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  • Every few years, they gather to tell us what's happening to our warming planet.

  • In 2018, they had some news.

  • "It's very clear that half a degree matters."

  • This is a chart of how much the global temperature has gone up since we discovered fossil fuels.

  • For a long time, scientists said that we should try to stay under this line: 1.5 degrees celsius.

  • But that really, we'd be okay if we ended up below this line: 2 degrees.

  • Now they were saying, that wasn't quite right.

  • That we're not safe in this zone.

  • And that hitting this line will mean a spike in mass migration, wildfires,

  • deadly heat stress - and it's going to cost us.

  • "Trillions of dollars, millions of lives.

  • Irreversible, forever. Changes that cannot be undone in centuries."

  • That's what happens if we get warming to stop here.

  • And right now, we're on track to go way past that.

  • If action is not taken, it will take the planet into an unprecedented climate future, if we compare it to what has happened during all of human evolutionary history.”

  • We don't have a plan for this.

  • So a group of American activists started to make one.

  • They recruited a Congresswoman and a senator to turn it into a Congressional resolution.

  • It's the first step of a plan that has mostly yet to be written.

  • It's called the Green New Deal.

  • And inside, there's something we might not want to hear.

  • This is the Green New Deal resolution.

  • It's only 14 pages.

  • And to understand what's in it, it's important to understand what's not.

  • "It is not a bill.

  • It's not legislation.

  • It's not a policy proposal.

  • It's not anything that you could pass and make law."

  • This is my colleague David Roberts.

  • Dave's written a lot about the Green New Deal.

  • And he says the 14-page resolution is just a first step.

  • "The idea was, what's our shared understanding of the problem, and what's necessary to solve it?"

  • The Green New Deal contains basically two big ideas.

  • The first is this question of what we need to do to solve the impending climate crisis.

  • The Green New Deal says what climate scientists say: We need to completely stop burning fossil fuels

  • "as much as technologically feasible."

  • "So that means things like rethinking vehicles, energy efficiency standards for buildings, changing the ways we make steel and concrete."

  • That's Rhiana Gunn-Wright.

  • She's part of the think tank that came up with the Green New Deal.

  • "Policy director at New Consensus."

  • Rhiana writes policy.

  • And she likes to rattle off the things that moving away from fossil fuels will entail.

  • "Moving to electric vehicles. Make that home energy efficient.

  • The food that you buy will be grown locally."

  • The Green New Deal requires building a lot of new things,

  • the things to power the world without fossil fuels.

  • And that'll create new jobs, new industries, an entire new economy.

  • But Rhiana also emphasizes that this is going to inflict a cost.

  • "It's going to be a massive undertaking, because we're actually asking how do we rethink the ways we use energy in our society."

  • A key principle of the Green New Deal is that it's too late to incrementally move away from fossil fuels.

  • It has to happen quickly, and dramatically.

  • Or as Dave puts it: "People don't seem to get, zero emissions

  • means zero oil business, zero natural gas business.

  • No coal business, no internal combustion engine auto business.

  • The number "zero" means it all has to go."

  • Here's what decarbonizing will do.

  • When we rip out fossil fuels from the economy, people are going to lose their jobs.

  • And that means they'll lose their health care and maybe their homes.

  • But the Green New Deal also has a second part.

  • And this part acknowledges that transitioning Americans away from fossil fuels is a huge and difficult ask --

  • especially at a time when so many live in economic uncertainty.

  • "How can we go to the American people and say 'I sure hope you aren't one of the

  • people who loses a job, because then you might die, sick on the street.

  • Good luck.

  • Now will you sign my bill?'"

  • This is the contradiction that the Green New Deal describes.

  • It's the part we may not want to hear.

  • That we need to take action, and also that taking action will cause pain.

  • Imagine you're a coal worker.

  • If the US decarbonizes, you are going to suffer.

  • So this second part is a set of promises, for how Americans will be protected during the transition away from fossil fuels.

  • "Jobs guarantee, public employment, universal healthcare, education and training."

  • "The basic elements of economic freedom that ought to be promised and due to every citizen of the richest country in the world."

  • And these promises aren't just for protecting coal workers.

  • They're meant to keep all inequality from getting even worse during the transition.

  • Because think about what direction wealth, and power, usually flow inwhen new things get built.

  • It's the communities with the most political clout who decide where things can and can't be built.

  • Wealthy corporations jump in to build those projects.

  • And the good jobs go to people who can afford to get trained for them.

  • "The folks who have the fewest barriers will be the ones who benefit the most, and you're

  • just going to see a replication of the issues that we have now."

  • In other words, anyone who's historically missed out on those benefits -- especially

  • the poor, and people of color -- could end up even worse off.

  • So the Green New Deal says, we should rebuild the American economy -- in a way that allows opportunity to flow more fairly.

  • "The Green New Deal is about: While we have this chance, why don't we think about that proactively to change it in the ways

  • that people have been calling for it to be changed for generations at this point."

  • So the first part of the Green New Deal is a set of goals to avoid a global disaster.

  • The second part says we should do it in a way that helps ordinary Americans come out better on the other side.

  • And that's it. That's all that's in these 14 pages.

  • It's just a first step.

  • And now, Rhiana's job is to figure out how to go from this 14-page resolution to an actual

  • Green New Deal - a road map for what government needs to do next.

  • And their goal is that, if Democrats win power in 2020, there's a plan ready to execute.

  • For now, though, the Green New Deal is just asking our leaders to acknowledge the scale of the problems we face.

  • "This disastrous plan …"

  • "... would be a massive government takeover…"

  • "... it would stifle innovation…"

  • "... wasteful and reckless spending..."

  • "... rather than setting realistic goals… "

  • "... we would go from about 94 million cows to zero cows..."

  • "... that resolution will not pass the Senate.

  • Because there's no way to pay for it..."

  • "Destructive,

  • socialist,

  • daydream."

  • The Green New Deal is a longshot.

  • But right now it's also the only plan that acknowledges what we know is coming.

  • "What is the world that we want?

  • What is the country that we want?

  • And how do we get there?

  • And how do we get there in a way that is just,

  • and how do we get there in a way that stabilizes the climate and heals our planet?

  • Because if we don't do that, then there will be no paradigm

  • because there will be nothing to fight for."

Every few years, they gather to tell us what's happening to our warming planet.

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グリーンニューディールの説明 (The Green New Deal, explained)

  • 123 8
    Boyeee に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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