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  • - Hey guys, this is Austin.

  • The other day I was having a conversation

  • with a couple tech YouTubers

  • and we all had the same realization.

  • Smartphones are kind of boring now.

  • The last decade has been absolutely incredible

  • in terms of smartphones.

  • I mean in 10 years we've gone from this, to this.

  • However the issue is that here in 2019

  • everything's kind of great already,

  • there's not these huge leaps that we've been accustom

  • over the last few years.

  • Now phones being good these days

  • is certainly not a bad thing,

  • but for me the wow factors kind of going away.

  • Now sure, there are absolutely huge designs

  • that really revolutionized things back in the day,

  • but in the last couple years?

  • I mean the last phone that legitimately made say, wow,

  • was the Oppo Find X.

  • And with the motorized slider, even though that was cool,

  • the end of the day it still wasn't

  • that different than other smart phones.

  • The formulas already kind of figured out at this point.

  • So I sat down with Jon Rettinger,

  • an absolute OG Tech YouTube, who has seen a phone,

  • or two, or a hundred.

  • - It's like phones were different.

  • Blackberry's had physical keyboards.

  • Windows Mobile had a stylus,

  • and there were flip phones.

  • There were very clear, different styles of phones

  • and there was different phone for different people.

  • Seems like now we've got, just like,

  • different versions of a rectangle.

  • So we're talking before hand and I had a question

  • that I wanted to ask you. - Uh-oh.

  • - That I wanted to wait 'til we were on camera to ask you.

  • - That's not good. - So, do you think

  • the iPhone killed phone designs?

  • - Yes.

  • - 100%, right? - Totally.

  • It's not even a question

  • because if you look at phones before the iPhone,

  • there's like you said, all these different weird shapes.

  • After the iPhone everything's a rectangle,

  • everything has screen.

  • In the last decade the screens have gotten bigger,

  • the phones have bigger.

  • But you look at the shape of a phone now

  • it's just a screen, right?

  • There's no bezels anymore,

  • there's generally not a lot of notches anymore.

  • I mean a lot of companies, there idea of differentiating

  • the designs is like,

  • "Oh, it's semi-holographic on the back."

  • "Oh, we've got some super shiny color."

  • Which is cool, but it's exciting, it's not fun.

  • - Nothing.

  • It killed design because it was so successful

  • and it's a me too world.

  • - Let's take the brand new Galaxy Note 10 for example.

  • I recently got to take a look at it

  • and there is a lot to like.

  • It takes the current design language from the Galaxy S10,

  • brings back the S Pen, stretches the screen out to the edges

  • and, well, that's pretty much it.

  • This has become more and more of a problem

  • for the Note line lately.

  • Sure, if you're really into the S Pen more power to you,

  • but for most people, you're probably going to be better off

  • sticking with the Galaxy S10.

  • Samsung has made the line-up confusing,

  • to say the least this year.

  • If you compare the Galaxy S10+ to the Note 10,

  • it is a really odd comparison.

  • So the Note 10 drops the headphone jack,

  • the standard version of the Note 10 doesn't have

  • a micro SD card slot and to top it all off,

  • even though they have very similar screen sizes,

  • the Note 10 has a lower full HD resolution

  • compared to QHD on the S10+.

  • Now all of this means that the Note 10 does come in

  • at $50 cheaper in theory, however when you actually

  • take a look at the Galaxy S10+,

  • while the MRSP is a $1000, you can very easily find it

  • for significantly less than that.

  • Which makes that Note 10 a very, very tough sell.

  • Now there is a brand new, higher end, Note 10+,

  • which does bring a lot of the major features back.

  • So you've got that huge 6.7 inch display

  • with a proper high resolution.

  • You have the improved DeX experience.

  • You get the micro SD card slot back,

  • even though not the headphone jack.

  • And you do get some other niceties,

  • such as faster charging,

  • as well as faster wireless charging.

  • But all this is to say, that the Note 10+

  • comes in at over $1,000

  • before you even get into the 5G model.

  • This is a problem for the entire smartphone industry,

  • but especially when you look at Samsung line-up,

  • it gets very confusing very quickly.

  • Right now they have seven flagship models,

  • ranging from the slightly entry priced, Galaxy S10e,

  • up through the Galaxy S10, the Note 10.

  • And if you wanna go for the bigger guys,

  • you have the Note 10+ and the Galaxy S10+.

  • And then to round it all over,

  • there's a 5G version of the Galaxy S10+,

  • as well as a 5G version of the Galaxy S10+ 5G, no sorry,

  • Note 10+ with 5G.

  • Yeah, right.

  • It's the Samsung Galaxy Note 10+ 5G.

  • I don't want to unfairly single out Samsung here,

  • lots of other companies do this.

  • For example Xiaomi sells a number of very similar phones,

  • in some cases they're nearly identical,

  • under different brands, in different parts of the world.

  • And even looking at Apple,

  • you can see that the line-up has grown

  • steadily over the years, from one iPhone to two

  • and now three, and likely four before too much longer.

  • It is very a case where smartphones have gotten so similar

  • there only real way of differentiating

  • is small little tweaks of,

  • oh, this ones a little bit smaller.

  • This ones a little bit bigger.

  • This one has one extra feature.

  • Just to keep interested and mostly importantly,

  • keeping people upgrading.

  • - What's the difference between phones year over year?

  • Okay, so, you get in-screen fingerprint reader,

  • that's different. - Yep.

  • - You've got a face unlock, that's different.

  • But once you have those things, where do you go from there?

  • - We're seeing like, I mean, I think the last couple years

  • kinda felt like it was a accelerated endpoint

  • for the huge development, right?

  • So we went from bezels to slightly smaller bezels,

  • to smaller, to notch, to gone.

  • - Yeah. - That kind of

  • disappeared very quickly.

  • The finger print sensor went from, oh,

  • it's kinda on the home button to the back

  • to the side to the screen, right?

  • Face ID went from this huge thing to smaller to smaller.

  • We've got pop-up selfie cameras.

  • A lot of things that kinda felt the end times of like,

  • okay cool, let's make this thing the purest version

  • of the rectangle we can.

  • But now that we've hit it, it's like, okay,

  • and now you're going to do what?

  • Bigger battery, you're gonna make it thicker.

  • You're going to give it brighter screen.

  • I mean there's obviously innovation and there's iteration,

  • but the actual smartphone as it exists now,

  • I can't see it as going that much farther

  • before you go to folding phones

  • or you to go something which is completely different

  • and you tear up the playbook.

  • And I'm sure that companies

  • will try. - Yeah.

  • - I'm sure we'll see some wacky designs every year or two.

  • It's like, oh, this thing is a half folding, half flat phone

  • or whatever the case.

  • But the design as it is right now, is not really changing

  • and people don't need to upgrade as much.

  • Which I think is a huge problem for these companies,

  • as the smartphone space really reaches maturity

  • and reaches saturation,

  • that almost everyone who want's a smartphone

  • has already bought one.

  • To show just how similar smartphones are,

  • we're going to play a little game called

  • guess the smartphone.

  • I will be blindfolded and Ken will give me

  • a variety of smartphones, new and old, to see if I can

  • tell if there's any difference between them.

  • Spoiler alert, probably not.

  • All right, smartphone number one.

  • Well I immediately feel a vertical camera.

  • I mean, I would say that this is an iPhone.

  • It's got the same rounded edges.

  • I'm gonna guess iPhone XS Max.

  • - Yes. (bell dings)

  • - Hey!

  • All right, next?

  • This one's got a little more heft to it.

  • Oh, so we've got a headphone jack.

  • Okay, that's something right there.

  • No, I'm gonna say it's a Honor phone of some variety.

  • - [Ken] No. (Buzzer blares)

  • - What is it?

  • - [Ken] RedMi Note 7.

  • - Ah, the Note 7.

  • Okay, all right,

  • Fair enough, fair enough.

  • Oh, okay, this is chunkier.

  • Glass.

  • Finger print sensor on the back.

  • The closest thing I can think is maybe the Nokia 9,

  • but I'm not really sure.

  • (buzzer blares)

  • - [Ken] It is the Nokia, LG G8 ThinQ.

  • - Wait, what?

  • This is the G8?

  • - Yeah. - Why did you say Nokia?

  • Oh, there's a headphone jack,

  • I didn't feel the headphone jack.

  • Ah!

  • How is Nokia close to LG?

  • - [Ken] It's not.

  • - You're just trolling me. - Don't think about it.

  • - Okay.

  • Big phone, fairly light.

  • Ooh, we've got a physical button here.

  • Wow, I mean, that's a giveaway,

  • I wonder what phone this might be.

  • Oh, we've got it, is that finger print sensor right here?

  • Hmm, this is a Note 8.

  • I'm gonna say Note 8.

  • - [Ken] It's a Galaxy Note 7.

  • - This a 7? (buzzer blares)

  • (Austin moans) (Austin groans)

  • Take this back, I don't want this.

  • Tryna kill me over here.

  • Oh, this is a big boy.

  • This has gotta be Razer Phone.

  • - Yeah. - Definitely Razer Phone.

  • Yeah, yeah.

  • I mean, the thing, Razer Phone 2 right?

  • - Yes. - Yeah.

  • That's a big boy right here.

  • - Okay, Oh, that's a big boy.

  • Heavy.

  • Ooh, I'm feeling like a ridge here.

  • Ah, this has gotta ROG Phone, right?

  • - Yeah. (bell dings)

  • - Yeah, 'cause you can feel like, with the fake vents here.

  • Man, that's hefty.

  • Gaming phones, like the Razer Phone,

  • are a good example of how this should work,

  • but it kind of doesn't in the mobile space right now.

  • Now there are some legitimately gaming focused features

  • which I like on the Razer Phone.

  • High refresh rate, great audio.

  • But the underlying processor,

  • the underlying actual capability,

  • really isn't all that different than a much thinner,

  • much lighter, and in some cases, much cheaper smartphone

  • based on those same specs.

  • I mean sure, the marketing and the RGB is there

  • and for some people that's enough.

  • When it comes to a legitimate, different smartphone,

  • you're getting almost the exact same experience

  • as pretty much any other flagship out there.

  • And that's kind of a problem as far as I'm concerned.

  • When you look at the PC space, there are hundreds,

  • if not thousands of different models to choose to from,

  • and the differences here are actually really substantial.

  • So if you're picking up a thin and light 2-in-1,

  • it is a very, very different system

  • than a beefy over the top gaming laptop.

  • Not only in price of course,

  • as well as stuff like portability,

  • but importantly in the actual capability.

  • All smartphones, especially on the high end,

  • kind of do the same thing and very similar performance,

  • very similar specs.

  • Where in the PC space we have lots of different options,

  • lots of different choice and meaningful differences

  • in what these systems can actually do.

  • A gaming laptop has a very different

  • feature set than a thin light one.

  • And it's sort of the way that the PC space has developed,

  • that the smartphone space kind of hasn't.

  • It's all very homogenous, it's all very similar.

  • Where we're starting to see an actual difference

  • is with folding phones.

  • Now yes, they may have not had

  • the smoothest launch in the world,

  • however I do think there is an absolute ton of potential

  • and if five years from now

  • we're looking back at this moment,

  • I do think phones such as the Galaxy Fold

  • will be the first of the next generation of smartphones

  • that become standard.

  • Or it's a complete failure and we all give up

  • and go to a super thin phone from Black Mirror.

  • But you know, time will tell.

  • - I'm a Galaxy fold owner, like I loved that phone so much.

  • I don't care they had problems.

  • I think if they had just called

  • the Galaxy Fold Developer Edition.

  • - Good idea.

  • - Just call it Developer Edition,

  • there would of been zero problems.

  • But using that, that was the first time

  • since the older phones, where you saw something different.

  • Opening up Twitter on the front screen, or Instagram,

  • and then opening that up and having a bigger experience.

  • Go to the gym and you're watching Netflix,

  • you can open it and have a bigger screen

  • without having to carry an iPad.

  • That was something different

  • that I think was different with a purpose,

  • instead of different just for like,

  • - Not gimmicky. - look at us.

  • - Yeah. - The Blackberry Passport,

  • why'd you make it square?

  • That's weird, what pockets are gonna fit a square?

  • But it was different. - Yeah.

  • - But it was weirdly different.

  • - It was different for no reason.

  • - Yeah. - No, I totally agree

  • and think it's a really interesting thing to think about.

  • I'm curious to see what the final evolution of this is

  • because if you look at the iPhone, right?

  • You compare the iPhone to even the iPhone of today,

  • you can see it's similar.

  • But it's obviously a lot thinner,

  • you've got a much larger screen,

  • there's a huge evolution there

  • and I'm curious to see how far

  • something like a folding phone can be pushed.

  • Because obviously there are fundamental issues

  • of like, when you make it so thin is it gonna rip?

  • Or is it gonna - Yeah.

  • - break or whatever?

  • You can only imagine it can go so far, but how far is it?

  • Is it 20% thinner?

  • Is it half as thin?

  • Is the screen twice as big?

  • I don't know what that final iteration looks like,

  • but I'd like to think that if it's something

  • that people are really into that it will continue

  • to get better and better.

  • - I think consumers, and I'm lumping myself in there,

  • are so fickle, and we're all such hypocrites,

  • - Yeah. - about things we want

  • and don't want.

  • And in a couple years we're gonna give you

  • something crazy cool.

  • (moans) "I don't know, its a little thick."

  • This folding phone that I have in my pocket.

  • Or like, it's so amazing that these things

  • are even existing and I guess I worry that,

  • and again, being part of the part that,

  • we're too critical that it starts to stymie innovation.

  • - I mean let's face it,

  • we're talking about rectangular slabs of glass and metal.

  • Now because phones are so good these days

  • because 95% of phones can do absolutely everything

  • that a person needs.

  • Really the only differences that we're truly seeing is like,

  • oh look, the cameras a little bit better

  • or there's slightly more performance or maybe we have

  • one added little feature which is all great,

  • which is all stuff that I wanna see,

  • but does it get me excited?

  • Does it get people amped and ready to upgrade their phone?

  • No it doesn't.

  • What it does, is it means

  • the people who own smartphones today,

  • are not gonna just hold to them for a year

  • or two years, but they'll use them for three, four,

  • maybe even five years and that is absolutely coming back

  • to hurt these companies.

  • They rely on people buying phones on a regular basis

  • and if they can't make these upgrades sexy and interesting,

  • then their sales are going to continue to fall.

  • I mean everyone has a smartphone

  • or almost everyone has a smartphone at this point,

  • so really, the only growth opportunity for most companies

  • is to keep people on that upgrade cycle.

  • Keep 'em on the hamster wheel, keep 'em moving

  • and buying that new iPhone every year,

  • 'cause if not, say goodbye to those sweet sweet profits.

- Hey guys, this is Austin.

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私はスマートフォンをOVERしています...。 (I'm OVER Smartphones...)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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