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  • In the entire history of the Soviet Union, there was not a single planned and peaceful

  • leadership transition.

  • Of the eight Communist Party Secretaries in the nearly seven decades between 1922 and

  • 91, six ruled until they died, one was overthrown, and Gorbachev saw the dissolution of the entire

  • state.

  • In fact, there had never been a peaceful handover of power in any major Communist country

  • until the early 2000s, when Chinese leader Jiang Zemin voluntarily resigned.

  • For the first time in the nation's history, there was no coup, no intrigue, no political

  • infighting.

  • Jiang Zemin even endorsed his successor, despite having not chosen him.

  • No one was calling China a liberal democracy, but it seemed as though the days of one-man

  • rule were finally over.

  • Term limits were instituted.

  • Anyone over the age of 68 was expected to retire.

  • And each successive leaderfrom Mao Zedong to Deng Xiaoping to Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao

  • was less powerful than the last.

  • The phrase being floated around at the time wasintra-party democracy”.

  • In other words, there may only be one party, but within it, there was plenty of room for

  • healthy competition.

  • From here on out, policies would be debated, leaders would rotate out, and thebest

  • ideaswould win.

  • Then, one manXi Jinpingreversed all this progress.

  • Xi is about to begin his third term in office.

  • And with neither a designated successor nor hardly any competition, there's no end to

  • his rule in sight.

  • So, how did China revert fromintra-party democracyto one-man rule in a single generation?

  • How does any of thisthe Chinese Communist Partyactually work?

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  • Nebula is the only place you can watch all PolyMatter videos, including my ongoing series

  • China, Actually”.

  • For just $15/year with the CuriosityStream and Nebula bundle, you can watch all five

  • of those videosover 90 minutes of exclusive contentand much more to come.

  • Every five yearstypically in October or Novemberabout 2,300 people from across

  • China travel to the Great Hall of the People in Beijing for what's called theNational

  • Party Congress”.

  • This year, for example, is the 20th Party Congress, which began on October 16th, 2022.

  • Because it's designed to appear representative of society, most of these 2,300 peoplecalled

  • delegates” — are relatively low-ranking party members.

  • They include everyone from farmers to celebrities, factory workers, and mayors.

  • Likewise, to create the veneer of harmony, ethnic minorities are awkwardly paraded around

  • in their traditional dress.

  • The whole thing is a giant spectacle.

  • There are giant red curtains with golden tassels and more clapping than an American State of

  • the Union.

  • The party takes no risks in the run-up to the country's most important political event.

  • VPNs, which, although illegal, are ordinarily tolerated for use by foreigners and the technologically

  • savvysuddenly stop working.

  • Dissenters are preemptively put under house arrest.

  • Police patrols are doubled.

  • And private businessesboth Chinese and foreignare warned not to rain on the

  • party's parade by making any major announcements.

  • Yet, for all this showmanship, the actual event is exceptionally boring.

  • It may be theater, but not the kind anyone would voluntarily watch.

  • On the first day, for instance, the Party Secretary delivers a looong speech called

  • thePolitical Report”, reflecting on the past five years and setting the priorities

  • for the next.

  • It's here that you're reminded how incredibly Leninist the Communist Party still very much

  • remains.

  • Rather than specific policies or plans, you might hear about theThree Represents”,

  • Four Comprehensives”, orstrengthening of confidences”.

  • It's only by deciphering these vague slogans that China-watchers infer where the country

  • is headed.

  • It's an entire language of its own.

  • After this, the 2,300 delegates, quote, “studythe speech, and inevitably accept it without

  • challenge.

  • That's because the real decisions have been made much earlier.

  • Although the party doesn't acknowledge this fact, officials meet in secret at a summer

  • resort east of Beijing in August.

  • The second item on the agenda is to amend the party's constitution.

  • Again, no laws are being written here, only ideological statements.

  • In 2017, for example, Xi Jinping's name was addedimplying that he's not just

  • another politician, but a great figure in party history.

  • Finally, at the end of this week comes by far the most important task, when delegates

  • electmembers of the Central Committee.

  • Electin quotes because, remember, almost everything has already been decided.

  • In 2017, delegates had 222 candidates to choose from for 204 seats, giving them the option

  • to reject just 9%.

  • Those 204 people then became members of the Central Committee, the next level up in the

  • party hierarchy.

  • There are almost as manyalternates'', who attend meetings but aren't allowed to

  • vote.

  • They can replace full members when they die or lose their positions.

  • The Central Committee meets at least once a year in what's called a “plenum” — and

  • the first plenum occurs the day after the Party Congress ends.

  • This year, on October 23rd.

  • Their most important task is to elect members of the 25-member Political Bureauor Politburo

  • another level up in the party hierarchy.

  • The Politburo, in turn, “elects” a Standing Committee of usually 7 or 9 peopleone

  • of which is the General Secretary of the Party.

  • In this case, Xi Jinping.

  • Notice the phraseGeneral Secretary”, notPresident”.

  • China is a Party-State, which means it has a government and a single ruling party.

  • The two mirror each other in many ways, but they aren't the same.

  • The state, confusingly, has its own version of the National Party Congress called the

  • National People's Congress.

  • And to make things even more confusing, multiple parties participate in the People's Congress

  • not just the Communist Party.

  • But they're all members of a singleUnited Front”, which means they co-exist, not compete

  • with the CCP.

  • Anyway, just as the Party congress helps elect a General Secretary every 5 years in the Fall

  • on the Party side, the People's congress elects the country's President and Premier

  • every 5 years in the Spring on the State side.

  • Though, don't think of the party and state as entirely separate, eitherthere's

  • lots of overlap.

  • Virtually everyone working for the Chinese state is a Party member, but not all Party

  • members work for the state.

  • Afterall, there are nearly 100 million party members.

  • As General Secretary, Xi Jinping is head of the Party.

  • And as President, he's head of state.

  • These are two different roles that could be filled by two different people.

  • But they're not, which gives him the choice of which to use at any given moment.

  • When Xi visits a foreign countryunless that country is, say, Communist Cuba, or North

  • Koreahe does so as thePresidentof China.

  • That's technically truehe is, in fact, the President.

  • But there's a growing movement in favor of always calling himGeneral Secretary”.

  • In China, the Party is above the state.

  • The People's Liberation Army reports directly to the Party, not the government.

  • A city's Party Secretary is given the license plate number “1”, and its mayor, “2”.

  • Trivial as this may sound, it is telling.

  • The CCP even has its own, separate justice system.

  • In other words, Xi Jinping's most important titles are General Secretary and head of the

  • military, not President, which is mostly a ceremonial role.

  • The common use ofPresident”, many argue, is a deliberate strategy on China's part

  • to obscure the Party's importance.

  • It wants to appear to investors like any other country, not one where your private property

  • might be confiscated for political reasons.

  • But, in truth, even the titleGeneral Secretaryis a bit misleading.

  • In most countries, a person's position in government is what makes them powerful.

  • Joe Biden is powerful because and — (for the most part) — only because he's the

  • President of the United States.

  • Sure, former Presidents are celebrities, but fame is not to be confused with power.

  • This all probably sounds exceptionally obvious.

  • But it's not true in China.

  • Take an example: Have you ever heard or seen a photo of Deng Xiaoping?

  • What about Zhao Ziyang?

  • Chances are the answer is 'yes' to the first question and 'no' to the second.

  • Deng is the iconic pioneer of China's reform era, while Zhao is forgotten by all but students

  • of history.

  • Yet Deng Xiaoping was never General Secretary, Zhao was.

  • Instead, Deng is referred to as a “Paramount Leader”, an informal nickname, not an official

  • position.

  • When Deng famously traveled to Shenzhen calling for more economic reform, he was 87 years

  • old and fully retired yet powerful enough to steer the country's direction.

  • You don't need any specific title to wield considerable political power in Chinaeven

  • the most political powerand, conversely, neither does holding any specific title guarantee

  • power.

  • Thewatershedmoment in Chinese history, when Jiang Zemin peacefully handed over power

  • to Hu Jintao in 2002, is not quite what it seems.

  • In reality, Jiang quietly stayed on as head of the military until he was heavily pressured

  • to step down in 2004.

  • Like China's “embraceof Capitalism, the party's conformity to consistent rules

  • and norms has always been a mix of both our wishful thinking and their skillful performance.

  • Even age limitswhich were seen as a positive sign that no one would be allowed to rule

  • forever, turned out to merely be a way for Jiang Zemin to purge his rivals.

  • And the limit has been broken when convenient since.

  • When China made headlines in 2018 for removing term limits, that was for the office of President.

  • There have never been term limits on Party Secretaries, meaning Xi Jinping could've

  • already stayed in power indefinitely.

  • What all this means is that in China, power isn't automatically conferred by office

  • it has to be won.

  • Its leaders generally arrive relatively weak and slowly try to consolidate authority over

  • time.

  • It took Jiang Zemin nearly six years to wrestle control after being named General Secretary.

  • Hu Jintao arguably never did.

  • What makes Xi Jinping unique is not so much his hunger for power but the speed with which

  • he acquired it.

  • As we've seen, there were very few actual rules preventing him from accumulating power.

  • It was simply a question of political skill and luckboth of which he had in droves.

  • Xi is what you might call a “princeling” — his father was a revolutionary fighter

  • and high-ranking Party official.

  • Meaning, as a child, he had both privilege and, likely, a sense of entitlementhis

  • red-bloodmade himdestinedfor the throne.

  • Now, make no mistakeprincelings have shifted in and out of favor over time.

  • As a teenager during the Cultural Revolution, Xi was sent tolearn from the proletariat

  • by doing manual labor in the countryside.

  • He lived in a cave, and his father was arrested.

  • Later, after Mao's death in 1976, princelings wererevivedas the party revisited

  • its past.

  • Xi, like many of his elite peers, landed a promising job in government.

  • But unlike his peers, Xi Jinping kept his head down.

  • Thanks to their connections, princelings had no trouble securing jobs, but very rarely

  • were they promoted to the very top, where their superiors thought they might cause trouble

  • or even threaten to replace them.

  • Instead, says expert in Chinese politics Victor Shih, they tended to promote, quote, “always

  • nice people” — weak cadres who obediently followed orders.

  • Xi, on the other hand, avoided the spotlight by taking relatively low-profile jobs outside

  • of the citywhere he quietly climbed the ranks.

  • By the time he reached the apex of power in 2012, not only was he better connected than

  • most of his peers, but, ironically, he also benefited from this discrimination against

  • princelingshe didn't have much competition!

  • These are all the Politburo members before he became General Secretaryranked according

  • to the size of their political networksbasically: his competitors.

  • First, we can remove anyone due for retirementthey, obviously, aren't much of a threat.

  • Next, let's remove all the non-princelings, who lack the connections and privileges.

  • Institutional sexism effectively disqualifies all women.

  • We can also remove this person because of a reputational stainhis brother defected

  • to the United States.

  • That leaves Xi with only 3 major competitors.

  • Bo Xilai was subsequently arrested, and the other two were quietly demoted to the unimportant

  • Vice President position.

  • He then reorganized the military, launched an enormous anti-corruption campaign that

  • helped purge rivals, and enshrined his name in the party constitution.

  • Today, Xi Jinping is effectively unchallenged, making him more powerful than any Chinese

  • leader since Mao.

  • Yet, Xi is not Mao.

  • The challenge to understanding China is learning from its past without losing sight of the

  • presentwhich is what I try to do in my Nebula Original seriesChina, Actually”.

  • Each video we try to solve a puzzle about Chinalike why some protests are tolerated

  • and others not, or why it's still trying to maintain zero cases of COVID in late 2022.

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  • service myself and other educational creators founded where we don't have to worry about

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In the entire history of the Soviet Union, there was not a single planned and peaceful

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How the Chinese Communist Party Works

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    boxex に公開 2023 年 06 月 02 日
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