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  • - Thanks to Great Courses Plus for supporting PBS.

  • Hey hon, what's this tiny deposit in our savings account?

  • - Oh, that's the interest payment

  • from our new high yield savings account.

  • - Are you sure? It's only 42 cents.

  • How is that high yield?

  • - Are you kidding me?

  • The return on this puppy is 16 times the national average.

  • We even had to qualify for this special account type.

  • But it takes money to make money, am I right?

  • - I thought this was how we planned to pay for our next car.

  • By my math, we'll hit our goal in about 140 years.

  • - (moaning) On the bright side,

  • by then we won't need a car,

  • and our great, great, great grandchildren can use it

  • to get a certified pre-owned teleporter instead.

  • (playful music)

  • - Finding a high yield place to park your money these days

  • kinda makes me feel like I'm back in middle school,

  • hunting for Carmen San Diego.

  • I see ads all the time for accounts promising high yields,

  • cash back, and tempting rewards.

  • But as soon as I start sorting through the clues

  • as to where these might be found,

  • the query seems to slip through my fingers.

  • Whether it's a money market account, CD, savings bond,

  • or even the old faithful savings account,

  • finding one that pays 1/2 a percent is a struggle.

  • And if you do track halfway decent one down,

  • there's always strings attached,

  • like only for a certain amount of deposits,

  • or only for a limited time.

  • Am I missing something?

  • - See, once upon a time safe, secure deposits at a bank

  • were a pretty solid investment.

  • In 1985, the year Philip was born,

  • you could purchase a six-month certificate of deposit

  • at your local bank branch,

  • and earn an average of 8.05% interest.

  • Ah, good old days, right?

  • Eh, sort of.

  • See, banks were paying higher interest rates, yes,

  • but they were also charging higher interest rates too.

  • The average rate on a 30 year fixed mortgage in 1985

  • was a jaw-dropping 11.85%. (people groaning)

  • - When you deposit your paycheck at a bank,

  • or even put it in a savings vehicle,

  • like a CD or savings account, it doesn't just sit there.

  • Thanks to a practice called Federal Reserve Banking,

  • bans can actually lend out 90% of your deposit, and they do

  • in the forms of mortgage loans,

  • small business loans, and credit cards,

  • any amount they charge above what they pay you

  • is profit for them.

  • The difference between

  • the 1985 savings account and mortgage rate?

  • 3.8%, which is actually extremely close

  • to the difference today,

  • because as the Federal Reserve

  • raises or lowers interest rates,

  • it trickles down to everything.

  • - So if the difference between bank deposits and bank loans

  • are relatively the same now and then,

  • why does it matter what your investment pays?

  • One word, inflation.

  • The amount of interest you earn on bank deposits

  • is only half the equation.

  • The other half is how much

  • the cost of goods and services increases at the same time.

  • Back in the mid '80s, your six month CD

  • would pay you about 8%, and the prices of fanny packs,

  • and bottles of New Coke were increasing by about 3%.

  • - This is what economists call your real return,

  • your investment return after inflation.

  • A 5% real return is nothing to sniff at,

  • which explains why your grandpappy

  • might be bugging you about setting up your savings account.

  • Investments like savings bonds, and even savings accounts,

  • made perfect sense decades ago.

  • But today, with inflation around 2%,

  • and safe money paying close to zero,

  • you're looking at a negative real return.

  • Suddenly things like savings accounts and CDs

  • seem like the opposite of an investment.

  • - Now, before we get to what you've gotta do

  • to earn a respectable, real return,

  • let's spare a moment for the humble savings account.

  • Should you just toss the safe money investment of yesteryear

  • in the dumpster, along with those old CD ROMs

  • and GameBoy cartridges?

  • No, they still have an important place,

  • but that place has changed.

  • Savings accounts, CDs, money market accounts

  • aren't really a place to grow your money,

  • and likely won't be for the foreseeable future.

  • - But these accounts are the perfect place

  • to stash funds you expect to need in the short term,

  • think the next one to two years,

  • money to pay bills, your emergency fund or cash

  • for a major purchase are perfectly suited.

  • Sure, you can try to spend hours sleuthing out the best

  • high-yield savings accounts,

  • in every corner of the internet,

  • but the difference will be microscopic,

  • and could change in a moment's notice.

  • Personally, we've decided to just keep

  • all of our one-year money in a simple checking account.

  • Crazy, right?

  • - But what about savings you wanna build up

  • for the mid or long-term?

  • Where does that belong?

  • The reality is the only way to earn

  • a positive, real return today is going to involve some risk.

  • Being a crime fighting gumshoe

  • isn't a smooth ride all the time.

  • We're not talking about wild, speculative risks,

  • like picking individual stocks, or betting on crypto,

  • but something with mild variation

  • in the price, over time, known as volatility.

  • Financial planners might refer to this

  • as a moderately conservative investment.

  • - One option to consider is simply a bond index fund.

  • These investments are generally backed

  • by guaranteed government and corporate bonds,

  • and they pay a respectable interest rate,

  • at least more respectable than what your bank account pays.

  • One of the most popular bond index funds

  • has consistently grown between 4% and 5% per year,

  • over the last decade.

  • And while there is some fluctuation

  • and the price is dramatically lower than the stock market.

  • The volatility makes it inappropriate

  • for money you might need in the immediate future,

  • but could make sense for a goal a few years out.

  • - Another newly emerging option

  • is peer to peer lending platforms,

  • that effectively allow you to be the bank.

  • That's right, you can easily lend out your own money

  • to borrowers and pocket some of the profit margin yourself.

  • Companies like LendingClub, Prosper, and Funding Circle

  • allow you to lend out your money to consumers,

  • hoping to avoid banks, and you get paid the interest.

  • - Some pay you a flat interest rate, like 5%,

  • but you have to commit your money for a year.

  • Others allow you to pick lenders,

  • with higher or lower credit risk ratings,

  • and pay anywhere from 5% to the safest borrowers,

  • to 13% for the riskiest.

  • While these returns may be enticing,

  • it's important to remember that you run the risk

  • of paying penalties if you need the money

  • before your term is over, or your borrower may default,

  • leaving you with a loss.

  • - The bad news is that for millennials, and gen Z,

  • the days of cash savings as a real investment are long gone.

  • - The good news is that with some strategic risk,

  • and a bit of research, you can still grow your money

  • faster than inflation, without having to make wild gambles.

  • - [Both] And that's our "Two Cents."

  • - Thanks to Great Courses Plus for supporting PBS.

  • The Great Courses Plus is a subscription,

  • on-demand video learning service,

  • with lectures and courses from professors,

  • from top universities and institutions.

  • - Through your subscription,

  • you'll get access to a library of lectures

  • about anything that interests you,

  • science, math, history, literature,

  • or even how to cook, play chess,

  • or become a better photographer.

  • - For example, Games People Play will teach you

  • how to apply the lessons of game theory to your job,

  • your business, and your life.

  • - To learn more, click on the link in the description below

  • to start your trial today.

  • - [Julia] Thanks to our patrons

  • for keeping "Two Cents" financially healthy.

  • Click the link in the description

  • to become a "Two Cents" patron.

  • - To hear more about bonds, and my Sean Connery impression,

  • check out our video, "Bond, Savings Bond."

  • (playful music)

- Thanks to Great Courses Plus for supporting PBS.

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Is the Savings Account Dead?

  • 18 0
    Capalu に公開 2022 年 07 月 11 日
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