Placeholder Image

字幕表 動画を再生する

  • The area surrounding the North Pole

  • may seem like a frozen and desolate environment where nothing ever changes.

  • But it is actually a complex and finely balanced natural system,

  • and its extreme location makes it vulnerable to feedback processes

  • that can magnify even tiny changes in the atmosphere.

  • In fact, scientists often describe the Arctic as the canary in the coal mine

  • when it comes to predicting the impact of climate change.

  • One major type of climate feedback involves reflectivity.

  • White surfaces, like snow and ice,

  • are very effective at reflecting the sun's energy back into space,

  • while darker land and water surfaces absorb much more incoming sunlight.

  • When the Arctic warms just a little, some of the snow and ice melts,

  • exposing the ground and ocean underneath.

  • The increased heat absorbed by these surfaces causes even more melting,

  • and so on.

  • And although the current situation in the Arctic follows the warming pattern,

  • the opposite is also possible.

  • A small drop in temperatures would cause more freezing,

  • increasing the amount of reflective snow and ice.

  • This would result in less sunlight being absorbed,

  • and lead to a cycle of cooling, as in previous ice ages.

  • Arctic sea ice is also responsible for another feedback mechanism

  • through insulation.

  • By forming a layer on the ocean's surface,

  • the ice acts as a buffer between the frigid arctic air

  • and the relatively warmer water underneath.

  • But when it thins, breaks, or melts in any spot,

  • heat escapes from the ocean,

  • warming the atmosphere and causing more ice to melt in turn.

  • Both of these are examples of positive feedback loops,

  • not because they do something good,

  • but because the initial change is amplified in the same direction.

  • A negative feedback loop, on the other hand,

  • is when the initial change leads to effects

  • that work in the opposite direction.

  • Melting ice also causes a type of negative feedback

  • by releasing moisture into the atmosphere.

  • This increases the amount and thickness of clouds present,

  • which can cool the atmosphere by blocking more sunlight.

  • But this negative feedback loop is short-lived,

  • due to the brief Arctic summers.

  • For the rest of the year, when sunlight is scarce,

  • the increased moisture and clouds

  • actually warm the surface by trapping the Earth's heat,

  • turning the feedback loop positive for all but a couple of months.

  • While negative feedback loops encourage stability

  • by pushing a system towards equilibrium,

  • positive feedback loops destabilize it by enabling larger and larger deviations.

  • And the recently increased impact of positive feedbacks

  • may have consequences far beyond the Arctic.

  • On a warming planet,

  • these feedbacks ensure that the North Pole warms at a faster rate than the equator.

  • The reduced temperature differences between the two regions

  • may lead to slower jet stream winds

  • and less linear atmospheric circulation in the middle latitudes,

  • where most of the world's population lives.

  • Many scientists are concerned that shifts in weather patterns

  • will last longer and be more extreme,

  • with short term fluctuations becoming persistent cold snaps,

  • heat waves, droughts and floods.

  • So the Arctic sensitivity doesn't just serve as an early warning alarm

  • for climate change for the rest of the planet.

  • Its feedback loops can affect us in much more direct and immediate ways.

  • As climate scientists often warn,

  • what happens in the Arctic doesn't always stay in the Arctic.

The area surrounding the North Pole

字幕と単語

ワンタップで英和辞典検索 単語をクリックすると、意味が表示されます

B1 中級

【TED-Ed】Why the Arctic is climate change's canary in the coal mine - William Chapman

  • 220 21
    稲葉白兎 に公開 2015 年 12 月 21 日
動画の中の単語