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  • over the last few days, I have come to one of the hardest decisions of my life.

  • So here's the deal, guys.

  • My campaign for president simply does not have.

  • The financial resource is to continue.

  • I'm not a billionaire, can't fund my own campaign.

  • And as the campaign has gone on, it has become harder and harder to raise the money we need to compete in good faith.

  • I cannot tell you my supporters and volunteers, that I have a path forward if I don't believe I do.

  • Kamala Harris, now the 13th Democrat to drop out of the presidential race 15 remains still the largest field in memory.

  • So what is her withdrawal mean for the other candidates to Joe Biden?

  • Benefit the most?

  • We asked 5 30 eights.

  • Nate Silver.

  • Do you buy that?

  • So a whole bunch of Democrats had nice things to say about Kamala Harris after she suspended her campaign and, of course, its least in part because they want to pick up some of her support.

  • According to polling.

  • By you Go Harris voters have been most likely considered Elizabeth Warren as their second choice, but allow them are considering Joe Biden also But let's step back and think about the big strategic picture.

  • After all, Harris is pulling it on Lee, 4% in the FiveThirtyEight national polling average, and 4% only gets you so far.

  • But there are other ways in which he was a bigger factor in the race.

  • Number one for me is that she removes a rival to Biden among African Americans.

  • The black vote is his firewall in South Carolina, where Biden still up by more than 20 points in the Fivethirtyeight polling average.

  • To be fair, Harris herself in only 6% of the black vote in South Carolina.

  • Still, with her out of the race and Corey bickering, develop Patrick not yet.

  • Having qualified for the remaining debates by this big lead among black voters looks even more formidable.

  • Next, Harris also removes a threat to Biden among the party establishment based on endorsements, the best way we've found to track what the establishment is actually thinking in doing.

  • Harris had been a clear number two after Biden.

  • With her out, Biden has more than twice as many endorsements as the next remaining rival, Elizabeth Warren, and he had a pretty big endorsement and John Kerry this week.

  • Finally, Harris and Biden were fishing in a little bit, the same pined as faras fundraising goes.

  • Unlike Warren and Bernie Sanders, Biden and Harris have both raised most their money from big donors.

  • And after a mediocre from racing hall this summer, fighting has reportedly seen an uptick in fund raising this quarter.

  • So I do buy it.

  • This is pretty clearly good news for Biden.

  • All year long.

  • We've seen that when Harris tends to rise, Biden tends to fall and vice versa with her.

  • Surprisingly to me, anyway, early exit from the race, Biden is in a position to benefit.

  • Hey, folks, I predict that you're gonna either subscribe to our YouTube channel or watch some related videos, or both.

  • Um, you can do both, but you can't do neither.

  • So either subscribe or watch more videos.

over the last few days, I have come to one of the hardest decisions of my life.

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カマラ・ハリス氏の2020年の退場は「バイデンが利益を得る位置にいる」と考える:ネイト・シルバー (Kamala Harris' 2020 exit puts 'Biden in position to benefit': Nate Silver)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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