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  • It's what I want to do is focus on the real fundamental

  • physical limits of course getting down to the the miniaturization

  • And the smallest possible structures is an important aspect

  • But there's also a speed aspect if you even get down to that you get your density up. How fast can you process?

  • The reason I'm quite keen to come back to computerphile is I spent the first two years of my physics degree going shuddered on computer

  • science

  • and because I'm really quite a per mathematician to put it mildly, but I'm

  • As a cold or at least back in the dim distant days of the past I used to be okay

  • I started with the zx81 got into assembly language coding did a lot of from

  • Zx80 ones that expect from BBC micro all that type of stuff used to love coding my mantra throughout my undergraduate degree

  • And I was not a great student was if I can't code this. I don't understand it

  • So there's a piece of physics particularly piece of mathematical physics

  • I'd always think about how do I call this Fourier transforms convolution correlation?

  • Can I reduce this to a piece of discrete mathematics and therefore can I actually code it so I've always loved exploring those links between

  • Programming coding computers information and physics before we start thinking about limits

  • We've got to start thinking about well

  • physically what the computers do what do they actually do they they take information in and

  • They do some computation and they give information out is that a fair enough description Sean sounds good

  • yeah, so the interesting thing is just how you define information and

  • There's a guy called wheeler who was the PhD supervisor of

  • Feynman what wheel also had this very famous phrase which was it from bit

  • So the idea that the fundamental quantity in the universe is not energy. It's not matter its information and

  • What does he mean by that well it's it's it's intriguing. Let's play around with these. Let's say. We've got a system

  • which is

  • Entirely what we'd call reversible right? What does that mean it means that if I drop that ball?

  • Let's say you're as you can see I'm slowing it down

  • But let's imagine that I was actually just dropping it out of my hand and it was coming right back up to the same height

  • All right

  • That would be what's called an elastic system

  • There's no energy being removed

  • This ball is coming right back up to its same height its end position is exactly the same as its starting position. It's entirely reversible

  • There is a link to computing a promise so

  • What happens if we if we add some if we take some energy out of this system and there's this what we call?

  • dissipation this friction

  • Does the ball is squishy so when it hits the floor? It's not a perfectly elastic band

  • It just doesn't bounce as if it's a rigid object. You know what's gonna happen. It's fairly boring

  • Now we've got a problem because that's our final state. That's a right pot

  • That's a right part of the system. Do we have any information at all about the input?

  • From that no not exactly

  • It's just there you drop it from this height you drop it from that height you drop it from that height

  • You've lost all information about the initial state

  • However if it's if there's no energy leaking out of the system, then you drop it from this height

  • If it was a perfectly elastic system. Let's do it like that just to pretend then it comes back up to the same height

  • This is already telling us that there are interesting links between information and energy

  • Now if we look at a standard to get back into computer files territory. There's a direct relationship between the

  • reversibility of the system

  • And the information content of the output so in the second case when the balls like that

  • Energy's leaked out the system isn't reversible and

  • We've we have no idea what the input was so we've lost

  • Information in that sense has leaked out into the environment the fascinating aspect of this is if you take a NAND gate

  • So what we have now is a is a logical connection

  • Connection and boolean logic to this physical problem because let's set this up as a truth table

  • Let's put that as output which is not how computer scientist might do it

  • But I'm a physicist

  • So I'll do it this way so if we go zero zero you all know how a NAND gate works zero one zero zero

  • zero

  • one zero one

  • one one

  • Now we've got a problem

  • Because for three of these outputs. We've got exactly the same. We've got zero

  • We've got no connection between this iPod

  • We've lost information because we don't know what our inputs were we have a lack of reversibility and that lack of reversibility is

  • absolutely key in terms of the connections between the physical world and the

  • Information world the computing world and therefore because we've got a connection from reversibility and energy

  • Therefore we've got a connection with the physical world in terms of how we do computation

  • There are multiple ways of getting to zero is basically what we've got precisely so if we've got this we can traverse the system

  • To know to work out what exactly are our inputs where there's only

  • Okay, forgive me for saying this, but is that not just because we've got two inputs that only one output through sir

  • Thank you for that exceptionally perceptive question John so what was and what was that's exactly the issue

  • So there's a whole host of gears called fredkin gates. Which are developed which have three inputs and three outputs now

  • We'll go into them. You don't have to forget setup like this you can have something which is called a reversible gate and

  • In principle if you've got that reversible gate input in place though actually

  • There's a difference between the physics and the engineering

  • engineering one of those gates and actually changing or a computer

  • Architecture to move towards all type of fredkin gates is going to take an awful lot of effort

  • and an awful lot of cost but in principle if we could do that and if we had a

  • Perfect perfect Fred can get then there would be no energy cost to computing

  • No energy no. No energy cost because here's the fascinating thing. What costs the energy is not the

  • Computation itself it's a raising information that and gate there

  • It's the logic of the of the data

  • but it doesn't show all the physical connections does it usually these gates have multiple things like Earth's and

  • Of course is that right and in fact exactly they have written in fact

  • How you clear these in many cases is you ground so if you've got a 1, which is what is a 1 well?

  • It's a voltage how do you set that to 0 you actually ground it? So that's that's a leaker in that sense?

  • you're leaking out to the environment, and that's what it's a

  • Really good way of thinking because that's exactly what's happening here. This is not. This is unravel

  • because the the information is

  • Leaking out to the environment effectively or in this case the energy is leaking out to the environment

  • So you must observe it to see what happens generally?

  • okay, so with it with the

  • sort of threat of going down the route of an electric engineering file

  • How does this relate to somebody who's practicing a modern-day computer?

  • They saw the key thing here is because it costs a certain amount of energy to erase data and for any

  • Computation in the way, we've set up or to lose data particularly with these there's an energy cost to doing this because it's irreversible

  • that means that that is setting a fundamental limit in terms of the the

  • Amount of energy that it needs to power a computer and in turn you know from both

  • environmental and also fundamental physics reasons

  • You know we really need to think carefully about how we actually beat that limit if we could beat that limit

  • Let's say we do call the DS fredkin gets

  • What where we really come up hard against another limit is?

  • something called the Heisenberg uncertainty principle quantum physics

  • So don't worry

  • I'm not going to go into a great deal of detail about the uncertainty principle

  • Apart from to say this is that too often the uncertainty principle is seen as you have a system you make a measurement

  • your influence on the system is

  • Affecting the measurement, and there is affecting the system and therefore that gives rise to an uncertainty that's not it at all

  • It's it's much more fundamental than that there is in quantum mechanics the observation effect of the observer effect

  • That's a whole we could do 15 hours on that and though indeed there are whole masters courses on that on that

  • But in terms of the uncertainty principle actually

  • Every time you play a guitar if you do play a guitar the uncertainty principle comes it comes about in a nutshell

  • The uncertainty principle is is all about

  • How waves behave and once you down at the quantum level? You've got to think about

  • Particles not just as being particles as little billiard balls

  • They've got a way of like characteristic does that mean they change into waves no that would be far too straightforward

  • But it means they've got a way of like characteristic and therefore the physics of waves

  • Translates all the way there it must do because we're in viewing matter with these wave-like

  • characteristics at the quantum level

  • So therefore the physics of waves in the world around us and the mathematical framework of waves in the world around us has to

  • Move down to that level this uncertainty principle is just this if I let that no ring out for a long long time

  • Or indeed if I just whistle maybe a whistles in pair on

  • For a long time

  • And I ask you to tell me what the frequency that whistle is or we look on a signal analyzer

  • And we look at the spectrum we'd be able to say as particularly if I whistle for a very long time

  • That's at 400 Hertz or whatever and some of you perhaps if you could spectrum analyzer don't even go back and tell me what?

  • Frequency that was that the difficulty is this what if I do this?

  • Or what if I do this?

  • How do I describe that what frequency is a god and the thing is this wide and time

  • narrow and frequency

  • Narrow in time and in fact if you were to look at this on a spectrum analyzer what you'd see is you need a much

  • Wider frequency spectrum to represent that chunk

  • So when you hear that happening and lots of metal bands do this

  • What that is is the uncertainty principle in action, but that's the key thing

  • wide in time

  • Narrow in frequency narrow in time wide in frequency. Just get that again

  • I wish I'd got that idea in my head as an undergraduate about three years before I did get it in my head and

  • Then quantum physics would have been a hell of a lot easier

  • How does that relate to this well we coming towards something to do with processing speed?

  • We are indeed that's exactly what I'm going with this so the question is to ask yourself

  • Let's say with the ideal technology we had you know everything we could manufacture down to incredibly tight limits

  • We could get down to the single atom limit principle. We may even get below the single-item limit start controlling nuclei. What is the fundamental?

  • Physical principle that really limits us

  • Right down at the lowest possible level we could go to and what it is is it's the uncertainty principle now often

  • It's that the uncertainty principle is couched in terms of momentum and position

  • for the physicists among you there's also a

  • counterpart which is energy and time

  • At this point what I'd really like to do is put in a little aside to all the physicists out there

  • So if you've got something which is wide and time it's an hour on frequency similarly if we try to constrain it in time

  • The problem is that we get a much larger range of energy

  • so if you want to do a

  • computing

  • Operation you've got to think about well the number of operations

  • you can get by per second that means if you've got a number of operations per second that means you've got a

  • Frequency of those operations also means you've got a time between those now the uncertainty principle

  • tells us that we've got a

  • Fundamental limit on how narrow we can make that time because by narrowing down that time we broaden out the energy

  • associated with the atom with the operation which sets a

  • Fundamental limit because the narrow narrow narrow narrow we get that the broad on broader and broader the energy becomes

  • So that's it's a very fundamental limit when you work it through and there's this grid paper

  • Ultimate physical limits to computation which was set alight MIT back in 2000. This is a freely available online

  • Physics is physics, but this papers 2000 and things have moved on quite a bit interview 2

  • But the point he's making here in fact is he talked about having the ultimate laptop and in fact when he means the ultimate

  • Laptop. He's not talking about the limit. This is the important thing

  • That's the engineering limits, and then there's the pure physical limits his ultimate laptop is a plasma at

  • just a

  • stupidly high temperature

  • And that's what his ultimate laptop comes down to and even he talks about let's reach in terms of the density of information

  • What happens if we get to a density of?

  • Information which is comparable to the type of effects we have to consider when we're thinking about black holes

  • We are not talking about where the current semiconductor

  • Wherever it seemed gonna be in 20 or 30 years were thinking about where our hard limits where for an incredibly advanced civilization

  • Where are they gonna stop and?

  • It turns out that if you think about the uncertainty principle

  • Which sets this this fundamental limit in terms of the time scale, but 10 to the 50 per second, right?

  • So this is operations. It's not so much clock speed so it's more prison to flops

  • What's this day of the are the moment for flops

  • Thank you for asking me that question cuz I look that up because being a lowly physicist. I wasn't entirely certain so the cray are

  • Reasonably confident that by 2020 we'll be at the point where we have exa flops

  • I believe let me just check that yeah one extra

  • Flop by 2020 so exaflop so EXA is 10 to the 18 so 10 to the 18

  • floating point logic operations per second

  • There are some suggestions by 2030 will have zetas flops so 10 to the 21

  • operations per second

  • Whereas our ultimate physical limit in terms of what Lloyd has suggested 10 to the 50?

  • right so

  • that's so 50 compared to 21 doesn't seem like a big number 10 to the 50 compared to 10 to the 21 is a

  • Huge huge number in fact if you work it through

  • so we're about I don't know let's say we're off order and meat are shown in terms of height if you compare us to the

  • diameter of the observable universe

  • It's 26 orders of magnitude so 10 to 26 is compared to ten to the twenty-nine

  • So what were we are closer to the size of the observable universe the 92 billion light-years?

  • Then-current computing technology is from the limit. Yeah from the limit, so we've got a long long way to go

  • My little question is why have you got some pink D poppers on the corner?

  • So if you if you start this off and it but you'd see it disappears energy

  • And it comes to arrest and what's happening there was that Energy's leaking out into the environment

It's what I want to do is focus on the real fundamental

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コンピューティングの限界 - コンピュータマニア (Computing Limit - Computerphile)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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