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  • Reviewer: Camille Martínez

  • It was my first year as an atmospheric science professor

  • at Texas Tech University.

  • We had just moved to Lubbock, Texas,

  • which had recently been named the second most conservative city

  • in the entire United States.

  • A colleague asked me to guest teach his undergraduate geology class.

  • I said, "Sure."

  • But when I showed up, the lecture hall was cavernous and dark.

  • As I tracked the history of the carbon cycle

  • through geologic time to present day,

  • most of the students were slumped over, dozing or looking at their phones.

  • I ended my talk with a hopeful request for any questions.

  • And one hand shot up right away.

  • I looked encouraging, he stood up, and in a loud voice, he said,

  • "You're a democrat, aren't you?"

  • (Laughter)

  • "No," I said, "I'm Canadian."

  • (Laughter)

  • (Applause)

  • That was my baptism by fire

  • into what has now become a sad fact of life here in the United States

  • and increasingly across Canada as well.

  • The fact that the number one predictor

  • of whether we agree that climate is changing,

  • humans are responsible

  • and the impacts are increasingly serious and even dangerous,

  • has nothing to do with how much we know about science or even how smart we are

  • but simply where we fall on the political spectrum.

  • Does the thermometer give us a different answer

  • depending on if we're liberal or conservative?

  • Of course not.

  • But if that thermometer tells us that the planet is warming,

  • that humans are responsible

  • and that to fix this thing,

  • we have to wean ourselves off fossil fuels as soon as possible --

  • well, some people would rather cut off their arm

  • than give the government any further excuse

  • to disrupt their comfortable lives and tell them what to do.

  • But saying, "Yes, it's a real problem, but I don't want to fix it,"

  • that makes us the bad guy, and nobody wants to be the bad guy.

  • So instead, we use arguments like, "It's just a natural cycle."

  • "It's the sun."

  • Or my favorite,

  • "Those climate scientists are just in it for the money."

  • (Laughter)

  • I get that at least once a week.

  • But these are just sciencey-sounding smoke screens,

  • that are designed to hide the real reason for our objections,

  • which have nothing to do with the science

  • and everything to do with our ideology and our identity.

  • So when we turn on the TV these days,

  • it seems like pundit X is saying,

  • "It's cold outside. Where is global warming now?"

  • And politician Y is saying,

  • "For every scientist who says this thing is real,

  • I can find one who says it isn't."

  • So it's no surprise that sometimes we feel like everybody is saying these myths.

  • But when we look at the data --

  • and the Yale Program on Climate [Change] Communication

  • has done public opinion polling across the country now for a number of years --

  • the data shows that actually 70 percent of people in the United States agree

  • that the climate is changing.

  • And 70 percent also agree that it will harm plants and animals,

  • and it will harm future generations.

  • But then when we dig down a bit deeper, the rubber starts to hit the road.

  • Only about 60 percent of people think it will affect people in the United States.

  • Only 40 percent of people think it will affect us personally.

  • And then when you ask people, "Do you ever talk about this?"

  • two-thirds of people in the entire United States say, "Never."

  • And even worse, when you say, "Do you hear the media talk about this?"

  • Over three-quarters of people say no.

  • So it's a vicious cycle.

  • The planet warms.

  • Heat waves get stronger.

  • Heavy precipitation gets more frequent.

  • Hurricanes get more intense.

  • Scientists release yet another doom-filled report.

  • Politicians push back even more strongly,

  • repeating the same sciencey-sounding myths.

  • What can we do to break this vicious cycle?

  • The number one thing we can do is the exact thing that we're not doing:

  • talk about it.

  • But you might say, "I'm not a scientist.

  • How am I supposed to talk about radiative forcing

  • or cloud parametrization in climate models?"

  • We don't need to be talking about more science;

  • we've been talking about the science for over 150 years.

  • Did you know that it's been 150 years or more since the 1850s,

  • when climate scientists first discovered

  • that digging up and burning coal and gas and oil

  • is producing heat-trapping gases

  • that is wrapping an extra blanket around the planet?

  • That's how long we've known.

  • It's been 50 years since scientists first formally warned a US president

  • of the dangers of a changing climate,

  • and that president was Lyndon B. Johnson.

  • And what's more, the social science has taught us

  • that if people have built their identity on rejecting a certain set of facts,

  • then arguing over those facts is a personal attack.

  • It causes them to dig in deeper,

  • and it digs a trench, rather than building a bridge.

  • So if we aren't supposed to talk about more science,

  • or if we don't need to talk about more science,

  • then what should we be talking about?

  • The most important thing to do is,

  • instead of starting up with your head, with all the data and facts in our head,

  • to start from the heart,

  • to start by talking about why it matters to us,

  • to begin with genuinely shared values.

  • Are we both parents?

  • Do we live in the same community?

  • Do we enjoy the same outdoor activities: hiking, biking, fishing, even hunting?

  • Do we care about the economy or national security?

  • For me, one of the most foundational ways I found to connect with people

  • is through my faith.

  • As a Christian, I believe that God created this incredible planet that we live on

  • and gave us responsibility over every living thing on it.

  • And I furthermore believe that we are to care for and love

  • the least fortunate among us,

  • those who are already suffering the impacts of poverty,

  • hunger, disease and more.

  • If you don't know what the values are that someone has,

  • have a conversation, get to know them, figure out what makes them tick.

  • And then once we have,

  • all we have to do is connect the dots between the values they already have

  • and why they would care about a changing climate.

  • I truly believe, after thousands of conversations that I've had

  • over the past decade and more,

  • that just about every single person in the world

  • already has the values they need to care about a changing climate.

  • They just haven't connected the dots.

  • And that's what we can do through our conversation with them.

  • The only reason why I care about a changing climate

  • is because of who I already am.

  • I'm a mother, so I care about the future of my child.

  • I live in West Texas, where water is already scarce,

  • and climate change is impacting the availability of that water.

  • I'm a Christian, I care about a changing climate

  • because it is, as the military calls it, a "threat multiplier."

  • It takes those issues,

  • like poverty and hunger and disease and lack of access to clean water

  • and even political crises that lead to refugee crises --

  • it takes all of these issues and it exacerbates them,

  • it makes them worse.

  • I'm not a Rotarian.

  • But when I gave my first talk at a Rotary Club,

  • I walked in and they had this giant banner that had the Four-Way Test on it.

  • Is it the truth?

  • Absolutely.

  • Is it fair?

  • Heck, no, that's why I care most about climate change,

  • because it is absolutely unfair.

  • Those who have contributed the least to the problem

  • are bearing the brunt of the impacts.

  • It went on to ask:

  • Would it be beneficial to all, would it build goodwill?

  • Well, to fix it certainly would.

  • So I took my talk, and I reorganized it into the Four-Way Test,

  • and then I gave it to this group of conservative businesspeople

  • in West Texas.

  • (Laughter)

  • And I will never forget at the end,

  • a local bank owner came up to me with the most bemused look on his face.

  • And he said, "You know, I wasn't sure about this whole global warming thing,

  • but it passed the Four-Way Test."

  • (Laughter)

  • (Applause)

  • These values, though -- they have to be genuine.

  • I was giving a talk at a Christian college a number of years ago,

  • and after my talk, a fellow scientist came up and he said,

  • "I need some help.

  • I've been really trying hard to get my foot in the door

  • with our local churches,

  • but I can't seem to get any traction.

  • I want to talk to them about why climate change matters."

  • So I said, "Well, the best thing to do

  • is to start with the denomination that you're part of,

  • because you share the most values with those people.

  • What type of church do you attend?"

  • "Oh, I don't attend any church, I'm an atheist," he said.

  • (Laughter)

  • I said, "Well, in that case, starting with a faith community

  • is probably not the best idea.

  • Let's talk about what you do enjoy doing, what you are involved in."

  • And we were able to identify a community group

  • that he was part of, that he could start with.

  • The bottom line is, we don't have to be a liberal tree hugger

  • to care about a changing climate.

  • All we have to be is a human living on this planet.

  • Because no matter where we live,

  • climate change is already affecting us today.

  • If we live along the coasts,

  • in many places, we're already seeing "sunny-day flooding."

  • If we live in western North America,

  • we're seeing much greater area being burned by wildfires.

  • If we live in many coastal locations,

  • from the Gulf of Mexico to the South Pacific,

  • we are seeing stronger hurricanes, typhoons and cyclones,

  • powered by a warming ocean.

  • If we live in Texas or if we live in Syria,

  • we're seeing climate change supersize our droughts,

  • making them more frequent and more severe.

  • Wherever we live, we're already being affected by a changing climate.

  • So you might say, "OK, that's good. We can talk impacts.

  • We can scare the pants off people, because this thing is serious."

  • And it is, believe me. I'm a scientist, I know.

  • (Laughter)

  • But fear is not what is going to motivate us

  • for the long-term, sustained change that we need to fix this thing.

  • Fear is designed to help us run away from the bear.

  • Or just run faster than the person beside us.

  • (Laughter)

  • What we need to fix this thing is rational hope.

  • Yes, we absolutely do need to recognize what's at stake.

  • Of course we do.

  • But we need a vision of a better future --

  • a future with abundant energy,

  • with a stable economy,

  • with resources available to all,

  • where our lives are not worse but better than they are today.

  • There are solutions.

  • And that's why the second important thing that we have to talk about

  • is solutions -- practical, viable, accessible, attractive solutions.

  • Like what?

  • Well, there's no silver bullet, as they say,

  • but there's plenty of silver buckshot.

  • (Laughter)

  • There's simple solutions that save us money

  • and reduce our carbon footprint at the same time.

  • Yes, light bulbs.

  • I love my plug-in car.

  • I'd like some solar shingles.

  • But imagine if every home came with a switch beside the front door,

  • that when you left the house, you could turn off everything except your fridge.

  • And maybe the DVR.

  • (Laughter)

  • Lifestyle choices: eating local, eating lower down the food chain

  • and reducing food waste, which at the global scale,

  • is one of the most important things that we can do to fix this problem.

  • I'm a climate scientist,

  • so the irony of traveling around to talk to people about a changing climate

  • is not lost on me.

  • (Laughter)

  • The biggest part of my personal carbon footprint is my travel.

  • And that's why I carefully collect my invitations.

  • I usually don't go anywhere unless I have a critical mass

  • of invitations in one place --

  • anywhere from three to four

  • to sometimes even as many as 10 or 15 talks in a given place --

  • so I can minimize the impact of my carbon footprint

  • as much as possible.

  • And I've transitioned nearly three-quarters of the talks I give

  • to video.

  • Often, people will say, "Well, we've never done that before."

  • But I say, "Well, let's give it a try, I think it could work."

  • Most of all, though,

  • we need to talk about what's already happening today around the world

  • and what could happen in the future.

  • Now, I live in Texas,

  • and Texas has the highest carbon emissions of any state in the United States.

  • You might say, "Well, what can you talk about in Texas?"

  • The answer is: a lot.

  • Did you know that in Texas there's over 25,000 jobs

  • in the wind energy industry?

  • We are almost up to 20 percent of our electricity

  • from clean, renewable sources, most of that wind,

  • though solar is growing quickly.

  • The largest army base in the United States, Fort Hood,

  • is, of course, in Texas.

  • And they've been powered by wind and solar energy now,

  • because it's saving taxpayers over 150 million dollars.

  • Yes.

  • (Applause)

  • What about those who don't have the resources that we have?

  • In sub-Saharan Africa, there are hundreds of millions of people

  • who don't have access to any type of energy except kerosine,

  • and it's very expensive.

  • Around the entire world,

  • the fastest-growing type of new energy today is solar.

  • And they have plenty of solar.

  • So social impact investors, nonprofits, even corporations

  • are going in and using innovative new microfinancing schemes,

  • like, pay-as-you-go solar,

  • so that people can buy the power they need in increments,

  • sometimes even on their cell phone.

  • One company, Azuri, has distributed tens of thousands of units

  • across 11 countries, from Rwanda to Uganda.

  • They estimate that they've powered over 30 million hours of electricity

  • and over 10 million hours of cell phone charging.

  • What about the giant growing economies of China and India?

  • Well, climate impacts might seem a little further down the road,

  • but air quality impacts are right here today.

  • And they know that clean energy is essential to powering their future.

  • So China is investing hundreds of billions of dollars in clean energy.

  • They're flooding coal mines,

  • and they're putting floating solar panels on the surface.

  • They also have a panda-shaped solar farm.

  • (Applause)

  • (Laughter)

  • Yes, they're still burning coal.

  • But they've shut down all the coal plants around Beijing.

  • And in India, they're looking to replace

  • a quarter of a billion incandescent light bulbs with LEDs,

  • which will save them seven billion dollars in energy costs.

  • They're investing in green jobs,

  • and they're looking to decarbonize their entire vehicle fleet.

  • India may be the first country to industrialize

  • without relying primarily on fossil fuels.

  • The world is changing.

  • But it just isn't changing fast enough.

  • Too often, we picture this problem

  • as a giant boulder sitting at the bottom of a hill,

  • with only a few hands on it, trying to roll it up the hill.

  • But in reality, that boulder is already at the top of the hill.

  • And it's got hundreds of millions of hands, maybe even billions on it,

  • pushing it down.

  • It just isn't going fast enough.

  • So how do we speed up that giant boulder so we can fix climate change in time?

  • You guessed it.

  • The number one way is by talking about it.

  • The bottom line is this:

  • climate change is affecting you and me right here, right now,

  • in the places where we live.

  • But by working together, we can fix it.

  • Sure, it's a daunting problem.

  • Nobody knows that more than us climate scientists.

  • But we can't give in to despair.

  • We have to go out and actively look for the hope that we need,

  • that will inspire us to act.

  • And that hope begins with a conversation today.

  • Thank you.

  • (Applause)

Reviewer: Camille Martínez

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TED】キャサリン・ヘイホー。気候変動と戦うためにあなたができる最も重要なこと:それについて語る (The most important thing you can do to fight climate change: talk about it | Katharine Hayhoe) (【TED】Katharine Hayhoe: The most important thing you can do to fight climate change: talk about it (The most i

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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