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  • Thank you to 'Brilliant' for supporting PBS Digital Studios.

  • When you hear the phrase, “The American Dream,” what picture comes to mind?

  • For a long time, the classic version included a white picket fence, 2.5 children, and of

  • course, a house.

  • The importance of home ownership is still embedded in American culture.

  • 7 in 10 adults say they want to own their own home someday, and yet... actual ownership

  • has dropped to its lowest level since 1967.

  • The biggest culprit?

  • Those pesky millennials, with an 18% decrease since 2004.

  • If owning a house is still important, then are young people just being foolish?

  • Or are they reacting rationally to a changing economy?

  • In theory, owning a home still makes a lot of sense because it kills two financial birds

  • with one stone: It's a place to live, and a long-term investment.

  • Every time you make a mortgage payment or the value of your home increases, you're

  • saving money for your future self.

  • It's like a piggy bank you can sleep in!

  • But the world is changing in ways that make this scenario harder to pull off:

  • Younger people have more debt than previous generations, mainly thanks to student loans.

  • The average amount that a graduate owes has tripled in the last 25 years, which means

  • that many young people already have a house-sized debt cloud hanging over them, without even

  • having an asset they can sell.

  • As if that wasn't bad enough, millennials have a larger burden for retirement.

  • In ye olden days, the average American could expect 3 sources of income to support them

  • in their autumn years: A pension, social security, and personal retirement savings.

  • But thanks to shifting labor trends and shrinking unions, pensions are quickly becoming a thing

  • of the past, and it's giving this three-legged stool a major wobble.

  • And since we can't expect social security payments to substantially increase anytime

  • soon, younger people will be expected to make up the difference with larger retirement savings,

  • which means less cash on hand to put towards a house.

  • The shifting labor market has also led to more pressure to be geographically flexible,

  • instead of being tied down to one location.

  • And the importance of travel for young people is at an all-time high.

  • In the US, millennials rank travel as MORE important than home ownership and report that

  • they're more likely to set aside money for that rather than buying a home.

  • Considering these factors, it's no wonder millennials are viewing home ownership as

  • more of an option than a necessity.

  • So is it an option that's right for you?

  • Here are some questions to ask yourself:

  • 1.

  • Can I get good mortgage terms?

  • Unless you've got hundreds of thousands of dollars sitting around in cash, you're

  • gonna have to borrow the money and pay for the privilege.

  • How much you'll pay in interest is determined by a number of factors, but generally speaking,

  • in order to qualify for terms that make homebuying a good investment, you'll need a consistent,

  • provable source of income, a credit score of 760 or higher, and a down payment at or

  • close to 20% of the home price.

  • If you can't meet these requirements, it might not be the right time to buy a home.

  • Will I have emergency money left over?

  • The money you have wrapped up in your house isn't liquid, meaning you won't be able

  • to get to it easily if you need it.

  • So if your A/C breaks down or your car needs repairs, and you don't

  • have any emergency funds set aside, the only thing you'll have to cling to is debt--which

  • is more of a lead weight than a life-vest.

  • So be sure to have at least three times your monthly expenses left over after your down

  • payment.

  • 3.

  • Can I stick around for at least 5 years?

  • Buying a house that you have to sell again quickly probably won't end well.

  • You have to consider up-front costs like realtors and inspections.

  • Plus, at the beginning of your mortgage most of your monthly payment is going towards interest

  • -- meaning your debt isn't actually shrinking that much.

  • For many buyers, it can be a decade or more before that ratio is even 50/50.

  • So how do these factors shake out in a real world example?

  • Let's….

  • RUN THE NUMBERS!

  • This is Ramon.

  • Ramon has a good, steady job, he's been saving money and he's thinking about buying

  • a house for around $200,000.

  • He only has enough for a 15% down payment, and no emergency fund.

  • Also, there's a chance Ramon might decide to relocate to New York with his girlfriend

  • when she graduates from law school in three years.

  • By that time, Ramon will have only paid off around $9,000 of the loan principal.

  • If the home value increases by an average of 5%, he'll be able to sell for bit more,

  • but that's not counting the realtor fees, taxes, and upkeep.

  • If everything goes perfectly smoothly, Ramon will just break even.

  • But if just one thing goes wrong - like losing a job for 6 months or he has to replace his

  • home's roof or AC, it's a different picture.

  • Ramon might want to hold off on buying a house right now.

  • If you're like Ramon, don't freak out!

  • You could never buy a home but still be okay financially.

  • There are even some perks, like not being responsible for maintenance costs, and being

  • able to easily pack up and move if you get a better job opportunity.

  • But, investing is like exercise: some workouts deliver better results than others, but anything

  • is better than doing nothing.

  • So, if you're not going to buy a house, it's extra important that you're making

  • investments in other areas, like a 401(K), or a company that you own.

  • There's no sugarcoating it: When it comes to homebuying, Millennials got a tough deal.

  • But you can overcome that disadvantage by understanding your situation, and starting

  • to plan for it now.

  • And that's our two cents!

  • One of our favorite segments of Two Cents is "Run the Numbers!"

  • We take a financial concept and put it in the real world.

  • With real financial calculations.

  • It's pretty cool to see how small things can become big things over time!

  • From compound interest rates to hidden fees that stack up!

  • Maybe you want to see how much interest you'll pay over the lifetime of a mortgage.

  • Or how much you'd end up with if you quit your gym membership and invested that money instead.

  • With a little hands-on practice, you can master the art of personal finance too!

  • One fun, easy way to hone your financial math skills is at Brilliant.org

  • They offer hands-on, practical lessons in math and science.

  • Each lesson puts you in the driver's seat and allows you to "Run the Numbers" for your own life.

  • For more information about Brilliant, head to Brilliant.org/twocents

  • [MUSIC]

Thank you to 'Brilliant' for supporting PBS Digital Studios.

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家を買うべきか? (Should You Buy a House?)

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    Capalu に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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