So I guesslet's getstuckintosomesomesomekindofhardcorebusiness.
See?
Stuff?
Way.
All.
Okay.
If I justgostraightintothisSomethingyouneedenoughconsumersthatyourrentisreallylike 10% lessofyournetrevenue.
Allright, soifyouhave a rentorkindof, ah, rentratesorrentwhateveryoupay a 50,000 year, thenyouneedatleasthalf a 1,000,000 offofnetrevenuecominginfor a year.
Nowyoucandividethatdownbyhowmanydays a weekyouopen.
Yousee, inthesortofmoreaggressiveVCcyclesthataninvestorwouldwanttoputmoneyinandsee a substantialreturnwithin 3 to 5 yearson a substantialreturnmightbeanywherefrom 3 to 20 to 100 timesthemoneythattheyputinatthestart.
Now, with a coffeeshop, 100 extraturnisunlikely.
I don't Youknow, that's justthat's justnotreally, um, But, um, youknow, youcancertainlyapproachpeopleifyouhave a prettygoodideaofhowyou'regonnamakemoneyandpaythemback.
Itmaybethatyouintendtogrowyourcoffeeshoptobe a smallnumberofbusinessesthatyoumightthensellontosomeoneelsewhowantstogrowtheirchainofcafes.
I don't reallyknowdependingwhereintheworldyouare.
Thereareotherwaysonmeanstoraisemoneyinthe U.
K.
There's a numberoftaxefficientschemesoutthere, like E i s and S C.
I s designedtoreallyconvinceditwillhelpyoutoconvincefriendsandfamilytoinvestinbusinesses.
Andtheyget a littletaxbreakinreturnforinvesting a smallamountin a businesslikethis.
Butbyandlarge, it's prettydifficult, Butitgets a loteasierwhenyouhave a lotmorefinancialclarityaround.
Youknow, if I'm right, if I'm takingsomeone's money, howam I gonnagivethatback?
I asks, wheredoyouseethebalancebetweencustomersatisfactionandqualityofyourownbusiness.
Atwhatpointyouhavetodetermineoneparticularcustomeris a singlecase.
Okay, if I if I'm readingthisright, andpleaseclarifyif I'm not.
It's thesortofthethelinebetween, umwhatpointdo I do?
What I wanttodo, right?
Servethecoffee I'm superpassionateabout.
Andthenatwhatpointshould I dosomethingthatjustpleasespeople?
Right.
Andwheredo I sitonthatkindofscale?
IsthatTim?
Ifyou'reoutthere, Isthataboutwhat?
Whatyou'reyou'rethinking?
Assumingthatisthecase, Um, I thinkthatifyouwanttodowhatyou'repassionateaboutfor a business, thenyouhavetounderstandthatthepotentialofthatbusinessalsodependsonwhereyousitonthatslidingscale.
Now, I thinklotsofpeoplelikereallygreatcoffee.
I don't thinkit's, youknow, only a smallerpeoplereally, reallydesperatelycareaboutit.
Thiobuild a businessoffcupsofcoffeebecausethey'reverylowcashvalleytransactionsthateverylaborintensiveandsoit's It's a difficultbusinesstoscale, andso, increasinglyyou'reseeingpeoplerejecttheverypurecoffeemodel, andyou'reseeingfoodcomemoreandmoreandmore.
I thinkwehavetobeveryconsciousthat, youknow, we'reasking a lotMauroffpeopleintermsofspendpercup.
Thentheyabsolutelyhavetospendtoget a caffeinefix.
Sodelightingthemwithmorethanthecoffeewithservice, withtheenvironmentwithdesign, witheverysingleaspectofthebusinessthattheyinteractwith, I thinkiskey.
Um, Christmas.
Krishnaasks, Whatdoyoupersonallythinkisthelowestbudgettosetup a goodcafe?
I can't answerthatwith, withoutknowingwhereintheworldyouwanttosetitupandwhatyouraspirationsforthatareintermsofitsrevenueanditsprofitability, howevermuchyouthinkyouneeddoubleit.
It's a goodquestion, um, withoutcomingbacktoancientoh, modelsandstuff.
I'm protechnologybecause I thinkthatrightnowespressoisdifficultbecauseit's extremelylaborintensiveandit's extremelydifficult.
And, um, cafeownersreallyhavetospend a greatdealofthemoneythatcomesinonpeopletomakethedrinksright.
Like a staffcostsas a percentageofrevenueinspecialtycoffeeshopsarecurrentlyvery, very, veryhigh.
I wouldsayinmostdevelopedmarketstheywouldsitbetween 30 and 45% ofnetrevenue, whichisanenormousamountofmoney.
Andthat's becauseittakes a lotofpeopletomake a lotofespressodrinks.
So I'm interestedintechnologythatcanreducetheburdenonthecafeowneronDDE, make a individualmemberofstuffmoreproductive, whichmeansthatoneindividualpersoncouldalsoprobablyearnmoremoneyas a resultofbeingmoreproductive s.
Oh, that's mykindofanswertothat, Um, whatifyou'rein a citywherepeopleusedtotraditional, badlypreparedcoffeeandespressoandevenaftertastingit, saythattheydonotlikethirdwayofspecialtycoffee, yetnotdead.
It's goodquestion.
Um, killthemwithkindness.
First.
I thinkthis, youknow, youcan't tellpeoplethatwhatyouhaveisbetter, becausewhenyousaymycoffeeisbetter, itimpliesthatwhattheydrinkitlikeisoffpoorqualityandthereforetheyhavebadtaste, andnoonerespondswelltobeingtoldtheyhavebadtaste.
Sothekindofnicerwayintoitistomakethemfeelwelcome, makethemenjoycomingandbeinginside a businessandthenbeingexcitedaboutwhatyoulikeaboutthiscoffee.
Nottosaythatit's betterthanwhattheylike, butthatoncetheytrustyou a littlebitbecausetheylikethespace, theyfeelthateverythingyoudoisgoodvalue.
Say, um, themarginsareprettypoorthen, whileyouroverheadshouldberelativelylow, ultimately, roastersareinterestedin a directcontactwiththeconsumer, andyoudon't desperatelyprovide a serviceto a roaster.
Yes, youknow, we'llsee a bunchofcafesclosethenext 3 to 5 years, I think, andafterthatcycleoffcontraction, it's probably a bettertimetoopen a coffeeshopagain.
Butthat's it.
Itdoesn't meanyoucan't opentobesuccessful.
Butyouneedtohave a veryclearideaexactlywho's gonnacomethroughyourdoorandwhythey'regonnacomethroughyourdoorandwhythey'regonnachangetheirlife.
You'rewell, itwasalwaysgonnabejust a matteroftimebeforepeopleworkedoutthatthehighconvenienceformatssuckedbecausetheyhadlowqualityproductinthemandbegantoquestionwhatwouldhappenifyouputhigherqualityproductintothem.
Theyarefixing a problemforyouroastinginhouseonpaper.
maybecheaper.
But I think, actually, dependingonhowyouallocatehumancosttothatprojectas a wholeaswellasanypotentialcapitaltostartit, I thinkyouneed a reasonablyhighvolumetoRussiaandcoffee, anditbenotablymoreprofitablethanbuyingfrom a goodspecialtyroaster.
It's a littlebitlikedoingdoingyouraccounts.
Itischeapertodoallyouraccountinginhouse, butitis a giantheadache, andit's notmuchfun.
Andso I am a verybigfanofaccountantwho I paytodothingsthat I coulddo.
But I reallyjustdon't wantto.
Uh, so, youknow, I think, um, itdependsononwhyyouwanttoroast.
I thinkin a marketwitheverincreasingnumbersofspreadtoroastersalready, they'reroastingyourowncoffeeisnotthemarketadvantage.
Perhapsitwasinthepast.
I'm notsure I seethatnecessarilyinthemarketplace.
Correctmeif I'm wronginthechatinthecommentsthere, Um, butyeah, youknow, I don't thinkit's a badthing.
I thinkit's nicethat, youknow, ifyouroastforyourselfandyouscrewup a batchthat's onyou.
If a roastofsuppliesyou'reback, that's notquiteright.
Yougettosendthatbackandgetsomethingelse.
Youreallymeanlikethere's a levelofprotectioninnotbeingtotallyverticallyintegrated.
Ifyoufeelthatyoucoulddo a betterjobinthem.
Yeah, maybethinkaboutit.
Butit's noteverything.
Quite a simpleasyoumighthope.
Okay.
Ah, Questiononblock.
Jane, what's youropinionontheseblockJaneTechstartupsaimingtosolveissueswithcopysupplychainis a silverbullet.
Arethey'regoingaboutitthewrongway.
Blockcame.
Umhey, I'm pro.
I'm proincreasedtransparencyandobviouslytheideaof a decentralizeddatabaseandledgeroftransactionsisthekindofgoldstandardoftransparency.
I thinkthatsadly, thereisanextremelylowdemandforthisleveloftransparencyinthecoffeeindustry.
I thinkotherindustriesprobablymayneedmaybenefitfurtherfromfromhavingrealtransparencyoffthesupplychainthatway, andcoffeeshouldbe a perfectfit, but I thinkitwillbeprettyslowtoadoptthesekindofthingsbecausethere's essentiallystill a verylowconsumerdemandforthisleveloftransparency.
Youmightarguethatmeansthere's a veryhighleveloftrustinthemarketplace, oryoucanbecynicalandsayThisis a verylowlevelofcare.
Eitherway, I think I thinkBlockchainis a technologyhasgreatpotential.
Um, youknow, I think a lotaboutCryptocurrencyisisisnonsense, whichisinevitablykindoftiedupinconnected.
ButBut, youknow, decentralizeddatabases, I thinkareinteresting.
But I thinkGodtobeslow, they'lljustbeslowtobeadoptedincoffee.
Shuthimout, asksJames.
Doyouthinkautomation I roastingbrewingreducesmarketvalueandspecialtycoffee?
I thinkroastingwillbe a bitslowerfor a fewdifferentreasons, primarilybecause I thinkwe'vegotwe'vegot a longwaytogointocollectingaccuratetastedatatofeedsomethinglike a neuralnet, thatkindofmachinelearningkindofsetup, but I thinkthisis a greatquestion.
I don't knowtheanswer, but I thinkwe'reevengetclosertoitintotheclosertoananswer.
Inthenextfewyears, TracyasksJamesanyideahowtocompetewith a FranchisingCafe e Starbucks?
Theycanprovide a greatenvironmentbyhugecapitalinvestment.
Okay, Tracy, I thinkthewaytocompeteistolookatwhattheydowellondhe.
Soifyougoto a jobinterviewatCafeandsay, I reallywanttocomeherebecause I wanttolearn, well, that's that's That's likesaying I reallywanttocomeherebecause I wanttoearnlotsofmoney I wanttobegiven.
It's It's theflowisthiswayandsogoing, saying I wanna I wannagivegreatserviceonservingreasoncoffee.
I wanttodevelopas I dothatgetbetterandbetterthat I go.
That's a verydifferentanswerto I wanttocomeherejusttolearn.
So, youknow, I think a lotofownershaveprobablybeenthroughtheexperienceofpeoplewhodesperatelywanttolearnandwhothenlearnandleave.
Andforanowner, that's a terribleinvestment.
Andthat's a painfulinvestmentontheirelectiontotomakethatagain.
I thinkthosekindofbusinessesneedtobe a slightlybroaderchurch, right?
Youcan't bethesuperhardcorething, becausethatmaybejustaren't enoughhumansthat I careaboutthatthingenough.
Youcandothatthingandyoucanbuild a businessaroundthat.
Butyoucanalsobe a widerchurchandbe a bitmoreopenintermsofwhatyouofferandwhatbringspeopleinandreallyagainbuild a businessaround a community, understandwho's there.
Whataretheirneeds?
Whatdotheywantfrom a space?
Andyoucanstillmakeityoursandhaveitbeyours.
But I thinkitneedstobemoldedaroundthepeoplethatmakeupyourcommunity.
He's gross, butyouknow, that's a goodideaisinthere.
I waskindofbummedoutwhen I startedbecauseitfeltlikeeverythingeveryblocktalkingaboutbusinesswastalkingabouttech, andnoonereallytalkedaboutbricksandmortar.
And I stillfeelthat's kindoftruetoday.
It's reallyhardtoreallytoread a lotaboutbuilding a greatbricksandmortarbusinessjumpingis a terribleshame.
BecauseStarbucks, hisentiremodelcouple, youknow, certainlylacedagecapitalism, Buttheycouldmake a tonofmoneyandtheydon't havetocharge a lotofmoney.
Andthey'restilldoing 20% ebitda, right?
Likethere's still a very, very, veryhealthybusinessmostofthetime.
Butyes, joinorganizationslikethe s e A.
Talktootherbusinessowners, right?
Like a greatresourceisotherhumans.
Ifyou'rewillingtosharesometruthaboutyourself, thenpeoplearewillingtosharebackby a large, andyougettohavesomeveryopen, honestconversations.
Butrunning a businessisextremelylonely.
Noonewilltellyouhowmuchmoneytomake.
Noonetoldwilltellyou, ifyoumadeenoughorifsheshouldmake a littlebitmorelike, accountantswillsortofbevaguelyhelpful.
Butnoonewillbelike, Oh, yourunthiscoffeeshop.
Thisishowmuchmoneyyoushouldmake, andyoucouldarguethat's a philosophicalquestion.
Butthenthere's alsotherealisticallywhatactuallypossiblein a marketin A in a shoplikethis, just a secondarything.
So I willtryandputtogether a postsooneitheronYouTubeormybloggeronbothwithlike a top 10 or 20 businessbooksthat I haveenjoyed.
Okay, uh, Andrewasks, Doyouworrythattheforeignnamesofcoffeedrinks, cappuccinoAmericaon a macchiatoareintimidatingtosomeonegettingintocoffee?
Perhapsmoresimplenameswouldencouragemoretotry.
Yesandno.
I think a lotofthosewords.
A lotofthoseItalianwordshavebecomeextremelynormalized.
Now, I definitelythinkthat, um, I definitelythinkthatwhenwesellcoffeebythenameofthefarm, thatcanbedeeplyintimidating, right?
Ifyouifyougotlike a coffeeonfromKenyaandyou'rehopingthatthecustomerwillstepupandsayhi, I wouldlike a cupofthekey, ourMaruDouble A, pleasethatthatisintimidatingtosay, likethat's definitelychallenging.
Youknow, weputupwordsin a varietyofdifferentlanguageswithnopronunciationguidesbecausewefeelthat's thetransparentthingtodo.
Butultimately, mostpeoplestillcomeonorder a cappuccino, a flatwhiteorwhattheykindofknow.
So I thinkthosenamesaren't reallyanissue.
But I wouldsaycoffeefarmnamescanbeanissue, andAnnawerethinkingaboutyouknowwhenyou'reputtingthemonmanyboardsorencouragingcustomerstotryandsaythosewordstoorder a drinkat 6 30 inthemorningwhentheyhaven't hadcoffeeyet.
Okay, um, MobileVanCafebusinesses.
Anyadvice?
I'llgiveyouonepieceofadvice, whichiskey, which I'velearnedfromsupplyingsomecoffee.
Peopledon't wannahavetoworkoutwhatdayoftheweekitisinordertogoandget a coffeesomewhere, right?
Theywanttotrustyou.
Sowhentheydon't have a coffeeathomeortheydon't havecoffeeattheusualspotandtheycometoyouthatyouwillbethereandtheydon't havetogoalways a TuesdayorWednesday.