字幕表 動画を再生する
This research, published in International Economics, dives deep into the historical
evaluation of the Halloween effect on the US stock market and its counterparts
in other developed markets such as the UK, France, Canada, Germany, and Japan.
Utilizing various statistical techniques, including average analysis, Student's t-test,
ANOVA, and the Mann-Whitney test, alongside a trading simulation approach, the research
investigates the evolution of the Halloween Effect. The findings are quite intriguing.
In the US stock market and other developed markets,
the Halloween effect was only noticeable starting from the middle of the 20th century.
This means that, for a significant period in history,
there was no discernible pattern linked to Halloween in stock market trends.
More recent data, however, suggests that the Halloween effect is still
present in the US stock market as well as in most of the other developed markets.