillion dollar bills, they are real, they are from Zimbawe, we are giving away 20 quatrillion dollars at my table, so... uh... come and get your 100 trillion! OK, so... what I showed here was that there is an inverted head-and-shoulders and this works just as well upside down, as it does rightside up, you can see the head hanging, it's like this guy hanging from his feet. This is the head and shoulders that I'm tracing out here in blue, and then, you draw across the neckline, and you invert that head in a predicted move and you see this, if you watch my...if you google "10 dollar oil" you'll see a video where he's cutting me off, and I'm sort of flashing through this, I don't get a chance to describe it, but I was predicting that silver would make a big move and guess what? That's what silver did. It doubled from where it was. This is the spot price of silver. This is the price of silver IOUs, the price of gold and silver is determined by people going: "I owe you 5.000 ounces of silver, I owe you 5.000 ounces of silver, I owe you 5.000 ounces of silver and handing this things out, and they're trading this IOUs on the Commodities Exchange and that's what determines the worldwide spot price. Now you can do this naked...it's called the naked shorts. If you don't have the silver to cover it, if you're not sitting on a pile of silver and you are writing IOUs, you can still sell them. And some big banks do this, like J.P.Morgan and they crash the market and then come in and cover their shorts, they buy those IOUs back at a lower price than they sold them for and they get to make the spread. They fleece the public and some funds that invested in silver for hundreds of millions of dollars by doing this, and they do it, they've done it on a regular basis. But Silver fell too low this time and so did gold, and investors that were looking for physical realized that it was just too cheap, and they all had to get some and shortages developed, and all across India, Europe and North America the cupboards were bare. There were 3 months where we can only get one silver product at a time, and we had no gold. We didn't have gold and my dealer shipped for 3 months and I deal with 4 of the world's largest wholesalers and they could not find gold for us. People don't realize how much gold and silver there is on the planet. There are 6.6 billion people on the planet, there are only 2.2 billion ounces of gold. That's a third of an ounce per person. Silver is even more rare. There's only about 14th of an ounce per person. That means that 14 people have to share that same one ounce of silver. And right now, you can get a whole lot for your currency. uh... I'm going to take a little detour here. I did not define the difference between currency and money, and you will hear me say: currency, currency, currency, over and over and over again. Back...before World War One, uh... each note the Treasury issued, each dollar in existence in the United States would say that there have been deposited within the United States Treasury 20 dollars in gold coin, and payable to the bearer upon demand. The money was in the vault, the currency was a note they gave you, it was a claimcheck, only a claimcheck on the money. The same as if you go to the dry cleaners and give them your shirt, and they gave you a claimcheck for your shirt. The value is that shirt at the dry cleaner's, not the piece of paper that says that you own that shirt. So our currency that circulated, was the paper US dollars, and they were claimchecks on money, and people do not understand that money has to be a store of value. Only gold and silver qualify as money. They have all the attributes that you need. They are portable, durable, divisible, fungible... and then money is a store of value over long periods of time. One of the things that I always start with is how currency is created, because if you know how the world financial system works you know the game that you're playing. And if you don't know the game and the rules that we're playing by you're going to get slaughtered, you're going to get slaughtered. So this, just by knowing this, increases your odds just a hundred fold of winning. So...uh... "When you or I write a check there must be sufficient funds in our account to cover the check, but when the Federal Reserve writes a check there is no bank deposit on which that check is drawn. When the Federal Reserve writes a check it is creating money". And that is "Putting it Simply" from the Boston Federal Reserve's website. Basically, the way this works is: the trader of the United States is the US Treasury. uh... but every country has the equivalent to our Treasury so the Treasuries around the world uh... create a bond and, what is a bond? A bond is just an IOU: Loan me a trillion bucks and I promise that over a 30-year period, I'm going to pay you back 2 trillion That's basically a bond, an IOU. And there's something in the middle here called open market operations, that I'm gonna just show you real quickly, but the open market operations is just a shell game that obscures what is truly going on. So banks show up at the Treasury Auctions, primary dealers they're called, and then the Federal Reserve comes along and through open market operations, they write a check to the bank and they buy that bond from the bank, so the Federal Reserve ends up with the bond but then the next month those banks show at the Treasury Auctions again. Now the Treasury has the dollars and the Federal Reserve has the bond, and this process repeats itself over and over and over again. And there is a build up of dollars at the Treasury and bonds at the Federal Reserve, So, we borrow currency into existence with an IOU, that bond, and the Federal Reserve opens up the bigger checkbook that doesn't have a single penny in it, and writes a bad counterfeit check and hands that to the Treasury, dollars spring into existence, then the Treasury deposits that in the various branches of the government and the government does some deficit spending, on social programs, public works and war, and then they pay those government workers, the contractors and the soldiers. And all of those people deposit in their private banks, "Banks create money by 'monetizing' the private debts of businesses and individuals". Federal Reserve Bank of New York. So, now the miracle of fractional reserve lending comes in to play. Fractional reserve lending is just what it says. They reserve a fraction of what they've got, if you go to the bank and you deposit 100 dollars, the bank is allowed to keep 10 dollars in your checking acount in case you want some of that 100 dollars, and they get to steal 90 dollars of it without telling you. Your checking account never has the balance that it says it's got in there. They have borrowed most of that currency out of there, and they're going to loan it to other people. When those people sign their loan, currency actually gets created because you had a 100 dollars on deposit, and they have 90 so now there's 190. Then, they go and buy something, that's the reason they're taking out a loan. And they buy a house or a car, or someyhing like that, and when they buy that thing, the seller then deposits it in his bank account so that 90 dollars get deposited and then they get to go and steal 90 per cent of that meaning 81 dollars, so now there's 271 dollars on deposit. Can everybody see how the currency supplies is getting magnified by the banks here? And that process happens over and over and over again, and under a 10 per cent reserve ratio, every dollar deposited can create another 10. So if you deposit a trillion in base money, you can create 10 trillion, uh... And that is basically it, there is nothing else. Our entire currency supply is either IOUs or receipts for IOUs. That's all that it is. It's all an imaginary agreement and it is all giving value because you experienced yesterday that the dollar purchased you something, so you expect that is going to tomorrow. So you have this agreement that is, basically, you know, our entire currency system is imaginary. It doesn't really exist, it's just that we're all dreaming the same dream. If anybody chooses to wake up, it's over with. So it's really just a couple of bucks that is whipped up in this little voodoo hocus pocus scheme here, where the Treasury and the Federal Reserve write IOUs for each other, a check is an IOU, a bond is an IOU, and they swap IOUs: dollars spring into existence. A dollar is a receipt or a claimcheck: an IOU! Then the rest of the currency supply is a bunch of numbers that the bank type in their computers. They don't exist. In my book, I call things money until I get to the point where I define what money is. And the difference between money and currency and from that point forward, I only call gold and silver money, and I call everything else currency, but in the original manuscript, when I start talking about the massive currency creation that is going on, and how banks are just debasing their currency supply all over the world and how this Mandrake mechanism works, I start referring to it as the numbers supply. the M3 number supply, uh... the base number supply because they're just numbers that somebody made up. I can write numbers on a post-it and hand them out like this. They make them up, they type them in a computer, it is nothing but a supply of numbers, How many numbers are there? It's infinite! So it's nothing but a number supply. But it becomes real when you work for some of that currency supply, that number supply, and at that point, it now represents your blood, sweat, labor, ideas and talent. You are what gives the currency supply value. It would have no value without you. And the way that that value is enforced this is the really cruel joke here. Let's say you save a part of that currency supply, so you can pay tax to the tax collector in the United States, that is called the IRS, so that they can turn that over to the Treasury so the Treasury can pay the principal plus the interest on that bond which was paid for with a check from nothing. So, you can see that, right? Everybody sees how this works? Now, there's another joke. There was interest due on that bond. Let me ask you, if you borrow a dollar into existence and it's the only dollar that exists on the entire planet but you promise to pay back 2 dollars, Where do you get the second dollar? Has anybody got the answer on that one? You borrow it into existence. When people say they're just printing money, they're wrong. First of all, they're printing currency, but they're borrowing currency into existence. The Fed doesn't just print money, what they do is they indebt us in the future. Everyone of these loans that we took out of the bank that created the vast majority of our currency supply, 95 per cent of our currency supply, roughly, has been created by the banks uh... i think actually is 93 percent now and the Federal Reserve created about 7 percent but uh... before the financial crisis the actual physical paper dollars are what the Federal Reserve and the Treasury creates it's known as base, they call it base money, I call it base currency uh... and then we create the rest of the currency supply by going to the bank and borrowing for home or something like that or buying dinner and sign our credit card. When you sign a credit card receipt you've expanded the currency supply of the planet. The problem with this system is that every single month there is a payment due on that bond for the principle plus the interest and there's payments due on your home mortgages and on your cars and on your credit cards every single month you've got to make a payment on that currency that you borrowed into existence and on the balance sheet that payment extinguishes the currency that you borrowed into existence, so the currency supply starts to collapse. This system requires that we go deeper into debt every month than were the previous month, we have to always borrow more currency into existence than we are extinguishing every single month or the whole thing starts to collapse, and I'll show you what that collapse looks like in a minute but first I'm going to show you the base money, this is the these are the physical paper dollars uh... it's basically cash in circulation plus the deposits that the big commercial banks have at the Federal Reserve uh... all of the banks have a checking account at the Federal Reserve and their deposits are redeemable in paper dollars so it's a measurement of how many paper dollars exist. It took 200 years to go from zero dollars in existence to 825 billion dollars, then came along, came the financial crisis of 2008 and it has only taken two and a half years to triple that. We are now at about uh... 2.4 trillion dollars of base money from 825 just two-and-a-half years ago, so this looks like the currency supply of the planet is just exploding when you look at this and most economists and newsletter writers are talking about inflation, inflation inflation is right around the corner, this is going to happen. I believe that we're going to have, I wrote in my book we would have the threats of deflation followed by big inflation which we have already had, that's what this is, followed by a real monetary deflation which is the collapse of the currency supply: inflation, deflation are properly referred to as an expansion or contraction of the currency supply prices follow but there's a delay, uh... and so uh... consumer price inflation keeps your eye off the ball. If you can look at what's happening in the currency supply you're seeing into the future. And I believe that there's going to be deflation first and then all of the world central banks will start printing like crazy to get us out of that deflation and Ben Bernanke will be leading the charge, and so back in March of 2006 uh... the Federal Reserve hid the broadest measure of the currency supply, the currency supply that is M1, M2 and M3 uh... M1 is uh... cash in circulation uh... plus checking, checking accounts uh... M3 was the broadest measure that incorporated the most different types of of bank deposits and so on, not at all the entire currency supply, the entire currency supply is actually total credit so about 53 trillion today and it's uh... stalled and started to shrink. But M3, they used to publish it every month it was the uh... measurement of the currency supply that most newsletter writers and uh... on the news that they would report and the Fed hid it from us in March of 2006 claiming that it was too expensive to compile all this information and that it was useless anyway that you couldn't glean anything from M3 that you couldn't get from M2. Now, here's the real kicker. There is a... uh... M3 is... you take a whole bunch of different monetary aggregates that the Fed publishes and you add them together and you get M3. The only one that they don't publish I believe it's uh... uh... euro-dollars I can't remember, I believe it's euro-dollars, it was 0.6 percent of M3 so you can still reconstruct M3 off of all the other monetary aggregates plus minus 0.6 percent accuracy and there are several companies that do this, shadow stats, shadow government statistics or shadowstats.com, is one of them, it's by John Williams. He's one of the people that does and all the people that do their data agrees, so I'm like 99.4 because is there a 0.6 percent plus minus, I'm 99.4 percent sure that this information is correct, and what you see here is that there's a little collapse going on of the currency supply up here, and it's not huge we've gone from you know this would be 15 so about 14.7 trillion dollars down to just under 14 trillion dollars in M3, but base currency is a component of the M3 that red part on the bottom is part of it, and they've been pushing that up like crazy Why? Because there's a credit collapse going on right now. When you deduct the base money from the credit based portion of this part of M3, so the portion of what we borrow into existence what happens is that it shows this enormous collapse going on. This is M3 minus base money and there's a 1.7 trillion-dollar collapse of the currency supply, it's about 13 percent, Now, there's no time in history that this has happened, this goes back to nineteen sixty except the beginning of the Great Depression, that was the last time the currency supply contracted was, the beginning of the Great Depression. Usually there's a time lag between stuff like this happening and the public feeling it so the Federal Reserve is borrowing currency into existence like crazy and they're now doing direct purchases of bonds from... They don't even go through that open market operations shell game, that keeps you from seeing what's going on, they're buying bonds directly from the Treasury, this is Quantitative Easing they're calling it and that means there's an emergency going on. They're telling us that everything's fine, that, you know all of their emergency efforts cured everything, and the economy is OK what the hell is this right here? why in just the past couple of months this is part of the quantitative easing why is the currency expanding? from uh... 2 trillion to 2.4? If everything was fine, the Federal Reserve would not be doing that! They're scared shitless, so it's happening they're doing anything they can to prevent this deflationary collapse that I predicted in my book uh... you know I first started buying gold when it was 325 bucks an ounce, actually it was 315 uh... 326 for golden eagles uh... that was October 2002, by April 2003 I had discovered silver and I was all in. I can see, I was reading in 2001 and 2002 I was researching what was going on in the global economy every single day, I was addicted to it. And by October of 2002 I started making my commitment and by April of 2003 I was all in. In 2004 I started speaking on it. In 2005 I incorporated goldsilver.com and became a precious metals dealer and start writing my book and that was published in 2008, so I didn't just bet my portfolio on it, I bet my entire life on it. I can see that there wasn't anything in history as far as finances go that was as much of this sure bet, a sure thing as gold and silver accounting for the expansion of the fiat currency supply. Gold and silver are denominated in this fiat currency, these digital numbers that they type into the computers and paper notes so they just run off the printing press and it's all borrowed into existence. Periodically throughout history for the past 2400 years they have done this. This is... the lower line is the value of the gold held at the Treasury so the uh... the number of ounces of gold times the price. The upper line is the currency in circulation, base money. And that this is from the year 1918 and here we have the stock market crash in 29 and these are the bank runs of the 30 where people were asking for gold. But they printed too many receipts for gold. If you can go back to before World War One these two lines would converge. They diverge there and we've created this lie where we were creating all these receipts for gold, these claimchecks on gold that didn't exist. When people wanted it, Roosevelt had to make private ownership of gold illegal because there was a run on gold, and in the United States americans could not own gold. And then a year later they unpegged the dollar from gold and the dollar's value plummeted, so that it took, it went from taking 20 dollars to purchase one ounce of gold uh...it then required 35 dollars to purchase, so they called it a change in the price of gold, they can't change the price of gold when you're on a worldwide gold standard, and gold has, you know, it's got a certain intrinsic value. The dollar fell. And so... what's amazing is accounted for the currency supply. This is the free markets in the will of the public forcing the government hands forcing them to change the rules. Here's the same chart again uh... but now I've taken the dates out further, so you can see uh... World War Two, the expansion of the currency supply then in 59 uh... Charles de Gaulle, the president of France uh... says we want our gold, other countries started jumping on board and gold started leaving the vaults. Then I'm taking it out further because that one goes out to 1971 In 1971 we go off of gold but there's another line here, a blue line. how many here would say the credit cards are replacing cash in circulation? Credit cards are replacing cash in circulation. I believe they are and when you sign a credit card receipt and you paid that merchant, the merchant's checking account does not know the difference between credit card currency that you created and cash that the Federal Reserve created. It can't tell the difference and that currency that you created circulates until somebody saves it up and pays down credit card debt. And so uh... I add that to the currency supply. Once Nixon took us off of gold, and gold became a separately traded commodity/currency uh... the will of the public and the free markets drove the price of gold up until once again the value of gold held at the Treasury exceeded the currency supply and there was a year where we could have gone back on the gold standard and it also covered outstanding revolving credit for an entire month. So all it was doing is the same thing as it did in 1934 and in Weimar Germany and hundreds and hundreds of times since the year 407 BC with the first grade inflation in Athens. This is the same chart again but it shows Ben Bernanke panicking over here and this is the increase of base money. that's that first chart that I showed you, not first chart, but one where there was a red area on the bottom, so that's the increase in base money. Well, there's the outstanding revolving credit piled on top of it, uh... here's gold and what this means is that gold has to rise from here to way up there to do the same accounting that it has already done twice in the United States and hundreds and hundreds of times in history. This is a natural thing. It does this automatically. The will of the public and the free market force this to happen. I'd believe that is there's absolutely no chance in hell that this won't happen, right now it takes about 15000 to 20000 dollar a ounce of gold So, here is another way of looking at the same thing, and it's a great way of looking whether gold is undervalued or overvalued. If you take just the paper dollars, that base money and you say there's a certain amount of paper dollars, how much gold do we have as a percentage of those paper dollars to cover them? And so gold is expensive when we've got too much gold, more than uh... paper dollars, and it's cheap when we don't have enough, and it's very cheap uh... when uh... when it's way down here. Well, this is where we are as far as just the paper dollars. Here's when you add outstanding revolving credit. This is what a debt collapse or currency collapse looks like. We borrow uh... two units of currency into existence here uh... and uh... to do that we promise to pay back, we're borrowing this currency into existence with the bond the bond is over here, say you've got uh... these two units of debt plus interest, so you owe back more than you're borrowing into existence but then each month you're going to pay off a small portion of that debt, and so the next month we go on borrow more into existence and we pay off, we keep on hang off that debt every month and we always have to borrow more into existence than we're paying off, but notice something. You notice how the debt is now growing faster? It was only fifty percent higher but now it's a double, it's a hundred percent. It grows faster than the currency supply. There comes a day where this is unsustainable. If the public gets scared and they stopped borrowing currency into existence and they save up and pay down debt, the whole thing goes into a deflationary collapse. This is what I was predicting and this is what is happening right now. Thank you. uh... This is how much debt we owe compared to the size of our economy. If you owe fifty cents and your economy is a dollar you owe fifty percent of the size of the economy. If you owe five hundred billion and your economy is one trillion you owe fifty percent the size of your economy. It's the same either way so uh... this what this chart shows, is how much debt the United States has, the National Debt, compared to the size of its economy, and it goes back to 1792, which was when the original coinage act of the United States was created, and there was debt leftover from the revolutionary war and, so that's this debt here at the very beginning of the chart, right there and what you see is that it never exceeded the fifty percent level, until World War Two, this includes the Civil War, World War One and the establishment of the Federal Reserve, uh... the Great Depression. You see that during the twenties we were growing the economy faster than the debt, and so the debt compared to the size of the economy is a smaller and smaller uh... portion because we were having the roaring twenties, the economy was growing and the debt wasn't growing as fast, so on this chart the debt is shrinking through the twenties but then suddenly in 1930 it goes up. Why? It wasn't because we were borrowing a whole bunch of currency and going into debt, it's because the economy shrank and our debt stayed the same, so that was the last great deflation that got us into uh... a deeper debt because we couldn't afford to pay the debt that we owed, uh... the economy shrank faster then we do the deficit spending for World War Two and we can exceed this level of fifty percent because now we have this fiat currency system, where we could just borrow currency into existence but when you do that a bond, bonds range from like a month to thirty years out into the future that you're going to pay them back, that means we're borrowing prosperity out of the future. You remember how I said you save up some of the currency supply and you can pay tax to pay the principle plus interest. So the prosperity that we're enjoying right now, this moment is owed back in the future. We have to pay a principle plus interest for the privilege now of having currency that we can use. Somebody is skimming off the top basically, this is the way the banking system sort of skims off the top, is through inflation there's people that get rich off of this without having to do any work and putting their value into the system, they get to skim purchasing power out of the system through inflation. But every dollar that we borrow into existence puts us in debt in the future, so we are every year borrowing prosperity out of the future and we spend it today. The average roll over for all the bonds is about four-and-a-half years, so the prosperity that we're enjoying right now we owe back uh... we've got to pay for four-and-a-half years from now. And right now the taxes that you're paying are paying for prosperity during the Bush administration, We have already spent it, it's gone. So then we started growing the economy faster than we were doing deficits spending, so our debt compared to the size of the economy goes down during the Korean War, in Vietnam, and then we have the end of the gold standard and then Reagan says: "deficits don't matter" we can just go ahead and spend as much as we want. uh... The debt increases. Just before this era of the financial crisis, there's a little slope where it starts to go down, that's the Clinton era. They said that we had surpluses, it was uh... bullshit. If you look.. I don't look at the government's accounting of whether or not they say we have a surplus or deficit, what I look at is the National Debt. Did it go up? If it went up it meant we spent more than we had. If it went down it means we had a surplus, we had excess income above what we're spending and during the Clinton years there was never a year where the actual national debt went down. I don't know of the people in the United States, from the United States here, remember when uh... Gore and Bush were running against each other they're both telling us how they were going to spend all this currency that was flowing in. You know, they were each trying to compete on all the free crap they're going to give us in the future, and uh... you know, that's how uh... actually that isn't how Bush won... but that's another story. Anyway, These statistics are from the congressional budget office. This is what our government is going to tell us, is going to happen in the future, and it's not pretty. It's completely unsustainable, it is impossible, it cannot happen, you can't have debts that is ten times the size of your economy. It's not possible. Everything comes to a screeching halt first, and so something has to change. Right now, uh... I don't know if it got passed or not, but the government I dont't keep up with the news, I consider it all short term noise, it distracts you from what is really going on, so I'm not sure did uh... they settle on some sort of budget and is the government gonna keep on running? Does anybody know this? Yes, they did? Did the republicans, who were trying to get this thing passed whose gonna pay down the debt that they win? There's some sort of compromise. You see, it's deflationary. It would cost a financial collapse to try and pay down this debt, you have to go into.. In order for us to maintain the levels we've got and to maintain the prosperity Obama has to be a... we have to be twice as far in debt when he leaves office than when he came in. Or the whole thing is starting to collapse. uh... so, more proof that we are going into a deflation first. This is what a dead cat bounce looks like. This is the stock market. The stock rises uh... it peaks, takes a little dip, a bunch of investors come in, thinking that they're scooping up deals and they start buying and it rises again and then the crash continues because when they started buying it hadn't reached fair value yet. It had just rollover taken a little bounce in the market that's still uh... looking for a fair value so there's the dead cat and it bounces. There's the Nasdaq, so that's uh... uh... what a dead cat bounce looks like. The initial crash on the Nasdaq was 38 percent. The total crash was 78 percent. This is the Dow in the 1929 crash and the dead cat bounce, uh... the initial portion of the crash was 48 percent, and the total crash was 90 percent, so in the first examples was 38 percent, 78 percent. 48 percent, 90 percent, so if the initial crash is larger the rest of the crash is going to be larger. We are going through a giant version of the 1929 crash or the Nasdaq crash. We just had the biggest crash in history: the Dow which is supposed to be the biggest, safest, securest. The 30 largest companies in the United States uh... just crashed by 56 percent and we are in a dead cat bounce, meaning that ultimately the total crash should be greater than 90 percent from its high. This is the best way of measuring the value of a stock, and I'm sorry if I'm going fast and this isn't sinking in, I've got lot of stuff here and I've got to cover it, only got twenty minutes left, I gotta show you that the world's stock markets and real estate bubbles have to continue crashing because all it is is that market trying to seek fair value, it's trying to seek equilibrium, this is what the markets do, it is their job. The SP 500, these are PE ratios, how many here knows know what a PE ratio is? OK, how many do not? It's OK, raise your hand and say that you don't. OK, it's the price of a share of stock divided by the earnings of the company. So it's basically how much is this stock costing me, compared to how much is the company making. And one of the best ways, the entire industry stock market, the industry, the financial industry agrees that this is probably the best way of measuring the true value of the stock, whether it's overpriced or underpriced when you're buying it. The S&P only goes back to the year 1950 but professor Robert Shiller of Yale University uh... reconstructed the S&P and took the 500 largest companies in America and took it all the way back to the year 1880. So you have a hundred and twenty years or two hundred and twenty one years of data here. Fair value is when PE ratios are about 12, meaning you're paying twelve times the earnings of the stock, so if you buy a stock its going to... if nothing else changes and the company continues making the same amount every year, it's gonna take you 12 years to make your uh... money back and be in profit. Undervalued is anything under 10, overvalued is 15 to 18, anything over 18 is a bubble, and so here's the data going back to the year 1880 and what you see here is that there is no time in history that we go from fair value to overvalued, once it hits overvalued, it does not stop, it bounces on the way down, and visits undervalued, overvalued, undervalued, overvalued, undervalued, overvalued, undervalued. The greatest bubble in history, the year 2000 PE is at almost 45, absolutely insane investing in a stock and having to wait 45 years to be in profit. This was nuts and people were chasing stocks like crazy. This is the tech boom and so on. Well, it crashed down the fair value during the market crash of 2008 and it bounced back into a bubble, where PE is about 23 or 24 right now. The stock markets seek equilibrium. They seek fair value over the years. This is their job, that is what they do. There's a famous trader named Bernard Baruch who said in the short term the stock market is a voting machine, is like a stock machine, I mean, it's a slot machine or voting machine it does what the public thinks it should do. The public chases after something, it goes into a bubble, but in the long term it's a weighing machine, it balances, its scales balancing each other. That's what the stock market is always trying to do: seek fair value. It's only there for brief moments in history, but the point is that every time we are in a bubble, it visits severely undervalued and the greater the bubble, usually the greater you overshoot fair value. uh... This is the second best way of measuring a stock's value: the dividend yield. If you buy a stock for a buck and that company pays you six cents every year into your brokerage account you're getting a six-percent yield. I have inverted this chart because uh... the higher the yield the more undervalued the stock is, the lower the yield more overvalued it is. So I inverted it, so the bubbles are up and undervalued is down, uh... so fair value is uh... four and a half to almost six uh... so there you see the same pattern as before, but here's what's alarming. It's that there is no time in the first 118 years of data that we have been in a bubble this large. This is absolute insanity and it can not last. There are two ways that the market can seek equilibrium. One: the market goes sideways for a decade while we have raging inflation that will balance this out and then bring dividend yields and PEs back into line. Two: it crashes, the markets go down, the currency supply is collapsing, therefore this has to be a deflationary collapse, this can't be an inflation in what they call an invisible crash. uh... these are the world stock markets, so there you have the US stock market, the England stock market, Germany stock market, this is Singapore and Japan. Notice that before the year 2000 Singapore and Japan used to trade in different direction than the United States. The United States could be going up while their stock market was going down. But before the year 2000 all of the markets of all the major economies trade in the same direction at the same time. Here is Brazil and here is Russia and in about the year 2003 they started trading in the same direction and since the market crash of 2008 all markets, all world markets go the same direction at the same time. The S&P, the Dow they're way, way overvalued in a bubble, we're having a deflationary collapse of the currency supply, the markets have to go down, when they do, the rest of the world's, where the United States goes so goes the rest of the world. These markets all have to collapse. Now, we have some real estate bubbles going on. The real estate bubble in the United States uh... took it basically burst in the year 2007-2008 and it's been falling but I measure something called the mortgage rent ratio, uh... fair value on a home is if you're paying about a uh... uh... a dollar to a dollar five for the mortgage, the monthly mortgage on a thirty-year mortgage plus your carry cost like insurance and stuff, for each dollar that you can rent the house for, if you were going to rent it. We went into a bubble of a buck twenty five in 1989-1990, fair value is about a buck five, and then we had the recession and it went to ninety cents, on national average in the year 1995 uh... real estate cash flow by ten percent, a single-family medium price home in the United States except you couldn't get a loan back then, credit was tight, the economy was lousy, then we went into this real estate bubble that was the greatest bubble in world history, where people are paying a buck eighty-five, a buck ninety, almost two bucks for each dollar they could rent the house for. uh... And then that bubble popped, and it came back down not to fair value but to a buck twenty five and bounced, so it came back down to the height of the previous bubble, it bounced, and we are right now at a buck twenty five, so valuations on real estate are still as high as they were in the bubble in 1989. they have to come down or rents have to go up. This is all deflationary, which means that rents are not going to go up, real estate is gonna come down. All of this travels together, like I said. Now, when the world stock markets crash, does anybody know about the bubbles that are going on, the real estate bubbles that are going on in the rest of the world? How many here are watching the videos that we produce each week on Youtube and so on? OK, do you enjoy those videos? Yes, good. Are they informative? Yes. Do we try to sell you anything? No. All we do is we educate. So here is a video that we made in Las Vegas uh... this is our driver very well-informed man, very educated. uh... he was very informed on world finance, the stock markets, real estate, he really knew what was going on in Las Vegas and behind him there is a uh... big casino project I can't remember the name of this one uh... there's the... Venetian in the background and there's a building going up in front of that. this is the the casino project that they were developing uh... and that's another shot of it. See that tall building behind it? That's a hotel called the Fountainbleu. If you go to the other side of the Fountainbleu what you notice is that there's a bunch of windows that are boarded over, this thing is skinned on the outside, it's not finished on the inside, they've got a billion and a half into it, now looking for another three billion dollars to finish this thing, and this stuff is all over Las Vegas, it's not just in Las Vegas, it's all over the world. This is in Moscow, this is a development called Moscow's City Center, there's the project, you can't read it unless you read Russian, uh... but all of these beautiful buildings here, there's nine buildings one of them was completely in the framing stage, another one was uh... half way completed of the others there are two that are occupied and one that is one-third occupied, the rest are just skinned over, and they're not completed on the inside. The project is at a standstill, uh... and then in front of this project there's this giant hole in the ground and this is where the centerpiece was supposed to be. This was Russia's bragging rights, this was going to be the tallest building in Europe, Federation Tower, and it's a hole in the ground, and it'll remain a hole in the ground, that will never be finished. Does anybody know what the Singapore flyer is? I've only got ten minutes and I'm not gonna be able to finish this thing, It's a big ferris wheel in Singapore, it's one of the tallest in the world if not the tallest, I think it is the tallest, and here I am looking at their real estate bubble and if you noticed there's cranes on top of all these buildings here, uh... there's cranes everywhere. Look at all those buildings being built uh... All bubbles burst, we are in a worldwide credit bubble, when these markets rollover the giant real estate bubbles that were going up and then took a little breath when our markets crashed their bubbles kept on going after pausing, when our real estate bubble uh... popped and started reverting back to fair value. The markets are just trying to seek fair value, that's all they're doing. But people and the world central banks go: "Oh, my God!" every time there's a little crash "we gotta do something about it!" It doesn't feel good to be in a recession so they try and pump everything up but they don't realize that they're just making everything worse later. Everything they do is gonna come back to haunt them as more uh... inflation eventually uh... or this deflation I'm talking about is the expansion of credit contracting. Here's another thing that is going on that is going to mean that this decade is different than anything else that you have known. uh... People don't realize that every 30 to 40 years the world has an entirely new monetary system. It changes every 30 to 40 years. In 1873 Germany started the Classical Gold Standard uh... and by 1900 pretty much every developed country on the planet was on the standard where every note in circulation that was put out by their treasury was backed by an equivalent amount of gold, so it was 100 percent backing, uh... then World War One happened, all the combatants in Europe went off of the Classical Gold Standard and started printing, and between the wars we had something called the gold exchange standard where it was a mixture of debt and uh... gold backing the currency uh... then that was a very poorly constructed man-made system, and anything man-made cannot last, so basically they were uh... the Federal Reserve, under the Federal Reserve Act there was a 40 percent reserve ratio and they were allowed to put uh... a fifty dollar bill into circulation for each twenty dollars worth of gold that they had backing the fifty dollars, so they're putting claimchecks on gold in excess of the amount of gold that they actually had. Ever since the Federal Reserve was born we have been living under a lie. And if people say that we've got free markets in the United States, they're wrong. You cannot have free markets without free market money. Your currency is fifty percent of every transaction, all of the transactions are the free market. If there's a small group of men deciding what currency is and how much the cost of currency is going to be, the interest rates, that isn't a free market. We do not have free markets, we haven't had since the year 1913, then we have uh... something called the Bretton Woods system, the Classical Gold Standard broke down, the Bretton Woods system was from 1944 where uh... all of the world's uh... currencies would be backed by the US dollar at 35 dollars an ounce and foreign central banks only could exchange those dollars for gold at the New York Fed, for 35 dollars per ounce, so all the world's currencies were pegged to gold but through the US dollar. uh... All of these countries started asking for dollars and gold flowed out of the vaults and Nixon had to take us off the gold standard in 1971, so you've got 30 to 40 years, 30 years, 28 years, 39 years plus what's next? In this decade there's going to be an emergency meeting of the G7, of the G20 countries, and there going to be trying to hash out a new world monetary system and they're already working on it, they're trying to figure out what they're going to do when the dollar collapses. uh... Here's the differences between the seventies bull market and today and this is the reason I say that you really can't compare them, their isn't any comparison, and remember in eight years gold went up 24 times its price silver went up 36, these are enormous winnings in such a short period of time. uh... In the seventies it was basically North America and Western Europe, that drove the price of the precious metals, the exchanges were the London Metals Exchange, and the Commodities Exchanges in the United States, that's where the price of gold and silver was set. All of the USSR they could not participate, there were no exchanges there, there's no market for gold and silver and even if you could buy some, it was on the black market, so your investment did not affect the worldwide price. Those people were excluded in participating in this bull market and driving the price of gold forward. China under Mao, same thing, first of all everybody was making a subsistence living, very few people even had electricity let alone being able to go and invest in gold. India, Mexico, South America, these countries were all very poor at that time, the world's richest man is Carlos Slim, and uh... he lives in Mexico City, uh... you have massive investors in all of these countries now and in Shanghai investing is a sport, people will sit around in a room like this and watch tickers go by and make their bets, uh... the rest of the world, Africa, I mean, pretty much the whole rest of the world was excluded in that bull market and gold went up 24 times and silver 36. So what...and back then too, news traveled very slowly, you turned on that old vaccum tube TV set waiting 60 seconds for it warm up and then Walter Cronkite would come on give you the price of gold and or you open the newspaper the next day and uh... get your news 24 hours after it happened, and then you pick up the telephone and call your broker and if you were lucky he can get an order onto the floor of the exchange for you the same day, but possibly the next day. So, news and reaction time was very slow. uh... Also the development of the investor mindset. before the Arisa Act and before Nixon took us off of gold, before 1971 when Nixon took us off of gold if you went to work between your late teens or mid twenties, depending on whether you went to college or not, you could expect that if you saved ten percent of your income every month then when we got into your sixties you can retire and live off the interest in your savings account. Can you do that today? Nobody can live off the interest of its savings account, unless he got twenty million bucks sitting there, fifty million bucks, that's the only way you're going to get by. and you wouldn't leave in the savings account because you're losing to inflation, your principle is getting whittled away because of inflation. uh... So, my parents' generation were savers not speculators and investors. uh... What's different today? Today, the entire world can participate. It's roughly ten times the populations that can participate in this bull market. News travels at the speed of light over a tremendous variety of media outlets. You can get the news on your cell phone, on your laptop, uh... And an investor crossing the Sahara, we're out filming in front of the pyramids and there's this Bedouin guy sitting on the ground and he's got some sticks and he's starting a fire to make some tea, and he's on his cell phone. this guy crossing the desert can take his Apple Iphone, check the price of gold and place a trade right there. Is this a different world or not? Yes? OK? uh... Then you have the development of the investor mindset. Along comes the tech bubble, and Nasdaq and everybody got themselves a trading platform and became a day trader, uh... and then they got punished, the market crashed. Then you've got a real estate bubble that happens and everybody starts chasing real estate, and then they get foreclosed on, on real estate, the bubble popped at least here in the US and England, the bubbles are still going on all down the coast of China and Australia and New Zealand, those bubbles are massive and they're about to burst. uh... And so they got punished, nobody has been punished on precious metals for 30 years. Our memories just aren't that long so the next great bubble is absolutely destined to be precious metals. Nobody has been burned out on it, you know, nobody that's chasing after an investment to either secure their retirement or to buy them that new Lamborghini. uh... And so the development of the investor mindset, this is really critical to try and figure out. How many units of currency around the planet are gonna come chasing the same tiny little pile of gold and a pile of silver that's about one fifth the size that was in 1980? uh... It's at least ten times the eligible populations, each one of them has at least ten times the currency, and, you know, as I think about this it's probably greater than these figures I was saying that there was somewhere between ten and one hundred times more investors but think about this: In all of the USSR and China, more that half the world's population, there was not one investor, not one and today it's the sport in Shanghai. So i think this is probably over a hundred, it might be a thousand I don't know. So you can take these figures and possibly add a zero to them and that's the potential amount of units of currency that can come chasing the same... I mean we had 2 billion ounces of gold back then, uh... on the markets, and today there's 2.2, so it's 10 percent more gold, but silver there's only about 600 million ounces of silver on the exhanges, 500 million ounces, 600 million ounces. uh... Here's the 747, and here's a little man with very strong legs that just dropped out of the sky, this is for scale, and if you took all of the silver ever mined in history it would fit into a cube about that size on the scale and all the gold ever mined in history would be a cube about that size, however, gold has two basic functions: money and jewelry, and that's a pretty much it. Only 5 percent of gold production gets used in industry. Silver is the second most useful commodity known to man, oil is the first with about 30.000 uses, silver is second with about 10.000 uses but we use it in microscopic amounts. When you type on the keyboard you're typing on silver, when you look at a DVD or a CD you're looking at silver, when you look in the mirror, you're looking at silver. When you look through a thermal pane window, you're looking through silver. It's everywhere, it's a biocide, it's going into superconductors, it's going into RFID chips, but you know what? None of that matters. What's going to drive the price of silver is investment demand, it's the public rushing into this and when gold gets too expensive for the public, they switch their preference to silver, this is what happened back in in late 1979 and early 1980, silver lagged gold and then uh... silver just exploded because gold got too expensive. But silver has already been outperforming gold, and there will come a day when there's commentators on MSNBC, Fox News, CNN they're going to be showing with... Whenever you're in a bubble, whatever is in a bubble and the public is chasing, they want to hear about, and the news accommodates, they give you whatever you want to hear about, they don't tell you what they should be telling you, they tell you what you want to hear. And there's going to be people on air like me showing charts and saying: "Of course, silver has been outperforming gold, there's less of it". "There's five times more gold for investors to buy than there is silver" that's the reason is been outperforming gold so, is it possible that silver could actually exceed the price of gold? Sure, it is. All you have to do is look at these insane bubbles that have happened in the past like the tulip mania of 1637. I don't know if it will, I don't actually expect it to, but it definitely could because it's more rare and the markets do something called the price discovery mechanism where they try to find out, uh... they set the price based upon the equilibrium that's determined by the rarity of the two items. uh... That's been going on for centuries, the price discovery mechanism is not broken, it still works, uh... and I expect it to work, so we use up the silver, so the result is, this is what they look like today. Now, cubes are deceiving that so the gold cube's actually about four, five times larger than the silver cube. If you take a cubic foot, that's a foot by a foot by a foot. And if you make it 2 feet by 2 feet by 2 feet, it hasn't doubled, it's now 8 cubic feet. So, uh... as you double the measurements on a cube, it goes up in volume eight times, so there's actually about four, five times more gold than there is silver on the exchanges that investors can buy, so when people come flooding into this, I do expect this... Right now silver's value is 1/35 of gold. I expect it to outperform gold by at least a factor of 3.5, I'm expecting a 10/1 ratio at an absolute minimum. uh... Silver being 1/5 of gold's price is perfectly logical, if it's going up slow and it hits gold's price then all the industry will just switched to gold because that's the only other metal they can use in most of these instances. They can use platinum, rhodium, paladium and gold but they only mine 5 million ounces each per year of platinum, rhodium and paladium. They use 900 million ounces of silver so there's not enough of those other metals, the only alternative to silver in most of these applications, like keyboards in electronics, is gold. uh... So if it was going up slowly and it did hit the price of gold, gold can stop it in its tracks, if there's a rush gold can go past, however silver is much cheaper to mine than gold and it wouldn't stay there. uh... We are always trying to figure this stuff out at our company, trying to measure it and see when to buy, when to sell. Now... Can you roll that... This is a clip from one of our Youtube videos, and this is the insiders video that uh... our customers at Goldsilver.com, they got to see this two months ago and then we just released it, and so this is the type of information that you get, and when we're nearing a top, our customers are going to be informed on what we are doing, so, can you roll that video, please? And what you see is that when you're coming off the bubble, when it's overvalued it has never in 130 years, just gone back to fair value and gone back up into a bubble, it always continues on its uh... way down in a bear market until it goes to severely undervalued and then a new bull market starts again and it start rising. Well, we are in a bubble, it has to seek equilibrium, it's probably gonna blow right past it and go to severely undervalued, just like it has every time for the past 130 years. So real estate and stocks are doing this at the same time, while we're in a bull market for precious metals and there is a problem with currencies. So we are going to be measuring all these things very carefully, and then using some confirming indicators that should flash to us when to get ready to sell and we're going to be letting you know, so thanks a lot, I hope you have some great holidays, I'll see you later. I was standing in front of a green screen just sort of drawing this charts out of memory and our animator Adam had to sort of flow the charts in front of me and move them around to match them up with my finger, but uh... uh... that is what you get as a customer, it's on the Youtube channel "Why Gold And Silver?" so if you do a search for "sell silver Mike Maloney", because it's when to sell your gold and silver so "sell silver Mike Maloney" you'll get that video in its entirety, and there are dozens of videos on "WhyGoldAndSilver" "GoldMikeMaloney" and "WealthCycles". So those are the 3 Youtube channels that you can go to, and each one of them has a few dozen videos on it. uh... This is the gold panic in 1948 in Shanghai, if you wait until the last minute, I'm not very good at swearing, Robert Kiyosaki is great at it so I usually don't swear much on stage, but if you wait until the last minute, you are shit out of luck, up shit creek, without a paddle in a barbed wire canoe, fucked! Thank you! Unlike the second to the last frame here, here's one thing people do not realize. It does not take Ben Bernanke to print the dollar into oblivion for gold to go to 10.000 dollars an ounce, 50.000 dollars an ounce, 100.000 dollars an ounce. All it takes are a few very wealthy investors to try to get theirs before the masses wake up and the herd comes charging in, but this is the masses, this is the people waking up out of their beer-and-football induced comas, coming in at the last second, well, this is sort of a different situation, because their currencies were going to to go to zero because of war, but basically, you've to get in ahead of the trend, and then get out when everybody else is panicking like that. Like I said, this is the greatest wealth transfer in history, but you have no idea of the scale until you think. If we do have a change in our monetary system and if we have to go back to some sort of asset backed currency that means that the people that are holding non asset backed currencies, which is all the currencies on the planet today, their wealth is transferred to the holders of precious metals. This is the greatest wealth transfer in history, therefore it is the greatest opportunity in history. By the way, is Stephanie Wing here? Stephanie stand up for just a second. Stephanie's grandfather's sister was the Secretary during the roaring twenties and through the stock market crash and then in the depths of the Great Depression, she started buying stocks when everybody else was selling and when stocks were like the bad, and the poisoned investment that you did not want to get involved in. Stephanie's grandfather's sister started buying the stocks, she is an example of wealth cycles, she rode this stocks up and I don't know exactly when she did it, but she must have sort of innate sense that the stocks were overvalued, and she sold the stocks and bought real estate. If you go to the French Embassy in Washington DC that was her hotel, thank you, Stephanie. So, thank you very much, we'll see out in the lobby where you can get Free 100 trillion bucks from us, thanks! So, I just came off stage of the event, and you know, it's great, the event went great, all the information was very well received, it was a great audience, but, you know? Even though it's so rewarding to talk to the people live and hear their reaction still reaching a few hundred or a few thousand people at a time. It's not good enough any more, we're really in an emergency and we need to start reaching millions of people at a time, and that's why I'm trying to go more video oriented, than travelling around the planet like I have been, country by country, telling 400 to 4.000 people at a time. So, you know, hopefully I'm hoping that I don't have to make any more personal appearances, that I can just produce videos, write books and get the information out there as fast as possible and reach millions instead of thousands. Well, we've been working on a documentary and we have been around the world, Taiwan, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, London, Saint Petersburg (Russia), Moscow Germany, Rome, Paris, Athens (Greece), and we shot in front of the pyramids in Egypt, it's been a spectacular trip, trying to put together this documentary and I think that's going to be really enjoyable for people and highly educational. No chance in hell that it's gonna happen, as far as a one world currency that everybody is going to use. But what you see here is that in the XAU since the early eighties, on the average, gold and silver outperformed the stocks, on the average. ...you've gotta get started, that'why... the free markets always overwhelm manipulations, it's a doomed plan, eventually it will fail, but, they've got to position so accordingly, they've got to be ready, you can't wait... because you can see 200, 300 point gap days for gold. Basically,you know, one thing you find out is that all fiat currencies eventually fall to their intrinsic value, because they ruin it by puttink ink on it. It's the amount of energy you can extract from it, the amount of the BTUs, from combustion, when you burn it, and you saw that during the Weimar hyperinflation, people used the currency as fuel to heat the house. Currencies have been backed by oil, by gold and silver by land, but as soon as you remove some things that you can't, some things that put financial constraint, where you just can't print as much currency as you want, the currency is pretty much doomed. It's beyond astonishing... If it wasn't for the horrific effects, it would be more ludicrous, it would be actually comical, that we can stop and have some fun with, and it's actually horrific, if you look back in history in the last 3000 years, every episode of this kind of silly crap ended very very badly...
B1 中級 米 2万オンスの金のケース - 債務の崩壊 - マイク・マロニー - 銀と金 (The Case for $20,000 oz Gold - Debt Collapse - Mike Maloney - Silver & Gold) 492 48 TIKI に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日 シェア シェア 保存 報告 動画の中の単語