Thelongtermdeclineinlaborforceparticipationbyso-calledprimeagemenis a tremendousworryforoursociety, foroureconomy, andprobablyalsoforourpoliticalsystem.
Andifleftunchecked, whatimpactwillithaveonthe U.S. economy?
このまま放置すれば、アメリカ経済にどのような影響を与えるでしょうか?
Nearlyhalfofprimeagemenoutoftheworkforcecitedobsoleteskills, lackofeducationandtraining, poorworkrecordorsecurityissuesas a reasonpreventingthemfromwork.
Buttheywererespected, theywerestableandtheycouldsupport a family.
しかし、それらは尊敬され、安定していて、家族を養うことができました。
Sincethen, duetotechnologydrivengrowth, a littlebitduetoChinesecompetition, you'vehad a lotofmanufacturingfirmsandtheplaceswheretheywerelocatedthat, youknow, thatwereonehorsetownsbecomeghostlands, right?
Whatwehaveseenis a hugeriseintheproportionofprimeagemenwho'veneverbeenmarriedand a very, verysignificantdeclineintheproportionwhoarecurrentlymarriedandhavekidsathome.
A 2017 researchpaperestimatesthatanincreaseinopioidprescriptionbetween 1999 to 2015 ledtoabout 43 percentofthedeclineinmen's laborforceparticipationrateduringthatperiod.
Despite a steepriseinfederalfunding, theinfrastructuresectorhasn't beenabletofindenoughworkers, withtheconstructionworkforceshortagesurpassinghalf a millionin 2024.
Whilewedon't knowwhyitishappening, wecanbeprettyclearthatthesocialwelfareprogramsarehelpingandthedisabilityprogramsarehelpingtofinancethissituationin a waythatwasneveroriginallyintended.
They'veendedupwith a perversesituationthattoooftensubsidizesorevenincentivizeshelplessnessandlongtermdependence.
彼らは、無力感や長期的な依存を補助し、時には奨励さえする歪んだ状況に陥ってしまいました。
Ifwethoughtabout a systeminwhichwehad a workfirstprinciplewheretheincentiveswereforgettingthetrainingandthenshowingupatthejobandthenstayingatthejob, I thinkwe'd bein a lotbetterplacethanwearetoday.