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  • With every rocket

  • we launch into the Earth's orbit,

  • we're trapping ourselves on our own planet.

  • This is WHAT IF,

  • and here's what would happen

  • if we trashed Earth's orbit with space junk.

  • Almost everything that we've launched into space

  • ends up either falling down and burning up in the atmosphere,

  • or getting caught in the Earth's lower orbit for thousands of years.

  • The Earth's lower orbit is surrounded

  • by just 200 kg (440 lbs) of small, rocky debris

  • in the form of meteoroids.

  • But it's also got a belt

  • of about 3 million kg (6.6 million lbs) of space junk.

  • 20,000 pieces of debris as large as softball,

  • 500,000 pieces larger than a marble

  • and many millions of pieces of debris too small to track

  • are orbiting the Earth.

  • What makes these floating parts of old satellites

  • and spent rocket bodies so dangerous?

  • It's the speed they move at.

  • This junk is hurtling through space at a speed of 8 km/s (5 mi/s).

  • At this speed, one small bolt

  • is enough to shatter a working satellite

  • into hundreds of pieces.

  • But it's what comes next that could hold off our dreams

  • of building Moon bases,

  • colonizing Mars,

  • and any space exploration whatsoever.

  • The more junk we leave uncontrolled in the Earth's lower orbit,

  • the harder it is not to get hit by it.

  • Things are running into each other.

  • Fragments of debris are colliding and breaking up,

  • multiplying the number of items

  • flying through the space junkyard.

  • And they're hitting working spacecraft, too.

  • One day they could hit enough satellites

  • to initiate an unstoppable, destructive chain reaction.

  • The cascade of collisions would make our lower orbit

  • so congested with man-made debris,

  • that eventually there would be no active spacecraft left.

  • Everything in the Earth's orbit would be turned into

  • a deadly wall of celestial scrap.

  • Near-Earth space would become unusable.

  • No rockets could be safely launched

  • until we cleaned up the orbit.

  • We'd have to put our space missions on pause,

  • and we'd be trapped on the planet for generations.

  • Well, the debris belt wouldn't rain down on Earth

  • and cause massive destruction.

  • Space rubbish would disintegrate in the atmosphere

  • before it reached our planet's surface.

  • But the collisions would produce a lot of dust.

  • That dust, illuminated by sunlight,

  • would cause an ever-present twilight on the planet.

  • With this form of light pollution,

  • you'd forget what nights used to look like.

  • What's even more unpleasant -

  • all of our satellite networks would go down.

  • There'd be no satellite communications,

  • no GPS navigation,

  • no weather data,

  • and no way to do any science in the Earth's orbit.

  • You'd have to go back to paper maps,

  • and get your cash out.

  • Welcome to the 1970s.

  • On a positive note, science has already come up with a few ideas

  • for cleaning up our lower orbit mess.

  • They're looking at capturing space debris with a net,

  • or harpoon,

  • or vaporizing the small bits of junk with lasers.

  • Whatever action we deploy,

  • we should act quick if we want to launch humanity

  • on far-space missions

  • and finally colonize that red planet.

  • But that's a story for another WHAT IF.

With every rocket

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宇宙ゴミで地球の軌道を破壊したら? (What If We Trashed Earth's Orbit With Space Junk?)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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