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  • Big yellow iron, the name Caterpillar calls to mind excavators, dozers, compactors, pavers and other heavy equipment

  • meant for digging, building and demolishing with a history that dates back more than 100 years.

  • Caterpillar went from a tiny tractor company with a single product to an international brand.

  • That stock's job sites worldwide with massive and distinctively mustard colored equipment.

  • But as of 2021, it was also a high flying stock.

  • It hit a record of 197 dollars and 54 cents on January 12th, 2021.

  • No doubt a welcome sign for a company that has seen its share of struggles over the last decade.

  • Some of its recent years had been pretty brutal from 2012 to 2016.

  • Much of the American economy was recovering from the recession, spurred by the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009.

  • But in those four years, Caterpillar was suffering one of the worst downturns of its roughly century long lifetime.

  • Shares began climbing again in 2016, and Caterpillar appeared to be back on track.

  • Then the covid-19 pandemic dealt another blow.

  • But much of the work the company has done during its tough times is poised to pay off, say investors.

  • Caterpillar took steps to improve its operations, shrinking its manufacturing footprint to about three quarters of its former size while

  • still keeping up capacity.

  • Company watchers say Caterpillar is also making better products.

  • Commodity prices have been rising again, a good sign for a company whose health is so closely tied to them.

  • And investors appear to be betting that one of the world's premier names in industrial equipment will benefit from a new presidential

  • administration, one that might push new infrastructure initiatives.

  • The founding of Caterpiller dates back to the late 19th century, when agricultural equipment was still primarily made up of horsedrawn vehicles,

  • Benjamin Holt developed a steam powered tractor in 1890 as engineers were increasingly turning to engine driven machinery to make work more

  • efficient. As steam powered machinery became more common, it posed problems for farmers.

  • The heavy equipment tended to sink into soft farming soil, especially in California's San Joaquin Valley, where many of Holtze customers were based.

  • Holte researched the problem and instructed engineers to swap out wheels for tracks on one of his steam tractors.

  • The tractor, known as number 77, passed its first field test on Thanksgiving Day in 1904.

  • The following year, Holt's son, Plaine, took a company photographer named Charley Clements out to a field.

  • And upon seeing the massive machine creeping toward them, Clemens said it looked like a monster caterpillar, the name stuck in spite of the fact that

  • Holt didn't care for it, and the first production Caterpillar plotted out of his factory in 1979.

  • Meanwhile, Holtze competitor s.L best bet on gasoline engines rather than steam, and was responsible for making many crucial mechanical

  • innovations still found on machines.

  • Today, DCL Best Tractor Company merged with Caterpillar Co.

  • in 1925, forming the Caterpillar tractor company.

  • Notably, early machines were typically painted gray.

  • The first variety of the signature yellow color was introduced in 1931 and called Highway Yellow.

  • In the late 70s.

  • It was swapped out for the caterpillar yellow that still coats the company's products.

  • Today, from just that one tractor, Caterpillar grew and became one of the world's biggest names in industrial equipment.

  • Today, Caterpillar has three main business units resources, energy and transportation and construction.

  • Construction is its largest business, and it could be said that this is what Caterpillar is widely known for the huge steam shovels, bulldozers,

  • cranes and other equipment crawling around construction sites.

  • But it also makes mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial turbines and diesel electric locomotives.

  • In total, the company says, there are more than four million pieces of Caterpillar equipment and service somewhere in the world, though it is

  • considered a kind of blue chip name brand industrial firm Caterpillar has seen some struggles, especially in recent years.

  • In 2010, newly appointed CEO Doug Oberhelman began his tenure amid a boom in commodity prices.

  • Under his leadership, Caterpillar pumped up production, especially of mining equipment.

  • It also spent eight point eight billion dollars on Bucyrus International, a mining equipment company.

  • But starting around 2012, commodity and energy prices started to fall and Caterpillar was left with excess inventory and production capacity and

  • years of falling sales.

  • The company announced a restructuring plan in 2015.

  • They eliminated thousands of jobs and considerably shrunk some of its businesses.

  • There was also a management change.

  • So new CEO Jim Appleby came in and I think kind of kick started a lot of this real laser focus on cost

  • and, you know, restructuring and trying to improve cats' margins at each level of the cycle.

  • And that's been a big part of the story recently.

  • For example, the resources business pulled in 21 billion dollars in 2012 and just about eight billion dollars in 2020.

  • The company was getting back on its feet when covid hit.

  • In the last year alone, Caterpillar took out about two billion dollars worth of its fleet in order to improve inventories.

  • The company is expecting a turnaround in 2021.

  • I think what's underappreciated by the market is when you see a recovery in mind, commodity prices, things like copper, iron ore, which

  • we are seeing today, that benefits from that as they're one of the two big global suppliers of mining equipment.

  • And we're already seeing mining companies that are cats' customers raise CapEx and looking for about, you know, 20 to 25 percent CapEx

  • growth for 2020, one that feeds right into cats' revenues.

  • And then the second piece is oil and gas.

  • Cat is one of the biggest suppliers of equipment into the upstream oil and gas market.

  • And with crude prices moving higher, we're seeing early indications that upstream energy capex could also start to increase over the next

  • 12 months or so. Rising commodity prices are set to fuel demand for mining equipment, especially important given that many of these firms have not

  • spent a lot on equipment in recent years and many have aging equipment fleets.

  • In addition, a weaker dollar will help the company sell more units abroad.

  • Recent indicators show that Caterpillar may be poised for a solid 12 to 18 months, say analysts, and a possibly bright future.

  • Beyond that, the Biden build back better platform includes highways, roads and streets and other applications that would need earth moving equipment.

  • Longer term, the company has other plans that could spur a lot of growth.

  • New technologies could add value for customers and distinguish Caterpillar from competitors.

  • These include vehicles and equipment that can be piloted remotely or even ones that can operate autonomously for those who may be a bit burned out on

  • news of supposedly imminent self-driving cars.

  • It is worth pointing out that fields such as mining and construction might be among those best suited to autonomous driving technology, since the

  • vehicles would operate on dedicated job sites where environments could be easily organized to allow safe use.

  • Another potential area of growth is services, Caterpillar said in 2019 that it plan to double service revenue to 28 billion dollars by 2026.

  • Analysts say this may include things like telematics, preventative maintenance messages sent to customers when, say, a part on a vehicle needs

  • to be replaced. The idea is to add some stickiness to Caterpillar's business deep in relationships with customers and keep them coming back

  • after they have already shelled out for the product.

  • By investing in both new technology and services, Caterpillar is making moves that can further distinguish it from competitors.

  • There are a few companies that can match CAT in terms of size, reach and brand recognition.

  • But there are some. John Deere is mostly known for farming equipment, but the company does have a construction business and the brand name has a

  • similar degree of recognition and customer loyalty to Caterpillar.

  • The Japanese manufacturer Komatsu also has a huge global presence in Earth moving equipment.

  • CAT is the global market share leader and construction equipment, and Komatsu is second.

  • Komatsu is also second to Caterpillar in mining.

  • There are also a lot of smaller construction equipment makers globally, especially in developing markets such as China.

  • Many of these players don't have the high end position Caterpillar has, which can actually benefit them in markets where customers are more price

  • conscious. Short term trends that stand in Caterpillar's favor, our recoveries and commodity prices and a construction recovery.

  • Some analysts expect to show around 2022 longer term.

  • Caterpillar aims to fend off rivals by staying at the cutting edge of technological development.

  • In the meantime, keeping the reputation its brand has earned.

Big yellow iron, the name Caterpillar calls to mind excavators, dozers, compactors, pavers and other heavy equipment

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Why Caterpillar’s Stock Is Soaring

  • 14 3
    joey joey に公開 2021 年 05 月 14 日
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