字幕表 動画を再生する 英語字幕をプリント Now, when we look at distributive bargaining, what do we see? In distributive bargaining, we see that you have, basically, like a scale here. (Let me show you here. Nope, not there. Here may be, about here. Here we go. Let me go on my monitor here. That's nice. Oops, turned off my screen. okay there we go.) All right, so we have a scale. So on this scale, I put a little picture of a pizza. Now, why pizza? Because remember Fred and Jane were arguing about the pizza, right? Now why is pizza good example of this? Well, on the scale, you see, if one side goes up the other side goes down. If one side goes down, the other side goes up. That's distributive bargaining. Anytime, this side goes up, the other side goes down. What one side wins, the other side loses. What one side loses, the other side wins. So you win, I lose. I win, you lose. So that's what distributive bargaining is. Both sides are in direct conflict, and there's really not a lot you can do to change that. The resources are fixed. What does it mean to be fixed? Just like in this picture, here. It's a pizza. It's a round pizza. There's no more pizza. That's it. We cannot go buy more. There's no more. We gotta split up this pizza. If you get one piece, I get one piece less. If I get one piece, you get one piece less. So in the case of Jane and Fred, that was extreme. They had only one little tiny piece, but same thing. If I cut it in half, one person gets half, the other person gets half. Would that be okay? Well, no. Because Fred and Jane want to be full. They want to eat enough, so that they are not hungry. And half is not enough, so they both want to eat the whole piece. In any case, Fred wants more, and Jane once more. They both want more, so someone is going to have to win, and somebody's going to have to lose. And you say, "Well, Professor Warden, what if they just cut the pizza in half and their both are a little bit happy, isn't that good? I mean, yeah, they still might be hungry but at least Fred gets a little bit, and Jane gets a little bit." And the answer to that is, in that case, yes, you're right. Fred will get a little bit, and Jane will get a little bit, and Fred will be a little bit less hungry, and Jane will be a little bit less hungry. But in this way, they're both still hungry, so they both lose. So thinking win-win, it's not so easy. Just cutting something in half does not mean win-win. That just means I get half of what I want, which is the same as losing, right? It's the same as losing, and in distributive bargaining both sides do not want to lose. And later, when we study win-win, both sides don't want to lose either. It's not just cutting something in half. That is not the way it works. So in this case, I use the scale to show one side goes up, one side goes down. There's just no way to stop it. Or the pizza, if you get something, I get something less, and in Fred an Jane's case, a very small amount. So they're both going to end up being hungry no matter what we do. Okay. So I think I kind of made the point there clear. For the buyer, a distributive negotiation begins with what the best deal is-- the target point. Now, let's begin looking at this very, very carefully, step by step, because I want you to remember this, because it's a really key idea, right? very, very important. So if you're the buyer, a distributive negotiation begins with the best deal, which means getting the lowest price, right? I want to buy at the lowest price. OK. So I want to buy this cup, and I want to get the lowest price. This cup costs one hundred dollars, and I would like to get less than 100, and lower is better, right? if I am the buyer. So the target point is the best deal, and the worst deal is still acceptable. That's called the resistance point. So let's say this cup here, this cup, maybe the retail price, the sticker price is 100, okay, whatever. It doesn't really matter to me. I have my price. So for me, what is my target price? Well, if i could pay 50, that is what i would like to pay. Of course, I'd like to pay zero, right? but remember what we talked about in the previous units? that i need to have what is my target. So in this case, let's say my target is 50. OK. Now, then I'm the buyer, so I would like to go lower, so 50 is my target price. That's my target point. Now, how much does the price go up and I'm not going to buy? 50 is what I what I'm targeting, target point. Ofcourse, if it's lower than 50, I'm happy. That's fine, right? But 50 is my target. Now, how much higher does the price go and I'm just not going to buy it if it goes higher? In that case, let's say that my upper price, my resistance point, I will not go past the resistance point. Let's say that my resistance point is... let's say 80, OK. The sticker price maybe 100. We don't care. That sticker price is not important, the retail price is not important to us. If that retail price is 100, that is over my resistance point of 80. So if somebody tells me you must pay the price that's on there, the sticker price, the retail price, the list price I'm going to say no. I don't want to spend that because that is over my resistance. So we have two things here: target and resistance. I want you to remember. So the resistance point for the buyer is the highest price i will pay. Higher than that, I will not buy, right? Higher than that, i will not buy. The target point is the desired price for me, 50. Anything beyond the resistance point cannot be accepted. 80, if it's 81 dollars, I will not accept. If it's 82 dollars, I will not accept it. If it's ninety dollars, no. If 143 00:07:07,860 --> 00:07:15,569 it's one hundred dollars, no. If it's $79, then yes. I can accept that. That doesn't mean I will accept it, but I can accept that. If it's eighty dollars, can I accept that? Yes, that's my, that is my actual resistance point, right? but 81? no. Both the target point and the resistance point are secret information that you should not tell the seller. Now, here, we get into the next important point in negotiation. And that is this idea of secret information. So this is the cup Ii want to buy. This cup I want to buy it for 50. That's my target, my target point, the most i will pay is 80. So 50 to 80 in here, right? If you are going to sell to me, and I told you, "Sir I would like to buy that cup, and I would like to buy that cup somewhere from 50 to 80.." And what would you say to me? You would say, "Oh, no problem, 80." And then what would I say? "Well, 80 OK." 80 because 80 is still within my resistance, right? Resistance point, target point, resistance, it's inside. Now, that was pretty stupid of me to tell you that, right? I should just tell you that 100 is way too much. I'm not going to spend that much, and then you say well how much do you want? and then maybe I begin by saying how much do I want. Maybe I begin by saying 40, and then we can work up like that, right? So we begin with two ideas here, both of them are secret. Resistance point and target point-- please remember those. Those are so awesomely up here, right? Resistance point and target point. Okay. Secret information-- you never want to tell the other side, in this case, the seller. You never want to tell the seller. Okay, now then let's change perspective a little bit. Now the seller is a little bit different, right? If the seller is selling this cup, then the seller must begin with a price, right? Because he's selling it, I mean you cannot go and ask, "I would like to buy that cup. How much is it?" and the seller says, "Hmm. I don't know. How much money do you have?" Right? That doesn't work, right? No, I don't think that works, although there are some companies that do that kind of thing. So if you come to me you say, "Mr. warden, I'd like to buy that cup." And I say, "Hmm.. the price of this cup, let me tell you.. How much money is in your pocket right now?" I don't think that would be a good way to begin. What do we normally begin with? Normally, you go to the seller, and there's a price there, a sticker price or a list price or retail price, and that price is listed there. Or you can ask me and I tell you 100. This cup is 100. So the seller must always begin. The seller must always begin with some public information, and that public information is going to be the price. So we call this the seller's asking price, the sellers asking price. OK. Now, after the seller is asking price what comes next? Let's take a look. "At the start of the negotiation, one value is public everyone can see it. While two values are secret." So the asking price, the selling price, the retail price, the list price this in fact is public. Two other values or secret, but we'll talk about that in a second. So the first step is for the buyer to decide how much to offer or the initial starting offer, right? So if i go to buy the cup, and the list price is 100, I must decide what do I say to begin with. Do I say 0? "You should give me that cup for free, please." Well, I can't start with zero. I guess I could start with 0, but no one's going to take me serious, right? So what do I begin with? That's going to be the opening or first offer. The first offer needs to be lower than the target. Remember my target, right? Remember my target? My target was 50. Since the seller will try to raise the price, the seller will always try to make the price go up. So the buyer should begin under the target. If my target is 50, I would like to get 50. How do I get 50? I must begin below 50. I say i'll give you 40. So here we have this little chart. I like this a lot. We can see, on this graph here, on this line, we have three things so far. On the right side, we have the buyers resistance point, that is I will not spend more than this. In my case, the example was 80. I will not spend more than 80. Then you have the buyer's target point. In my case was 50 for the cup, so I will spend more. I will definitely spend less than this. I'm happy to spend less. The question is though, what do I want to get? I wanted to get 80, and then we have the first offer. So maybe I begin my offer down around 40. And then in this chart, we have a different example. So we have 12,000. It's the buyers resistance point. More than 12,000, too much. He wants to get 9,000, so where does he begin? He begins down around 7,500. And the one more piece of information there is what it's the sellers asking price? That's public information, isn't it? The seller's asking price. OK. So I really like you to look carefully at this. (Oops. There we go. My screen again, very sensitive, the screen is.) Now what? You look very careful in your book at this, and begin to understand the difference between the buyer and the seller. I think it's easy for you to understand. I think you do it every day. You understand it, but the problem is I want you to really see that this information has to stay secret. You really must think what is my target? We talked about this last time, didn't we? What is it that is my target? How do I decide if I win or if I lose? How do I decide if I do a good job or a bad job? You have to have your target clear. Your resistance, right? so your target to your resistance. If the price keeps going up to your resistance, well then that's not so good for you. But after some point, that resistance point, you will not buy at all. So this range here must stay secret. If the buyers first offer is too low for the seller, then the seller will not want to sell. So now we begin to look at this. How do you begin? You begin lower than your target. How much lower? how much lower? And my answer is well if you go too low, the buyer will say, "Huh, that is just so low. Forget it. I don't want to talk to you." Right? So you don't want to go that low ,but you don't want to go over your target. This means the first offer must be higher than the sellers resistance point. Ah so now we bring in the seller's resistance point. Remember the buyers resistance point? That is the highest price the buyer will pay. Higher than that is too high. What about the sellers resistance point? While the seller is different, the seller would like the price to go up and up and up. The buyer would like the price to go down and down and down. So for the seller, if the price goes too low, the seller will lose money. So the seller has a resistance point also. What is that? That's the lowest price the seller will sell for. However, this lowest price the seller will sell for, its secret. It's secret. He's not going to tell you what it is. I mean he may say that he knows. He may tell you something, but it will not necessarily be true. So this is the sellers resistance point. And for the sellers resistance point and the buyers resistance point, they are apart. They are not together. I mean usually they would be a part. If they're together, there's no negotiation. Everything's already agreed upon, so they are apart. Now, this area between the two is what we call the negotiations zone, the bargaining range. Let's take a look at this slide here very quickly. So let's take a look at the buyers view. If the price is too low for the seller, he or she will walk away from the negotiation. If the price is too high for the buyer, he or she will walk away from the negotiation. Look at this picture. So if you look at the very bottom, that's called the bargaining range, the bargaining range, the bargaining range, meaning we can have the price go all the way down, in this example, to 7000 or the price go all the way up to 12,000. So 7000 to 12,000 is the bargaining range. Lower than 7,000, if the price goes under 7,000, guess what? That price is too low for the seller. That price is too low for the seller. That means the buyer's offer is too low. What does too low mean? It means the seller just says, "Nope, I don't want to talk to you. Negotiation over!" How about the other end, 12,000? Can the price go over 12,000? No! Why? because if the price is over 12,000, that price is too high for the buyer, too high for the buyer. That means the sellers offer is too high. The seller wants too much. The seller wants the price too high. A buyer cannot agree, so those are the two resistance points, sellers resistance point and the buyers resistance point. If you go beyond these, there's no deal, so we must stay within these. The problem is the buyers resistance point is secret information, and the sellers resistance point is secret information. So we need to guess where they are. What do we have inside there? At nine thousand, we have the buyers target, right? That's what he would like to get. And we also have the sellers asking price. That's the price he would like to get. That's not secret. That's the one piece of information that's public, not secret. "Each side must have their own goals clear, and guess what the other side secrets are." Now this is another thing, but I want you to think about in negotiation, remember today I'm emphasizing you want to win. How do you win? You win by winning or you win by making the other side lose, same thing. Another key point today which sounds again, it sounds not nice. And that is you want to keep your information secret. I want to keep my information secret, but you want to get the other side secret information out. How do you get it? There are many ways, and none of them are too good. They're all kind of trick the other side. Fool the other side. Make them say something they don't mean to say. Get them confused. Get that information. Of course, they don't want to give it to you, so you need to get it somehow. So that's how you can win. How do you win? Keep your information secret, and get the other side's information out. Gget their secret information to not be secret anymore. I know you're saying, "Oh Professor Warden, this is all so terrible! We should be nice to each other." And I'm saying, "OK. You can do that, and you will be the one who loses in a negotiation." "The buyers first offer must not be below the sellers resistance point..." So the buyer wants to begin low price, right? How low? Well, I don't know, but not too low. Because if it's too low, then game over. Higher than the sellers target point, the seller will agree to the offer quickly. So if you go high, if you go high, then the seller may say, "Yep no problem." And that always happens, doesn't it? That always happens when you go somewhere and you say something like, "I'd like to buy that cup. How much is it?" and he says, "That's one hundred dollars." And I say, "Well, I'll give you 90." "Nice, OK. 90." And what do I say? "OH! 90, why did I agree so fast? I could have got it for 80." Right? so if you go high, high enough, right? then you're going to be past that target, past the target of the seller, and the seller will be happy to give it to you because it's over the target, no problem. So here we have the chart, again. Look at this closely with me. Stick with me. Try to follow this, a little bit confusing, right? but I think you can do it. So what we have over here is the two ends. On the left end, buyer's offer too low, buyer's offer too low. That means the price is too low. The seller will not sell. What's on the right side? The right side, on the right side is seller's offer too high, sellers offer too high. So this is the bargaining range, the bargaining range right? We can't go outside this range, otherwise nothing will work, right? Nothing will happen. No one will agree. Okay. You can see here some things are secret. So the buyers resistance point is secret. The buyers target point is secret. That should be you if you're the buyer. And what about the seller? Well, you need to guess the sellers resistance point. And you need to guess the sellers target. He's not going to tell you what they are. Now, here's an interesting one, right here that we've kind of talked about but not really focused on so far. So that's this seller's target point. So this is what the seller would like to get for the price, but what about the list price? Here's the list price. This is the sticker price. That's the sticker price. Well, guess what? The sticker price, the asking price, the retail price is higher than the target point, the target price. Why does the seller make the price higher than what he wants? Why does he do that? Because he knows that the buyer is going to push the price down, right? So what does he do? He begins higher. He begins further up. So what about this, the buyer? same thing. He begins low. Why begin low? Because he knows he's going to be pushed up in price. OK. So let's take a look at this carefully together to make sure we really have a good grip of it. OK. So we come back to look at this picture one more time because I want to really emphasize how important this idea is, and to get you thinking in a way that really understands what is this bargaining range, what are the resistance points. So let me go ahead and jump back to our slide here a bit. Spend a little bit of time trying to specify, clarify, I guess I should say, a little bit on this. Okay. Now, the key point to begin with is what is the bargaining range, right? So our bargaining range begins at the sellers high end, which is the resistance point for the... ......resistance point for the buyer over on this side. And then the resistance point for the seller over on this end, over here. So with these two ends in place, we need to remember that the negotiation will not take place if you're outside. So if you're way over here or your way over here, not going to happen, right? Why is it going to happen? It's going to happen because we're inside the bargaining range. So that's the first point, and then what's another important point. Let me change to my highlighter here. I think the key point here is what is your secret information? Secret information, why is secret information so important? because secret information means if the other side knows, well, then it's game over. You're doomed. Because if I know the buyers resistance point, and I'm the seller, I'm going to go as close as I can to that resistance point. On the other hand, the reverse is also true. If I'm the buyer, and I'm trying to buy from the seller and I know the sellers resistance point, I'm going to push as close as I can to that resistance point. So the resistance points must be secret. Also, the targets must be secret, that is what is the goal? what is the Goal package-- this all must remain fairly secret. Now, you can say what you want. You can tell the buyer I want to buy this product. You can tell the buyer the price you want, but you don't want that to be your real target. You need to go outside, away from that because they're going to push you back. So the reason I like this picture so much, the reason I like this chart so much is that this chart really gives us that, that clear feeling of here are the points to begin with. Here are the points to begin with. Here are the stages inside. It's not as simple as just saying I get as low as possible, like 0. I always ask people how low do you want? They say well lower is better, right? And I say, "Well, that's true. Lower is better, but look if you go too low, the negotiation will not even happen. They won't take you serious. They won't negotiate or withdraw." The same... is true on the other side, too high. So we've got these points at the end. Then we have these points inside the target points. So those target points secret, very secret. If you let that out, it's game over. You're going to lose, so please take a look at this graphic very carefully, and don't be intimidated by it, thinking, "Wow! It's too complicated." It's not really complicated, but on the other hand, if you understand it, don't just walk away and say, "Well, I got it. I understand. I can draw a picture if i take a test." No, it's not about taking a test. It's about making your plan for your negotiation so that you know what are your beginning points what are your resistance points, guessing what the other side resistance point is, guessing what the other side's target is, knowing what your target is, and then beginning your negotiation in this way, away from your target, moving up towards your target, being careful. Did you pass your target? Now, you have to watch out. Don't pass your resistance point and measuring these things as you negotiate. This is especially true when you have multiple opportunities. You may have multiple buyers that you're selling to or you may have different sellers that you can buy from. So you can choose them. So you can go to each one of them and negotiate. By having this very clear picture, you can then decide who gives you the better deal, who gives you the better result. But how do you know that? If you don't have your ideas very clear, if you don't have your resistance and target points, and before that, your goal package, if you don't know any of these things, if you don't know what is my goal package, then you cannot possibly make this. And if you don't make this, then when you go to negotiate, all you're thinking is what's my goal package? That's what I want. That's kind of like hit or miss. I get one hundred percent or I get nothing. No. That's not the way negotiation works. Probably, you want to get some things you want. You're going to lose some things you want, but how do you get the most? How do you get more? In distributive bargaining because you get something other side loses something, you need to have your goal package ready. You need to be very clear. Then you need to lay this out clearly. Know your resistance point. Know your target point, and guess. See if you can guess the other side's resistance point, and the other side's target point. If you do that, and you keep your information secret, you'll have a better chance to win more in the distributive bargain. If you let your secret out, you're going to lose in distributive bargaining. All right. Good luck with your negotiation!
A2 初級 米 分配金交渉フォローアップ第4弾 (Distributive Bargaining Follow Up Part 4) 98 5 Tony に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日 シェア シェア 保存 報告 動画の中の単語