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  • We're digging trenches, we're laying conduit, we're

  • backfilling, we're paving.

  • And after that will come electric construction.

  • Here in Arnold, California, Pacific Gas and Electric is

  • working to bury power lines underground.

  • This is an expensive but surefire way to practically

  • eliminate the risk of utility-caused wildfires,

  • which have devastated towns throughout California.

  • And a Hawaii utility could also be the cause of Maui's

  • recent deadly blazes.

  • We're coming off of a historic drought, and those

  • conditions are materially different than the

  • conditions that we saw just ten short years ago.

  • And so now is absolutely the right time to be taking

  • bold, decisive action with regard to the grid safety

  • and grid's resiliency and scaling this underground

  • program to eliminate wildfire risk.

  • The infamous Camp Fire of 2018 sparked when high winds

  • knocked over a poorly maintained PG&E transmission

  • line. The resulting blaze destroyed the town of

  • Paradise, California, killing 85 people.

  • PG&E was found liable, and the massive cost drove the

  • nation's largest utility into bankruptcy, from which

  • it emerged in 2020.

  • But just a year later and in the same county, PG&E

  • equipment started another catastrophic fire, prompting

  • the utility to announce plans to move 10,000 miles

  • of distribution lines underground. It's an

  • ambitious goal that Martin says would reduce ignition

  • risk by 98%.

  • But undergrounding just one mile costs anywhere from

  • $1.8 to $6 million.

  • The total plan would likely be in the tens of billions,

  • and that bill would be footed by PG&E's customers,

  • who already face some of the highest rates in the

  • nation.

  • It's very expensive to live in this state, and people

  • are already spending a lot of their money on keeping

  • the lights on, keeping their heat on on a cold

  • night, you know, keeping their medical devices

  • running. If we keep pushing up electricity rates, the

  • most vulnerable of us are not going to be able to pay.

  • But though it's expensive, burying power lines isn't

  • new. It's common practice in city centers, where

  • overhead lines would be obstructive, and more common

  • in Europe, where cities tend to be denser.

  • 41% of medium- and low-voltage power lines in

  • Europe are buried, and in Germany and the Netherlands,

  • nearly all of them are. Only about 18% of

  • distribution lines in the U.S. are underground, though

  • for both safety and aesthetic reasons, almost

  • all the new lines that are built are now buried.

  • So while our other underground lines were

  • primarily in more urban areas of our service

  • territory, this program is exclusively focused on the

  • highest risk areas in our service territory, getting

  • the lines out of the air and eliminating ignition

  • risk.

  • In general, overhead power lines are not insulated, as

  • that also comes at a cost.

  • When you look at our overhead wire, it's bare

  • wire. And that's why we've got such concerns about

  • that, is that if the tree falls into that and that

  • bare wire, that is where the risk comes from.

  • Basically, whenever the electricity in an energized

  • line has a direct path to the ground, be that through

  • a tree that's fallen on a line or a line that's fallen

  • on vegetation, that's when fires start.

  • So during storms and times of high wildfire risk,

  • utilities have few good options.

  • One option is to essentially just shut down the power

  • line, because if there is no voltage and no current on

  • the line, there is no chance of this release of

  • energy happening and then there is no chance of an

  • ignition. So shutting them down is a very disruptive

  • option. It is being used quite widely in California,

  • but it's really a very disruptive option.

  • PG&E has been implementing public safety power shutoffs

  • in California since 2019, impacting millions of

  • people. But as disruptive as this option is, it does

  • work. Hawaiian Electric, the utility that could be

  • found liable for the Maui wildfires that killed at

  • least 98 people, was criticized for not shutting

  • off power in advance of high wind warnings.

  • If the company is determined to be at fault,

  • it doesn't have nearly enough money to pay off

  • residents' damage claims.

  • Looked at this way, undergrounding is

  • undoubtedly cheaper than dealing with the massive

  • costs of deadly wildfires and undoubtedly less

  • disruptive than shutting off power completely.

  • When a line is put underground, ignition risk

  • is reduced by about 98%.

  • So for this one time capital investment, we're

  • essentially eliminating the risk of ignition from an

  • overhead power line by placing it underground.

  • Martin says that you also eliminate vegetation

  • management costs and many maintenance costs as well,

  • since underground wires aren't exposed to the

  • elements.

  • So everything underground is actually got a sheathing on

  • it. There's no bare wire, and it's actually protected

  • and made to be there for a long time.

  • We don't want to put it in twice. We want to put it in

  • once.

  • Undergrounding doesn't mean getting rid of all the poles

  • and wires that we're so familiar with, though.

  • What's going to move underground are our primary

  • lines, and they're the highest risk lines that you

  • see. They'll go underground along with the transformers.

  • The transformers will come off the pole, and in the

  • case of the project today will be pad-mounted.

  • And what will remain is communication lines, if

  • there are any, and the poles that those

  • communication lines are on, as well as secondary lines

  • and service lines to our customer's homes.

  • PG&E is not alone in its efforts.

  • San Diego Gas & Electric has a plan to underground

  • about 1,450 miles of line through 2031, while Florida

  • Power & Light is undergrounding select lines

  • for hurricane protection.

  • Austin Energy is also exploring undergrounding in

  • the wake of a winter ice storm that caused weeks-long

  • outages, and the federal government has pledged to

  • provide $95 million to Maui to harden its electric grid,

  • work that could include undergrounding lines.

  • But PG&E's proposed plan is far more ambitious and

  • expensive than any other in the nation.

  • Under this plan, which the California Public Utilities

  • Commission will vote on in November, PG&E will start by

  • undergrounding 2,100 miles of line through 2026 at a

  • total cost of about $5.9 billion.

  • We anticipate requesting full approval for all 10,000

  • miles in an upcoming filing with our regulators in 2024.

  • If PG&E's overall four year spending plan, which

  • includes funding for numerous other safety

  • initiatives and infrastructure investments,

  • is approved, a typical customer can expect to see

  • an average increase of $44.26 in their bill every

  • month through 2026.

  • The utility says that undergrounding efforts will

  • account for just $3.40 of this, but the CPUC has since

  • released two cheaper, alternate proposals for

  • consideration, which greatly cut back on

  • undergrounding. One calls for moving just 200 miles

  • underground and insulating 1,800 miles with covered

  • conductors, while the other involves undergrounding 973

  • miles and insulating 1,027 miles.

  • Both proposals would save customers money, but would

  • ultimately put PG&E's 10,000 mile goal in

  • jeopardy, and possibly customer safety too, since

  • PG&E says that insulating lines is only about 65%

  • effective at reducing wildfire risk.

  • If a tree falls on the line, the line is going to break

  • and you're still going to have a risk of a spark, and

  • you would still have a chance of starting a

  • wildfire, even if the line is insulated.

  • The Utility Reform Network supports the plan to

  • underground 200 miles, and estimates the cost of

  • insulation to be about $800,000 per mile, as

  • compared with the $3.3 million per mile that PG&E

  • spent on undergrounding in 2022.

  • By relying more heavily on insulated lines, we can do

  • the work faster and we can deliver that wildfire safety

  • more quickly to those different communities.

  • Morsony notes that the nation's second largest

  • utility, Southern California Edison, has

  • embraced insulation as a wildfire mitigation

  • strategy, aiming to install covered conductors on over

  • 7,200 miles of overhead lines by the end of 2025.

  • But because PG&E earns a guaranteed rate of return on

  • capital investments, the utility is inherently

  • incentivized to undertake more expensive

  • infrastructure projects like undergrounding.

  • The larger the investment, the larger the profit for

  • PG&E and its shareholders.

  • This model is actually how the utility makes money, not

  • by selling electricity or gas.

  • Undergrounding costs a lot of money, it's a large

  • investment. So that would increase the revenue that

  • the utilities collect.

  • So that might give them an incentive to go for this

  • type of investment rather than other solutions.

  • Now the question is would these other solutions be as

  • effective as those big investment projects?

  • That's where the regulators have to step in.

  • However utilities choose to proceed, it's abundantly

  • clear that there's a need to act quickly to address

  • the risk of wildfire, especially as the American

  • West tries to recover from a decades-long drought.

  • While the CPUC's impending decision will impact how

  • extensive a role undergrounding will play in

  • PG&E's overall risk mitigation strategy, the

  • utility did already move 73 miles underground in 2021,

  • 180 miles underground in 2022, and 350 miles so far

  • this year.

  • There are about 20 counties that we anticipate will have

  • meaningful amounts of undergrounding over the

  • course of the coming years.

  • And what we're seeing is that utilities across the

  • country are recognizing the need for an ever more

  • resilient electric grid.

  • So in the Southeast, for example, hurricane risk is

  • very real. In the Northeast, storm risk, the

  • same in the Midwest.

  • Fires are prevalent not just in California, but all

  • the way up the West Coast and into the Rocky

  • Mountains.

  • As extreme weather like this becomes more common, and the

  • nation moves towards clean energy generation, utilities

  • everywhere will be making major investments to adapt.

  • Undergrounding power lines is just one of many

  • strategies, but it exemplifies that tough

  • balance that utilities and regulators will need to

  • strike as they pursue safety, reliability and

  • affordability.

  • The question of how much we should invest in

  • undergrounding and allowing electricity rates to

  • increase, really is also not only a question for

  • electrical engineers or companies like PG&E to be

  • answered. It's really a societal question as well.

  • How do we maintain access to power while also keeping

  • it affordable, I think is a very important question.

We're digging trenches, we're laying conduit, we're

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Should The U.S. Bury Its Power Lines?

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    Joy Hsu に公開 2023 年 10 月 21 日
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