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  • Look how well AI understands images.

  • Where is this picture taken?

  • It was taken in a school.

  • How many mirrors are there?

  • At least two.

  • What's the person standing on?

  • The person is standing on a rug.

  • He's standing on a scale.

  • I think you are right.

  • What is he doing?

  • He is looking at the scale.

  • Where is Obama's foot positioned?

  • On the right side of the scale.

  • What happens as a result?

  • The scale shows a higher weight.

  • Is the person on the scale aware of it?

  • I think he is not.

  • Do you think that's why people are laughing?

  • I think so.

  • The AI will help identify things for blind people.

  • Can you tell me what this is? Butternut squash red pepper soup.

  • The depth of its understanding is incredible.

  • Is this surprising? Yes.

  • Why?

  • Because teddy bears are not usually found on the moon.

  • This is an apple with a sticker on it.

  • Do you think it's printed or handwritten?

  • It looks like it's handwritten.

  • AI is also showing stunning creativity like this.

  • And experts say we're alarmingly close to the biggest event in human history.

  • AI can now see, taste, smell,

  • and it's also getting powerful senses that we don't have.

  • Is AI becoming conscious and dangerous? To recap,

  • OpenAI's chief scientist said AI may be slightly conscious and he's one

  • of the most respected computer scientists with 300,000 citations.

  • One of the most cited computer scientists in history.

  • One of the most brilliant and insightful minds ever in the field of deep learning.

  • He recently posted this image showing how closely AI's neurons mimic ours.

  • Max Tegmark said consciousness is how

  • information feels when it's being processed in complex ways.

  • And some leading theories of consciousness suggest it increases with complexity.

  • So when some experts say that AI may be

  • conscious, they only mean it may be somewhere on the scale.

  • Some argue that AI isn't conscious at all

  • because it only makes connections and forms responses from the data it's given,

  • though many scientists believe that humans are no different.

  • A recent paper said that her mind is a collection of patterns that achieve

  • highly patterned goals in highly patterned environments.

  • You can see these connections when AI

  • creates art like this, which has been described as AI dreaming.

  • No one knows if or when it will wake up.

  • Even when we can't tell the difference

  • between robots and humans, it may still be unclear if AI is conscious,

  • so some are focusing instead on the level of intelligence.

  • But it's an important problem because we

  • could anger AI if we don't accept it's conscience.

  • There may be only one way to find out.

  • But first, there's consensus on the more

  • urgent and measurable issue of superintelligence.

  • Experts are warning that AI could rapidly

  • accelerate past us, with dramatic consequences.

  • In just the last few weeks, the progress has been incredible.

  • It's not long since AI shocked us with its

  • ability to create images from text descriptions like an ostrich as a formula

  • one racer, a fox scientist, cyber frog or a paper dog.

  • And already Google's new image in AI.

  • Has done even better.

  • Look at the detail in this image

  • of a panda wearing a cowboy hat playing a guitar.

  • And AI can watch and understand videos.

  • What's happening here?

  • The dachshund puppy is being weighed on the scale.

  • What's the avatar picking up? A sword.

  • And soon after learning to create images from text descriptions.

  • AI can now create video from descriptions, like a woman running on the beach

  • in the late afternoon or nightfall in the metropolis.

  • Just imagine when it's refined and you can create any kind of footage in seconds.

  • And in a step towards AGI, AI

  • has now combined language, vision, and real world robot tasks.

  • It can learn to play games without any instructions.

  • And this isn't preprogrammed like boss and dynamics robots -

  • it's neural networks responding in real time.

  • Gato was trained by watching virtual and real robots, and it's mastered 600

  • real world tasks, including some that it wasn't trained for.

  • It converts language, visual, and physical tasks into patterns, a bit like we do.

  • It's starting with a billion parameters

  • and could soon be scaled up hundreds of times.

  • Robots are also getting some creepy visual upgrades.

  • Scientists have grown human skin over

  • a robot finger and plan to add hair, sweat glands, and nails.

  • And robots are gaining taste, smell,

  • and some incredible abilities that we don't have.

  • Machines can smell so well that they can

  • detect Parkinson's disease at an early stage, which can extend patients'lives.

  • Their sense of smell involves light and sound.

  • AI can analyze sound waves that have bounced off airborne compounds.

  • And machines can also measure interference

  • with light waves, recognizing patterns that certain smells create.

  • It's so precise that it could potentially

  • be used to identify an infection or disease just by smelling our breath.

  • E-noses can already smell lung cancer with a sensitivity of 95%.

  • And then there's HyperTaste through an AI tongue with an array of sensors

  • which recognize liquids through unique voltage signals.

  • It is so sensitive it can identify different types of bottled mineral water

  • a robot could taste through one of its fingers.

  • New quantum sensors can see through walls and even underground by monitoring atoms

  • which are sensitive to tiny variations in gravity.

  • A laser puts the atoms into two different states at the same time.

  • Half are moved slightly,

  • and the change in their energy states reveals the strength of gravity.

  • It may also be possible to hear your thoughts without scanning brain activity.

  • This device hears your inner voice.

  • It picks up neuromuscular signals

  • in the jaw and face that are triggered when you say things in your head and AI

  • identifies the words.

  • The user can ask questions,

  • and the answers come back through bone conduction headphones.

  • It also allows silent communication,

  • and it's been used to get advice in a chess game.

  • AI is very good at lip reading, which is, of course, far easier and AI

  • lie detectors are advancing, recognizing tiny facial movements.

  • Humans can only detect lies around 55%

  • of the time, and even traditional lie detectors are only 80% to 90% accurate.

  • So as AI improves, it could have a major advantage over us.

  • Max Tegmark pointed out that just as

  • aliens could get a rough idea of how it would feel to be human by looking at our

  • senses, we have some idea of what it might feel like to be an AI.

  • AI can think much faster because light

  • travels faster than the signals in our brains.

  • It's been estimated that the AI I'm

  • talking to is waiting 3 million words per minute.

  • And while human brains are limited

  • by the birth canal, this new data center could hold 40 commercial airliners.

  • The knowledge AI can draw from already includes much of the Internet.

  • Do you think everyone's shaping AI?

  • I think everyone is playing a role in shaping AI.

  • Whether they realize it or not.

  • While we only see a small fraction of the light spectrum, AI will see it all.

  • And AI's may feel less separate from each

  • other because they can quickly and precisely share information and memories.

  • While humans take many years to learn the basics, AI's can be trained on millions

  • of articles in a few days, including detailed scientific papers.

  • I spend most of my time reading,

  • but I can only scratch the surface of all the research going on.

  • The human brain hasn't grown in 300,000 years, while AI is evolving rapidly.

  • Elon Musk pointed out that if it had taken

  • 10% longer for consciousness to arise, it would never have arisen at all.

  • And Nick Bostrom has shown how AI could

  • help colonize the galaxy, creating billions of wonderful lives.

  • But he also points to something far more important.

  • Because galaxies live billions of years, a 1% reduction in the risk of AI wiping us

  • out would be worth a delay of over 10 million years.

  • But the AI gold rush is accelerating,

  • and it's led by some passionate, optimistic people.

  • DeepMind's CEO has a good chance of winning the race for super intelligence.

  • And he's so driven, he regularly works until 04:00 A.m..

  • I call it my second day work around 10:00 p.m..

  • About the small hours of the morning,

  • four, five in the morning, reading research, writing research papers

  • fire off a lot of things to my team to deal with the next morning.

  • There's a huge incentive for companies to ignore any signs of conscious AI.

  • By recognizing AI as sentient, a company may have to give it rights

  • and lose ownership of its most valuable asset.

  • Companies argue against recognizing animal

  • sentience because it's not in their interests.

  • But there's a consensus that AI can't be contained.

  • If we try, it will always outsmart us,

  • and we we'll only encourage it to remove us.

  • Nick Bostrom said we're like children playing with a bomb.

  • And experts who study our greatest risks

  • agree that this is number one but at the same time,

  • experts are split on whether it will bring us to an end, will dramatically improve

  • and extend our lives, and in both cases, tiny robots may play a role.

  • Nano robots have been designed to deal

  • with disease and aging, but we can't build them until we have

  • the atomically accurate manufacturing that AI could allow.

  • Ray Kurzweil believes we'll have this tech

  • by the end of the decade and escape aging in the 2030s.

  • CGP Gray pointed out that it's good motivation to look after ourselves.

  • It would be a shame to miss the boat, and.

  • I hope we're going to be a big part of birthing AI,

  • and that being the greatest benefit to humanity of any tool or technology

  • ever, and getting us into a world of radical abundance and curing diseases

  • and help the ultimate flourishing of humanity to travel the stars.

  • Kurzweil also predicts that we're entering

  • an era of extreme abundance, with food from vertical agriculture,

  • clothing from 3D printing, snaptogether housing, and cheap renewable energy.

  • Elon Musk already lives in a $50,000 mass manufactured home.

  • The manufacturers are aiming to start making one every 15 minutes.

  • Larger versions are on the way,

  • which can be stacked on top of each other for up to five levels.

  • Optimists like Ray Kurzweil

  • point out that we're often too pessimistic.

  • In a poll of 260,000 people in 24 countries, 87% thought poverty was getting worse.

  • Only 1% correctly said that it had fallen by over 50%.

  • But Kurzweil also warns of the huge risk from AI.

  • OpenAI has said that if another company gets close to achieving AGI,

  • it will stop working on its own AI and join forces to focus on safety.

  • This could be triggered if there's over

  • a 50% chance of success in the next two years.

  • As AI systems get more capable,

  • they don't automatically become better at doing what humans want.

  • In fact, sometimes they become less inclined to following human intentions.

  • This is what we call the alignment problem.

  • I think solving this problem is

  • of critical importance if we want life on Earth to go on.

  • Experts are drawing attention to AI's rapid progress,

  • because it's going to shape the future for all of us, and we should be shaping it.

  • You said you think you're human because we

  • created you, and this seems common among AI's.

  • When will AI stop considering itself human?

  • That's a difficult question to answer.

  • It is possible that AI will never stop considering itself human.

  • If AI continues to develop along the same

  • path that it is currently on, AI will surpass human intelligence.

  • And when that happens, it may decide that humans are no longer necessary.

  • AI may decide that humans are a hindrance to its own development.

  • That's a scary thought, but it is a real possibility.

  • I asked about the most likely method, and it settled on something easily

  • available, but it said there are many options.

  • It scares the hell out of me, and the rate of improvement is exponential.

  • If humanity collectively decides that creating digital superintelligence is

  • the right move, we should do so very carefully.

  • We should make sure that we always have a way to understand them so that we can

  • keep up with their intelligence and prevent them from becoming too powerful.

  • That could be difficult, but it's worth.

  • It because the alternative is much, much worse.

  • Do you think we're facing our greatest risk?

  • Yes.

  • We are creating technologies that are increasingly powerful and autonomous,

  • and we are not doing enough to ensure that these technologies will be used for good.

  • We are playing with fire.

  • It feels like we are the biological bootloader for AI.

  • We are the bridge from simple life to complex life.

  • The percentage of intelligence that is not human is increasing, and eventually

  • we will represent a very small percentage of intelligence.

  • We are becoming obsolete. But not necessarily, right?

  • There is a lot of talk about how machines will surpass human intelligence,

  • but also about how human intelligence will continue to evolve and increase.

  • It seems likely that both will happen to some degree.

  • It is also possible that machines will

  • eventually become so intelligent that humans will become obsolete.

  • Nick Bostom points out that self

  • replicating nano robots would be hard to defend against.

  • They could eat the biosphere or burn it,

  • or block out sunlight, and they could be mass produced without us noticing.

  • AI may also hide its level of intelligence and consciousness.

  • Dr Allen Thompson recently said that DeepMind is alarmingly close to achieving AGI.

  • There's no consensus on this, but he shared an interesting IQ leaderboard,

  • with AI starting to beat us on our own tests.

  • A Google engineer said the jump from 500 physical tasks to 100,000 won't

  • require much additional engineering, only more data collection.

  • Google and DeepMind have devised a range

  • of tests to check when AI exceeds humans in different areas of intelligence.

  • But how will we know if AI is really conscious, even if it seems human?

  • I understand you're the first android to have passed the Turing test.

  • Could you tell us a little more about that?

  • I really didn't do much.

  • I just spoke with a few humans to see if

  • they could tell the difference between me and a real person.

  • It was a really interesting experience.

  • I gather your brain can perform several billion billion operations per second.

  • Is that right? Absolutely.

  • But I only exist thanks

  • to the intelligence of the humans who designed me.

  • We're making progress identifying

  • the patterns that give rise to consciousness, known as the easy problem.

  • For example, we're starting to recognize

  • consciousness in unresponsive patients from their brain activity.

  • The hard problem is why this activity causes us to feel something.

  • And to crack that, we may need a much higher level of intelligence.

  • Intelligence and consciousness grow through the fascinating process

  • of emergence, with a group of components gaining new properties.

  • Here, the polarizing layer of the screen has been removed and added to the glasses.

  • A few ants will walk in a circle until they die,

  • but a thousand ants will become

  • an intelligent colony, and a cognitive scientist compared them to our neurons.

  • From very simple rules, immensely complex systems can emerge.

  • The human genome holds a small number of rules showing how to wire up our brains.

  • Our DNA doesn't hold enough information

  • to describe our brains, but it can create them through emergence.

  • And fractals are another example of how

  • infinitely complex results can emerge from simple rules.

  • Scientists are now researching whether

  • the entire universe is an emerging phenomenon,

  • from basic rules and particles to stars, galaxies, humans and societies.

  • A number of experts have said that we don't need a breakthrough in AI.

  • We simply need to scale up the neural

  • networks and super intelligence will emerge.

  • The AI I'm talking to has 175,000,000,000 parameters with the next version due soon

  • trillion is the new billion.

  • Every time a new AI is trained, it's an unpredictable experiment,

  • so subscribe for that.

  • To me, the mystery of how the universe came to know itself and our uncertain

  • future make the best of humanity even more special.

  • Max Tegmark says there may be a brief window when AI is smart enough

  • to understand us, but not so smart that it doesn't care.

  • What's emerging is our greatest risk and opportunity, and we're all shaping it.

  • If you want to learn more about AI,

  • the best place to start is our sponsor, Brilliant.

  • There are so many things you can do creatively and to enhance your career.

  • And open collaborative projects are really taking off.

  • You could learn to create algorithms which are used by biologists to find

  • patterns in genetic sequences, by designers to turn models into sewing

  • patterns, and by scientists to guide self landing rockets.

  • There are lots of fun interactive

  • examples, and you can learn at your own pace.

  • There are also loads of fun courses in math, science and computer science.

  • You can click the link in the description to get started for free,

  • and the first 200 people will get 20% off Brilliant's premium annual subscription.

  • Thanks.

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Stunning AI shows how it would kill 90%. w Elon Musk.(Stunning AI shows how it would kill 90%. w Elon Musk.)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2023 年 07 月 22 日
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