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  • Hi, I’m John Green

  • and this is the final episode of Crash Course World History,

  • not because weve reached the end of history

  • but because weve reached the particular middle where I happen to be living.

  • Today well be considering whether globalization is a good thing,

  • and along the way well try to

  • do something that you may not be used to doing in history classes:

  • imagining the future.

  • Mr. Green, Mr. Green!

  • In the future, I’m gonna get to second base with Molly Bro--

  • No you won’t, Me from the Past,

  • but the fact that when asked to imagine THE future,

  • you imagine YOUR future says a lot about the contemporary world,

  • and listen, Me From the Past,

  • while there’s no question that your solipsistic individualism is bad

  • both for you and for our species,

  • the broader implications of individualism in general are a lot more complex.

  • [Best]

  • [intro music]

  • [intro music]

  • [intro music]

  • [intro music]

  • [EVER]

  • Man, I’m gonna miss you, Intro. [if only you were a ringtone. wait…]

  • So last week (ta da) we discussed how global economic interdependence has led,

  • on average, to longer, healthier, more prosperous lives for humans--

  • not to mention an astonishing change in the overall human population.

  • In the West, globalization has also led to the rise of a service economy.

  • In the US and Europe,

  • most people now work not in agriculture or manufacturing

  • but in some kind of service sector: healthcare, retail, education,

  • entertainment, information technology,

  • Internet videos about world history, etc. [it's been a please to serve you! tear.]

  • And that switch has really changed our psychology,

  • especially the psychology of upper classes living in the industrialized world.

  • I mean, to quote Frederic Jameson,

  • we areso far removed from the realities of production and work that we

  • inhabit a dream world of artificial stimuli and televised experience.”

  • Think of it this way:

  • If you had to kill a [chicken 57] every time you visited KFC,

  • you would probably eat fewer chickens. [yeuup.]

  • Another change of psychology: Many historians-of-the-now note

  • that globalization has also led to a celebration of individualism--

  • particularly in the wake of the failures of the Marxist collectivist utopias.

  • The generation that lived through the Depression and World War II

  • saw large-scale collectivist responses to both those crises.

  • And they were responses that limited freedom.

  • Like, the military draft, for instance, which limited your freedom,

  • you know, not to be a soldier.

  • Or

  • the collectivization of health insurance seen in most of the post-war West,

  • which limited your freedom to go bankrupt from health care costs.

  • Or also government programs like social security,

  • which limit your freedom not to pay for old people’s retirement.

  • [as they once did. ah, the circle of life]

  • But since the 1960s,

  • the ascendant idea of personal freedom

  • minimally limited by government intervention has become very powerful.

  • Even the Catholic church was part of this new search for individual freedom,

  • as the Second Vatican Council

  • relaxed church rules in ways that weakened central authority,

  • [price paid for Nuns Having Fun?]

  • made concessions to individual styles of worship,

  • even said that people of different religions could go to heaven.

  • What good is heaven if it’s gonna be full of Protestants?

  • It’s just gonna be like Minnesota.

  • So here in the last episode of Crash Course World History,

  • in the last thirty seconds,

  • I have offended, uh, 5/6ths of the world’s population in the form of

  • non-Catholics and, uh, all Republicans, and probably some political moderates.

  • Who are confused about what Obama’s healthcare law will and will not do.

  • [and will now be allowed to keep doing w/o repeal. DFTVA]

  • Stan, maybe I should just make this episode just an extended rant

  • where I reveal all of my political biases. And also my personal biases.

  • [Cue the flaming pit that is the comments section]

  • Look, youre never gonna meet a historian who doesn’t have biases.

  • But good historians try to acknowledge their biases

  • and I am biased toward Canada and its awesome healthcare system.

  • I can’t lie. I’m very jealous of you guys. [for reals]

  • But perhaps the greatest effect of the victory of individualism

  • was on sex and the family. [this should be interesting...]

  • We haven’t talked much about sex because my brother’s teaching Biology,

  • which is basically just sex, [as 1/2 our viewers flee to Bio playlist]

  • but sex is pretty important historically

  • because it’s how we keep happening. [for now]

  • But, in the 20th century, greater variety and availability of contraception

  • made it possible for people to experiment with multiple sexual partners

  • and helped to uncouple sex from child bearing, which was awesome,

  • [and the plot to movie Down With Love]

  • but individualism also had a destabilizing effect on families.

  • As the great Leo Tolstoy put it,

  • all happy families are alike, but each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.

  • But when your individual fulfillment trumps all,

  • you needn’t live amid your uniquely unhappy family: You can just leave.

  • So, divorce rates have skyrocketed in the past few decades, and not just in the US.

  • By the turn of the 21st century, divorce rates in China reached nearly 25%,

  • with 70% of those divorces initiated by women.

  • Technology has also driven families apart,

  • as parents and children spend increasing time alone

  • in front of their individual screens, sharing fewer experiences.

  • That’s individualism, too, but not of a kind that we usually celebrate.

  • But probably the biggest consequence of globalization and the ensuing

  • rise in human population has been humanity's effect on the environment.

  • While populations have increased

  • partly thanks to better yields from existing farmland,

  • much more land has also been brought under cultivation in the past half-century.

  • Often this meant cutting down trees in valuable rainforests

  • the best known example of this is what’s going on in the Amazon,

  • but it happens worldwide. [insert own Pandora joke here, in Na'vi]

  • And we're losing land not just for food, but also to grow the global economy.

  • Oh, it’s time for the open letter?

  • An Open Letter to Flowers.

  • But first,

  • let’s see what’s in the secret compartment today.

  • Oh, it’s fake flowers.

  • Thank you, Stan.

  • One for behind each ear. [because just one would be too girly]

  • Dear Flowers,

  • You capture the best and the worst of the globalized economy.

  • Youre so pretty.

  • Even the fake ones are pretty. But the real one are constantly dying.

  • Theyve got to be harvested, and shipped, and cut very efficiently.

  • And it’s a global phenomenon.

  • Like there are flowers in my corner market from Africa.

  • These are from China, but because they are plastic,

  • they could just be shipped in a shipping container.

  • More people can afford to apologize by giving their romantic partners

  • professionally cut and arranged roses than in any time in human history,

  • but in that we have lost something,

  • which is that the whole idea of flowers is that you had to go out into the field

  • and, like, cut them and arrange them yourself to apologize.

  • It’s not supposed to be,

  • “I’m sorry I forgot your birthday. Here’s $8 worth of work that was done in Kenya.”

  • [sentiment falls a bit flat, doesn't it?]

  • It’s supposed to be,

  • “I’m sorry I forgot your birthday,

  • so I went into the frakking forest and got you some frakking flowers.

  • Anyway, flowers,

  • Best Wishes, John Green.

  • Aww.. you guys got me flowers for

  • my last episode of World History. [cupcakes now reserved for Merebration]

  • Okay, let’s go to the thought bubble.

  • As worldwide production and consumption increases,

  • we use more resources, especially water and fossil fuels.

  • Globalization has made the average human richer,

  • and rich people tend to use more of

  • everythingbut especially energy.

  • This has already resulted in climate change, which will likely accelerate.

  • The global economy isn’t a zero-sum game.

  • Like,

  • I don’t need to become more poor in order for someone else to become more rich.

  • But growth, at least so far,

  • has been dependent upon unsustainable use of the planet's resources.

  • The planet can’t sustain seven billion automobiles, for instance,

  • or seven billion frequent flyers,

  • although most of us who can afford to drive or fly feel entitled to do so.

  • You'll remember that when we talked about the Industrial Revolution,

  • we discussed the virtuous cycle of more efficiency making things cheaper,

  • which in turn made them easier to buy, which increased demand,

  • which increased efficiency.

  • But from the perspective of the planet, each turn in that cycle takes something:

  • More land under cultivation, more carbon emissions, more resource extraction.

  • That can’t go on forever, but worryingly,

  • our current models of economic growth don’t allow for any other way.

  • Thanks, Thought Bubble.

  • And then there is our astonishingly robust health.

  • Although much of the world has

  • been ravaged by HIV/AIDS for the past three decades,

  • there’s been a relative lack of global pandemics since the 1918 flu.

  • And that’s particularly surprising given increased population density and

  • more travel between population centers.

  • China has seen 150 million people

  • leave the countryside for cities in the last 20 years.

  • This was Shanghai in 1990; and this is Shanghai in 2010.

  • The population of Lagos was 41,000 in 1900;

  • today, it's almost 8 million.

  • Of course, people have been moving from country to city for a long time;

  • remember Gilgamesh? [& the Mesopo-taaaaa-mii-aans]

  • But the pace of that change has dramatically accelerated.

  • Similarly, there's nothing new about international trade,

  • but its pace has also increased dramatically:

  • In 1960, trade accounted for 24% of the world's GDP;

  • today, it’s more than double that.

  • Almost no human being alive today

  • lives with stuff only manufactured in their home country,

  • but a thousand years ago,

  • only the richest of the rich could benefit from the Silk Road.

  • Still, trade isn’t new.

  • And while it’s tempting to say that the types of goods being traded

  • pharmaceuticals, computers, software, financial services

  • represent something wholly new,

  • you could just as easily see this as part of the evolution of trade itself.

  • At some point silk was seen as a new trade good.

  • As tastes change and consumers become more affluent,

  • the things that they want to buy change.

  • So is anything really different, or is it all just accelerated?

  • Well, some historians argue that

  • an economically interdependent world is much less likely to go to war.

  • And that may be true, but increasing global, cultural, and

  • economic integration hasn’t led to an end to violence.

  • I mean, we've seen large scale ethnic and nationalistic violence from Rwanda to

  • the former Yugoslavia to the Democratic Republic of Congo to Afghanistan.

  • Globalization has not rid the world of violence.

  • But there is an ideological shift

  • in the age of globalization that does seem pretty new,

  • and that’s the turn to democracy.

  • Now this isn’t the limited democracy of the ancient Greeks,

  • or the quirky republican system originally developed in the U.S.;

  • there are almost as many kinds of democracies as there are

  • nations experiencing democracy.

  • The fact is, however, that democracy and political freedom,

  • especially the freedom to participate in and influence the government,

  • have been on the rise all over the world since the 1980s and especially since 1990.

  • For instance,

  • if you looked at the governments of most Latin American countries

  • during most of the 20th centuries,

  • you would usually find them ruled by military strongman.

  • Now, with a couple of exceptions (Fidel, Hugo)…

  • Stan, are they behind me right now?

  • Because if theyre behind me,

  • I am in favor of collectivising oil revenue and distributing it to the poor.

  • If theyre not behind me, that’s a terrible idea.[love the iron constitution]

  • Right, but anyway, democracy is now flourishing in most of Latin America.

  • Probably the most famous democratic success story is South Africa,

  • which jettisoned decades of Apartheid in the 1990s

  • and elected former dissident Nelson Mandela

  • as its first black president in 1994.

  • It also adopted one of the most progressive constitutions in the world.

  • But it’s worth remembering that

  • democracy and economic success don’t always go hand in hand,

  • as much as some Americans wish they would.

  • Many new African democracies continue to struggle, the same is true in some

  • Latin American countries, and China has shown that you don’t need democracy

  • in order to experience economic growth.

  • But for a few countries, especially Brazil and India,

  • the combination of democracy and economic liberalism has

  • unleashed impressive growth that has lifted millions out of poverty.

  • So can we say that it's good, then?

  • Can we celebrate globalization,

  • in spite of its destabilizing effects on families and the environment?

  • Well, here's where we have to imagine the future,

  • because if some superbug shows up tomorrow [says the hypochondriac, hypothetically]

  • and it travels through all these global trade routes and kills every living human,

  • then globalization will have been very bad for human history:

  • specifically, by ending it.

  • If climate change continues to accelerate and displaces billions of people

  • and causes widespread famines and flooding, then we will remember

  • this period of human history as short-sighted, self-indulgent,

  • and tremendously destructive.

  • On the other hand,

  • if we discover an asteroid hurdling toward earth

  • and mobilize global industry and technology in such a way

  • that we lose Bruce Willis but save the world,

  • then globalization will be celebrated for millennia.

  • I mean, assuming we have millennia and can convince Bruce Willis to go.

  • In short, to understand the present, we have to imagine the future.

  • That's the thing about history: It depends on where you're standing.

  • From where I'm standing, globalization has been a net positive,

  • but then again,

  • it's been a pretty good run for heterosexual males of European descent.

  • Critics of globalization point out that

  • billions haven't benefited much if at all from all this economic prosperity,

  • and that the polarization of wealth is growing both within and across nations.

  • And those criticisms are valid and they are troubling, but they aren’t new.

  • Disparities between those who have more and those who have less

  • have existed pretty much from the moment agriculture

  • enabled us to accumulate a surplus.

  • At some times this inequality has been a big concern,

  • as it was with Jesus and Muhammad, at other times not so much.

  • Inequalities are as old as human history,

  • and almost as old is the debate about them.

  • One thing that is new, however, is our ability to learn about them,

  • to discuss them, and hopefully to find solutions for them together

  • as a global community that is better integrated and more connected

  • than it has ever been before.

  • Because here's the other thing about history: You are making it.

  • That old idea that history is the deeds of great men? That was wrong.

  • Celebrated individuals do shape history, but so do the rest of us.

  • And while it's true that many historical forces--

  • malaria, meteors from space-- [bed bugs]

  • aren't human, it's also true that every human is a historical force.

  • You are changing the world every day.

  • And it is our hope that by looking at the history that was made before us,

  • we can see our own crucial decisions in a broader context.

  • And I believe that context can help us make better choices--

  • and better changes.

  • Thanks for watching.

  • But, there’s no need to despair, Crash Course fans,

  • I’ll see you next week for the beginning of our mini series on literature.

  • Crash Course is produced and directed by Stan Muller.

  • Our script supervisor is Meredith Danko.

  • The associate producer is Danica Johnson.

  • The show is written by my high school history teacher,

  • Raoul Meyer, and myself.

  • And our graphics team is Thought Bubble.

  • Last week’s phrase of the week was

  • "Cookie Monster".

  • This week’s phrase of the week was

  • "Bruce Willis,"

  • which I am telling you because we are retiring the idea

  • of the phrase of the week.

  • Thank you so much for watching Crash Course World History.

  • It has been super fun to try

  • to tell the history of the world in 42 twelve-minute videos.

  • I hope you enjoyed it and I hope youll hang around for literature.

  • Thanks for watching,

  • and as we say in my hometown,

  • Don’t Forget How Strange It Is To Be Anything At All.

  • [outro]

Hi, I’m John Green

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グローバリゼーションII - 良いのか悪いのか?クラッシュ・コース 世界史 #42 (Globalization II - Good or Bad?: Crash Course World History #42)

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    Chi-feng Liu に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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