Name: 大規模なロックダウン。大恐慌よりも悪い？ (The Great Lockdown: Worse Than The Great Depression?)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T10:53:08.000Z
Duration: 4 min 18 s
Description: VoiceTubeの動画で発音を聞きながら英語表現を覚えよう！学べる英語：

未来進行形

The IMF has just produced its latest forecast

That would be the steepest global reduction

certainly worse than anything that happened

Gita Gopinath, looking at these forecasts,

I noticed that you have your baseline scenario

that we're heading for this economic contraction

and why do you think that all the alternative scenarios

that the pandemic and the containment measures

and then come off gradually in the second half.

there's certainly no certainty that'll happen.

Now there are some countries where you are seeing

and the number of new cases are coming down.

which is why we look into these other scenarios

need to go into the second half of this year

a negative three percent to negative six percent in 2020

or is it just about scaling up what you already have?

At the IMF, we've had close to 100 countries

So it's a very large number coming in a very short time.

I don't think we've had 100 countries come to us before.

Globally, we've seen governments and central banks

how worried are you about the permanent damage

I think there is a substantial risk in that.

There is a lot to be concerned about here.

is that while in the past when there's been a crises

and you have all the stimulus in the system,

which means you want people to go out and spend,

but that's not what the other side of this crisis is,

So it's a very different transmission channel

that firms and businesses can stay afloat,

that once we get past this period of lockdown,

And I think there is tremendous uncertainty.

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大規模なロックダウン。大恐慌よりも悪い？ (The Great Lockdown: Worse Than The Great Depression?)

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