字幕表 動画を再生する 英語字幕をプリント 0:00 our final keynote speaker needs no introduction to this audience professor 0:04 dr. Jana summer a focus was the Greek Minister of Finance in 2015 he's a 0:08 leading participants and current debates on the global and European financial 0:13 crisis he is an author and professor he's authored the global minutes are 0:17 several academic articles on game theory and economics he's a professor of 0:21 economic theory at the University of Athens and holds visiting professorships 0:25 at the Universities of Texas and Stockholm please please give 'em very 0:30 warm welcome to our final keynote speaker of the day mister minister 0:34 Yiannis faraha 0:45 well thank you so much for one welcome it's one of the beer because basically 1:00 is a necessity I'm going to actually argue that this is not a question of 1:05 whether we like it or not it will be a major part of any attempt to civilize 1:11 capitalism as capitalism is going through a spasm caused by its own 1:18 generation of technologies that undermine itself to put it simply in the 1:26 20 century we had the stabilisation and simulation of capitalism through the 1:33 rise of social democracy new deeply new deal in the United States democratic 1:38 social market developments in Europe unfortunately this social democratic New 1:47 Deal paradigm is finished and you can not be devised actual make some comments 1:54 on this but first let me let us remind ourselves of what the social-democratic 1:59 New Deal tradition tradition is all about 2:02 about two things firstly redistribution of income with the wage labor a kind of 2:10 insurance for the working class working class ensuring the wedding plus take for 2:17 instance the National Insurance Contributions scheme in Britain after 2:22 the second world war unemployment insurance in the United States working 2:28 wage laborers have faced effectively providing insurance payments to those 2:35 out of a job 2:36 seeing with health provision pensions those wedding today providing for the 2:44 pensions of those who have stopped working so insurance and redistribution 2:50 within the working class to put it bluntly the second dimension of course 2:55 is redistribution between capital and labor between the rents and labor this 3:01 takes the form of minimum wages that are negotiated by the state it's also 3:07 process of collective bargaining user usually triangular involving trade 3:14 unions employers and the state and of course taxation transfers through the 3:20 taxation now this social democratic tradition I made a very big statement a 3:27 moment ago today is dead in the water and it is dead in the water or dying in 3:33 the water for two reasons for reasons that have to do with two earthquakes 3:39 that if he'd our societies on both sides of the Atlantic one is the process of 3:44 Finance financialization which created a huge wedge between capital and labor it 3:50 created a new form of capital financial ice capital that essentially depleted 3:57 the energy of both labor and in depth and he's inexorable financialization Dr 4:04 headed comeuppance in 2008 @ ever since you remember after 1991 socialism died 4:11 with the collapse of the Soviet Union and then after 2008 capitals date we 4:17 have a new regime now I gotta go bankrupt accuracy its rule by the bank 4:21 the banks the more bankrupt the bank the greatest capacity to mobilize and you 4:26 see economic grants comic value from the rest of society and that's the problem 4:34 with Bank of democracy the fact that for six years now we have a cynical massive 4:40 transfer of wealth of income of value from production towards the financial 4:49 eyes financial sector that the remains insolvent in reality despite this 4:54 synagogue the problem with it is that it is created two things firstly 5:01 deflationary forces ask anyone working in a sentimental switzerland today or in 5:06 the Buddhist monk 5:07 on the European Central Bank the Bank of Japan the Bank of England or the Fed 5:12 becomes sleep at night because of the the fact that about half of the global 5:20 economy now is languishing in negative interest rate that this is a reflection 5:25 of the collapse of the Social Democratic New Deal bargain contract if you want 5:37 of the twentieth century and that collapse happened in 2008 the world 5:41 after 2008 cannot be understood anymore in terms of made sense before 2008 just 5:46 like the world after 1929 would not be made sense off in terms that make sense 5:51 in the Gold Exchange standard era but I had a 1929 the second reason with the 6:00 deflationary process we have now the first blank of the social democratic 6:06 tradition is that in the water because the working class can no longer insuring 6:11 it 6:13 stagnant wages the fact that youngsters are caught up in a dual labor market and 6:19 they find it very difficult about Switzerland of course now but I'm 6:22 talking about the rest of the developed world so easily successful only because 6:28 it's only one of them and nobody else can be like but that's another 6:33 discussion the fact remains that the first black the usual as amongst wage 6:42 laborers is simply not possible because wage wages have stagnated such an extent 6:46 that it is impossible for the wedding last in shorts and a second plant blank 6:53 the redistribution between capital and labor is becoming increasingly 6:56 impossible for two reasons first the politics that has become quite toxic 7:02 just look at what's happening the negotiations between Greece and the 7:05 troika within the European Union at the moment in the United States where you've 7:09 got a congress be doing at the white house in a white house redoing the 7:13 congress this distribution between capital and labor that was part and 7:17 parcel of the new deal in social democracy 7:20 required political governance Europe and the United States around governor as we 7:25 speak at the leak completely on government and so that's the first that 7:30 the second half way has to do this is nothing new I'm sure has been discussed 7:37 their everyday a glimpse of this discussion 7:40 let me put it very bluntly in science fiction terms their eyes of the machines 7:44 artificial intelligence will consume very very soon is already doing it all 7:51 the repetitive routine work or algorithmic work is going to be replaced 7:56 especially the moment machines pass the Turing test and it is impossible for you 8:01 and I do understand when we speak to some of the other phone where they were 8:05 speaking to him sooner or to human person once we have that women have a 8:10 massive displacement effect which for the first time in human history is going 8:16 to overwhelm the creation of more job destruction than job creation remember 8:22 that the bankrupt agree that they have referred to came at the tail end of a 8:29 thirty-year period of replacement or manufacturing jobs in the developing 8:34 world with low-wage in a bit of work employment rate swings in Britain 8:41 speaker comes from employment rates are quite high in Britain and the white 8:46 house in the United States but the bulk of those jobs that were created to leads 8:52 to replace the jobs that were lost after 2008 after 1975 and 1983 low-wage jobs 8:59 that ones that would be called immediately the moment artificial 9:04 intelligence overcomes the test and we are facing a major issue there 9:11 to link it with what I was saying before this displacement is going to reinforce 9:17 the deflation reprocess the keep our central bankers awake at night because 9:22 it will eliminate a significant measure of aggregate demand it will create an 9:27 even greater level of income inequality and primarily disparity between savings 9:33 in the end is this battle between savings and investment will force the 9:39 price of money the rate of interest even below the current low low levels so this 9:46 is why I'm saying the basic income is going to be an essential part of a 9:50 necessary part of any attempt to stabilize I D and to civilized I don't 9:57 need to decide to do I define basic income let me just say that this travel 10:05 we are going to have to carry hearts and minds will be an ethical and unethical 10:11 under dozen simply putting out of opposition from the heads but also from 10:19 opposition from the have nots from such a democrat from leftists from those who 10:26 whose own sense of dignity response against naturally the idea of something 10:34 for nothing 10:36 this is why it's important to couch facing come as what it is it is the idea 10:42 that and allow me to not aided in broadens we are going to overturn the 10:50 current narrative on life under capital the current narrative the dominant 10:56 paradigm is what that we have private production of wealth which is then 11:06 appropriated by the state for social purposes in reality our production 11:15 is correct it is often and it is only then privately appropriate unless we 11:21 make the shift in an hour we're not going to be able to succeed to convince 11:26 even those who will benefit from basic income that it is worthwhile struggling 11:31 for it 11:32 dagen iPhone and pick it up and it will do you find it 11:37 you find a variety of technologies each one of them was created by some 11:42 government grant none of them was produced by Apple nothing was refused by 11:48 Google none of them were produced with was produced by Facebook they were all 11:53 produced bike down some government grant this is what I'm saying about his way 11:58 I'm adding to the collective production of wealth which is then privately 12:04 appropriated if you start thinking of it that way then it's very easy to start 12:09 thinking of basic income as it didn't a dividend of those to the collective that 12:15 was responsible for collectively producing the wealth and the gadgets and 12:20 a product and the markets because this forced separation using a separation 12:25 between the market and the state needs to be dissolved there would have been no 12:30 markets if there were no states that we have no capitalism if it was not a state 12:35 that would be doable no Google if it was not state and similarly there will be no 12:41 state if they were no private entrepreneurs it would be no state is 12:44 there were no private firms we need to resolve this false division and we have 12:52 to attack the narrative head on basic income is about giving money to the 12:59 undeserving it is about giving money to the rich it is about giving money to the 13:06 surface the beach bums the ones that we did like the ones that we would not like 13:11 to be our children and who if they were true then we will we will be scolding 13:16 them so we must not side the track be sidetracked by simply talking about good 13:24 people getting money that they deserve 13:26 talk about undeserving people 13:28 that get money courtesy of the fact that they are members of a society that is 13:33 collectively producing wealth and then on top of this we need to add the 13:40 narrative of stabilization think about in Europe today in the United States had 13:46 a basis income would really help central bankers go to sleep at night it will be 13:52 counted inflationary it will be a unique defense against the slow-burning 13:58 recessionary impact of 2008 14:01 now there are a decent argument against basic 14:08 that we must not avoid some of you may say to you yes but they do not need a 14:18 basic a basic income well sure but they don't they don't need to have the first 14:25 10,000 Swiss francs they make being tax-exempt either nobody's worried about 14:30 that surely we hear being said it's better to target the money that society 14:36 has on those who are deserving well yes but you have to think of the other side 14:41 of the story due to separate the deserving from the undeserving you need 14:46 to bureaucracy whose purpose is doodle at that bureaucracy tends to replicate 14:52 itself bureaucrats love to reproduce themselves and to reproduce their power 14:56 over society and to do so by creating a stigma attached to those whom they 15:01 considered to be undeserving it is very similar to psychiatry the moment he 15:07 introduced a three-member Michelle and the story about the madhouse you create 15:13 an additive original reason power structure the person who has the 15:17 certificate to be this psychiatrist decides Hussain who has the right to be 15:25 free citizen 15:28 the other argument which i think is also one that needs to be confronted is that 15:33 people should have a right to a job not a ride to basic income and ugly should 15:39 be promoting work not schloss well I think that there are two points here 15:43 that need to be made when physically nothing stops us as a society 15:48 century those who are idle why should we have them stuff I know that my kids 15:57 where I'd like I would be centering them but they will not be throwing them out 16:02 of the house 16:02 secondly and more importantly there I'd to turn down a job is essential for a 16:12 well-functioning labor market and for a civilized society and have that I a 16:17 genuine right to turn down a job you must have an alternative and outside 16:22 option because desperate beagle 16:25 accepted do desperate things I heard somebody here today are you talking 16:28 about 16:28 cleaner whose job is not respected whose name is not known I have a story to tell 16:39 about that works in a number of universities and I remembered in the old 16:42 days where cleaners at work for the university and they were like my boss 16:47 they would come into my office and they will they will know my family they would 16:54 know about my wife they would not about me that would tell me off that would say 16:58 the 8 o'clock at night got your wife what are you doing 17:02 yeah and they had a sense of belonging to an institution and being 17:06 institutional important and what happened we subcontracted the labor to 17:10 firms that hire by night people that are faceless were turned over all the time 17:17 but less were not institutionally connected to the place where this is the 17:21 University the National Gallery in London and so on and so forth and there 17:26 is but why did this process spin out of control it did because the cleaners had 17:33 no us outside option no right to say no to the subcontracted contact 17:40 now just so that we do not face only the negative arguments let me just before I 17:48 conclude that opened this after discussion let me mention what I think 17:52 essential aspects from a social perspective not just from a 17:56 macroeconomic perspective it is important to state the macroeconomic 17:59 case will be stabilizing the financial markets investment of an unlikely but 18:07 there are others at the level of the micro and sociological 18:15 democracy put forward the idea of a social safety net 18:21 remember that well we need to counter this let's have a good for catching you 18:27 when you're fully but when you're caught in it some time to get out of them 18:33 sometimes very easy to be trumped think of basic income as a foundation set a 18:41 floor on which to stand solidly and to be able to reach for the sky 18:45 exploitation libertarian economists political ghana's political game that 18:57 liberty is a driving force define liberty on in a negative sense in the 19:05 sense of the absence of constants of volunteerism if you said yes to some 19:10 contract that contract must by definition be free 19:14 contract therefore it must be some act of free will 19:21 well it's not the Mafia loves to give us options that we can't refuse to make us 19:29 offers to choose the fact that we say yes to them doesn't mean that they were 19:35 chosen free the fact that the government accepted the terms last summer of the 19:40 driver does not mean that was a voluntary transaction to have a three 19:45 contract to have a contract that he signed by both sides 19:50 presenting and exuding the freedom of both sides each side must have a 19:56 capacity to say no I said that before I'm saying this once more in his 20:01 innocence freedom in action requires it basic income finally again beyond the 20:17 macroeconomic will allow for creative work to replace the kind of routine 20:26 algorithmic work which is anyway being displaced by artificial intelligence so 20:34 even want to ameliorate for the ill effects of capitalism undermining its 20:41 producing gadgets that itself cannot survive then we need to create a system 20:47 whereby society stakes a claim to the returns to aggregate capital and this 20:55 claim becomes an income stream that goes to everyone I don't see why my children 21:02 and your children have an idea trust fund why Paris Hilton has a right to die 21:07 a trust fund when nobody else will very few people do singles basis in get basic 21:15 income as a trust fund for all of our children to be financed by dividends 21:22 from aggregate capital which was after all created collectively thank you 21:43 questions so R here 21:57 technology and politics do you think is it an unfortunate coincidence or is it 22:04 related I had a holistic approach organic of course there is the reason 22:13 why we've had the financialization drive of the nineteen eighties nineties and 22:19 the thousands which led us to where we are today has a lot to do with 22:24 technological change and this technological change now with 3d 22:28 printers and machines that can replace human intelligence at the level of the 22:33 service sector is going to be in a vicious feedback effect with the effects 22:40 of the combustion of financial capital so the answer is utterly interwoven 22:46 interconnected interrelate 22:58 iraq to be a little bit more radical and that is my question you said the reason 23:09 for the existence of a basic income in conditioner basic income is income in 23:16 any case it in the context of civilization of today is to do comes 23:21 from a collective labor that is organized by state investment in R&D 23:29 technologist come from the relationship between the public property in private 23:35 property with my dad equality says I think that the new tools to grow their 23:40 own technological transformation change the structure is a way your 23:45 virtualization reproducing of wells that means a very slogan way we can say that 23:49 life itself is put into labor 23:53 indisputably the radio but I really be the last sentence to life our life yes 24:00 he's put into labor into radio the reason exploitation of life it's sort of 24:07 subsection of lives it's gonna be home visit classical substitution between 24:11 real former subsection Maxon terms it is a new wave of labor organization 24:16 liberalization so I think that the baby is a good cultural shift is it we need 24:21 to do is to consider basic income as a sort of a remuneration of productive 24:28 life not only part of social security and soul so I think that there is 24:34 something that you go behind it affects there is a collective work some more 24:39 things it is very useful to stress about this topic just to give golfing to the 24:45 geological geophysical I don't see why we disagree I don't see why we disagree 24:50 or agree it is better to put it in my daughter to talk in terms of visiting is 24:58 a sort of a remuneration thanks to win the way I 25:03 I prefer to say is that we eat gives us an opportunity to reconsider the notion 25:10 that wealth is privately produced and collectively appropriated when the 25:16 reality is exactly the opposite and now with maintenance take Google they have 25:24 imposed take all the value creation by users the complete breakdown of the 25:32 distinction between consumer and worker so all these corporations are have huge 25:38 input from their own customers their customers value and then they are being 25:45 turned into father which has been sold to advertisers for vital to return 25:52 exchange value to be done directly to these corporations and exclusive users 25:57 global corporations especially given that these corporations baby hadn't tax 26:02 so basic income is a very simple way of ensuring that those who produce the 26:08 valujet a larger share of their thank you very much I have a customer has kind 26:18 of been bothering me all day concerning what you called the second earthquake or 26:22 the rise of the machines what about those jobs that are not being displayed 26:27 by our technological development but kind of evolving parallel to a bike 26:31 that's a digital sweatshops in the Philippines or i click working so I feel 26:37 like both some kind of myth that technological innovation is gonna 26:42 replace everything but isn't there also a job sector in New suck job sector 26:48 evolving where humans are you doing rather machining work to train 26:52 algorithms to cloak to do Facebook censorship but actually requires Sherman 26:59 work but every technological innovation 27:04 displaces jobs and create jobs what we're facing now is the first time in 27:10 the first moment in history where they was that are are about to be displaced 27:16 are far more numerous to the ones that work which are being created in the US 27:20 were being created a much much lower level jobs in any more badly immunity to 27:27 it than the ones that are being destroyed so yes right here right there 27:39 high C celebrates the question of course is tangential to universal PCI in combat 27:48 on your experience in government would you think the role of the state should 27:54 be in the transition to the each of automation and the digital economy and 28:00 how the state tries to reorient e skills agenda at present we have many countries 28:06 in Europe apprenticeship and scales agenda which actually embed the 28:11 structural weaknesses so how do you think she can perform a rule and 28:16 preparing the labor force automation that's a good question I don't I don't 28:22 have an answer to these Andrea we certainly need the state to guide the 28:32 process of not so much human capital formation but the formation of the body 28:43 of difficult knowledge which is necessary to the problem is that we have 28:48 an educational system in an apprenticeship system that creates human 28:55 capital of a lowbrow right both universities and we are jumping down 29:04 education system we are creating incentives for students to study that 29:10 which they're not good at and which is going to by the time they graduate will 29:14 be relevant anyway for instance by ensuring that they leave universities 29:19 with a great amount of debt we are pushing them at the age of 18 19 to make 29:23 choices as to what they study on the basis of their own conception of what is 29:27 repetitive which firstly doesn't prove to be a look at it and secondly which 29:32 forces them to do things that they're not good at and therefore depletes the 29:36 overall effect of Education Society regarding apprenticeships I think that 29:46 look in britain today even if fantastic apprenticeship system is not going to 29:52 work because of the level of investment solo so what jobs with these apprentices 29:56 get to say that you know the supply side story that if you could lead to good 30:02 advantage is good industries going to move to Britain is at its finest guys 30:07 material the level of investment is very low and it's not just in Britain I am 30:13 appalled by the statistics of Britain's that in Germany the most successful 30:18 European state economy we have the highest level of savings in the history 30:24 of Germany and the lowest level of investment since 1945 so unless you have 30:30 together and invest in aggregate investment policy and educational 30:36 settings and training set said things that are in sync with investment you're 30:44 going to fail as a site and 30:54 thank you very much a really interesting talk I just want a sort of push you a 30:59 little bit further maybe get some reflection cause I completely agree that 31:03 being able to say no to a job is a requirement but I also think the next 31:08 step needs to be there needs to be some kind of system that helps people figure 31:12 out what they want to walk towards what is it you want a self actualized that 31:17 was wondering do you have any ideas if we introduce a basic income what other 31:22 systems that the state should the state introduced in order to help people 31:25 figure out in the process I don't agree with you on this you know i mean I'm not 31:30 made 31:33 don't confuse me for a statist I don't want to stay to tell me what I should be 31:39 aspiring to I don't want the state to Delmas my daughter what you should be 31:44 become when she grows up indeed I have very little time for all these 31:50 professional orientation schemes whether their state or private you know 31:54 especially when they did they take thirteen year olds at school and they 31:58 give them these silly surveys and Delhomme you will become an engineer 32:02 you'll be able and you're going to be a musician this is all I have a very deep 32:09 belief in the capacity of human minds to work things out for themselves if they 32:16 don't have to live in terror that is amazing 32:23 let's please give a warm thank you
B1 中級 米 ヤニス・ヴァルーファキス ベーシックインカムは必要不可欠 (スペイン語字幕版) (Yanis Varoufakis Basic Income is a Necessity (subtitulos espanol)) 346 3 王惟惟 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日 シェア シェア 保存 報告 動画の中の単語