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  • When Amazon started selling more than just books in the

  • late 1990s, it suddenly entered into a rivalry with

  • the biggest name in retail.

  • Always low prices, always Walmart.

  • Walmart has been at the helm of American shopping for

  • 58 years.

  • It employs more people than any other company in the

  • world. And 90 percent of Americans live within 10

  • miles of one of Walmart's more than 4,700 U.S.

  • stores. The staggering size of Walmart kind of escapes

  • people. It's the largest corporation in the world in

  • terms of revenue. Yet when it comes to e-commerce,

  • Amazon is the clear leader, with 38.7 percent of the

  • market share compared to Walmart's 5.3 percent.

  • And with the global pandemic shifting shopper's

  • behavior for good, dominance in online shopping is now

  • paramount. So if you're that second site, you got to

  • be really good. You don't have to be as good as

  • Amazon, because no one will get there.

  • That's utopia. In perhaps its clearest competitive

  • move against Amazon to date, Walmart is now launching

  • Walmart Plus. The membership program is meant to rival

  • Amazon Prime, offering benefits that can't be

  • replicated online.

  • These guys are toe-to-toe and nobody wants to stop

  • swinging. Nobody wants to back down.

  • You know, the consumer is ultimately the beneficiary,

  • clearly. Here's a look at how Walmart Plus compares to

  • Amazon Prime and all the other ways Walmart is trying

  • to catch up as the pandemic makes online shopping an

  • increasingly crucial part of doing business.

  • Walmart has been working behind the scenes since at

  • least 2018 to create a competitor to Amazon Prime.

  • From our data study, we found that two thirds of people

  • that had already joined our premium loyalty program

  • would join another one.

  • Although the landing page says Walmart Plus is coming

  • soon, the pandemic delayed its planned release in the

  • spring. Walmart stock surged seven percent when it

  • looked like it would launch in July, but that didn't

  • happen either. When Walmart Plus is available, members

  • will likely pay $98 for benefits like unlimited

  • same-day delivery on groceries from the 1,600 of its

  • 4,700 plus stores that do grocery delivery n ow.

  • When we did our data study, 81 percent of the consumers

  • joined Amazon Prime because of faster free shipping.

  • Only two percent joined because of grocery delivery.

  • So I think it's a real opportunity to leverage what

  • they already have in groceries and maybe what Prime

  • doesn't. And just this week, Walmart announced a

  • partnership with Instacart, testing out same-day

  • grocery delivery in four markets across California and

  • Oklahoma. Other perks are rumored to include early

  • access to sale events, discounts at gas stations

  • outside of Walmarts and Walmart-owned Sam's Club

  • stores and reserved parking spots in store lots.

  • As you think about Prime, 150 million, why would you go

  • head to head with that? If you take a unique approach,

  • which it sounds like Walmart is doing, you might be

  • able to get a lot of those customers.

  • Amazon launched Prime for $79 a year in 2005, at a time

  • when Walmart's profits were greater than all of

  • Amazon's revenue. If you look back at 2005 Prime had

  • one benefit, fast and free shipping, two-day shipping,

  • which was like unheard of.

  • Fifteen years later, some 150 million Prime members pay

  • $119 a year for one-day shipping on more than 10

  • million items with no minimum purchase amount,

  • same-day shipping on some three million items,

  • two-hour grocery delivery in 2,000 plus cities, deals

  • and sales events like Prime Day and access to Amazon's

  • entertainment branch, Prime Video, Amazon Music, Prime

  • Reading, Prime Gaming and Amazon Photos.

  • It's a pretty compelling value proposition, and that's

  • what anyone will have to deal with, w hat if they want

  • to try to compete with Prime?

  • Walmart doesn't have any entertainment offerings of its

  • own, now that it sold Vudu in April.

  • P rime members make up about 65 percent of Amazon's

  • customers and the program has a 95 percent renewal

  • rate after two years.

  • Walmart started chasing this type of loyal customer in

  • May 2019 by offering free next-day delivery on orders

  • over $35, less than a month after Amazon announced its

  • default one-day shipping.

  • With Walmart Plus, all orders will default to free

  • one-day shipping just like Prime.

  • Despite the launch of Walmart Plus and free fast

  • shipping, Walmart still lacks one big thing that

  • Amazon has - sheer volume of inventory.

  • Walmart.com has about 50,000 vendors selling items

  • online, while Amazon has 8.7 million.

  • That's why in 2016, Walmart bought discount online

  • retailer Jet.com for 3.3 billion dollars.

  • The acquisition brought relationships with a slew of

  • brands that were already comfortable selling on

  • Jet.com .

  • They are on track to more than quadruple their online

  • business since they acquired Jet.

  • It was an uh-oh moment for every other brick-and-mortar

  • retailer, because now the biggest brick-and-mortar guy

  • is now, you know, moving heavily online.

  • E-commerce is a scale game and you want to get as much

  • leverage as you can on your fixed infrastructure.

  • And as you get bigger, cost of goods goes down and you

  • get more leverage. Marc Lore spent two years at Amazon

  • before breaking off to start Jet.com , working to

  • undercut prices from the e-commerce megastores.

  • Walmart's purchase of Jet.com was the big move that

  • brought it into the big leagues of online shopping.

  • When the deal was made in 2016, Lore signed a five

  • year contract to run Walmart's e-commerce division.

  • I'm so excited to be at Walmart, having a lot of fun.

  • We're going to keep talking to you because I think that

  • you're the most inventive man in retail today.

  • Walmart shut down Jet.com in May, but it had already

  • brought an entirely new branch of online sellers onto

  • its marketplace. Walmart CEO Doug McMillon says he

  • would buy it all over again.

  • If you look at the trajectory of our business, it

  • changed when we made that acquisition and we've been

  • able to attract brands to Walmart.com - S'well, R

  • ay-Ban and Champion.

  • Historically, Walmart.com didn't sell things from

  • third-party vendors, but since the Jet.com acquisition

  • the number of products sold on Walmart.com has grown

  • up to 10 times higher, and the number of sellers on

  • its site doubled just in the last year.

  • So they started attracting more brands.

  • They retooled their website to be more streamlined and

  • more intuitive, more user-friendly.

  • And last year, Walmart partnered with Advance Auto

  • Parts. Walmart was not going to be a 100,000 SKU auto

  • parts retailer on its own.

  • They get that with Advance Auto.

  • This is probably the largest third-party relationship

  • that any online retailer has with a brick-and-mortar

  • retailer. And in an effort to reach a new type of

  • customer, Lore spearheaded the purchase of several

  • specialty apparel companies like Bonobos, ModCloth and

  • Eloquii, a lthough some have been sold again since.

  • A big portion of Walmart store customers are

  • lower-to-middle-income. I think what they tried to do

  • here and through the Jet.com brand was to continue to

  • go up market and go for more profitable customers,

  • urban millennials. And then they also introduced the

  • service Jetblack, which is an upscale personal

  • shopping service. For a large fee, Jetblack allowed

  • New York Walmart customers to text orders to personal

  • shoppers for home delivery.

  • But Walmart shut it down in February after it only saw

  • about 600 active members.

  • If we think about the dynamics of the very, very

  • affluent and wealthy today, I don't know if Walmart is

  • necessarily the company to be housing a brand like

  • that. But in June, Walmart pivoted again, announcing a

  • major partnership with Shopify.

  • Often referred to as the king of mom-and

  • pop-retailers, Shopify helps more than 1.4 million

  • small businesses run their online stores.

  • Now, these small businesses have a channel to try

  • selling on Walmart.com.

  • For now, Walmart says it's adding 1,200 of Shopify's

  • top merchants to its site in 2020.

  • Walmart wants a curated assortment on the website.

  • I mean, Amazon has a very wide-ranging third-party

  • business, and with th at comes some risk.

  • The partnership with Shopify is really important, I

  • think it's very strategic.

  • And I do think it is an attempt to pull away those

  • third-party sellers on Amazon.

  • There has been kind of a lot of tension between

  • third-party sellers and Amazon.

  • On July 29th, Jeff Bezos testified before Congress for

  • the first time in Amazon's 26 year history, partly in

  • response to questions about reported use of

  • third-party seller data to develop Amazon's own

  • competing products. The House Judiciary Committee is

  • investigating whether Amazon, along with Apple,

  • Facebook and Google, need to be governed by stricter

  • antitrust laws.

  • Why should a third-party so list their product on

  • Amazon if they're just going to be undercut by

  • Amazon-own ed product as a result of data you take

  • from them? I think what I want you to understand, and

  • I think it's important to understand, is that we have

  • a policy against using individual seller data to

  • compete with our private label product.

  • You couldn't assure Ms. Jayapal that that policy isn't

  • violated routinely.

  • While Amazon is battling to keep the trust of its

  • third-party sellers, Walmart still has a long way to

  • go if it wants to catch up with the millions of

  • third-party sellers that make up more than half of

  • Amazon's sales. The Walmart marketplace is a lot

  • smaller, so you could be, quote unquote, crushing it

  • on page one on Walmart and you're still not getting

  • that many sales. Still, Walmart has one big, long

  • standing advantage over Amazon, its 11,500 global

  • stores. If you're a third-party seller, like if you

  • can get into brick-and-mortar Walmart, you're going to

  • crush whatever sales on Amazon you're doing.

  • For sellers choosing where to reach customers, stores

  • are a big bonus and much more scalable.

  • So this diet pill company I worked at, they had 30

  • different products that we were selling on Amazon.

  • I launched a whole bunch of them. We brought their

  • sales from one million to three million.

  • And I thought that was like the greatest thing in the

  • world. But that was nothing, because I would see

  • purchase orders come across my desk for the Walmart

  • brick and mortar side, for the Walmart stores, there

  • would be like two million dollars just for like one

  • region of the United States.

  • Walmart stores also help keep down its costs in the

  • most expensive area of online retail - shipping.

  • If you can leverage those stores as your fulfillment

  • centers, meaning if I'm going to purchase something

  • and I'm in the Philadelphia area, have it come from

  • the store that's three blocks from my house as opposed

  • to Virginia , you know, price points go down and speed

  • goes up. Amazon has been spending wildly to try and

  • control the expensive shipping process, but it's 175

  • fulfillment centers and own network of planes, trucks

  • and contracted delivery drivers don't come close to

  • the reach of Walmart's 4,700 stores that allow its

  • trucks and drivers to travel a fraction of the

  • distance. Walmart had the advantage of getting product

  • from distribution center to the store, and then the

  • consumer handles the last mile for a lot of it.

  • Walmart uses its stores as distribution centers for

  • products, but also has its own dedicated network of

  • warehouses without a front-facing store.

  • Walmart remains dominant in another sector that's

  • largely dependent on brick-and-mortar stores -

  • groceries. We're not very densely populated, and so

  • it's hard to service, in an e-commerce model, grocery.

  • So what that means is that Amazon is really at a

  • little bit of a disadvantage relative to Walmart.

  • They have stores within 90 percent of the population

  • in the United States. Grocery sales account for more

  • than half of Walmart's U.S.

  • revenue, making Walmart the nation's biggest grocer.

  • Walmart's been selling groceries directly to customers

  • since the 80's, and the online sale of groceries is

  • now boosting Walmart's overall online sales.

  • The percentage of all U.S.

  • grocery sales happening online is set to double from

  • 20 percent in 2019 to 35 to 40 percent this year a nd

  • next. You find your grocery vendor and you tend to

  • stick with them. You also get a treasure trove of data

  • from grocery customers about their preferences.

  • A nd you can use that dat a, and I believe Walmart

  • will use that data, to sell them other things.

  • I think that Walmart is going to win in this grocery

  • battle versus Amazon.

  • When Amazon bought Whole Foods for 13.7 billion in

  • 2017, it was a clear move to compete with Walmart.

  • But with roughly 475 stores, Whole Foods has about a

  • tenth of the locations as Walmart does in the U.S.

  • You cannot find a tougher brick-and-mortar segment to

  • get into than food.

  • You've got to manage a million vendors, produce is

  • hard, meat is tough.

  • And they chose to get into that business.

  • They're still learning. Then in 2019, a month after

  • Amazon announced free two-hour grocery delivery for

  • Prime members in 2,000 regions, Walmart announced a

  • membership program offering unlimited grocery

  • deliveries from 1,400 stores.

  • It costs $12.95 a month or the same $98 annual fee of

  • the new Walmart Plus membership.

  • Or for an extra seven dollars a month, Walmart will

  • deliver groceries straight into your fridge in a

  • handful of cities. Digital grocery is the next big

  • battleground in e-commerce.

  • It's a one trillion dollar retail category that is

  • today the least penetrated category online.

  • So as it continues to grow at outsize d rates, there

  • are tens of billions of dollars at play.

  • In one survey before the pandemic, about 39 percent of

  • U.S. consumers reported having shopped online for

  • groceries at least once.

  • By May, that number was nearly 80 percent.

  • But how many people are going to go back to

  • conventional shopping or how many people are going to

  • stay with buying their staples online because they

  • can? While the pandemic boosted the importance of fast

  • grocery delivery, Walmart has an even faster, more

  • cost-effective option - curbside pickup.

  • When you pull up, they put it in the car and you're

  • gone. That's a big weapon.

  • While this is an option at Whole Foods stores ,

  • customers need to wait for regular Amazon.com

  • purchases to be delivered.

  • In July, Prosper Analytics found that 62 percent of

  • adults are shopping in stores less.

  • So as the pandemic pushes so many online for their

  • shopping, Walmart's name recognition with older

  • shoppers is also a plus.

  • My parents, as an example, they're not the most robust

  • online shoppers, but when this pandemic hit like they

  • had no choice. But they've been to a Walmart before.

  • When forced to purchase things online, you're going to

  • go with who you know and who you trust.

  • Walmart hired 200,000 employees during the pandemic to

  • help clean stores and keep items in stock.

  • It's giving a third round of bonuses to hourly

  • employees working during the pandemic for a total of

  • 1.1 billion dollars in bonuses this year while facing

  • backlash for sick and dying workers.

  • Now, for the first time in 30 years, Walmart will be

  • closed on Thanksgiving Day.

  • It's also cutting some corporate roles as it merges

  • its online and store businesses.

  • Amazon meanwhile, postponed its annual Prime Day event

  • that usually sets sales records in July.

  • It offered one-time bonuses to front-line workers

  • totaling 500 million dollars and gave workers a two

  • dollar-per-hour raise from March to May.

  • It hired 175,000 workers to keep up with demand during

  • the pandemic, but faced backlash for keeping all its

  • warehouses operational despite worker deaths.

  • Still in the second quarter of 2012, Amazon's

  • first-party sales were up 48 percent year-over-year,

  • with third-party sales up 52 percent.

  • Walmart's online sales rose 74 percent in the first

  • quarter of 2020. I mean, you could argue during the

  • pandemic that Walmart's taken a bit of a lead because

  • they haven't publicly had the delivery delays, the

  • product to the consumer delays, that Amazon has had.

  • When I began reporting on the pandemic in March, I

  • discovered that Amazon was actually trying to get

  • shoppers to buy less.

  • Fewer nonessential orders meant they could focus on

  • shipping things like hand sanitizer and masks to

  • hospitals and state agencies.

  • That's when I decided to give Walmart a try.

  • My last order on Amazon was back in February, which

  • was before they had a lot of those shipping delays

  • that were caused by supply chain issues and such a big

  • surge in demand. When I stayed home, I decided to get

  • my groceries from Walmart and they usually came the

  • same day or the next day.

  • When I ordered other items on Walmart.com, they always

  • arrived within the delivery window and I never had any

  • delays. In San Francisco, sometimes they even came the

  • next day. They still don't come anywhere close to

  • Amazon when it comes to the selection of items that

  • you can get through online and get to your house

  • within one or two days.

  • So I think right now Walmart and Amazon are locked in

  • a steel cage death match to become the country's

  • everything store. So what does Walmart have planned as

  • it continues trying to catch Amazon in e-commerce?

  • For example, Walmart launched its own voice assistant

  • called Ask Sam in July for employees to use to help

  • shoppers find products and prices in stores.

  • They're trying to find ways to use those physical

  • stores in new ways.

  • Not just distribution, but also, you know, they're

  • talking about medical and financial and edge computing

  • and all of these other things that really leverage the

  • stores. For now, the launch of Walmart Plus has

  • analysts hopeful that one day it could at least

  • provide a second option for Amazon customers to turn

  • to. Amazon has set a very high bar, but they've also

  • given people the playbook to kind of follow.

  • And then once you figure out how to integrate online

  • into your stores, there's immense profitability as

  • well for the brick-and-mortar guys.

When Amazon started selling more than just books in the

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Can Walmart Catch Amazon In E-commerce?

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    joey joey に公開 2021 年 02 月 21 日
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