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  • E

  • CONCERNS OVER THE RAPIDLY

  • EXPANDING USE OF ARTIFICIAL

  • INTELLIGENCE RESONATED LOUDLY IN

  • WASHINGTON AND AROUND THE WORLD.

  • VICE PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS MET

  • WITH TOP EXECUTIVES FROM

  • COMPANIES LEADING IN AI

  • DEVELOPMENT, MICROSOFT, GOOGLE.

  • THE VICE PRESIDENT DISCUSSED

  • SOME OF THE GROWING RISKS AND

  • TOLD COMPANIES THEY HAD A MORAL

  • OBLIGATION TO DEVELOP AI SAFELY.

  • THAT MEETING CAME JUST DAYS

  • AFTER MY THE LEADING VOICES IN

  • THE FIELD OF AI ANNOUNCED HE WAS

  • QUITTING GOOGLE OVER HIS WORRIES

  • OVER THE FUTURE OF AI AND WHAT

  • HE COULD EVENTUALLY LEAD TO,

  • UNCHECKED.

  • WE WOULD HER ABOUT SOME OF THOSE

  • CONCERNS NOW WITH DR. JEFFREY

  • HINTON, WHICH JOINTLY FROM

  • LONDON.

  • THANK YOU FOR JOINING US.

  • WERE YOU FREE TO EXPRESS ABOUT

  • ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE THAT YOU

  • COULD NOT EXPRESS FREELY WHEN

  • YOU WERE EMPLOYED BY GOOGLE?

  • >> IT WAS NOT THAT I COULD NOT

  • EXPRESS IT FREELY WHEN EMPLOYED

  • BY GOOGLE BUT INEVITABLY, IF YOU

  • WORK FOR A COMPANY YOU TEND TO

  • SELF CENSOR.

  • YOU THINK ABOUT THE IMPACT IT

  • WILL HAVE ON THE COMPANY.

  • I WANT TO BE ABLE TO TALK ABOUT

  • WHAT I NOW PERCEIVE OF THE RISKS

  • OF SUPER INTELLIGENT AI WITHOUT

  • HAVING TO THINK ABOUT THE IMPACT

  • ON GOOGLE.

  • GEOFF: WHAT ARE THOSE RISKS?

  • >> THERE ARE QUITE A FEW

  • DIFFERENT RISKS.

  • THERE IS THE RISK OF PRODUCING A

  • LOT OF FAKE NEWS SO YOU DO NOT

  • KNOW WHAT IS TRUE ANYMORE.

  • THERE IS THE RISK OF ENCOURAGING

  • POLARIZATION BY GETTING PEOPLE

  • TO CLICK ON THINGS.

  • THERE IS THE RISK OF PUTTING

  • PEOPLE OUT OF WORK.

  • IT SHOULD BE WOULD WE MAKE

  • THINGS MORE PRODUCTIVE, GREATLY

  • INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY, IT HELPS

  • EVERYONE.

  • THERE IS THE WERE IT MIGHT JUST

  • HELP THE RICH.

  • THERE IS THE RISK I WANT TO TALK

  • ABOUT.

  • MANY OTHER PEOPLE TALK ABOUT THE

  • OTHER RISKS, INCLUDING BIAS AND

  • DISCRIMINATION.

  • I WANT TO TALK ABOUT A DIFFERENT

  • RISK, THE RISK OF SUPER

  • INTELLIGENT AI TAKING OVER

  • CONTROL FROM PEOPLE.

  • GEOFF: HOW DO THE TWO COMPARED

  • -- HUMAN INTELLIGENCE AND

  • MACHINE INTELLIGENCE?

  • >> THAT IS A VERY GOOD QUESTION

  • AND I HAVE QUITE A LONG ANSWER.

  • BIOLOGICAL INTELLIGENCE USES

  • VERY LITTLE POWER.

  • WE ONLY USE 30 WATTS.

  • WE HAVE HUGE NUMBERS OF

  • CONNECTIONS, LIKE 100 TRILLION

  • BETWEEN NEURONS.

  • LEARNING CAN CHANGE THE STRENGTH

  • OF THE CONNECTIONS.

  • DIGITAL INTELLIGENCE WE HAVE

  • CREATED USES A LOT OF POWER WHEN

  • YOU ARE TRAINING IT.

  • IT HAS FAR FEWER CONNECTIONS,

  • ONLY 1 TRILLION BUT I CAN LEARN

  • MUCH, MUCH MORE THAN ANY ONE

  • PERSON WHICH SUGGESTS THAT IT IS

  • A BETTER LEARNING ALGORITHM THAN

  • THE BRAIN.

  • GEOFF: WHAT WOULD SMARTER THAN

  • HUMAN AI SYSTEMS DO?

  • WHAT IS THE CONCERN THAT YOU

  • HAVE?

  • >> THE QUESTION IS -- WHAT WILL

  • MOTIVATE THEM?

  • THEY COULD EASILY MANIPULATE US

  • IF THEY WANTED TO.

  • IMAGINE YOURSELF AND A

  • TWO-YEAR-OLD CHILD.

  • YOU COULD ASK IF YOU WANT THE

  • PEAS OR THE CAULIFLOWER AND THE

  • CHILD DOES NOT REALIZE IT DOES

  • NOT HAVE TO HAVE EITHER.

  • WE KNOW FOR EXAMPLE THAT YOU CAN

  • INVADE A BUILDING IN WASHINGTON

  • WITHOUT EVER GOING THERE

  • YOURSELF BY MANIPULATIVE PEOPLE.

  • IMAGINE SOMEONE WHO IS MUCH

  • BETTER THAN MANIPULATE PEOPLE

  • THAN OUR CURRENT POLITICIANS.

  • GEOFF: WHY WOULD AI WANT TO DO

  • THAT?

  • WOULD THAT NOT REQUIRE SOME FORM

  • OF SENTENCE?

  • >> LET'S NOT GET CONFUSED ABOUT

  • THAT ISSUE.

  • I DO NOT WANT TO CONFUSE THE

  • ISSUE.

  • LET ME GIVE YOU ONE EXAMPLE

  • WHITE BUT WANT TO DO THAT.

  • SUPPOSE YOU ARE GETTING AI TO DO

  • SOMETHING.

  • YOU GIVE IT A GOAL.

  • YOU GIVE IT THE ABILITY TO

  • CREATE SUB GOALS.

  • YOU CREATE A SUB GOAL OF GETTING

  • A TAXI.

  • ONE THING YOU WILL NOTICE

  • QUICKLY IS THERE IS A SUB GOAL,

  • YOU CAN ACHIEVE IT TO MAKE IT

  • EASIER TO ACHIEVE THE OTHER

  • GOALS.

  • THE SUBGOALS MAKE IT EASIER TO

  • GET MORE CONTROL AND GET MORE

  • POWER.

  • THE MORE POWER YOU HAVE, THE

  • EASIER IT IS TO GET THINGS DONE.

  • WE GIVE A PERFECTLY REASONABLE

  • GOAL, IT DECIDES IN ORDER TO DO

  • THAT I WILL GIVE MYSELF NORMAL

  • POWER.

  • BECAUSE IT IS MUCH SMARTER THAN

  • US AND TRAINED FROM EVERYTHING

  • PEOPLE EVER DID, IT HAS READ

  • EVERY NOVEL, IT KNOWS A LOT

  • ABOUT HOW TO MEND APPEALING

  • PEOPLE.

  • THERE IS THE WORRY IT MIGHT

  • START MANIPULATING US INTO

  • GIVING MORE POWER.

  • WE MIGHT NOT HAVE A CLUE WHAT IS

  • GOING ON.

  • GEOFF: WHEN YOU WERE AT THE

  • FOREFRONT OF THIS TECHNOLOGY

  • DECADES AGO, WHAT DID YOU THINK

  • IT BY DUE?

  • WHAT WERE THE APPLICATIONS YOU

  • HAD IN MIND?

  • >> THERE ARE A HUGE NUMBER OF

  • GOOD APPLICATIONS AND THAT WOULD

  • BE A MISTAKE TO STOP DEVELOPING.

  • IT WILL BE USEFUL IN MEDICINE.

  • WOULD YOU RATHER SEE A FAMILY

  • DOCTOR THAT HAS SEEN A FEW

  • THOUSAND PATIENTS OR A DOCTOR

  • THAT HAS SEEN A FEW MILLION

  • PATIENTS, INCLUDING MANY WITH

  • THE SAME RARE DISEASE YOU HAVE?

  • YOU COULD MAKE BETTER

  • NANOTECHNOLOGY FOR SOLAR PANELS.

  • YOU CAN PREDICT FLOODS AND

  • EARTHQUAKES.

  • YOU CAN DO TREMENDOUS GOOD WITH

  • THIS.

  • GEOFF: IS THE PROBLEM THEN THE

  • TECHNOLOGY OR IS THE PROBLEM THE

  • PEOPLE BEHIND IT?

  • >> IT IS A COMBINATION OF.

  • OBVIOUSLY, MANY OF THE

  • ORGANIZATIONS DEVELOPING THIS

  • OUR DEFENSE DEPARTMENTS.

  • DEFENSE DEPARTMENTS DO NOT

  • NECESSARILY WANT TO BUILD IN "BE

  • NICE TO PEOPLE" AS THE FIRST

  • RULE.

  • SOME DEFENSE DEPARTMENT WOULD

  • LIKE TO BUILD IN "KILL PEOPLE OF

  • A PARTICULAR KIND."

  • WE CANNOT EXPECT THEM TO HAVE

  • GOOD INTENTIONS TOWARD ALL

  • PEOPLE.

  • GEOFF: THERE IS THE QUESTION

  • ABOUT WHAT TO DO TO IT.

  • THE TECHNOLOGY IS ADVANCING

  • FASTER THAN SOCIETIES CAN KEEP

  • PACE WITH.

  • THE CAPABILITIES OF THIS

  • TECHNOLOGY, THEY LEAP FORWARD

  • EVERY FEW MONTHS.

  • WHEN IT IS REQUIRED TO WRITE

  • LEGISLATION, PASS LEGISLATION,

  • THAT TAKES YEARS.

  • >> I HAVE GONE PUBLIC TO TRY TO

  • ENCOURAGE A MUCH MORE -- MANY

  • MORE CREATIVE SCIENTISTS TO GET

  • INTO THIS AREA.

  • I THINK IT IS AN AREA IN WHICH

  • WE CAN ACTUALLY HAVE

  • INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION.

  • THE MACHINES TAKING OVER AS A

  • THREAT FOR EVERYBODY.

  • IT IS A THREAT FOR THE CHINESE,

  • AMERICANS AND EUROPEANS.

  • JUST LIKE A GLOBAL NUCLEAR WAR.

  • FOR A GLOBAL NUCLEAR WAR, PEOPLE

  • DID COLLABORATE TO REDUCE THE

  • CHANCES OF IT.

  • GEOFF: THERE ARE OTHER EXPERTS

  • IN THE FIELD OF AI WHO SAID THE

  • CONCERNS YOU ARE RAISING, THIS

  • DYSTOPIAN FUTURE, THAT IT

  • DISTRACTS FROM THE VERY REAL AND

  • IMMEDIATE RISKS POSED BY

  • ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, SOME OF

  • THEM YOU MENTIONED --

  • DISINFORMATION, FRAUD.

  • >> I DO NOT WANT TO DISTRACT

  • FROM THOSE.

  • THEY ARE VERY IMPORTANT CONCERNS

  • AND WE SHOULD BE WORKING ON

  • THOSE, TOO.

  • I JUST WANT TO ADD THIS OTHER

  • EXISTENTIAL THREAT OF IT TAKING

  • OVER.

  • ONE REASON I WANT TO DO THAT IS

  • BECAUSE THAT IS AN AREA IN WHICH

  • I THINK WE CAN GET INTERNATIONAL

  • COLLABORATION.

  • GEOFF: IS THERE ANY TURNING

  • BACK?

  • YOU SAY THERE IS A TIME THAT AI

  • IS MORE INTELLIGENCE THAN US.

  • IS THERE ANY COMING BACK FROM

  • THAT?

  • >> I DO NOT KNOW.

  • WE ARE ENTERING A TIME OF GREAT

  • UNCERTAINTY.

  • WE ARE DEALING WITH THINGS WE

  • HAVE NEVER DEALT WITH BEFORE.

  • IT IS THIS ALIENS HAVE LANDED

  • BUT WE DID NOT TAKE IT IN.

  • GEOFF: HOW SHOULD WE THINK

  • DIFFERENTLY ABOUT ARTIFICIAL

  • INTELLIGENCE?

  • >> WE SHOULD REALIZE THAT WE ARE

  • PROBABLY GOING TO GET THINGS

  • MORE INTELLIGENT THAN US QUITE

  • SOON AND THEY WILL BE WONDERFUL.

  • THEY WILL BE ABLE TO DO ALL

  • SORTS OF THINGS VERY EASILY THAT

  • WE FIND DIFFICULT.

  • THIS HUGE POSITIVE POTENTIAL.

  • BUT OF COURSE THERE IS ALSO HUGE

  • NEGATIVE POSSIBILITIES.

  • I THINK WE SHOULD PUT MORE

  • RESOURCES INTO DEVELOPING AI TO

  • MAKE IT MORE POWERFUL AND

  • FIGURING OUT HOW TO KEEP IT

  • UNDER CONTROL AND MINIMIZING BAD

  • SIDE EFFECTS.

  • GEOFF: THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR

  • YOUR TIME AND SHARING YOUR

  • INSIGHTS WITH US.

  • >> THANK YOU FOR INVITING ME.

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'Godfather of AI' discusses dangers the developing technologies pose to society

  • 23 2
    Claire Tao に公開 2023 年 10 月 17 日
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